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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 33395. (Read 26462497 times)

member
Activity: 112
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t/a wise things are getting worse by the hour IMO
Mind to explain? In my book we broke upward the main triangle of doom.

stoch
rsi
mac


but accu/distru looking fine as always
(thats why I am mid-term bull)

regarding that triangle;

it may have not been the predominant formation
and the volume breaking was not significant enough anyway
hence there was no consolidation above 120 much less it passed 125
(120/125 is high resistance zone)
so we may have seen a false break out if any

so we could be up for the second breakout, down this time
which also could be false, which wouldnt surprise me as the market loves to fool people

will be very interesting to observe volume at time of break and later turnaround

but this are just my two satoshis Wink
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
it only takes a few dictators  to use it to avoid confiscation and the value will shoot to well over $10,000 per coin.  

Concrete example: Hosni Mubarak had $70 billion confiscated when he lost power.  If he had been able to get even a quarter of that into Bitcoin, it would still be his and Bitcoin would be worth over $20,000 each.

So hang in there - this idea has more potential for massive gains than any other investment opportunity around today.

That is the worst advert I ever heard for Bitcoin
"Roll up, roll up, profit from dictatorship here!"

I would rather be poor in your terms

+1

"...But we hate banking and governmental corruption, that's why we love Bitcoin."   Roll Eyes
legendary
Activity: 2268
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1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 1000
it only takes a few dictators  to use it to avoid confiscation and the value will shoot to well over $10,000 per coin.  

Concrete example: Hosni Mubarak had $70 billion confiscated when he lost power.  If he had been able to get even a quarter of that into Bitcoin, it would still be his and Bitcoin would be worth over $20,000 each.

So hang in there - this idea has more potential for massive gains than any other investment opportunity around today.

That is the worst advert I ever heard for Bitcoin
"Roll up, roll up, profit from dictatorship here!"

I would rather be poor in your terms
hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 1000
Reading many of these comments just reminds me of the blind, ideological and delusional thinking of the Napster cults.  Faith is necessary I get that but some of this stuff is just craziness.  The more I read these forums, the shorter Bitcoins lifespan becomes to me.  I''m currently at 2 years tops.  That's not because Bitcoin is not awesome, it's simply that too many people behind it are irrational and lack common sense and logic.  

I plan to make as much as I can off of it while I can, but my sights are already set on the "iTunes" of crypto.


what I'd like to know is as infrastructure does develop, who of the early adopters holding larger amounts of coins will actively invest their own profits, fiat or bitcoin into developing it further, and how many will just wait and see, while hoping to grow "richer". How many will just simply wait to "make as much of it as (they) can"...

I don't know much about ideological Napster cults, but I do know that they were onto something.


What bitcoin seems to be teaching the world is not "craziness", but yes, if it's not developed, and early adopters and those hoarding lots of coins do not actively participate in engaging with developing it's utility and infrastructure I can see it not lasting.

I know next to nothing about programming but I sense that it all needs a fair bit of work but this is not impossible. 


What would be interesting to see is that if it does only last "2 years", how the bitcoin will exchange, transfer or find new uses around that -end of lifespan- ... it's not like it can just drop dead.

For success IMO, big hoarders, over time, need to reduce their holdings so that it can become universally held. I am not saying they need to do it now at this price, just that for future stability, the influence of any one holder or collective must be reduced. Wasn't that the agenda ? A global decentralised  'currency' not subject to the whims of TPTB ? Or is the agenda to become the new PTB and control the new currency ?
The first can work ... the second will not IMO. I will go as far as to say I hope the second does not work
Does not really matter so much if they actively invest their profits in improving infrastructure ... it will be done if enough others are incentivised by having a piece of the pie and a shared vision.
donator
Activity: 2772
Merit: 1019
Reading many of these comments just reminds me of the blind, ideological and delusional thinking of the Napster cults.  Faith is necessary I get that but some of this stuff is just craziness.  The more I read these forums, the shorter Bitcoins lifespan becomes to me.  I''m currently at 2 years tops.  That's not because Bitcoin is not awesome, it's simply that too many people behind it are irrational and lack common sense and logic.  

I plan to make as much as I can off of it while I can, but my sights are already set on the "iTunes" of crypto.

All new ideas attract some people who think the end of the world is nigh.  That doesn't change the fact that some new ideas are good ideas.  Bitcoin is a good idea in my opinion as it provides an effective alternative to fiat currency.  As such, it only takes a few dictators or billionaires to use it to avoid confiscation and the value will shoot to well over $10,000 per coin.  

Concrete example: Hosni Mubarak had $70 billion confiscated when he lost power.  If he had been able to get even a quarter of that into Bitcoin, it would still be his and Bitcoin would be worth over $20,000 each.

So hang in there - this idea has more potential for massive gains than any other investment opportunity around today.

I'm not sure, but maybe Coinseeker is talking about some iAltCoin? I'm not sure about this. Bitcoin has some problems, but a new coin that is substantially better is something that cannot be forced. It's one thing to make the best phone by innovating and doing things the right way (iPhone back in the days), but a genius innovation like bitcoin cannot be bought with money and good engineering.

If some altCoin comes along that really is substantially better (it's not amazonCoin, litecoin, ripple (ok, not a coin, but a competitor of sorts) or yaccoin afaik) then I will embrace it even if it means my bitcoin stash is worthless because it would mean we then have even better money at our disposal.

About early adopters sitting back, not using their stash and brain power to develop bitcoin infrastructure: I'm pretty sure they are very active. Who do you think these people are behind all the projects? Do you really think someone in the early days discovered the potential of bitcoin, acquired a huge stash and now is content to do some non-bitcoin related work or no work at all? I'd think he'd like to be part of this awesome piece of history. There might be exceptions, but I would guess the bulk of the early adopters are among us, helping the cause any way they can and trying to profit even more. Hell, maybe even Satoshi is still active (might be dpr as someone suggested, although I doubt it).
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
t/a wise things are getting worse by the hour IMO

Mind to explain? In my book we broke upward the main triangle of doom.
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
Reading many of these comments just reminds me of the blind, ideological and delusional thinking of the Napster cults.  Faith is necessary I get that but some of this stuff is just craziness.  The more I read these forums, the shorter Bitcoins lifespan becomes to me.  I''m currently at 2 years tops.  That's not because Bitcoin is not awesome, it's simply that too many people behind it are irrational and lack common sense and logic.  

I plan to make as much as I can off of it while I can, but my sights are already set on the "iTunes" of crypto.

All new ideas attract some people who think the end of the world is nigh.  That doesn't change the fact that some new ideas are good ideas.  Bitcoin is a good idea in my opinion as it provides an effective alternative to fiat currency.  As such, it only takes a few dictators or billionaires to use it to avoid confiscation and the value will shoot to well over $10,000 per coin.  

Concrete example: Hosni Mubarak had $70 billion confiscated when he lost power.  If he had been able to get even a quarter of that into Bitcoin, it would still be his and Bitcoin would be worth over $20,000 each.

So hang in there - this idea has more potential for massive gains than any other investment opportunity around today.

You missed my point...Bitcoin is a GREAT idea and can absolutely work.  Unfortunately it's dominated by ideological nuts who ignore all logic and thus will do nothing to deal with the problems of the currency and will almost always flame anyone who even attempts to speak against the almighty Bitcoin.  It's just as easy for someone to pickup the idea and do it better.  Hence the Napster, iTunes reference.  Like I said crypto is awesome.  That can be Bitcoin or not.  Don't care as long as it's right and ready for the long run.  

I'm one of the new users you'd think you'd want on board but after ~ 2 months, I've gone from "what is this Bitcoin?", to "This is awesome honey, we've got to get involved!", to "I'm not even sure if Bitcoin will be alive in 2 years."  That has nothing to do with Bitcoin, it has to due with many of the "cult" like followers who poison the brand.
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
Reading many of these comments just reminds me of the blind, ideological and delusional thinking of the Napster cults.  Faith is necessary I get that but some of this stuff is just craziness.  The more I read these forums, the shorter Bitcoins lifespan becomes to me.  I''m currently at 2 years tops.  That's not because Bitcoin is not awesome, it's simply that too many people behind it are irrational and lack common sense and logic.  

I plan to make as much as I can off of it while I can, but my sights are already set on the "iTunes" of crypto.

lol

so what is the iTunes of crypto please?



Not sure, but my eyes are open.  
legendary
Activity: 1414
Merit: 1000

what I'd like to know is as infrastructure does develop, who of the early adopters holding larger amounts of coins will actively invest their own profits, fiat or bitcoin into developing it further, and how many will just wait and see, while hoping to grow "richer". How many will just simply wait to "make as much of it as (they) can"...

Early adopters has kept bitcoin alive 4 years (and gone retired(not all) :-) ).. now it is you who has to make next move.
member
Activity: 112
Merit: 10
on topic;

t/a wise things are getting worse by the hour IMO

some buying or al least manipulation ( Wink ) needed to get over the weekend without a dip to 105/110
donator
Activity: 2772
Merit: 1019

just thought I'd mention that I'm confused by this talk of a "deflating" bubble, and the fact that bitcoin is essentially "deflationary".


Can someone please explain?

you're being played.

"deflation" of a bubble has nothing to do with "deflation" of the money supply or prices.
legendary
Activity: 1218
Merit: 1001
Reading many of these comments just reminds me of the blind, ideological and delusional thinking of the Napster cults.  Faith is necessary I get that but some of this stuff is just craziness.  The more I read these forums, the shorter Bitcoins lifespan becomes to me.  I''m currently at 2 years tops.  That's not because Bitcoin is not awesome, it's simply that too many people behind it are irrational and lack common sense and logic.  

I plan to make as much as I can off of it while I can, but my sights are already set on the "iTunes" of crypto.

All new ideas attract some people who think the end of the world is nigh.  That doesn't change the fact that some new ideas are good ideas.  Bitcoin is a good idea in my opinion as it provides an effective alternative to fiat currency.  As such, it only takes a few dictators or billionaires to use it to avoid confiscation and the value will shoot to well over $10,000 per coin.  

Concrete example: Hosni Mubarak had $70 billion confiscated when he lost power.  If he had been able to get even a quarter of that into Bitcoin, it would still be his and Bitcoin would be worth over $20,000 each.

So hang in there - this idea has more potential for massive gains than any other investment opportunity around today.
member
Activity: 112
Merit: 10
Reading many of these comments just reminds me of the blind, ideological and delusional thinking of the Napster cults.  Faith is necessary I get that but some of this stuff is just craziness.  The more I read these forums, the shorter Bitcoins lifespan becomes to me.  I''m currently at 2 years tops.  That's not because Bitcoin is not awesome, it's simply that too many people behind it are irrational and lack common sense and logic.  

I plan to make as much as I can off of it while I can, but my sights are already set on the "iTunes" of crypto.

lol

so what is the iTunes of crypto please?

sr. member
Activity: 364
Merit: 250
"to be or not to be, that is the bitcoin"
Reading many of these comments just reminds me of the blind, ideological and delusional thinking of the Napster cults.  Faith is necessary I get that but some of this stuff is just craziness.  The more I read these forums, the shorter Bitcoins lifespan becomes to me.  I''m currently at 2 years tops.  That's not because Bitcoin is not awesome, it's simply that too many people behind it are irrational and lack common sense and logic.  

I plan to make as much as I can off of it while I can, but my sights are already set on the "iTunes" of crypto.


what I'd like to know is as infrastructure does develop, who of the early adopters holding larger amounts of coins will actively invest their own profits, fiat or bitcoin into developing it further, and how many will just wait and see, while hoping to grow "richer". How many will just simply wait to "make as much of it as (they) can"...

I don't know much about ideological Napster cults, but I do know that they were onto something.


What bitcoin seems to be teaching the world is not "craziness", but yes, if it's not developed, and early adopters and those hoarding lots of coins do not actively participate in engaging with developing it's utility and infrastructure I can see it not lasting.

I know next to nothing about programming but I sense that it all needs a fair bit of work but this is not impossible. 


What would be interesting to see is that if it does only last "2 years", how the bitcoin will exchange, transfer or find new uses around that -end of lifespan- ... it's not like it can just drop dead.
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
Reading many of these comments just reminds me of the blind, ideological and delusional thinking of the Napster cults.  Faith is necessary I get that but some of this stuff is just craziness.  The more I read these forums, the shorter Bitcoins lifespan becomes to me.  I''m currently at 2 years tops.  That's not because Bitcoin is not awesome, it's simply that too many people behind it are irrational and lack common sense and logic.  

I plan to make as much as I can off of it while I can, but my sights are already set on the "iTunes" of crypto.
sr. member
Activity: 364
Merit: 250
"to be or not to be, that is the bitcoin"
Yeah, but hindsight is also 20/20. I'm pretty sure (haven't done the hard maths, and probably won't cause it's the weekend) that if you start from the premise that you'll trade successfully only 50% of the time, buy and hold is a much better approach in the long run than trying to play the market swings.

That's also what I thought for a long time... until I read both Goomboo's journal and this (from Technical Analysis of Stock Trends - 9th Edition):
Quote
As may be seen in the following table, replacing the table from Chapter 5,
the Dow Theory continued to provide its user an advantage over the
unaware Buy-and-Hold Investor. From its original investment of $100 in
1897 the Theory investment would have grown to $345,781.94 by December
31, 2005, with the long trade still open. The table below shows the details,
including the post-2000 bust drawdown. To my mind this table is a powerful
demonstration of the power of methodical technical investing.
By contrast, the investment of $100, if bought at the low, 29.64, and sold at
the historic high
, 11762.71, in January 2000 would have grown to $39,685.03.

There's a big danger in comparing a model to historical data and assuming it will predict future performance.

The stock market is also a very different thing than it was in the 19th and most of the 20th century. Several orders of magnitude different.


there is also one enourmous "if"

If I'd been friends with Satoshi and mined loads of coins on my sisters laptop, then sold at the £266 high... that holding strategy would have worked pretty well
legendary
Activity: 2268
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legendary
Activity: 2534
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Yeah, but hindsight is also 20/20. I'm pretty sure (haven't done the hard maths, and probably won't cause it's the weekend) that if you start from the premise that you'll trade successfully only 50% of the time, buy and hold is a much better approach in the long run than trying to play the market swings.

That's also what I thought for a long time... until I read both Goomboo's journal and this (from Technical Analysis of Stock Trends - 9th Edition):
Quote
As may be seen in the following table, replacing the table from Chapter 5,
the Dow Theory continued to provide its user an advantage over the
unaware Buy-and-Hold Investor. From its original investment of $100 in
1897 the Theory investment would have grown to $345,781.94 by December
31, 2005, with the long trade still open. The table below shows the details,
including the post-2000 bust drawdown. To my mind this table is a powerful
demonstration of the power of methodical technical investing.
By contrast, the investment of $100, if bought at the low, 29.64, and sold at
the historic high
, 11762.71, in January 2000 would have grown to $39,685.03.

There's a big danger in comparing a model to historical data and assuming it will predict future performance.

The stock market is also a very different thing than it was in the 19th and most of the 20th century. Several orders of magnitude different.
legendary
Activity: 1106
Merit: 1026
It don't get it also when people are emotionally influenced by the price of a whole 10^8 satoshi bulk. So weak mind indeed Smiley

You can overcome this instinct by will power, but that's how our mind works. Maybe it's easier to associate Bitcoin with gold or something more valuable, but even that conflicts with Bitcoin as handy object to buy things. Especially if you remember the time, when 1 BTC was worth almost nothing. Smiley
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