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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 3399. (Read 26713928 times)

legendary
Activity: 1869
Merit: 5781
Neighborhood Shenanigans Dispenser
I'm bored. Going to bed early.
Let's see what happens...


Filled @ $20,500 for another 0.012 sats worth.

Found the bottom?
legendary
Activity: 1526
Merit: 2617
Far, Far, Far Right Thug
For those who want to smell other people's farts a bit better on a plane this is a great invention.


Double-decker plane seat design ‘comfortable’ but ‘claustrophobic’
https://uk.yahoo.com/style/double-decker-plane-seat-design-120041925.html








legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 3766
Merit: 5146
Note the unconventional cAPITALIZATION!
JUST IN – Russian Central Bank ready to allow use of bitcoin and crypto for international payments 🇷🇺.. Shocked


Source: https://twitter.com/BitcoinMagazine/status/1537753567917907969

LOL here we go...

Wednesday  BITCOIN IS ILLEGAL IN RUSSIA
Friday  BITCOIN TO BE USED FOR INTERNATIONAL TRADE BY RUSSIA
Tuesday  BITCOIN BANNED BY WESTERN NATIONS
Thursday BITCOIN BEING ACCUMULATED IN DARK POOLS BY WESTERN NATIONS
member
Activity: 131
Merit: 11
Bounty campaign manager....
JUST IN – Russian Central Bank ready to allow use of bitcoin and crypto for international payments 🇷🇺.. Shocked


Source: https://twitter.com/BitcoinMagazine/status/1537753567917907969
legendary
Activity: 3766
Merit: 5146
Note the unconventional cAPITALIZATION!
This is actually scary, also it's the first time $BTC will ever go through a recession.
According to some geeks, BTC will act as a hedge but let's see.


https://twitter.com/DrStoxx/status/1537499570212683776

Bitcoin SHOULD act as a hedge because of what it is exactly.

But that requires people to think of it more accurately.  People do not see it as a mathematically perfect asset with an exact known issuance and a hard cap.  It is hard for people to see that because it has never actually existed before.

Also, the casino nature of the "crypto" market, leads to great volitility and the association of Bitcoin as a "tech product" has it firmly in step with the Nasdaq chart at times.

One other thing.  For better or worse Satoshi invented an asset that has no controllers or mechanisms to damp the value spikes and dips.  When a poorly designed DeFi scam uses bitcoin as it's reserve asset, and eventually goes broke, then they have to sell those bitcoin into the market.  And there is no governance that can add or remove BTC from the system so the shocks are felt as they truly are, rather than having the illusion of stability.

Eventually we will see people start to use Bitcoin as a safe haven... a base asset.  Will that be during THIS crash?  Or the next one in 8-20 years (or whatever... who knows?)?  That, I think, is the tricky bit...
copper member
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1651
Bitcoin Bottom was at $15.4k
legendary
Activity: 4354
Merit: 3614
what is this "brake pedal" you speak of?

filled with enslaved humans working in Bitcoin mines, digging for blockhashes with their bare hands



WAIT! Is this a thing? Cuz if I can dig and get BTC's... I'm tempted. What's the cost per coin? All sweat equity? Where do I sign?

well i think they more or less use sticks and scratch hash calculations into the dirt but not sure. bitcoin steampunk timeline crossed maybe.
legendary
Activity: 3766
Merit: 5146
Note the unconventional cAPITALIZATION!
my lowest buy this dip was at ~24.5k usd. if this is the bottom thats close enough for me. it was a buy i had set up months ago and i actually forgot about it till it triggered.

ive been on cruise control for a long time and dont try to time anything. seems to work well enough.

I am calling it bottom this week 101%. Lowest we can go in 3 days, $18k. That's it imho.
There can be a long ass wick however closing will be pretty much be up 2017 ATH levels.
Long term, very safe bet.

Just to be the contrarian... this is exactly what has happened multiple times with the 200WMA and just about ALL Bitcoinner TA folks are pointing to this as the most concrete indicator we ever use.  Members of this thread (including you) have suggested exactly this would happen since BEFORE the last ATH was reached.

We could expect in a worst case scenario we wick under the line and close the week close to it and start back up from there...

But max pain would come with a different outcome.

I think it is also interesting to think that the whole world is looking at this right now.  I would GUESS that institutional and pro investors are very close to backing up the truck here or already are.  We should see a HUGE bullish defense of ~20k.  But the people who hate bitcoin may also want to try to move the market into territory that would appear very negative.  If you want to kick it while it's down THIS would be the time to send out the FUD (ILLEGAL IN RUSSIA!!!) or try to manipulate again with leveraged positions on retail exchanges.

Bitcoin is no longer magical internet money for geeks.  It is a reliable worldwide reserve asset (in adolescence).

We have been to the 200WMA before... but never exactly like this.  Is it different this time?  I honestly hope not.  I would love to see it do what so many expect.

But so many expect it...


In other words... you seem to be saying:

it could go up, but then it might go sideways or down..

Anything can happen, and especially the thing that you do not expect to happen, but you are not going to know in advance whether the thing that you do not expect to happen happens until after it already happened.

 Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

If that is how you read it.  But I liked my version better. Wink  Also, I am not really making short term price predictions.  What I am saying is we have not seen the mother of all bull markets yet.  Although we will never see % gains like were realized between 2010-2014 again we WILL see, in the overall scale of things, a massive rise in the price... some day.

Again, I think we will see the bitcoin adoption curve reflected in the price of the asset.  And that that curve will, like most others, have a middle section where adoption is happening the fastest.  I think we might even see an exaggerated adoption curve because of the nature of this technology.

So far one of the most accurate models that can be backfitted to the bitcoin price is a parabolic curved range with a decreasing slope on both the lower and upper bounds.  This makes sense for many reasons.  One of the most obvious is as Bitcoin goes up in value it takes progressively more to raise the price which is slowing both the volatility and price rise of the asset.


(credit @davethewave on twitter)

This model eventually breaks, in my opinion, as the adoption of bitcoin as a reserve asset causes the downward slope to be temporarily overcome.  This has no relevance to the short term price, or if we are near the bottom of a bear market, or what price Bitcoin will be next month.



I think we are somewhere near the blue circle as far as adoption goes...
legendary
Activity: 1526
Merit: 2617
Far, Far, Far Right Thug
Next phase

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/world/2022/06/15/china-giant-sky-eye-telescope-aliens/7632759001/


Chinese researchers found a signal that could be from alien civilizations, the country's science ministry reported.

Researchers with Beijing Normal University this year found “several cases of possible technological traces and extraterrestrial civilizations from outside the earth,” according to a report published Tuesday in Science and Technology Daily, the official newspaper of the Ministry of Science and Technology. The original report, however, appears to have since been deleted from the Science and Technology Daily website, according to Bloomberg.

There was probably a second signal with a message that said "Hey you mofo, don't tell anybody about us or you're toast! We know where you live and what you had for breakfast. Oh and buy Bitcoin. See you later."
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 2688
Merit: 2470
$120000 in 2024 Confirmed
Next phase

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/world/2022/06/15/china-giant-sky-eye-telescope-aliens/7632759001/


Chinese researchers found a signal that could be from alien civilizations, the country's science ministry reported.

Researchers with Beijing Normal University this year found “several cases of possible technological traces and extraterrestrial civilizations from outside the earth,” according to a report published Tuesday in Science and Technology Daily, the official newspaper of the Ministry of Science and Technology. The original report, however, appears to have since been deleted from the Science and Technology Daily website, according to Bloomberg.
copper member
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1651
Bitcoin Bottom was at $15.4k
i don't think comparison is valid from any angle at that time what was the volume I don't it will be even close to the 10% of today's. Today's market is mature by every mean so this is not valid at all.
That's what people told me when I posted 2018 vs 2022 BTC Chart and said we are in similar pattern.
And guess what? It got executed exactly that way.

Thread I am referring to: https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/bitcoin-2018-vs-2022-5397762

TOTAL Crypto Market Cap was at $740 billion in 2018 and $3 Trillion in 2022.
Wasn't it mature too? We are at $880 billion at the moment.

Anything can happen mate.
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 966
Merit: 1042
#SWGT CERTIK Audited
This is actually scary, also it's the first time $BTC will ever go through a recession.
According to some geeks, BTC will act as a hedge but let's see.

image loading...
https://twitter.com/DrStoxx/status/1537499570212683776

That was 2008 and its 2022 i don't think comparison is valid from any angle at that time what was the volume I don't it will be even close to the 10% of today's. Today's market is mature by every mean so this is not valid at all.

Still its crypto I'm not sure about anything like after the Break of 24k I'm expecting anything from this market
copper member
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1651
Bitcoin Bottom was at $15.4k
This is actually scary, also it's the first time $BTC will ever go through a recession.
According to some geeks, BTC will act as a hedge but let's see.


https://twitter.com/DrStoxx/status/1537499570212683776
legendary
Activity: 966
Merit: 1042
#SWGT CERTIK Audited
image loading...


Entryway Reality every single time maximum mistake which is done
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 3402
Merit: 9199
icarus-cards.eu


I think she reads the Wall Observer.   Roll Eyes   Roll Eyes

i think so too - and it would be really cool if Lina Seiche would mention our forum in one of her next cartoons Wink Cool

btw another interesting statistic - 21 and 22 can be compared with the years 14/15, when the price also fell by half on that day, followed by very good profitable years Wink


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