Author

Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 5670. (Read 26608457 times)

copper member
Activity: 1316
Merit: 715
Eloncoin.org - Mars, here we come!
No, we try to not have that kind of discussions, it's not denial, it's just keeping this thread free from shitcoin talk.
If you must talk about them there are literally dozens of other threads, keep this one clean.

OK, now I have to reply to this accusation. I wasn't talking about shitcoins. Pay attention. Someone asked why Bitcoin was losing market dominance and I suggested it was capacity issues with Bitcoin. It's everyone else who jumps on with suggestions of using shitcoins for some reason.

Oh poor lil Richy_T..... Cry Cry  trying to stay on topic (like a good bitcoin maximalist.. #nohomo), but everyone else causing his lil selfie to have to respond.   Cry Cry

I have to weigh in on this 1 millionth Big/Small block detour.

People still see this as entirely black and white.  Bitcoin chose small therefore it = digital gold.  Period.

This completely ignores the fact that more and more folks are working on the tech behind doing transactions on layers.  Spending bitcoin quickly (and even in a trust minimized way) is already working somewhat, and will only work better and better with MANY choices and tradeoffs.  Just like you can spend the USD with credit cards, checks, cash, payal etc, and see that settle in your account daily, and have those banks settle via FEDwire Bitcoin is starting to work the same way.

With ONE importnt difference.  WE are fedwire.  You do not have to be a bank to use the BTC blockchain.

"But it will be too expensive to transact on the base chain!"  Says who?  You can still do it.  Anyone can do it.  Having small transactions priced out is compitition and we have chosen that path to secure the best distributed/decentralized ffuture possible for the base layer.

Someone fleeing their oppressive country cannot use Fedwire to take their savings with them.  But they can bitcoin. (Or lightning, or liquid, etc)

Bitcoin WILL be used transactionally.  Folks (ex Saylor) are knowingly downplaying this right now EXACTLY because the longer we can keep the "digital gold only" narrative going the longer the reserve banks will drag their asses.

But we should know better gents...

I guess we don't all agree. I stand corrected.

Sidechains may have a major use case in the future, we will see.  Right now they are just experimental.

The main chain as a store of value is what is giving us this price and is the driver behind any significant price increases going forward.

We don't need a swiss army knife, we just need a stable store of value. That's what the world needs.

I think we DO agree mostly.  And I agree that BTC as a store of value is use case #1.  It's just that the digital, ephemeral nature of BTC lends itself to technological solutions with few boundaries which will happen quickly and take it into the realm of a transactional asset as well.  I also think use case #1 is really the only one we should be focusing on now... at least in certain contexts. Wink

One of the good things about bitcoin is that it gives no shits about either use case number 1 or use case number 2, and each of us can choose whichever use case that we want, including use case number 3 or even the use case of NOT using it.  It does appear that a large number of us believe that use case number 1 is driving a lot of bitcoin's current value, but many of us also appreciate that bitcoin can already be used for a variety of other use cases, even if some of those other use cases are more limited in their availabilities or user-friendliness.. but bitcoin has capacities beyond use case number 1 and 2.

Use case #1 also implies that the true value of BTC per whole coin is indeed going to 100 million USD. Eventually. It will take decades maybe. Around the year 2050 we will find out. Some of us will be gone, others will have just "matured" ... We will see... we will see...

Sure, it could take another 10 to 30 years for BTC to reach $100 trillion.. which is a mere 100x from here.. or $5.5 million per coin... but it does seem that you are outlining this in a bit too much of a bearish way because the more bullish scenarios could actually quite easily reach $5.5 million per coin within 2 cycles.  I don't need to elaborate on the numbers, do I?

This cycle could top anywhere between $62k and $1.5million.. and let's just look at the more bearish of numbers (that's 2021)

The next cycle could then top $200k to $500k (remember bearish numbers).. (that's 2025)

The next cycle could then top $1 million to $5.5million (remember bearish numbers).. (that's 2029)

Are we going to need another cycle if the numbers are even more bearish than I have outlined? or could it take another 5 cycles as seem to be suggesting could be the case..

yeah.. I don't really expect to make it to 2050.. but sure there could be a chance.. as with anything.  In recent years, I did have a doctor tell me that I could make it to 2060-ish (not in those words, exactly), and my health has not really deteriorated since such statement but still taking such optimism with a decently large grain of salt.... I am a bit skeptical of experts - even though it did make me feel good at such time the statement was made.




sr. member
Activity: 1197
Merit: 482
Yup.
https://cointelegraph.com/news/not-a-cheaper-bitcoin-bitcoin-gold-soars-173-as-traders-may-be-buying-the-wrong-btg
We all hate shitcoins. I do too.

But, maybe, just maybe, shitcoins are a blessing in disguise. They do seem to help in a few things:

-- Sort out the opportunists from the serious investors.
-- Sort out the thick in the head from the smart.
-- Stress-test (and confirm) Bitcoin's unprecedented robustness and fault tolerance.
-- Weed out cancer cells, such as Craig Wright, Calvin Ayre, Roger Ver, and Jihan Wu.
-- Suck wealth out of "get rich quick" traders, just like maggots eat rotten flesh.

I often get angry when I see posts shilling shitcoins. But I shouldn't. To all shitcoin shills, I say: "Bring it on! Give it all you've got! Attack Bitcoin as fiercely as you can! Let the strongest survive!" After all, that's how the universe works. From the wild animals of the jungle, to the highest level of refined civilization. Survival of the fittest. So, bring it on, and let the winner take all.
legendary
Activity: 2282
Merit: 1767
Cлaвa Укpaїнi!

There's something pure and original about ABBA. They remind me of my carefree days of youth, when we never locked our homes and knew everyone in the neighbourhood.

I agree, but I guess it's the same for every generation, we all have our carefree youth memories.

Another fun fact, it was the Swedish version of "Waterloo" that became popular in Sweden and was played on the radio all the time. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2V1PovdHM8k

Edited for clarity.
legendary
Activity: 2590
Merit: 4839
Addicted to HoDLing!

There's something pure and original about ABBA. They remind me of my carefree days of youth, when we never locked our homes and knew everyone in the neighbourhood.
legendary
Activity: 3556
Merit: 9709
#1 VIP Crypto Casino
legendary
Activity: 4354
Merit: 3614
what is this "brake pedal" you speak of?
To me the data is very relevant. It shows that altcoins easily get replaced with other alts and no one really believes in the true value of them (except for a very few perhaps) even when the crypto marketcap has tripled in value.
Picking successful alts out of a choice of 7000+ is like a lottery.
I'd rather stick with BTC.

around 2017/18 i "diversified" a few percent of my btc into some (at the time somewhat interesting) alts. , like 8 or 9 of them. of those probably 50% are gone now because they switched algos and/or tokens or whatever at some point, ie if you didnt swap your coins for the new ones they were lost (my fault for not paying attention of course). and a huge chunk of the rest cratered got desisted or trade at basically zero.

point it i NEVER had to do anything to keep my corn. addresses i made in 2011 still work. the coin is still there. and i will never need to move those coins to some new format or lose them (well maybe when quantum computer are common).

point is btc is STABLE. i have confidence in just parking corn in a wallet and leaving it for years or decades. with no worries

that, aside from the tech etc, is the real power and value behind bitcoin.
legendary
Activity: 1526
Merit: 2617
Fun fact, ABBA got famous by winning the Eurovision song contest in 1974 in Brighton, I watched it with some friends at a friends place in Rosengård (now a no go zone) and then biked home in the middle of the night, I was 14 and it was totally safe.
The song is called Waterloo, enjoy https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vp1_OKawHYw

Have watched Eurovision since the 80s. Still miss Terry Wogan commenting.

Embarrassing some of the terrible entries us Brits have sent over the last 10 or so years.
Engelbert Humperdinck and Bonnie Tyler. Haven't had hits for like 3 or 4 decades.
Even the last time we won, technically it was an American.
Very strange because many of our pop music exports do exceptionally well abroad (Ed Sheeran, Dua Lipa) etc.
legendary
Activity: 2282
Merit: 1767
Cлaвa Укpaїнi!
Fun fact, ABBA got famous by winning the Eurovision song contest in 1974 in Brighton, I watched it with some friends at a friends place in Rosengård (now a no go zone) and then biked home in the middle of the night, I was 14 and it was totally safe.
The song is called Waterloo, enjoy https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vp1_OKawHYw
legendary
Activity: 1526
Merit: 2617
This shows just how shit the altcoin performance is.

Someone spread $1000 over top 10 cryptos and held for 39 months:



Without BTC he would be down to $843 despite the bull runs (from $900 invested).
If he had invested his $1000 in only BTC he would be up to $4560.

People just don't get it. Maybe 1 in 50 in the comments on reddit see what's happening. Unbelievable.

I predict there will be millions of poor people after the next bear market and upswing considering what's going on with altcoins right now.

But of course also millions of rich BTC holders and probably already some trillionaires.


This data is really not relevant, picking a random date to buy and a random date to sell will give you a random PNL. What if that was invested a year or two years before, what if those prices were updated during spring 2018 when many altcoins boomed, what if we wait some more months or years. I mean nobody really knows and I don't see how you can get anything of substance from that data. If anything it looks like the bull market is not ending anytime soon so not sure why picking a date around now to sell would be any good.

Yes I agree that the next bear market could produce many poors and many riches as did the last one and the one before it, but not necessarily because one chose Bitcoin over whatever altcoins or vice versa.

To me the data is very relevant. It shows that altcoins easily get replaced with other alts and no one really believes in the true value of them (except for a very few perhaps) even when the crypto marketcap has tripled in value.
Picking successful alts out of a choice of 7000+ is like a lottery.
I'd rather stick with BTC.
legendary
Activity: 2282
Merit: 1767
Cлaвa Укpaїнi!
legendary
Activity: 2590
Merit: 4839
Addicted to HoDLing!
We all hate shitcoins. I do too.

But, maybe, just maybe, shitcoins are a blessing in disguise. They do seem to help in a few things:

-- Sort out the opportunists from the serious investors.
-- Sort out the thick in the head from the smart.
-- Stress-test (and confirm) Bitcoin's unprecedented robustness and fault tolerance.
-- Weed out cancer cells, such as Craig Wright, Calvin Ayre, Roger Ver, and Jihan Wu.
-- Suck wealth out of "get rich quick" traders, just like maggots eat rotten flesh.

I often get angry when I see posts shilling shitcoins. But I shouldn't. To all shitcoin shills, I say: "Bring it on! Give it all you've got! Attack Bitcoin as fiercely as you can! Let the strongest survive!" After all, that's how the universe works. From the wild animals of the jungle, to the highest level of refined civilization. Survival of the fittest. So, bring it on, and let the winner take all.
legendary
Activity: 3556
Merit: 9709
#1 VIP Crypto Casino



@web3chaz
Bankers when they see honest and hardworking members of the younger generations doing well with #bitcoin  and crypto in general

https://twitter.com/web3chaz/status/1380431715831808000?s=21
hero member
Activity: 1344
Merit: 656
This shows just how shit the altcoin performance is.

Someone spread $1000 over top 10 cryptos and held for 39 months:



Without BTC he would be down to $843 despite the bull runs (from $900 invested).
If he had invested his $1000 in only BTC he would be up to $4560.

People just don't get it. Maybe 1 in 50 in the comments on reddit see what's happening. Unbelievable.

I predict there will be millions of poor people after the next bear market and upswing considering what's going on with altcoins right now.

But of course also millions of rich BTC holders and probably already some trillionaires.


This data is really not relevant, picking a random date to buy and a random date to sell will give you a random PNL. What if that was invested a year or two years before, what if those prices were updated during spring 2018 when many altcoins boomed, what if we wait some more months or years. I mean nobody really knows and I don't see how you can get anything of substance from that data. If anything it looks like the bull market is not ending anytime soon so not sure why picking a date around now to sell would be any good.

Yes I agree that the next bear market could produce many poors and many riches as did the last one and the one before it, but not necessarily because one chose Bitcoin over whatever altcoins or vice versa.
legendary
Activity: 1708
Merit: 3439
Man who stares at charts (and stars, too...)
He's right, though!

Time to put some money off the table and put it into BTC  Grin
legendary
Activity: 1526
Merit: 2617

https://twitter.com/jchatterleyCNN/status/1379822551564759040

"When we get a risk-off moment, we could be seeing $BTC pullback to $20-30k. But I think for long-term investors, that will be a great entry point."



The source of that also suggested this:



Is 3 months near term enough to prove him wrong?
legendary
Activity: 2688
Merit: 2470
$120000 in 2024 Confirmed

https://twitter.com/jchatterleyCNN/status/1379822551564759040

"When we get a risk-off moment, we could be seeing $BTC pullback to $20-30k. But I think for long-term investors, that will be a great entry point."


You clearly know nothing

BTW now is a good time to dump all your bsv derp
hv_
legendary
Activity: 2534
Merit: 1055
Clean Code and Scale

https://twitter.com/jchatterleyCNN/status/1379822551564759040

"When we get a risk-off moment, we could be seeing $BTC pullback to $20-30k. But I think for long-term investors, that will be a great entry point."

legendary
Activity: 3388
Merit: 3514
born once atheist

~skip (billions of words)

....I was stunned by the length of your post


You must be new here....
legendary
Activity: 1708
Merit: 3439
Man who stares at charts (and stars, too...)
No, we try to not have that kind of discussions, it's not denial, it's just keeping this thread free from shitcoin talk.
If you must talk about them there are literally dozens of other threads, keep this one clean.

OK, now I have to reply to this accusation. I wasn't talking about shitcoins. Pay attention. Someone asked why Bitcoin was losing market dominance and I suggested it was capacity issues with Bitcoin. It's everyone else who jumps on with suggestions of using shitcoins for some reason.

Bitcoin is losing market dominance mainly because of greed.
Sounds too simple?
Just think about it for a while  Wink
legendary
Activity: 1869
Merit: 5781
Neighborhood Shenanigans Dispenser
Jump to: