Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 4304. (Read 26713621 times)

Pro-tip: timeshare.

Sure, I'll take another look when it's released. In the meantime, I have a February deadline and the 200 for the pinephone with convergence kit is a fairly friendly amount.

Explanation

O.k.  I suppose that we might be in a similar spot in terms of our current choices regarding our balancing of our actual preparations... sometimes my orders will be in alignment with the maximum downside prices that I believe are possible, and other times, my orders might fall short, even though I might consider that if the price goes below my preparation area, then I may well need to garner some more money, but I am not going to be psychologically devastated because I had already mentally prepared for that the price might go to some lower point even though I had not dedicated finances to such extreme scenario(s).


Of course there is a little bit out of my ass in these numbers, and maybe I should attempt to be more granular.. but in some sense the other 39% (that I did not assign within that list) would be ascribed to scenarios in which there was never any spike down below $46k.. so I do realize that my retaining 39% in reserve for the possibility that their is NO down below $46k (even a spike) might be a bit too big of a probability assignment for that scenario, and maybe I was ball-parking the whole matter a bit too much.

A few days ago, when I attempted to assign my then probabilities to the BTC price range in which the top will be for this cycle and when the cycle will end, I made sure that the answers to those two questions each added up to 100%, and of course both UP and down were included (while focusing on UP), but the question was different because of talking about where the top might be versus the question that I was attempting to answer in my post to you in regards to where I was estimating the bottom might spike down to (and would ONLY necessarily need to be temporary.. but of course, if the BTC price really did end up going down into some of those lower ranges, then there might be a need to reconsider the assignment of probabilities of where the bottom might end up spiking down to).


Yes, correct... my ballpark estimate of the upside is more or less what I had considered the remainder of 39%..


That's part of the quirks about any realestate, no?  Sure, part of the value proposition will be location, location, location, and there will be both subjective and objective aspects regarding how much that real estate will be, and it also seems that if there are more people who agree about the location and the view and the convenience, then it is going to be easier to charge a higher price for it and potentially it would retain its value too.. but sometimes when the property is under various controls of others, then there could be future developments or happenings that increase or decrease the value too... so you may have thought that the luxury condo on the 65th floor in billionaires alley was going to be able to sell for x * 50% in 5 years, but maybe it ends up that the single family home with a view on long island ended up retaining its value much better.. and there were fewer parties involved (even change of ownership of the overall building and some of those contractual relations therein.. who wants to end up in court or in a class action law suit or find out that there was some other nefarious happenings that ends up bringing down the value of the condos within some of those properties.. maybe some suffer bad fate and others end up weathering the various future happenings better).   

Governments just looking out for the people again no doubt.

https://torrentfreak.com/russia-blocks-torproject-org-and-begins-blocking-of-wider-tor-network-211208/

I am ONLY going to send an smerit to Loyce the voice if he was being sarcastic or attempting some kind of lame-ass humor.

If you were being serious Loyce, then no smerit will be sent to uie-pooie.

Yeah.. merit leverage (of one merit that you really would like to receive) at its finest is going to force you into compliance. I am a poet and did not know it.

Explanation

Not yet. Maybe when 1 BTC = 1 million dollars :d

It seems many people are fairly bearish right now. I wonder if every time the price increases the reason it gets pushed down again is the bears start leverage shorting aggressively on the price spike. Perhaps we are going to get a short squeeze soon enough. Coins are still being taken off exchange and on-chain is generally bullish.

Explanation

Yeah but they also have made their platform upgradeable.

Did you read the article?  the guy really did a great job of putting all the updated info in there with standard benchmarking as well.

Yes. And the Librem is more pure in this respect but they are working with dated hardware and have just pushed release another year out. That's not a great place to be in the tech world. I'm ready to be giving Google the boot so if the experience isn't perfect, I'm happy to live with that.

Open Sauce hardware and OS is what really matters here.

https://imgur.com/gallery/nQhHF5e

You don't?


I worked for a place that would put me up in a hotel two nights a week (four day workweek) as I had a two hour commute. Being away from home two nights a week was rough and the commute still not fun but the three day weekend definitely made up for it. Great job too and very flexible on hours though it didn't pay enough. Looking back, I probably should have seen if I could have found a way to get my income up but I was ready to end that commute by the end of it anyway.

You might consider renting a room or something. A lot of people looking for a little extra income right now.

Looks like standard accessories to me, combined value ~3-5 dollars.

I've settled on a Pinephone as my next phone. My current G7 is due to stop working in February and I broke the screen by stepping on it last week in a rare act of carelessness. I was waiting for the L5 but I think they've got themselves in a position where they're a dead man walking. Good luck to them though, I'd like to see them succeed.

Everything I've seen says that the pinephone isn't quite there yet. Probably the pro will be better but it will be twice the price. I'm hoping the pinephone will be "close enough" as I don't mind having to work a little and there might be some opportunities to do something interesting while things are still fairly early.

Explanation

Yeah, but a full floor (or even 2 or 4 floors) condo isn't exactly a crash pad ! Unless you crash with an entourage (or a harem).

I'm actually considering buying a flat near my workplace, and a house further out, because the budget for a house that I like is too much, just to be closer.

Basically I can get an OK house, barely OK even (quite ugly), good size and with a decently sized plot of land, not too close to neighbours (but not far either), and about 45min-1 hour drive from my work (if traffic isn't too bad), for 10BTC (I wouldn't spend BTC). Or I can get a better house, with a bigger plot of land, for about 6 BTC, and it's 1h30 away.

1h30 drive each way, every day, is too much, however I just changed teams at work and will now have 2 days of telework. So I'm considering the better house. Plan A would be to just do the drive. If it's too much, I'm too tired or something, I can take a hotel room or crash at my parents' who live nearby. Or I can spend the 4 BTC I saved and buy a 1-2 bedrooms flat near my work and sleep there 2-3 nights a week. The flat would also be a decent investment. However it means spending more in fees, taxes etc.

https://amosbbatto.wordpress.com/2021/12/10/comparing-l5-and-pp/