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Topic: Will Russia Emerge As The Next Dominant Superpower - page 19. (Read 8955 times)

copper member
Activity: 2226
Merit: 915
White Russian
This is if Russia can continue to use the gas, I think they will dominate just by this advantage. They are however not the super dominant in Asia, there is always China that has higher advantage over them. China also have the gas supply of their own, not as big as Russia but China has the technology. If the two will start a quarrel I think the unity of both can change. As for now, Its Russia who will win against the West due to the gas dependency of EU.
It is typical US foreign policy to try to quarrel with neighboring countries in order to stir up tensions in the region. Why should Russia quarrel with China if it is possible to live as neighbors and strengthen mutually beneficial cooperation? This is our common continent, along with India, Europe and the Middle East. The US has spread its toxic influence around the world and it will soon come to an end. We can live in peace and act together when the US and Western Europe give up their unfounded claims to exclusivity and superiority over other peoples. Russia can become the new guarantor of global security, it has enough power for this and enough self-control not to use this power in its own selfish interests. Because Russia is the largest and potentially the richest country in the world, with a huge abundance of natural resources. She does not need to plunder other nations in order to prosper.
hero member
Activity: 3038
Merit: 617
~~~
And this year, US GDP will be largely untouched and growing. Russia's will not.

Russia's economy will contract for sure. But this is going to be temporary. As long as they have the capability to export their natural resources, Russia will be able to make a comeback. And ordinary Russians have the ability to deal with hardships. And now coming to the United States, the inflation rate is inching towards the 10% level. Federal debt is ballooning and already there is a lot of controversy related to the baby formula shortage. The US economy won't remain "untouched" for too long. Very soon it will start contracting.

This is if Russia can continue to use the gas, I think they will dominate just by this advantage. They are however not the super dominant in Asia, there is always China that has higher advantage over them. China also have the gas supply of their own, not as big as Russia but China has the technology. If the two will start a quarrel I think the unity of both can change. As for now, Its Russia who will win against the West due to the gas dependency of EU.

US economy is crashing and the government are still in the denial stage of it. But the manifestation in people's frustration is showing already when they see prices of products.
legendary
Activity: 3346
Merit: 1352
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
~~~
And this year, US GDP will be largely untouched and growing. Russia's will not.

Russia's economy will contract for sure. But this is going to be temporary. As long as they have the capability to export their natural resources, Russia will be able to make a comeback. And ordinary Russians have the ability to deal with hardships. And now coming to the United States, the inflation rate is inching towards the 10% level. Federal debt is ballooning and already there is a lot of controversy related to the baby formula shortage. The US economy won't remain "untouched" for too long. Very soon it will start contracting.
legendary
Activity: 2366
Merit: 1624
Do not die for Putin

China's debt is no different from other countries. Japan is above 200% GPD for example, Italy, Spain, Greece, France... all have debt for decades.


Japan, italy, spain, greece and france. Are all too far into debt to donate funds to ukraine.

Eventually the united states will be as well.

What happens then? When russia still has low debt and can afford to mobilize.

The united states spent more than $12 trillion dollars on military operations in the middle east. Eventually that money runs out and nations cannot defend themselves (or ukraine) without bankrupting their budget.

Actually all those countries have already donated military material to Ukraine and all agree on an oil embargo. Debt becomes secondary when survival is a problem.

The US has implemented a 40 Billion plan. The help line, huge for Ukraine and Russia means just an minimal part of the US budget. Again, it is a question of sizes:

Quote
While the U.S. ranks as the world's largest economy with a GDP of $21 trillion,2 Russia's nominal GDP comes in at $1.48 trillion. 1 In terms of GDP, Russia trails much smaller countries, such as the United Kingdom, Italy, and France.

And this year, US GDP will be largely untouched and growing. Russia's will not.
member
Activity: 812
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Crypto bookmaker and casino
This is a big question that we need to understand it before we think of answer it because it involves a lots of understanding about what is meant by world power and what Russia has that can made them a super world power. We need to know that the nato is expanding and growing day and day which is increasing there dominance to the world. More countries are still planning to join nato which is going and is making the United States the world power.
hero member
Activity: 2660
Merit: 630
Vave.com - Crypto Casino
There is this news coming out lately on the cancer illness on the president of the country and the prediction of less than 2 years till the death of the team member, Is a very difficult news to prepare for or keep. Russia does not provide platform to produce news. THe present war cant help

This looks like a funny tale. Put which president are you talking about? Of course before two years things between Ukraine and Russia would have been settled. But this is a rumour you can provide link that it will be read. However Russia will not emerge as the superpower, perhaps US has seen this possiblity and working against the Russian hegemony on Soviet Union.
legendary
Activity: 2688
Merit: 1192
During World War II the world's major powers were bombed back to the stone age. With the exception of two nations. Russia and the united states. This set the stage for america and russia to emerge as the world's dominant superpowers leading into the cold war, korean war and vietnam war which followed.

Both the USSR and USA enjoyed the luxury of surviving World War II with their territories and economies largely intact. Profiting handsomely by loaning capital to other nations to rebuild. While the rest of the world toiled under debt and reconstruction efforts.

Looking at the current era a similar trend could emerge. America, the european union and china all carry large ratios of debt to GDP close to 100%. Russia's debt to GDP ratio is by far the smallest of any major power at around 20%. If a major recession hit global markets a case could be made for russia's government and economy being best structured to weather it. Russia is one of the most self sufficient nations in terms of raw materials, food and energy production. Russia also has many other world powers reliant and dependent on them for natural gas and other resources.

Long story short russia has many advantages over the USA, EU and china if an economic crisis hits.

If global markets are devastated by a crisis, russia is (in my opinion) the number #1 prospect to emerge as the next dominant superpower.

To avoid this, I think the united states would do well to keep its economy strong. As a hedge against russian encroachment. There isn't much alternative deterrent.

While russia's invasion of ukraine has stalled. Russia isn't trying very hard. They don't have to. They simply have to wait for the next big economic crisis when free money and support thrown at ukraine can no longer be funded. Then resistance may well crumble.

The best deterrent against invasion and war may be a strong economy with enough liquidity to make invasion too high priced too consider. Our current era with high deficits and weak economies could be interpreted as an open invitation for ambitious regimes like russia to invade us.

On the plus side if russia is the next dominant superpower they may be bitcoin friendly. At least that would be one positive thing we might look forward to in the horror show that could be the future.

You conveniently skip over the fact that this economic juggernaut that you describe had an economy on the scale of Italy before this war began and had a population of twice the size. Russia is a cesspit that has been hobbled by it's leaders for decades, if not centuries and the average person their has been unable to change it in all that time. The last major source of income to Russia, what has been propping it up for so long thanks to its huge land mass and little care for the environment, is the oil & gas it's able to extract (thanks to technology from other countries). Europe, the customer willing to pay far higher prices than anyone else, is working to cut those supplies to zero as soon as possible and considering the war in Ukraine (which can be fought for many years) is depleting $1 billion from Russia per day - it will soon be unable to continue funding it and everything else will collapse. Hopefully then Putin will be finished and a new opportunity for freedom can arise.
full member
Activity: 1050
Merit: 110
Japan, italy, spain, greece and france. Are all too far into debt to donate funds to ukraine.

Eventually the united states will be as well.

What happens then? When russia still has low debt and can afford to mobilize.

The united states spent more than $12 trillion dollars on military operations in the middle east. Eventually that money runs out and nations cannot defend themselves (or ukraine) without bankrupting their budget.

Well... this is one of the advantages in having your national currency as the reserve and trade currency of the world. The US can just print another $10 trillion in USD banknotes and use all that money to invade another half a dozen third world nations. Other countries will be footing the bill, as the USD is the reserve currency. Even countries such as China are having most of their forex reserves in the form of the US Dollar. Even Russia had a large part of their forex reserves in the form of USD, and all that got frozen a few months back.
If Russia succeeds in breaking petrodollar deal. and they start selling the fuel in Ruble. Then surly
I have read in other forums that Russian president has asked counties to pay in Ruble. If that is a successful deal then surely they will be dominant superpower.
legendary
Activity: 3346
Merit: 1352
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
Japan, italy, spain, greece and france. Are all too far into debt to donate funds to ukraine.

Eventually the united states will be as well.

What happens then? When russia still has low debt and can afford to mobilize.

The united states spent more than $12 trillion dollars on military operations in the middle east. Eventually that money runs out and nations cannot defend themselves (or ukraine) without bankrupting their budget.

Well... this is one of the advantages in having your national currency as the reserve and trade currency of the world. The US can just print another $10 trillion in USD banknotes and use all that money to invade another half a dozen third world nations. Other countries will be footing the bill, as the USD is the reserve currency. Even countries such as China are having most of their forex reserves in the form of the US Dollar. Even Russia had a large part of their forex reserves in the form of USD, and all that got frozen a few months back.
sr. member
Activity: 2240
Merit: 270
SOL.BIOKRIPT.COM
There is this news coming out lately on the cancer illness on the president of the country and the prediction of less than 2 years till the death of the team member, Is a very difficult news to prepare for or keep. Russia does not provide platform to produce news. THe present war cant help
legendary
Activity: 2562
Merit: 1441

China's debt is no different from other countries. Japan is above 200% GPD for example, Italy, Spain, Greece, France... all have debt for decades.


Japan, italy, spain, greece and france. Are all too far into debt to donate funds to ukraine.

Eventually the united states will be as well.

What happens then? When russia still has low debt and can afford to mobilize.

The united states spent more than $12 trillion dollars on military operations in the middle east. Eventually that money runs out and nations cannot defend themselves (or ukraine) without bankrupting their budget.
legendary
Activity: 2366
Merit: 1624
Do not die for Putin
Quite a few of the facts are wrong and quite a few of the conclusions:

- UK was not bombed to the stone age in any manner.


Here is a map illustrating 32,000 air raids the UK sustained during World War II.



...


That map proves very little. Yes, the UK sustained air raids, but not, its industrial production and infrastructure largely survived intact. This is what you should be looking at:



As you can see, there is nothing in there like "bombed into stone age" in the UK graph - it is much more clear when you look at how Germany WAS actually bombed into stone-age.

China's debt is no different from other countries. Japan is above 200% GPD for example, Italy, Spain, Greece, France... all have debt for decades.
sr. member
Activity: 2660
Merit: 339
Russia being the next superpower is undoubtedly an unrealistic expectation happen. One fact, I was thinking they would crush Ukraine as soon as they invaded the country but today , Russia is losing men and their fighting gadgets in numbers.
I was thinking like I am the only one thinking like that but glad others think the same too. When Russia invaded Ukraine I and almost everyone on the news and internet was making it look like a 1 vs 100 type of war and it was more of a beating than a fight. Now months have passed and it's looking like an ongoing war instead of a beating and like you mentioned, Russia is losing men!

I don't see Russia becoming a dominant superpower although as mentioned in OP that if that does happen, it would be an overall positive for Bitcoin and cryptocurrency since they are very friendly towards crypto. I am not against Russia nor support what they are doing but I hope they don't become a superpower because it may do more harm than good.
legendary
Activity: 3346
Merit: 1352
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
because of this war, i am now not thinking that russia as the next dominant superpower. if they are, they should have conquered ukraine much earlier. but they couldn't. it is now taking months and it seems russia is now losing grip. so next superpower? that i doubt. if russia is taking this long just to get ukraine, a small country with very limited resources, how much more if they will invade other progressive countries? we are now seeing the real capability of russia because of this war, and it is far from being superpower, that's my opinion though.

Even before the war, Russia was losing it's population at a rate of 1 million per year (this could have been even worse if there was no mass immigration of Muslims from Central Asia and Azerbaijan to Russia). A country where the population is declining at such a massive rate can never be a super power. A lot is being discussed about the population decline in Japan. But even in Japan, the population loss is in the range of 500,000 per year (despite a more elderly age structure compared to Russia). And both the countries have similar population size.
legendary
Activity: 3122
Merit: 1102
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
Too soon to say this, I think this act of Russia will obviously shake and challenge the overall dominance of the US as a superpower for once but will it immediately make Russia the new superpower is too quick to say this. I believe this might start a new cold war just in the same way as it did back after world war 2 the concept won't be capitalism or socialism this time but the opponents might be the same, US and NATO on one side while Russia, China on the other side. Then this war might go on for pretty long in a undercover manner.

because of this war, i am now not thinking that russia as the next dominant superpower. if they are, they should have conquered ukraine much earlier. but they couldn't. it is now taking months and it seems russia is now losing grip. so next superpower? that i doubt. if russia is taking this long just to get ukraine, a small country with very limited resources, how much more if they will invade other progressive countries? we are now seeing the real capability of russia because of this war, and it is far from being superpower, that's my opinion though.
legendary
Activity: 1554
Merit: 1139
Russia currently occupies that position as the next or should i say second World power ayer US although not officially accorded but, one could be left to think that. Using therr previous state of affairs to speculate if they could press on to being dominant as world power after US, that is hard to say now due to what the on going going war is taking out of them. Of course, the war got them testing there guts and the pretty much have the answer as to how the are feared by most nations, even the US inclusive. That's the more reason why the US and NATO although not directly involved in the war, looks towards what strings they could pull to weaken Russia in all ramifications. Hence, being wolrd power after the war would take such a longer time or perhaps, it would be a spot just reserved for America.
hero member
Activity: 2114
Merit: 619
Too soon to say this, I think this act of Russia will obviously shake and challenge the overall dominance of the US as a superpower for once but will it immediately make Russia the new superpower is too quick to say this. I believe this might start a new cold war just in the same way as it did back after world war 2 the concept won't be capitalism or socialism this time but the opponents might be the same, US and NATO on one side while Russia, China on the other side. Then this war might go on for pretty long in a undercover manner.
legendary
Activity: 3752
Merit: 1864
Let me ask a very simple question. But first, a little introduction. What is a superpower? The largest in area? Hardly. Maybe a country with a large population? Also no. Or maybe this is the country that has the most, for example, deposits of granite or peat or coal? Definitely not... Hmm... But what makes a country a SUPERPOWER!?
I will give my opinion. A superpower is a set of characteristics that includes:
1. The economic strength of the country. In relation to other market players. The dependence of other countries on the economy of this country. Financial dependency. The ability of the country to solve its financial problems or to continue its full existence even in a difficult economic situation caused by third-party stressful situations.
2. Political world "weight". The ability to influence global and local processes (inside and outside the country). The respect or compulsion of other countries to comply with the political requests of this country.
3. Definitely - technological maturity. In the largest possible areas - military, medical, agricultural, banking, and many others.
4. Army. Quality, equipment, technology, modern weapons, motivation of soldiers, the ability of the military-industrial complex to work in difficult conditions and the ability to meet the demand of the army in the event of a global military conflict, a system of defense measures and decisions, training of the civilian population, ....
5. Education
6. Medicine
7. ....
Here you can add many more criteria, maybe I missed something from the most important ones.

And the actual question, or rather 2:
1. Do you agree with such a selection of criteria (I repeat once again - most likely not all are listed here, but the most significant, in my opinion), to assess compliance with the status of a "superpower"

If yes:
2. "What side" can Russia get here?
If not:
2. Describe your criteria that correspond to the status of "superpower"?
hero member
Activity: 2156
Merit: 575
They could try, they have been pretty powerful for many decades now, at least around 70 years if not more. So I am pretty sure that they would still be good, the world war two was in 1940's and thats 80 years ago and they were quite important on beating Nazis, much bigger impact that USA that came in very late when Nazis already started to fall back from Russia. All in all, Russia could stay as a powerful nation, disliked and hated because of how terrible they treat the whole world, including themselves as well, and wished upon to be a better nation without Putin but whoever they find usually ends up like him anyway.
hero member
Activity: 1974
Merit: 534
I don't really see how Russia could rise to become the dominate superpower any time soon. The Russia Ukraine war has negative effects on the whole world and in particular on Russia. It's just a matter of time for the sanctions from the West to hit the Russian economy. Global trade is important for any nation, and being left out will have negative implications. One big aspect is the missing access to technologies. Russia will struggle to get access again to all the technologies Western countries use. Another issue is the reduction of energy imports from Russia. It's just a matter of time for European countries to use alternative energy sources. All this will hurt Russia and they will fall behind China and the West in terms of economic growth.
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