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Topic: Yet another analyst :) - page 9. (Read 269594 times)

legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1018
July 15, 2013, 06:24:06 PM

Just adding my voice to the "Don't stop posting, don't get rid of this thread" choir.


And would like to ask, since you're quite fond of the 1d SMA200, what your opinion is about the possibility that this




will end up like this





i.e. whether you think it is likely that we got one bump up from the SMA, but break right through it ~4 weeks later, in a repeat of 2011.

That looks accurate
legendary
Activity: 1470
Merit: 1007
July 15, 2013, 06:13:28 PM

Just adding my voice to the "Don't stop posting, don't get rid of this thread" choir.


And would like to ask, since you're quite fond of the 1d SMA200, what your opinion is about the possibility that this




will end up like this





i.e. whether you think it is likely that we got one bump up from the SMA, but break right through it ~4 weeks later, in a repeat of 2011.
legendary
Activity: 2408
Merit: 1009
Legen -wait for it- dary
July 15, 2013, 06:08:25 PM
Sure will see. But I see here a lot of reversal patterns... Starting from hourly inverted H&S (already shown somewhere above) and more



Hey, lucif! Do you have your SC set up correctly? Neither my SierraChart or Bitcoincharts shows a doji for last week. The only doji I see is this current week and the triangle C was close.
sr. member
Activity: 462
Merit: 250
Clown prophet
July 15, 2013, 05:21:15 PM
Sure will see. But I see here a lot of reversal patterns... Starting from hourly inverted H&S (already shown somewhere above) and more

hero member
Activity: 509
Merit: 564
"In Us We Trust"
July 15, 2013, 05:15:35 PM
I've got a feeling it will bounce off the top of this channel and head back down to 70's. We shall see!

sr. member
Activity: 462
Merit: 250
Clown prophet
July 15, 2013, 05:04:08 PM
Short buy everything below $70.

Daily sma 200 should rebound.
MA200 rocks! Sweet MA200... What a beauty

sr. member
Activity: 462
Merit: 250
Clown prophet
July 15, 2013, 04:45:09 PM
That was count I traded before. It was perfect until few days ago. Each day price stays above green line I trust it less and less.

legendary
Activity: 1666
Merit: 1057
Marketing manager - GO MP
July 15, 2013, 04:41:53 PM
Yes we all like to do that but deep down everybody expects a particular outcome.
sr. member
Activity: 462
Merit: 250
Clown prophet
July 15, 2013, 04:36:40 PM
I am not bullish or bearish. I just more like to catch bottoms rather tops. However I catch well both. Hehe.
legendary
Activity: 1666
Merit: 1057
Marketing manager - GO MP
July 15, 2013, 04:34:15 PM
Congratulations you've become bullish! Grin
sr. member
Activity: 462
Merit: 250
Clown prophet
July 15, 2013, 04:27:11 PM
So since there was no breakout of triangle, and since triangle continues and I don't know whether its bullish or bearish... I introduce my new count candidate - ping/pong triangle. Hehe. That is something new in trading.



sr. member
Activity: 462
Merit: 250
Clown prophet
July 15, 2013, 04:07:59 PM
And yes, I increase its probability to 50% since last impulse from $65 harmed off most bearish picture.
sr. member
Activity: 462
Merit: 250
Clown prophet
July 15, 2013, 04:04:36 PM
Like I said,

You should laugh, but I have a feeling, based on special subset of my indicators, which says that my short buy @~65 may transform into long position. 30% probability estimation.

This feeling still didn't leave me.
sr. member
Activity: 462
Merit: 250
Clown prophet
July 15, 2013, 04:00:18 PM
Yeah, that were the times when I thought I can manipulate market by trolling, I got my first 20 ignores and lost 70% of my capital hehe. I wasn't right, market punished me. That is why I don't believe in Manipulator anymore Wink

If I don't mistake, I see a bold fractal from December 2012. That was it, here I started this thread:



And now

sr. member
Activity: 516
Merit: 283
July 15, 2013, 03:41:26 PM
Unfortunately I'll have to close this forum account (lucif) soon along with this thread.
newbie
Activity: 46
Merit: 0
July 15, 2013, 03:39:33 PM
Just popping in to say I also enjoy this thread.
+1

Keep posting lucif, this thread sparked my interest in TA and I've learned a lot from you!

A few days ago I was just wondering why your ignore button was so bright... I still have no idea why so many people put you into ignore; I'm curious to know that, but I've never weighted your posts based on that thing! Actually, apart from the curiosity about "why", I never cared.
Also this. Thanks Rampion for telling the story behind this mystery.

Anyway, just wanted to point out that there's probably lot of people like me who appreciate what you're doing although not taking actively part in the conversation!
sr. member
Activity: 335
Merit: 255
Counterparty Developer
July 15, 2013, 01:42:28 PM

I'm a regular of this thread because right or wrong I always enjoyed it.

+1

This thread will be missed by a lot of people!
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1018
July 15, 2013, 12:46:19 PM
A few days ago I was just wondering why your ignore button was so bright... I still have no idea why so many people put you into ignore; I'm curious to know that, but I've never weighted your posts based on that thing! Actually, apart from the curiosity about "why", I never cared.


Well, lucif has always been a fun read, but there were times in which his ultra-bearish analysis was not welcomed... And to be honest, almost always wrong. For example, check the posts in this thread from mid January onwards, he was ultra bear while the price was consistently going UP UP UP, there were quite a few flamewars in here, if I don't remember it wrong the "blue guy" and cypher even wanted to remove him from their subscription services Cheesy

Lucif was wrong for a long time on his analysis, but at least always provided TA insights that supported bearish scenarios, which was something that we totally lacked in this community, which is ultra-bullish by definition. He went a little bit extreme tough, I remember how he always wrote about this being "the doomsday thread", where only bearish analysis had space... No bullish counts allowed Cheesy And this while Bitcoin was at the doors a huge run-up to $266 Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

Maybe that had something to do with his glaring ignore button Wink

Don't be offended lucif, I'm a regular of this thread because right or wrong I always enjoyed it. While you were a bear in Jan-Feb I held like a mofo regardless of what you said, but I learnt a lot of TA and EW.

hero member
Activity: 630
Merit: 500
Bitgoblin
July 15, 2013, 12:19:49 PM
A few days ago I was just wondering why your ignore button was so bright... I still have no idea why so many people put you into ignore; I'm curious to know that, but I've never weighted your posts based on that thing! Actually, apart from the curiosity about "why", I never cared.
hero member
Activity: 826
Merit: 508
July 15, 2013, 11:48:31 AM
Unfortunately I'll have to close this forum account (lucif) soon along with this thread.

Say it ain't so!  Undecided
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