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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 33493. (Read 26496063 times)

member
Activity: 84
Merit: 10
Hmm...nothing's changed with Gox/Dwolla?
So is there anyway to tell if this rally is because of the public's bullish sentiment, or because US gox users are converting their fiat into btc and hence causing a rise in price?


IMO whoever was converting all their fiat to BTC and moving it off Gox would have done it during/after the immediate sell off, with the late-to-the-party group doing it before/immediately after that 4 hour DDOS.

Panic/danger sentiment is down and the price is up, so it's much less likely for Gox exodus to be the cause.

Market showed an immense amount of support for 110-115 after the panic news, the red candles, and the DDOS. I think that's why sentiment is more bullish.
sr. member
Activity: 364
Merit: 250
"to be or not to be, that is the bitcoin"
Hmm...nothing's changed with Gox/Dwolla?
So is there anyway to tell if this rally is because of the public's bullish sentiment, or because US gox users are converting their fiat into btc and hence causing a rise in price?



1+1 = 2?  


I mean, why not buy coins instead of fiat if there is a lot to be bullish about anyways... My only fear is that if gox news happens to hit bitcoin hard, plus some other negative news (who knows), how much of a dump will occur on exchanges like bitstamp with minimal bid walls.


For now I'm all in though Smiley
hero member
Activity: 784
Merit: 506
Hmm...nothing's changed with Gox/Dwolla?
So is there anyway to tell if this rally is because of the public's bullish sentiment, or because US gox users are converting their fiat into btc and hence causing a rise in price?

I believe not.  People getting excited too because ask side orders are thin on the ground.  It could as many appear to believe, be because we're about to hit a nice well-due rise in price.  But how would the ask order side look if people were simply moving their bitcoin off gox?  Mmm!
member
Activity: 65
Merit: 10
Hmm...nothing's changed with Gox/Dwolla?
So is there anyway to tell if this rally is because of the public's bullish sentiment, or because US gox users are converting their fiat into btc and hence causing a rise in price?
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
Ah the delusions.   Grin  Much easier time dropping to 116 than there is of breaking through 120.  Or maybe....we're still in "rally warm-up".  LOL!

newbie
Activity: 42
Merit: 0
Code:
121.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
 120.50 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
 120.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
 119.50
 119.00

 118.50
 118.00 ▒▒▒
 117.50 ▒▒▒▒
 117.00 ▒▒▒▒
 116.50 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
 116.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒

Code:
122.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
121.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
120.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
119.00

118.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒
117.00 ▒▒▒▒
116.00 ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒▒

I like these charts -- enough data, no migraines & i could picture them on:  http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/2/23/Vt100-adventure.jpg/220px-Vt100-adventure.jpg
full member
Activity: 142
Merit: 100


My screen does look like this:



 Grin

Do you want the patch for this?
hero member
Activity: 784
Merit: 1000
bitcoin hundred-aire
Code:
120.10000     33.58015687
120.00000   4523.48032917
119.90000    960.47309392
...snip...


If that pair get dumped we will have a repeat of the dump earlier this week when price fell to $109 from $119.  Be very careful buying now...

That dump came because of bad news...
legendary
Activity: 1218
Merit: 1001
Code:
120.10000     33.58015687
120.00000   4523.48032917
119.90000    960.47309392
...snip...


If that pair get dumped we will have a repeat of the dump earlier this week when price fell to $109 from $119.  Be very careful buying now...
hero member
Activity: 784
Merit: 506
 However in this instance I think we could see negative repercussions of the Dwolla/mtgox episode rumble on for some time yet.

Its clear that the dwolla mtgox episode will affect the market for some time, but I'm curious what makes you think it will be negative? In the short term, I believe it will push the price up and in the long term provide a new price discovery mechanism (at the moment unknown what exactly that will be) along with much needed diversity on the exchanges.


mtgoxUSD        0.11919918   5,092,881
bitstampUSD     0.11399        774,256
btceUSD         0.109          542,282
cbxUSD          0.10955        124,859

 
These are the bid prices with volumes.

As dominant as the mtgox market is whilst people used to being able to use Dwolla to get USD in and out can only move money from mtgox in Bitcoin I'm not looking at the current mtgox price as reflective of current supply & demand.  I know this thread is about the mtgox walls but the excitement in the last page or so about price 'breakouts' etc. whilst the other exchanges are nowhere near seems short sighted.  I'm simply not trusting the price to give me an impression of sentiment.

One of the service providers was talking about the long process of getting both their bitcoin and dollars out of mtgox and with things as they are it is obvious that arbitrage is simply not happening.  Of course money off of gox trading by other exchanges or otc etc. is good but for now I don't believe we have an operational 'price discovery mechanism' so I don't know what the price 'should be'.  My algorithm, that used by bitpay and mine all come to quite different figures at the moment.

All I'm suggesting is that we don't get carried away by the fact gox is going up right now.  The movement might not be telling you what you think it is!
legendary
Activity: 2352
Merit: 1819
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 1246
Merit: 1000

meanwhile on bitstamp I doubt we're going about 115 for a long time

Yeah we need more buyers on bitstamp.. where are the arbitrage bots when you need them? Tongue

Hmm just as I say this people wake up and start buying like crazy on bitstamp, up to $114.64 now.
legendary
Activity: 1025
Merit: 1000
newbie
Activity: 56
Merit: 0
Bulls and Bears getting ready on the Battlefield. YES !!!
hero member
Activity: 938
Merit: 500
https://youengine.io/
Code:
120.10000     33.58015687
120.00000   4523.48032917
119.90000    960.47309392
119.70000      1.34000000
119.50000      1.42000000
119.30000      2.84000000
119.20000      2.84000000
118.42152      0.01020000

118.42148      0.01020000
118.40000      7.17892444
118.30000     12.06478520
118.20000     60.85295335
118.10000    148.13102728
118.00000    259.70505141
117.90000      3.12040290
117.80000     13.42360000
117.70000    415.29827963

member
Activity: 84
Merit: 10
supernode
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
legendary
Activity: 2097
Merit: 1070
looks like people are panic buying back in now the price is on the way up... Smiley

I don't see any panic. People have been buying in steadily since the price was about $115.

I suspect the panic buying will really start after we break $120/$121+

I just wonder if it will have enough momentum to push through $125. If it does then we're going to be in for a wild ride, again.
full member
Activity: 153
Merit: 100
looks like people are panic buying back in now the price is on the way up... Smiley
legendary
Activity: 1246
Merit: 1000

meanwhile on bitstamp I doubt we're going about 115 for a long time

Yeah we need more buyers on bitstamp.. where are the arbitrage bots when you need them? Tongue
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