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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 41. (Read 26735992 times)

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Please dead God Satoshi, let it be……



@CryptoJelleNL
NBitcoin has spent the better part of 8 years inside this rising channel.

Whenever price crosses the midlevel, a test of the channel highs follows.

Will this time be different?

https://x.com/cryptojellenl/status/1887793423622766833

Bitcoin dip might be another opportunity to stack more depending on the mental view of the person.
Definitely the price will surely skyrocket.

120,000 before April
legendary
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1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ

Explanation
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legendary
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Please dear God Satoshi, let it be……



@CryptoJelleNL
NBitcoin has spent the better part of 8 years inside this rising channel.

Whenever price crosses the midlevel, a test of the channel highs follows.

Will this time be different?

https://x.com/cryptojellenl/status/1887793423622766833
member
Activity: 161
Merit: 19
The basic structure of the vehicle (market) is Bitcoin.
Tell me the direction of the car.

Looks like it's facing Up more than it's facing back
hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 433
Batman loves Bitcoins

Would you expect this from a JFKJ-type-of-guy?
Could be a miracle, who knows...  Roll Eyes
I doubt
I also doubt he knows why Bitcoin can fix the world or why Bitcoin is well, Bitcoin.

The basic structure of the vehicle (market) is Bitcoin.
Tell me the direction of the car. Grin Grin
Up
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Activity: 371
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OrangeFren.com
The basic structure of the vehicle (market) is Bitcoin.
Tell me the direction of the car. Grin Grin
member
Activity: 161
Merit: 19



🇺🇸 RFK Jr.: “If the world were on a Bitcoin standard and our money held its value, we would all have the ability to live more abundant lives. Bitcoiners have it right. Fix the money, fix the world.”
from here


I don't believe a word from the mouth of this politicians,I think they're kind of using Bitcoin to build their career and gather followers. I know a true Bitcoiner when I see one.
legendary
Activity: 1708
Merit: 3439
Man who stares at charts (and stars, too...)

🇺🇸 RFK Jr.: “If the world were on a Bitcoin standard and our money held its value, we would all have the ability to live more abundant lives. Bitcoiners have it right. Fix the money, fix the world.”
from here



Why do i always tend to have the feeling, that politicians only say things like these on purpose?
While the "Bitcoiners have it right" part is certainly true, what makes a fiat-biatch choose such wording?

Would you expect this from a JFKJ-type-of-guy?
Could be a miracle, who knows...  Roll Eyes
legendary
Activity: 2450
Merit: 2089
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
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🇺🇸 RFK Jr.: “If the world were on a Bitcoin standard and our money held its value, we would all have the ability to live more abundant lives. Bitcoiners have it right. Fix the money, fix the world.”
from here


legendary
Activity: 1708
Merit: 3439
Man who stares at charts (and stars, too...)
[...]

You are saying that the price would have to be $200k or greater on January 1, 2027?

[...]

A bit irrelevant comment, but I see three approaches to this time scale:

HoDLers: maintaining their stash, ladder up/down, 200-WMA going up forever. <-- Long-term WIN. <-- I am here.

Risk-takers: selling large chunk @ cycle top (Q4 2025) & re-buying @ cycle bottom (Q4 2026). <-- Risky BIG-WIN. <-- LFC is here.

Mindrusters: selling all @ local bottom ("Zed's dead baby, Zed's dead."). <-- Certain LOSS. <-- Hopefully, no WOer is here.

I've been in the same category as you but I missed two cycle tops due to my permabullishness and optimism and actual Bitcoin price never reached my price target.  Grin So I'm kinda HOLDer/LFC wannabe guy. Therefore this year I will be selling a fraction of my stash and my sales won't be bitcoin price based they're going to be time based. I will start selling in chunks starting something like late summer. Otherwise, I feel like I'm going to miss the top once again.  Grin

P.S.BTW I'm more than sure that LFC never sold his entire stash. I guess we could be talking about 20-30% of his coins.

There was so much good advice in this thread, since two cycle tops ago.
Verdict: Aiming at cycle tops (almost) never works out, but you can't do overly wrong on the way to the top.
Classic StochRSI, RSI, trading volumes, funding rates etc. shoudl give you a rough guide to identify incoming local tops.
Just a healthy mix of long- and shortterm indices, just as clear (or: less foggy) as when identifying cycle bottoms.
legendary
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Privacy Servers. Since 2009.
[...]

You are saying that the price would have to be $200k or greater on January 1, 2027?

[...]

A bit irrelevant comment, but I see three approaches to this time scale:

HoDLers: maintaining their stash, ladder up/down, 200-WMA going up forever. <-- Long-term WIN. <-- I am here.

Risk-takers: selling large chunk @ cycle top (Q4 2025) & re-buying @ cycle bottom (Q4 2026). <-- Risky BIG-WIN. <-- LFC is here.

Mindrusters: selling all @ local bottom ("Zed's dead baby, Zed's dead."). <-- Certain LOSS. <-- Hopefully, no WOer is here.

I've been in the same category as you but I missed two cycle tops due to my permabullishness and optimism and actual Bitcoin price never reached my price target.  Grin So I'm kinda HOLDer/LFC wannabe guy. Therefore this year I will be selling a fraction of my stash and my sales won't be bitcoin price based they're going to be time based. I will start selling in chunks starting something like late summer. Otherwise, I feel like I'm going to miss the top once again.  Grin

P.S.BTW I'm more than sure that LFC never sold his entire stash. I guess we could be talking about 20-30% of his coins.
legendary
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Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
legendary
Activity: 1708
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Man who stares at charts (and stars, too...)
[edited out]
Rumors say this was already happening sometimes in the past between the two of us  Grin

I hope that I am not being too much of a meanie, since I am mostly attempting to go by the contents of your post, and nothing about you personally.

No worries. Stay who (how?) you are. I don't feel offended or put down, nor anything like that.

[edited out]
I can't speak for Biodom or Lucius, but myself: I am making my mind up to be able adjust to the situation, if needed. Bearish thoughts are shared, so we can just discuss them respectfully. I don't feel like anybody here is in mood for a(nother) Bitcoin-Funeral.
Ima just trying to observe what is going on and like to know some opinions of our little WO-bubble (no offense, a little bit of irony, though).

You can present bearish views. Nothing wrong with that. Some guys might not agree with you, but you make some decent points from time to time, and even Biodom and/or Lucius.. the other "speaking the truth" bear wannabes might have had possibly (perhaps?) made one or two good points once in a while, too (maybe once or twice each?)..  

Since you use the word "respectful," you seem to be suggesting that I might be going a wee bit overboard in my emphases of whatever points or counter-points I have been making in response to your posts?

Not at all. It was more directed to the "3rd person view"-participants of this thread.
Your points are valid. it's just that i can well understand that the price/news is (kind of) worrysome to others.
Based on my Bitcoin experiences from the past, i'd even say that she may most likely be surprising us soon (positively) - but who knows, honestly.

Quote
I don't see any reason to be nice to bear talking-points or to spend a lot of time trying to figure out a nice way to say something that I might disagree with.  Sure sometimes I might end up changing my mind, but I cannot see that I am overly going into personal attacks beyond just making some emphases from time to time.  If I say, "your ideas are dumb or ridiculous or overly pessimistic or you are talking your book" that is not a personal attack even though I might be pointing out some things that might not end up being true, but it would not imply that I am arguing in bad faith merely because I am using some strong language to express my from time to time disagreements.

Yeah, that's maybe one of the big differencies between both of us, i am most always trying to be nice. But this is 100% about my personal feelings. I know, usual (normie) habits are people being "nice" and acting overly careful not to offend anyone are just anxious to come off as a mean persons, trying to avoid conflicts because they want to be liked by everbody, to benefit somehow.
I'm not that type. Sure, it's always heartwarming when one is feeling liked, but i like myself enough to not be dependent on such feelings. I wasn't always like that, but i'm glad i was able to step out of this kind of dependencies. Also, like blaming others for my bad feelings. I am very, very happy (if not blessed) that i was able to let that go.
So even if you would rage at my words, i know there's a way for me to understand your point(s), as long as i don't block my lil selfie from trying to.

Enuff of the emo-talk now.
I consider myself still bullish. The recent selling/rebuying was a successful attempt to get a fractional portion of "moar" Bitcoin, which i rarely pull off, and this time it was so clear in the charts. I still could have put all of the money into corn again, but i needed some of it, also because that bad story about the delayed court trial and following payout. But who knows, if we really get down to $85k, which i don't think will happen, there's more on the corn side for me. Future fiat gains from that trade would be taxable, though, according to the current laws, which may change (just like it did three years ago).

TLDR: It's all good. I'm fine, and you're OK too.
legendary
Activity: 2450
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Explanation
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legendary
Activity: 2450
Merit: 2089
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
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Bitcoin Dominance 64
legendary
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Explanation
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legendary
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Cycle slowdown theorists, which proliferated on the *tube, have a bit of the problem:

If we 'slow down' to just 2x this cycle, but will be on a 70% downturn afterwards (from $137.8K to $41.3K) as projected by a relatively slow decline in this parameter (from 94 to 84% to 77% in the past and, I guess, 70% is expected next time), this would mean that we would NEVER get back to that $137.8K number as long as upward bounces are declining faster in proportion to slowly declining plunges.

Basically, to avoid the negative scenario shown above, something got to give: either upside slow downs would not happen or declines would have to be shallower.

TL;DR: slowdown theories are bs, most likely
legendary
Activity: 2590
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Addicted to HoDLing!
[...]

You are saying that the price would have to be $200k or greater on January 1, 2027?

[...]

A bit irrelevant comment, but I see three approaches to this time scale:

HoDLers: maintaining their stash, ladder up/down, 200-WMA going up forever. <-- Long-term WIN. <-- I am here.

Risk-takers: selling large chunk @ cycle top (Q4 2025) & re-buying @ cycle bottom (Q4 2026). <-- Risky BIG-WIN. <-- LFC is here.

Mindrusters: selling all @ local bottom ("Zed's dead baby, Zed's dead."). <-- Certain LOSS. <-- Hopefully, no WOer is here.
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