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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 358. (Read 26465014 times)

hero member
Activity: 938
Merit: 1891
bitcoin retard
Breakout...for real this time?

Straight back down.

Bears fighting for their lives to keep us under $70,000 for some unknown reason.

quite some shorts to protect that get liquidated at 71-72k...
legendary
Activity: 2618
Merit: 2369
$120000 in 2024 Confirmed
legendary
Activity: 2104
Merit: 1521
We choose to go to the moon
Promise me you will stay above $70k for than 5 minutes this time?

As soon as we'll get to $80k, yeah... we might stay above $70k for a while then...
copper member
Activity: 1526
Merit: 2890
Promise me you will stay above $70k for than 5 minutes this time?
legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 1782
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
legendary
Activity: 2604
Merit: 12743
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
Moon have been broken.
The old days have been brutal.
Keep printing red dots.
member
Activity: 163
Merit: 25
member
Activity: 103
Merit: 148
legendary
Activity: 2104
Merit: 1521
We choose to go to the moon
Over 66000 for 15 days straight...

full member
Activity: 518
Merit: 204
Bitcoin will be rich, definitely rich..
we all will get rich with this, keep calm..
Keep your heart and mind calm.
And accept the reward of peace..
legendary
Activity: 3234
Merit: 5637
Blackjack.fun-Free Raffle-Join&Win $50🎲
- Thailand approves first spot Bitcoin ETF.
Great news - first they banned Bitcoin as a means of payment, but they don't mind trading through ETFs - is that called adaptation or?
Hypocrisy?
And what else could it be - countries like Turkey and Vietnam have the same laws - I wonder if some other countries will follow their example in the future?

When supply shock? Bears are about to get fucked, hard.

When I last looked at the liquidity data on CEXs, it said that they had about 1.8 million BTC - and regardless of the accuracy of the data, I think that the supply shock that has been talked about for years is not yet in sight.

According to Coinglass it's ~2.5m currently.
But IMHO only a small percentage of that balance is actually in the orderbooks and their owners willing to let these coins change hands. Also the amount decreases quickly and seems to be at an all time low right now:



To demonstrate to a coiner friend where we currently are in Bitcoin supply/inflation life, I created a tiny script to output supply, supply % and halving year:

Quote
Halving 1 in 2012 (at block # 210000) supply: 10500000.0000 (50.000%)
Halving 2 in 2016 (at block # 420000) supply: 15750000.0000 (75.000%)
Halving 3 in 2020 (at block # 630000) supply: 18375000.0000 (87.500%)
Halving 4 in 2024 (at block # 840000) supply: 19687500.0000 (93.750%)
Halving 5 in 2028 (at block # 1050000) supply: 20343750.0000 (96.875%)
Halving 6 in 2032 (at block # 1260000) supply: 20671875.0000 (98.438%)
Halving 7 in 2036 (at block # 1470000) supply: 20835937.5000 (99.219%)
Halving 8 in 2040 (at block # 1680000) supply: 20917968.7500 (99.609%)
Halving 9 in 2044 (at block # 1890000) supply: 20958984.3750 (99.805%)
Halving 10 in 2048 (at block # 2100000) supply: 20979492.1875 (99.902%)
Halving 11 in 2052 (at block # 2310000) supply: 20989746.0927 (99.951%)
Halving 12 in 2056 (at block # 2520000) supply: 20994873.0453 (99.976%)
Halving 13 in 2060 (at block # 2730000) supply: 20997436.5216 (99.988%)
Halving 14 in 2064 (at block # 2940000) supply: 20998718.2587 (99.994%)
Halving 15 in 2068 (at block # 3150000) supply: 20999359.1262 (99.997%)
Halving 16 in 2072 (at block # 3360000) supply: 20999679.5589 (99.998%)
Halving 17 in 2076 (at block # 3570000) supply: 20999839.7742 (99.999%)
Halving 18 in 2080 (at block # 3780000) supply: 20999919.8808 (100.000%)
Halving 19 in 2084 (at block # 3990000) supply: 20999959.9341 (100.000%)
Halving 20 in 2088 (at block # 4200000) supply: 20999979.9597 (100.000%)

Right now we're at 93.84% of supply mined and the demand from institutional money is at record heights, I am none the wiser than you but I have a feeling the much bespoken supply shock is very close (rather weeks or months but not years I'd say).

So even more than I thought - but still it is a large amount, and people who keep their coins on CEX obviously have a good reason for it - let's assume that they want to sell them at a certain moment, maybe when the price reaches $100k? I have nothing against you being right - I would like to experience someone wanting to buy a large amount of BTC, but not being able to do so because there are no coins on the market.
legendary
Activity: 1526
Merit: 2617
Breakout...for real this time?

Straight back down.

Bears fighting for their lives to keep us under $70,000 for some unknown reason.

May I suggest appropriate reading material.

legendary
Activity: 2492
Merit: 4576
Addicted to HoDLing!
Breakout...for real this time?

Straight back down.

Bears fighting for their lives to keep us under $70,000 for some unknown reason.

It's OK. This is just foreplay. The real sex hasn't started yet.
legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 1782
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
legendary
Activity: 3556
Merit: 9709
#1 VIP Crypto Casino
Breakout...for real this time?

Straight back down.

Bears fighting for their lives to keep us under $70,000 for some unknown reason.
legendary
Activity: 2604
Merit: 12743
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
70 on the menu?
Swinging balls on the B day.
Colliding with corn.


Golf is more fun as I thought.
legendary
Activity: 3512
Merit: 4557
Breakout...for real this time?
legendary
Activity: 1612
Merit: 1608
精神分析的爸
- Thailand approves first spot Bitcoin ETF.

Great news - first they banned Bitcoin as a means of payment, but they don't mind trading through ETFs - is that called adaptation or?

Hypocrisy?

When supply shock? Bears are about to get fucked, hard.

When I last looked at the liquidity data on CEXs, it said that they had about 1.8 million BTC - and regardless of the accuracy of the data, I think that the supply shock that has been talked about for years is not yet in sight.

According to Coinglass it's ~2.5m currently.
But IMHO only a small percentage of that balance is actually in the orderbooks and their owners willing to let these coins change hands. Also the amount decreases quickly and seems to be at an all time low right now:



To demonstrate to a coiner friend where we currently are in Bitcoin supply/inflation life, I created a tiny script to output supply, supply % and halving year:

Quote
Halving 1 in 2012 (at block # 210000) supply: 10500000.0000 (50.000%)
Halving 2 in 2016 (at block # 420000) supply: 15750000.0000 (75.000%)
Halving 3 in 2020 (at block # 630000) supply: 18375000.0000 (87.500%)
Halving 4 in 2024 (at block # 840000) supply: 19687500.0000 (93.750%)
Halving 5 in 2028 (at block # 1050000) supply: 20343750.0000 (96.875%)
Halving 6 in 2032 (at block # 1260000) supply: 20671875.0000 (98.438%)
Halving 7 in 2036 (at block # 1470000) supply: 20835937.5000 (99.219%)
Halving 8 in 2040 (at block # 1680000) supply: 20917968.7500 (99.609%)
Halving 9 in 2044 (at block # 1890000) supply: 20958984.3750 (99.805%)
Halving 10 in 2048 (at block # 2100000) supply: 20979492.1875 (99.902%)
Halving 11 in 2052 (at block # 2310000) supply: 20989746.0927 (99.951%)
Halving 12 in 2056 (at block # 2520000) supply: 20994873.0453 (99.976%)
Halving 13 in 2060 (at block # 2730000) supply: 20997436.5216 (99.988%)
Halving 14 in 2064 (at block # 2940000) supply: 20998718.2587 (99.994%)
Halving 15 in 2068 (at block # 3150000) supply: 20999359.1262 (99.997%)
Halving 16 in 2072 (at block # 3360000) supply: 20999679.5589 (99.998%)
Halving 17 in 2076 (at block # 3570000) supply: 20999839.7742 (99.999%)
Halving 18 in 2080 (at block # 3780000) supply: 20999919.8808 (100.000%)
Halving 19 in 2084 (at block # 3990000) supply: 20999959.9341 (100.000%)
Halving 20 in 2088 (at block # 4200000) supply: 20999979.9597 (100.000%)

Right now we're at 93.84% of supply mined and the demand from institutional money is at record heights, I am none the wiser than you but I have a feeling the much bespoken supply shock is very close (rather weeks or months but not years I'd say).

legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 1782
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
hero member
Activity: 994
Merit: 561
Bitcoin still fighting for a breakout which will happend...today ore later this week i hope.

Bitcoin cycle these days be like :

1. Start from 60k$
2. Move to 63-64k and stay there for a while.
3. Move to 68k and make people excited.
4. Move to 70k and make people excited for new ATH.
5. Fall back to step 1 or 2.

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