Author

Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 642. (Read 26468453 times)

legendary
Activity: 2646
Merit: 12981
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
Long time written these exact words

But the dude goes in

#HODLsleep
legendary
Activity: 4116
Merit: 4738
You're never too old to think young.
The Dude would enjoy.
An overnight ATH…

Increasing while sleeping.
Sounds heavenly.



Edit: I just had to add this.  Cool



Buffett and Wilde, two completely different attitudes, but they seem to be in agreement.

Life's too short. Savor every moment.
legendary
Activity: 3556
Merit: 9709
#1 VIP Crypto Casino
I am starting to think $120k to $180k for 2024 - based on currently known dynamics and trends from ongoing ETF demand coupled with the halvening. (which is 2x to 3x) from $60k

Thus perhaps another 2x to 3x from the 2024 numbers for 2025 based on sheer momentum that has historically tended to go along with the cycles - which gives us $240k to $540k for 2025

legendary
Activity: 1526
Merit: 2617
The Dude would enjoy.
An overnight ATH…

Increasing while sleeping.
Sounds heavenly.

legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 1782
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
legendary
Activity: 2646
Merit: 12981
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
The Dude would enjoy.
An overnight ATH…

Increasing while sleeping.
Sounds heavenly.
newbie
Activity: 22
Merit: 4
legendary
Activity: 3836
Merit: 10832
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
[edited out]
I found those scenarios to be unlikely in a short time frame (1-2 years).
Most likely, we would pull up to a significant % of the gold market cap of about 12 tril (anywhere between 30 and 50%) aka $4-6 tril or 200-300K/btc.
My favorite number, if someone asks, is currently $236K/btc.

I am starting to think $120k to $180k for 2024 - based on currently known dynamics and trends from ongoing ETF demand coupled with the halvening. (which is 2x to 3x) from $60k

Thus perhaps another 2x to 3x from the 2024 numbers for 2025 based on sheer momentum that has historically tended to go along with the cycles - which gives us $240k to $540k for 2025

Of course, my numbers are surely not anticipating anything close to straight up so there will probably be 4 or more corrections of 30% or more that might even last several weeks each time, and there could be something like 20 or more 10-15% or more corrections.

That would be the base-case scenario for price predictions, which surely means we could over or under perform, but we might have to revisit each leg along the way in order to consider if anything has really changed.  As far as personal finances, stick with the 200-WMA rather than getting worked up about spot price, yet for 2024 and perhaps even 2025, I don't expect any corrections to get below within 20% above the 200-WMA - and if there is any correction that goes that low it would be a spike rather than anything lasting.

My upper scenarios would still be similar to my chart from 2021 which would probably have the top number of $2 million plus for this cycle at less then 0.5% odds.

welcome to the clown-world Grin Roll Eyes
french television reports that the Bitcoin price will be halved after the halving...

https://twitter.com/BitcoinMagazine/status/1767284805966672170

They probably got their maths and sciences from proudhon, which means they need to reverse it (do the exact opposite) for the numbers to actually make sense.  In other words, change the negative to a positive.. which means 2x (at a bare minimum).
legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 1782
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
jr. member
Activity: 98
Merit: 6

Sure And still counting uptrend it is going up daily  and daily I told my colleague that bitcoin will soon hit $100k they thought 💭 that am joking that was when it was still $54k but today is about $72k and still counting Extra $1k in just 1hr it's not wonderful 👍
legendary
Activity: 3038
Merit: 1660
lose: unfind ... loose: untight
As someone who never sold or took profits since the purchase in 2013, what yall think of the idea to sell 1% at every 10k+?

Life is for living. Money is for experiences. Just don't go all crazy-ass and splash out in an orgy of overconsumption.

Welcome back, Jbreher! Haven't seen your bear avatar in a while. How are things going?

Thanks. Can't complain. Although I will - to grandkids and friends.
legendary
Activity: 3892
Merit: 4331
I got a raise today.

3,33%

Needless to say I wasn't impressed.

Just keeping up with official inflation, or slightly above in euro zone.
I have been on committees which negotiate salaries: their argument when inflation is 2-3% is always...see, inflation is low, no need to exceed it, but when the inflation is 8-10%, they reverse the argument and start whining that they don't have the budget to go above, say, 5%. A complete silence about inflation and what it does to employees in this case.
legendary
Activity: 3836
Merit: 10832
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
Next attempt on ATH
initiated today
A Haiku Sunday

Got a message from one of my friend who is in USA (also a non Bitcoiner) that Bitcoin is at 70k.

My simple reply, Bitcoin is the king.
I'm sure that your friend will find your message to have had been very helpful... It is almost like saying:  "I told you so," but in a more subliminal way.
The issue with people is that they are attracted to bitcoin only when its bullish or at its ATH. No matter how much we tell them about Bitcoin during bear season they seldom pay attention.
Since my friend has finally decided to invest in Bitcoin. I have given him advice to monitor the market now and its not a good idea to invest huge money at once while Bitcoin is at its ATH. If someone is new to Bitcoin and has no future plan then he better wait for a while. Just my few Satoshis.

The only way to prepare for UP is to have some satoshis, so if someone is new to bitcoin, the first thing they should do is buy some satoshis.  Waiting does not prepare them for up..

Good morning WO!

I spy with my little eye.... 71k!

So we have now entered no-mans-land. The new frontier (ha, get it? Because Star Trek).

Can't wait for us to pass 100k, finally! Those ETF's sure are doing their job Cheesy. Good.
We entered no man's land at $55k..and it probably lasts until about $82k-ish... give or take a couple k..

Sure, this would be called price discovery (and yeah probably in that regard the new frontier of places not yet explored) since all time highs are being reached.. and hard to even come close to proclaiming that we are approaching either blow off top territory or even over exuberance.. yet.. .. but yeah, if we go to $90k in the next 12 to 36 hours, I, personally, would consider that to be over exuberance... each person likely has their own definition and that's why some people are still waiting for a 50% correction.  
We are not over exuberant. Yet.

Mining pays 12 cents a th

or 6 cents in a month.  That 6 cents is very shitty for mining.

But if we were at 123456 right now we would be at 20 cents a th soon to be 10 cents a th at the 1/2ing

if we are at those numbers after the 1/2 ing it would be uncharted highs for miners right after the ½ ing.

Soon to see what happens

King daddy prices do not follow hashing power and/or mining costs. .. so mining costs are almost irrelevant in terms of determining whether the BTC price is overexuberant or not. 

For example if the BTC price moves up faster than buying demand can keep up, then that could be considered overexuberant.

So for example about two weeks ago when the BTC price went up from $52k to $64k in a matter of about 50 hours. That was a bit overly exuberant, so the correction from that was somewhat anticipated.. and yeah, we have other examples when the BTC price moves up faster than the buying support can keep up... so then we get a correction. and the downward manipulators will likely try to push it down as far as they can and keep it there as long as they can.. but they have not been having much luck with that since October. and maybe even worse luck with that since a couple of weeks ago when we entered into noman's land.. so even when we entered into noman's land with guns ablazing, there have been a decent number of relatively good sized corrections that have been allowing the buying to keep up... and yeah I cannot have any kind of certainty if we will completely get through noman's land without any major correction (such as greater than 20-30% and/or lasting, but it seems that the odds are slightly more in favor of UPpity in zones like this... and it does not have anything to do with hashing power.. The miners follow price like lil doggies following their owner when it is time to eat.
hero member
Activity: 2520
Merit: 950
fly or die
I got a raise today.

3,33%

Needless to say I wasn't impressed.
legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 1782
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
legendary
Activity: 3556
Merit: 9709
#1 VIP Crypto Casino
Even the dumps/dips are short lived and quite pathetic at the moment. Halving getting close, these Spot ETFs are really doing wonders for the price. Just wait for the supply shock post halving.

Maybe this time really is different and we are going to go seriously parabolic.
legendary
Activity: 2296
Merit: 1184
Privacy Servers. Since 2009.
legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 16328
Fully fledged Merit Cycler - Golden Feather 22-23
We are so back!
I already miss the opportunity to buy below 70,000.
That is gone.
Up only.
Sources confirmed
legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 1782
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ

Explanation
Chartbuddy thanks talkimg.com
sr. member
Activity: 364
Merit: 629
In ₿ we trust
Jump to: