Topic: Who will Replace Russian Gas Supplies to Europe? - page 2. (Read 5523 times)

^^^ I heard about the provocations in Yemen, but I didn't knew that it was France which is playing the role of mastermind.

I have a lot of doubts here. How are they planning to export gas from Yemen? I am sure that Yemen doesn't have any gas pipelines connecting to Europe. And most probably they don't have any large LNG terminals. So what is the use in capturing all these gas fields? How the supplies can be transported to Europe?

I am not sure about this, but my guess is that Turkey is the second strongest member of NATO, after the United States.

I don't think that a majority of the NATO members would like to lose Turkey from the alliance. If the choice is going to be between Sweden and Turkey, then I am sure that it is going to be the latter.

Technically there is no details defined in NATO treaty about reasons and procedures for expulsion of a member state. They have left it wide open and can interpret it anyway they want. Basically they say in case of "material breach of the treaty" the membership can be revoked. And "material breach of the treaty" can mean anything like war crimes committed by Turkey in Syria.

P.S. At least 16 countries in Europe surpassed double digits inflation so far.

AFAIK, the Nato has a principle called Consensus Decision. When a member wants to join the bloc, it must have the consent of all the countries in the bloc, and when a country is revoked its membership of Nato, it must also have the consent of the whole Nato bloc. Which means that Turkey can only leave NATO if and only if it votes for itself to leave the bloc, the US cannot unilaterally revoke Ankara's membership.

In my opinion, you should not worry so much about the countries of Europe. They want to get rid of oil and gas dependence on Russia and will do it. At first it will be difficult, you will have to temporarily sacrifice coziness and traditional comfort, but it's worth it. But Russia will forever lose its superiority and the possibility of blackmail and political influence on the countries of Europe. But let's see what will happen next with Russia itself. The Kremlin has long understood that the situation is losing, but Putin is used to bluffing. Therefore, for the time being, they defiantly show the world that everything is fine with them and everything is under control. But at the same time, Russia is steadily sinking.

The Russian Federation has been the main supplier of natural gas to Europe for decades. The gas pipeline network that crosses the continent is huge and connects Russia with almost all European countries. The EU is too dependent on Russian gas supplies. It is therefore forced to negotiate while the Russian Federation holds all the cards wanting to gain more political influence in Ukraine and other countries.

It seems To replace Russia's gas supply will be a big challenge because it takes a lot of time and a lot of resources. Several countries have made efforts to push for a new era of clean energy so that they can not only supply energy but also export this source to other countries and it looks like Qatar and Africa are not expected to be a responsive alternative to Russia's gas supply but it will be interesting to see how they do. all deal with it if the situation arises and it would be better to keep a close watch on the trend.

AFAIK, the Nato has a principle called Consensus Decision. When a member wants to join the bloc, it must have the consent of all the countries in the bloc, and when a country is revoked its membership of Nato, it must also have the consent of the whole Nato bloc. Which means that Turkey can only leave NATO if and only if it votes for itself to leave the bloc, the US cannot unilaterally revoke Ankara's membership.

Turkey is the only country in the bloc with close ties to Russia, having been the mediator of many war talks between Russia and Ukraine, most recently a grain deal. If the US pushes Turkey towards Russia, just as they are making it difficult for themselves, the EU will fall further into crisis without Turkey.

African countries have been tipped as the best option because the continent has some of the world’s deepest gas reserves. But Africa might not replace Russia because of insecurity and lack of infrastructures.

Who will replace Russia?

https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2022/3/1/analysis-can-african-gas-replace-russian-supplies-to-europe

Is Turkey going to be kicked out of NATO?

Apparently US is the only country that can decide who remains in NATO and recently they have been talking about how Turkey has committed war crimes in Syria (as if they didn't know it already in the past couple of years lol). Meanwhile they are shifting to Greece to replace Turkey's geostrategic position which may even lead to a conflict (between two NATO members no less!).

Considering Turkey is a small lifeline for Europe considering energy this could put an extra pressure on the already weak European economy and worsen the energy crisis specially since Turkey will have no other choice but turn to Russia and play in their game.

Who will replace Russia?

No, you can't have a conversation like that. You can lie stupidly and primitively only in Russia
I am extremely calm, moreover, when I read your opuses, the feeling is that there is only one positive in the circus.
And we'll be back. YOU, personally, a couple of posts above said that even before the war (before 2014, that's what I said earlier), Ukraine had plans to join NATO prescribed in the legislation. And again he habitually lied - the document refers to 2018, which I showed with a link to this document
But now you start to wag and talk nonsense about connections, ideas, "just wanted to." Partnership is not a synonym for "enshrined in the Constitution." Changing standards is not the same as "joining NATO". Having relations with a military-political bloc does not mean being part of it!

At 200, Russia itself wanted to join NATO, the Kremlin's bald geek spoke about this - on YouTube you will find his speech about this

One recommendation - DO NOT lie always and everywhere. With or without reason! You are not in Russia!

Breathe deeply, you are excited. Relations between Ukraine and NATO began in 1992, when Ukraine, after gaining independence, joined the North Atlantic Cooperation Council. A few years later, in February 1994, Ukraine entered into a framework agreement with NATO under the Partnership for Peace initiative, followed in 2002 by the NATO Individual Partnership Plan. Between these events, in April 1999, a NATO mission opened in Kyiv. You either do not know the latest history of your own country well, or you are lying openly.

All empires fall but it takes time. What we have to remember that not everything is lost ... yet.
For example Europe is still the main importer of US inflation. Which is why we saw EUR start dumping. They even started importing the low quality US gas that had a hard time finding customers before.
US still has a lot of colonies around the world like Saudi Arabia, an oil rich country that is only getting some kicks in while US is showing weakness.
Their weapons exports grow due to the conflicts too, they basically regained a good chunk of the market that they lost ever since we shot down their most advanced and expensive stealth aircraft in 2019 with a single shot.

Who is left on the American side today?

The whole strategy Xi Jinping set up for China is much more about global economic domination and first and foremost about economic growth.

If growth slows down for China, their whole long-term strategy is threatened.

The most likely scenario is that the US won't just let it happen.

Energy will remain the biggest topic of the near future.

In a couple of days a lot of things could be clarified. The fate of US and EU economy depends on Iran's decision whether to remove the sanctions on the West or keep them there to increase the pressure. Removal could mean oil below $50 otherwise the $100+ is the price that the Western world has to get used to.

After 3 years the Chinese president Xi Jinping is traveling to West Asia and the results of the visit would determine a lot of things.
It's hard to predict the results too. What we know so far:
- Al-Saud is going to be given incentives to shift their sales to China and use CNY instead of USD which means US dollar is going to continue to dump more which means more inflation which means more inflation exports to Europe which means more inflation in EU.
- Some Russian sanctions were eased by Europe in a total media silence (exactly why I call the Western media a heavily censored one) which may be because they already predict the previous point and want to be able to replace the Saudi oil with Russian again
- China has been pulling out of US economy. At least $500 billion was pulled out of US stock market in the past couple of days alone. Both the Chinese government and the private sector are slowly pulling out.
- Finally we have Iran that would make the big difference. If JCPOA is signed and then Iran agrees to increase imports to the West the price would fall and all China did would be undone and their plans to invade Taiwan with decreased consequences would fall apart. But this is unlikely and the pressure on EU and US would most probably remain high. Meaning Iran would increase exports to China while not allowing Al-Saud to increase exports to EU either. The result of all the above means invasion of Taiwan in a couple of months and EU+US economy falling apart faster (US is already in a recession) then both Iran and Saudis would have the upper hand not to mention that higher energy prices that means a much bigger profit for all energy exporters.

So I'll wait to see what the result of this visit is going to be. It turns out sending Pelosi to Taiwan only ensured China that they can't take back Taiwan peacefully like they did Hong Kong.