Author

Topic: [XMR] Monero Speculation - page 1247. (Read 3314316 times)

legendary
Activity: 1624
Merit: 1008
July 10, 2016, 12:10:33 PM
Someone please explain the "aminorex/XMR bullish correlation" to me?  I've never heard of that particular Trend Analysis technique!

When there is a bull run and aminorex makes supportive comments about it some people correlate that to a dump in the near future.

It may be true or it may be bias stemming from the fact that some people give credence to what he says as well as the fact that every bull run inevitably ends with a dump.

As far as aminorex's most recent prediction of 0.005>0.006 in August, I don't feel it without some other specific news.  Then again last month I said that something would happen in 3 months which is September so August is close.  I remind every one I know nothing.  Then again we all know something is happening "soon" or in 2 weeks, whichever comes first  Grin Grin Grin

Welcome Jon, will you make monero king of the seven kingdom ? or maybe make it the only true god  Grin Grin

When I read your post I draw a complete blank.  In regards to the bolded, it's the same as saying it's only speculation.  Just don't want people to listen to me merely because I'm "legendary"  Tongue

In other news; after posting here yesterday it seems I talked myself into buying more today. Shocked 
hero member
Activity: 560
Merit: 501
July 10, 2016, 09:03:54 AM
Someone please explain the "aminorex/XMR bullish correlation" to me?  I've never heard of that particular Trend Analysis technique!

When there is a bull run and aminorex makes supportive comments about it some people correlate that to a dump in the near future.

It may be true or it may be bias stemming from the fact that some people give credence to what he says as well as the fact that every bull run inevitably ends with a dump.

As far as aminorex's most recent prediction of 0.005>0.006 in August, I don't feel it without some other specific news.  Then again last month I said that something would happen in 3 months which is September so August is close.  I remind every one I know nothing.  Then again we all know something is happening "soon" or in 2 weeks, whichever comes first  Grin Grin Grin

Welcome Jon, will you make monero king of the seven kingdom ? or maybe make it the only true god  Grin Grin
legendary
Activity: 2492
Merit: 1491
LEALANA Bitcoin Grim Reaper
July 10, 2016, 05:52:08 AM
 Sorry but I forgot whether RingCT needs a hard fork.  

I believe it does require a HF.

Believing is not knowing.

Yes and that was the purpose of my statement to make sure to present my view as it could be possibly wrong as I am no expert on monero entirely.

I did carefully read the RingCT white paper by Shen and from what I gathered from all the math, it does require a HF....and yes I BELIEVE.  Tongue

 Kiss

What do you KNOW?
legendary
Activity: 1092
Merit: 1000
July 10, 2016, 05:50:39 AM
 Sorry but I forgot whether RingCT needs a hard fork.  

I believe it does require a HF.

Believing is not knowing.
legendary
Activity: 2492
Merit: 1491
LEALANA Bitcoin Grim Reaper
July 10, 2016, 05:48:22 AM
 Sorry but I forgot whether RingCT needs a hard fork.  

I believe it does require a HF.
hero member
Activity: 687
Merit: 500
novag
July 10, 2016, 03:46:41 AM
where can i see the volume of xmr on bitsq?

On poloniex.
sr. member
Activity: 308
Merit: 250
July 09, 2016, 06:38:44 PM
where can i see the volume of xmr on bitsq?
legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 1141
July 09, 2016, 06:26:44 PM
As far as aminorex's most recent prediction of 0.005>0.006 in August, I don't feel it without some other specific news.  Then again last month I said that something would happen in 3 months which is September so August is close.  I remind every one I know nothing.  Then again we all know something is happening "soon" or in 2 weeks, whichever comes first  Grin Grin Grin

If bitcoin would go to 300$ again, would this be enough news to have Monero 'moon' to 0.006?

That would be a real btc bear market so if that is the btc price I wouldn't count on that being the Monero price.  Ofc it depends on why.

I just remembered why I originally said September.  There is a hard fork scheduled for September.  The ever present dangling carrot of the GUI alluded to with the timely code words  Grin which doesn't need a hard fork, as well as RingCT which will happen this year.  Sorry but I forgot whether RingCT needs a hard fork.  A have a vague memory that it does and that it should be ready in time.

Edit:  to me Monero moon is predicated on Monero strength not btc weakness.

It does, it's a consensus change.
legendary
Activity: 1624
Merit: 1008
July 09, 2016, 05:44:23 PM
As far as aminorex's most recent prediction of 0.005>0.006 in August, I don't feel it without some other specific news.  Then again last month I said that something would happen in 3 months which is September so August is close.  I remind every one I know nothing.  Then again we all know something is happening "soon" or in 2 weeks, whichever comes first  Grin Grin Grin

If bitcoin would go to 300$ again, would this be enough news to have Monero 'moon' to 0.006?

That would be a real btc bear market so if that is the btc price I wouldn't count on that being the Monero price.  Ofc it depends on why.

I just remembered why I originally said September.  There is a hard fork scheduled for September.  The ever present dangling carrot of the GUI alluded to with the timely code words  Grin which doesn't need a hard fork, as well as RingCT which will happen this year.  Sorry but I forgot whether RingCT needs a hard fork.  A have a vague memory that it does and that it should be ready in time.

Edit:  to me Monero moon is predicated on Monero strength not btc weakness.

I believe he is speaking in relation to and assuming inverse proportionality with his question.

Yes but as aminorex said, 300 won't happen.  As far as inverse proportionality, again it depends on how and why the movements.  Bottom line, no matter where btc goes, in the long run Monero's price relative to btc will be higher.  .....and yet recently I have been buying more btc than Monero.  I guess I was looking at inverse proportionality which did recently last for a little while and then ended.  I kept waiting for Monero to go down and look where we are now Smiley  This has made me start to re evaluate when to add to my Monero stash.  Doesn't seem I have much time to decide.


I appreciate the clarity and breadth of aminorex's posts, something I am incapable of.  Also when his posts are convoluted there is more hidden there as well. Cool
legendary
Activity: 1596
Merit: 1030
Sine secretum non libertas
July 09, 2016, 05:16:34 PM
If BTC were to drop to 300usd, which it won't do, but if, I would expect XMR to rise disproportionately. Depending on the reason and the time taken, 1200k seems more likely than 600k by dead reckoning.

You could easily use the historical moneyflows from ETH and from BTC in past plunges and crises to do a principled estimate, but since this is not a realistic scenario, I am not motivated to do it.  If there were an efficient options market, I would be tempted to do a lot of marginal scenario analyses.

I am pretty sure we'll see both XMR 400k and BTC 750$ within a month.  ETH support at 1500k has been tested twice but I still think it tests 1000k before the September hard fork. 



legendary
Activity: 3836
Merit: 4969
Doomed to see the future and unable to prevent it
July 09, 2016, 04:23:47 PM
As far as aminorex's most recent prediction of 0.005>0.006 in August, I don't feel it without some other specific news.  Then again last month I said that something would happen in 3 months which is September so August is close.  I remind every one I know nothing.  Then again we all know something is happening "soon" or in 2 weeks, whichever comes first  Grin Grin Grin

If bitcoin would go to 300$ again, would this be enough news to have Monero 'moon' to 0.006?

That would be a real btc bear market so if that is the btc price I wouldn't count on that being the Monero price.  Ofc it depends on why.

I just remembered why I originally said September.  There is a hard fork scheduled for September.  The ever present dangling carrot of the GUI alluded to with the timely code words  Grin which doesn't need a hard fork, as well as RingCT which will happen this year.  Sorry but I forgot whether RingCT needs a hard fork.  A have a vague memory that it does and that it should be ready in time.

Edit:  to me Monero moon is predicated on Monero strength not btc weakness.

I believe he is speaking in relation to and assuming inverse proportionality with his question.
legendary
Activity: 1624
Merit: 1008
July 09, 2016, 03:44:51 PM
As far as aminorex's most recent prediction of 0.005>0.006 in August, I don't feel it without some other specific news.  Then again last month I said that something would happen in 3 months which is September so August is close.  I remind every one I know nothing.  Then again we all know something is happening "soon" or in 2 weeks, whichever comes first  Grin Grin Grin

If bitcoin would go to 300$ again, would this be enough news to have Monero 'moon' to 0.006?

That would be a real btc bear market so if that is the btc price I wouldn't count on that being the Monero price.  Ofc it depends on why.

I just remembered why I originally said September.  There is a hard fork scheduled for September.  The ever present dangling carrot of the GUI alluded to with the timely code words  Grin which doesn't need a hard fork, as well as RingCT which will happen this year.  Sorry but I forgot whether RingCT needs a hard fork.  A have a vague memory that it does and that it should be ready in time.

Edit:  to me Monero moon is predicated on Monero strength not btc weakness.
legendary
Activity: 3836
Merit: 4969
Doomed to see the future and unable to prevent it
July 09, 2016, 02:51:05 PM
As far as aminorex's most recent prediction of 0.005>0.006 in August, I don't feel it without some other specific news.  Then again last month I said that something would happen in 3 months which is September so August is close.  I remind every one I know nothing.  Then again we all know something is happening "soon" or in 2 weeks, whichever comes first  Grin Grin Grin

If bitcoin would go to 300$ again, would this be enough news to have Monero 'moon' to 0.006?

I would say more like .005 but yes it is finally getting the respect it deserves. What lousy timing for me for ETH to fail at this point when I supported so many years and have divested all CC sans a few failed projects I tried to support. :|
legendary
Activity: 2242
Merit: 3523
Flippin' burgers since 1163.
July 09, 2016, 02:48:37 PM
As far as aminorex's most recent prediction of 0.005>0.006 in August, I don't feel it without some other specific news.  Then again last month I said that something would happen in 3 months which is September so August is close.  I remind every one I know nothing.  Then again we all know something is happening "soon" or in 2 weeks, whichever comes first  Grin Grin Grin

If bitcoin would go to 300$ again, would this be enough news to have Monero 'moon' to 0.006?
legendary
Activity: 3836
Merit: 4969
Doomed to see the future and unable to prevent it
July 09, 2016, 02:38:48 PM
Someone please explain the "aminorex/XMR bullish correlation" to me?  I've never heard of that particular Trend Analysis technique!

When there is a bull run and aminorex makes supportive comments about it some people correlate that to a dump in the near future.

It may be true or it may be bias stemming from the fact that some people give credence to what he says as well as the fact that every bull run inevitably ends with a dump.

As far as aminorex's most recent prediction of 0.005>0.006 in August, I don't feel it without some other specific news.  Then again last month I said that something would happen in 3 months which is September so August is close.  I remind every one I know nothing.  Then again we all know something is happening "soon" or in 2 weeks, whichever comes first  Grin Grin Grin

Listen to this guy, I've never seen anything but honest posts from him.
legendary
Activity: 1624
Merit: 1008
July 09, 2016, 02:37:22 PM
Someone please explain the "aminorex/XMR bullish correlation" to me?  I've never heard of that particular Trend Analysis technique!

When there is a bull run and aminorex makes supportive comments about it some people correlate that to a dump in the near future.

It may be true or it may be bias stemming from the fact that some people give credence to what he says as well as the fact that every bull run inevitably ends with a dump.

As far as aminorex's most recent prediction of 0.005>0.006 in August, I don't feel it without some other specific news.  Then again last month I said that something would happen in 3 months which is September so August is close.  I remind every one I know nothing.  Then again we all know something is happening "soon" or in 2 weeks, whichever comes first  Grin Grin Grin
legendary
Activity: 3836
Merit: 4969
Doomed to see the future and unable to prevent it
July 09, 2016, 02:35:05 PM
Someone please explain the "aminorex/XMR bullish correlation" to me?  I've never heard of that particular Trend Analysis technique!

#1 rule in CC

Never depend on a correlation or trend the markets are too small.

Do you think this would give you an edge? Lol

It would be used against you at the worst possible time. These people are pro's.

Damn I should stop with the free advice but I'm just too honest for my own good. I'd be rich if I was a sellout. Cheesy
full member
Activity: 227
Merit: 100
July 09, 2016, 02:11:13 PM
Someone please explain the "aminorex/XMR bullish correlation" to me?  I've never heard of that particular Trend Analysis technique!
hero member
Activity: 742
Merit: 501
July 09, 2016, 10:05:38 AM
First intraday support band for XMR looks like 260k-270k range.  Second support 248k, and third support 228k.  Such a wild ride!

Of course on a daily or weekly basis, it's still in a confirmed uptrend.  That won't change any time soon unless it breaks all intraday support levels, hard, with a bullet, which is a <1% chance.

My guess is that we make new 2016 highs in August, somewhere between 500k and 600k. 


Dump expected?

Normally I don't quote trolls like you, but ever since the aminorex/XMR bullish correlation was discovered a few months ago, I have to say this might be coming but not in a large scale this time around  Wink. I don't think we revisit 250k at all again for any reason. Monero awareness is on the up and up ...
legendary
Activity: 2282
Merit: 1050
Monero Core Team
July 09, 2016, 10:01:09 AM
Hash Rate is rising Price too!

I believe from past experience hash rate follows price. Not the other way around.

yeah and then we all know what happens after the hashrate spikes after a price spike, when all them opportunistic miners find themselves with boatloads of monero.....

.....pump?

More like dump. If there is a sudden sharp rise in the value of an asset, then there is typically a correction after the rise. This however has little to do with POW mining in general or Monero in particular.  
Jump to: