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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 5327. (Read 26732207 times)

legendary
Activity: 1708
Merit: 3439
Man who stares at charts (and stars, too...)
#WhenSupplyShock


Good morning Smiley
You mean toilet paper or bitcoin supply?  Cheesy
I'd bet on the next halvening cycle for sure, if bitcoin is the matter. Maybe also this year, but then it will recover quickly. (SOMA)

EDIT: My sickness trip is not over yet, had 2 hours of sleep because of pretty intense sinusitis pain from forehead/eye to neck on one side. Luckily, my wife has bought a load of painkillers at the start of our first lockdown, but i had to dose em up slowly until they worked. Please, no more nights like this anymore!

EDIT2: Stil, i managed to see Sterling fall in favor of that penalty.  Angry Pretty gay, mr. fish, but England is like the opponent Italy was calling for. Looking forward to a breathtaking match on sunday  Cool It will be Chiesa vs. Sterling, in essence.

legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 13660
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
legendary
Activity: 2772
Merit: 2846

Remember when the news of the pandemic first broke and people all over the world rushed to the stores to buy all the food they could and they eventually had to limit the sale of sanitizer and paper products to one per customer?



I remember they limited toilet paper to one per customer, but didn't have any left in stock anyway, so you couldn't even buy one pack.



For a while this thread became bidettalk instead of bitcointalk.

O, and thank you so much for making me read page after page of in detail accounts of ass wiping. The words "too much information" comes to mind.

legendary
Activity: 2450
Merit: 2089
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 3808
Merit: 7912
After all, we're targeting 100% vaccination while only about 10% of the US population has tested positive for covid-19 and the mRNA technology is new and still experimental.

If you don't "trust" mRNA vaccines, then get one of the non-mRNA vaccines. In fact, most covid vaccines are non-mRNA.

 I can't.  My government thinks they're bad for me so now the only non-mRNA vaccine available here is AstraZeneca and only if you already received the first dose of it before it was put on hold.

Edit: just checked again and the only vaccines approved here are Pfizer and Moderna.  Jaansen was initially approved but even though we have 310k doses, they are not being released due to a quality control issue.
legendary
Activity: 3878
Merit: 1193
After all, we're targeting 100% vaccination while only about 10% of the US population has tested positive for covid-19 and the mRNA technology is new and still experimental.

If you don't "trust" mRNA vaccines, then get one of the non-mRNA vaccines. In fact, most covid vaccines are non-mRNA.
legendary
Activity: 2450
Merit: 2089
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 3808
Merit: 7912
By the same token, just because a person has covid when they die, doesn't mean they died of covid.  It's portrayed in quite the opposite manner though; it IS a covid related death even though they may have died due to taking a shower.

That's a pervasive conspiracy theory but not really true in most cases. IIRC some states (Oregon?) at one point didn't separate deaths "from COVID-19" and "with COVID-19" but the discrepancy is minimal even if you extrapolated it to the whole country. Your own assertion that 10% of people tested positive combined with normal annual death rate (below 1%) shows that this would barely make a dent in the 600k number.

Okay, I realize people are dying with covid but excess deaths on a 5 year average which doesn't take into account shifting age demographics or increasing population doesn't show us anything that would help to answer the question I posed.  We know that around 600,000 people in the US have died while either confirmed positive with covid or considered a presumptive covid case so far - I am not questioning that.  I'm not denying that covid is real or bad.  My question was, how many lost years of life does that represent as compared to lost years of life due to the negative vaccine side effects on the entire population of earth + booster shots for the rest of our lives.  After all, we're targeting 100% vaccination while only about 10% of the US population has tested positive for covid-19 and the mRNA technology is new and still experimental.

Death rates are quite stable year to year except for events like swine flue and now COVID-19. CDC data on this is quite extensive so if you can find something there to support your hypothesis please share. I don't really see anything like that. Even if you take VAERS numbers as vaccine-caused deaths (gross exaggeration) it's still quite obvious that the vaccine dramatically (~ ten-fold) reduces the risk of death or complications from COVID-19 and that is true among all age groups. Why would anyone not take a lower chance of death over a higher chance is quite puzzling but that's the funky times we live in.

 The graph you showed us doesnt address the death rate.  It addresses 'excess' deaths by using the previous 5 year average and subtracting it from the current number of deaths.  On top of that, it divides the 'excess' deaths by the previous 5 years averaged deaths which amplifies the value even further and displays it as a percentage.
 When you consider an increasing population, if the death rate stays constant, you will have more deaths year over year anyway.  You amplify that difference by subtracting the previous 5 year average which will be lower because the population was lower and call it 'excess deaths'.  Now you take that number and divide it by the previous 5 year average deaths which again is lower because population was lower and you get an exaggerated value which is barely passible as a valid result.  It also captures the heatwave deaths from 2020 which were an anomaly compared to the average of the previous 5 years (though there was a heatwave in 2016).  These are the statistics that lie; the ones 4 out of 5 of our parents warned us about 90% of the time.  It's a crude measurement which is an indication that there might be something happening which warrants an investigation.  
 How do we explain the elderly group dipping into negative territory in early 2021?  I've already said that there are more elderly as a percentage of population and the population in 2020 was higher than the previous years as well.  Disregarding covid, we should see excess deaths in that period as well but we dont.  Does this mean the vaccines prolonged life beyond even pre-covid life expectations?  Have we found the Fountain of Youth in the form of an mRNA vaccine?  Maybe it means that spike in November we attribute to covid took out those who would have died 3 to 6 months later of something other than covid anyway but that's speculation and probably not something we would base our covid response on.

 It probably goes without saying but I think we've overreacted to the covid pandemic.  I'm sick of the travel bans and lockdowns, I'm appalled at the economic devastation we've caused and I resent being essentially jailed for the last 18 months only being allowed day parole to attend to my essential businesses' needs while carrying a special letter in case I get stopped outside of my curfew or standing outside in endless lines 6 feet apart yet still wearing a mask waiting to shop for basic needs.  Remember when the news of the pandemic first broke and people all over the world rushed to the stores to buy all the food they could and they eventually had to limit the sale of sanitizer and paper products to one per customer?  I wish we would periodically adjust our covid response as well.  I think we've all seen one too many zombie apocalypse movies... our political leaders included.

hero member
Activity: 605
Merit: 634
Bah. Get a haircut, and get a real job, eXPHorizon. From your earlier posts, it seems that you may live in Mom's basement? You may need to change your tone in this thread, if you expect to be heard.... Here's some of your Reddit whining.

First of all i Salute you all Jedis, my Brothers and Sisters . My name is eXPHorizon and Today i come to you with great humility. As we all know the times are rough for everyone in this COVID-19 Times and in this time of this small Correction in the Price but Elon got that side Covered it seems so thats one great UP. However today i come here to ask this great community for help, me and my mother are in need of 200000 Doge coins. I know this is much to ask but honestly i have no strenght anymore and this will boost us very much ! And i give you my word that i will return that favor through the life. The matter is about Medical stuff and i would like to keep it personal as it is destroying me and my mom. There is the other stuff like debts etc.. We are in risk of losing all we worked for. This many Doge Coin will change our life ! It will give us the New Start we so desperately need .. She has been always so good and caring but i can not return the favor now as it matters as we both are kind of Damaged right now. But i give my hopes into this Life Changing community , i really do.

I promise to post before and after pics if this gets through and um i am so sorry for my terrible grammar and my terrible writing.. I am not good at this Smiley

THANK YOU FOR EXISTING GUYS

this is my wallet if you decide to help us
(idiot info redacted)
legendary
Activity: 3836
Merit: 4969
Doomed to see the future and unable to prevent it
legendary
Activity: 2450
Merit: 2089
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
sr. member
Activity: 370
Merit: 451

By all my indicators, the current downing is not yet done downing


$33.2k trying to hold, but not looking good...

May be out of the woods for now. The negative pressure seems to have backed off and we have a pretty decent chance of settling out to the $32k-$33k range. Dipped down to $31.5k a couple times and then the pressure seemed to just dissipate. Weird Weird, & weird!


Doh! Spoke too soon, Downward pressure is back and we may be headed to $$32k territory.
sr. member
Activity: 386
Merit: 334
-"When the going gets weird, the weird turn pro."
legendary
Activity: 2450
Merit: 2089
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 4382
Merit: 9330
'The right to privacy matters'
buddy oh my buddy you be sinking 33372 is getting too low


Somebody Really wants the price to go down below $33.2k! I'm watching 5 & 10 BTC bids being dropped one after another. All of the buys are accumulations of smaller orders, but there is clearly Somebody willing to sacrifice quite a few coins to see more downity!

For me even 30k works due to mining diff drop.

But I would prefer higher like 38-42k

We are at -10% diff drop due in 10-11 days

So 30k would be okay if I earn an extra 10% in coins.

The farm was doing 1700 x 0.00000470 = 0.00799 a day at 64k  I Can not remember exact number but this is close when diff was 25.05 top diff number

It now does 1700 x 0.00000922 = 0.015674 a day at 33k this is accurate with current diff at 14.36

We would go to 1700 x 0.00001024 = 0.017415  a day  if -10% diff drop happens.
 This is coinage is  split up  and there are various partners, but it is over 6.35 btc in a year which is better than  0.00799 x 365 = 2.91635 btc in 1 year

So if given a choice of splitting  6.35 btc or 2.91 btc

I want to share in the 6.35

Quote

https://diff.cryptothis.com/
Latest Block:   690097  (8 minutes ago)

Current Pace:   89.8919%  (626 / 696.39 expected, 70.39 behind)

Previous Difficulty:   19932791027262.74                            
Current Difficulty:   14363025673659.96                            
Next Difficulty:   between 12928064919651 and 13572692123842
Next Difficulty Change:   between -9.9907% and -5.5026%
Previous Retarget:   last Saturday at 2:25 AM  (-27.9427%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   July 17, 2021 at 10:14 PM  (in 9d 23h 45m 20s)
Next Retarget (latest):   July 18, 2021 at 4:11 PM  (in 10d 17h 43m 0s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 14d 19h 49m 15s and 15d 13h 46m 55s
...

sr. member
Activity: 370
Merit: 451
buddy oh my buddy you be sinking 33372 is getting too low


Somebody Really wants the price to go down below $33.2k! I'm watching 5 & 10 BTC bids being dropped one after another. All of the buys are accumulations of smaller orders, but there is clearly Somebody willing to sacrifice quite a few coins to see more downity!
legendary
Activity: 4382
Merit: 9330
'The right to privacy matters'
buddy oh my buddy you be sinking 33372 is getting too low
legendary
Activity: 2450
Merit: 2089
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 2450
Merit: 2089
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
sr. member
Activity: 370
Merit: 451

By all my indicators, the current downing is not yet done downing


$33.2k trying to hold, but not looking good...
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