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Topic: Yet another analyst :) - page 6. (Read 269579 times)

sr. member
Activity: 462
Merit: 250
Clown prophet
July 29, 2013, 09:31:23 AM
So you think if the 4k wall @100 disappeared it would not affect price action? Disappeared, not sold into.
They never act as price support or resistance.
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
July 29, 2013, 09:27:22 AM
If during the next days the whale buyer (who seems to be resting today) will buy another 50k BTC up to 120$ (that's 28k + resistance),
the BTC for sale (in orders at least) on MtGox will drop below 40k, similar to the April bubble spike.
Walls never were support/resistance, man.

So you think if the 4k wall @100 disappeared it would not affect price action? Disappeared, not sold into.
sr. member
Activity: 462
Merit: 250
Clown prophet
July 29, 2013, 09:24:19 AM
If during the next days the whale buyer (who seems to be resting today) will buy another 50k BTC up to 120$ (that's 28k + resistance),
the BTC for sale (in orders at least) on MtGox will drop below 40k, similar to the April bubble spike.
Walls never were support/resistance, man.
legendary
Activity: 2170
Merit: 1094
July 29, 2013, 09:21:26 AM
Well, yes, math fail, but my thought process was different. This last 'whale buy' was accompanied later by several 'dolphin buys' that
moved the market up significantly after the whale buy (didn't happen before). I expect this to happen again and stronger after the next whale buy.
legendary
Activity: 896
Merit: 1000
July 29, 2013, 09:02:16 AM
If during the next days the whale buyer (who seems to be resting today) will buy another 50k BTC up to 120$ (that's 28k + resistance),
the BTC for sale (in orders at least) on MtGox will drop below 40k, similar to the April bubble spike.

Math fail?

89k-28k=61k

"resistance" obviously does not reduce coins on orderbook.
legendary
Activity: 2170
Merit: 1094
July 29, 2013, 07:17:04 AM
If during the next days the whale buyer (who seems to be resting today) will buy another 50k BTC up to 120$ (that's 28k + resistance),
the BTC for sale (in orders at least) on MtGox will drop below 40k, similar to the April bubble spike.
hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 1000
July 29, 2013, 07:05:39 AM
Divergence on the hourly is a typical way to confirm a local top or that a correction is coming. It works in most other markets, but since most Bitcoin 'traders' have a "TA doesn't work" OR "Who cares, I'm buying!" mentality. No one cares, and the divergence can go on for a while. That's part of the reason why there aren't periodic corrections. Bitcoin traders have too much emotion which leads to retarded bubbles and devastating bursts (reverse bubbles?). So I agree with the replies above mine that you need to use a longer chart period to find these divergences to make effective trading decisions.
/witch hunt mode on

BURN HIM ALIVE

/witch hunt mode off

Are we going to toss him onto the same fire that Blitz has been thrown onto by the angry mob ? Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1000
chaos is fun...…damental :)
July 29, 2013, 06:51:20 AM
Divergence on the hourly is a typical way to confirm a local top or that a correction is coming. It works in most other markets, but since most Bitcoin 'traders' have a "TA doesn't work" OR "Who cares, I'm buying!" mentality. No one cares, and the divergence can go on for a while. That's part of the reason why there aren't periodic corrections. Bitcoin traders have too much emotion which leads to retarded bubbles and devastating bursts (reverse bubbles?). So I agree with the replies above mine that you need to use a longer chart period to find these divergences to make effective trading decisions.
/witch hunt mode on

BURN HIM ALIVE

/witch hunt mode off
legendary
Activity: 2408
Merit: 1009
Legen -wait for it- dary
July 29, 2013, 06:05:19 AM
Divergence on the hourly is a typical way to confirm a local top or that a correction is coming. It works in most other markets, but since most Bitcoin 'traders' have a "TA doesn't work" OR "Who cares, I'm buying!" mentality. No one cares, and the divergence can go on for a while. That's part of the reason why there aren't periodic corrections. Bitcoin traders have too much emotion which leads to retarded bubbles and devastating bursts (reverse bubbles?). So I agree with the replies above mine that you need to use a longer chart period to find these divergences to make effective trading decisions.
sr. member
Activity: 462
Merit: 250
Clown prophet
July 29, 2013, 04:53:19 AM
How about these divergences? This is the only thing that keeps me from buying..
Bullish and bearish divs oftenly fail on hourly candles in bitcoin. They get some power only when they become multiple (from 3 divs in a row) and very noticeable.
legendary
Activity: 1834
Merit: 1019
July 29, 2013, 03:08:44 AM
How about these divergences? This is the only thing that keeps me from buying..


man that's 60 minutes all that is relevant for  few days max 1 week

can we do everyone here a favor when forecasting price points/ranges to denote your time frame?

timeframe: two weeks

legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1000
chaos is fun...…damental :)
July 29, 2013, 03:07:01 AM
How about these divergences? This is the only thing that keeps me from buying..


man that's 60 minutes all that is relevant for  few days max 1 week
Leo
member
Activity: 620
Merit: 10
Trident Protocol | Simple «buy-hold-earn» system!
July 28, 2013, 06:01:28 PM
How about these divergences? This is the only thing that keeps me from buying..

hero member
Activity: 630
Merit: 500
Bitgoblin
July 28, 2013, 01:35:19 PM
Anyway: in the movie this banker-asshole says something along the lines of: "fuck our customers,... SELL IT ALL. this is about the survival of this firm, I couldn't care less about these customers". next secene is executives yelling order to trading room: "tell customers to buy and sell it all".
Pretty much the same scene in Margin Call.
legendary
Activity: 1274
Merit: 1000
July 28, 2013, 11:13:42 AM
This still can happen.


Thats one of my options too, but since SPX is on rally mode again, maybe btc will get some of the Uncle ben's helicopter money.
sr. member
Activity: 462
Merit: 250
Clown prophet
July 28, 2013, 10:55:00 AM
This still can happen.

So since there was no breakout of triangle, and since triangle continues and I don't know whether its bullish or bearish... I introduce my new count candidate - ping/pong triangle. Hehe. That is something new in trading.




legendary
Activity: 1274
Merit: 1000
July 28, 2013, 10:38:57 AM
No miracle? Okay...

I think the miracle is on the making.
sr. member
Activity: 462
Merit: 250
Clown prophet
July 26, 2013, 10:46:40 PM
No miracle? Okay...
donator
Activity: 2772
Merit: 1019
July 26, 2013, 05:20:07 PM
http://www.businessinsider.com/jpmorgans-tom-lee-raises-sp-500-target-2013-7

JPMorgan's Tom Lee Now Has The Most Bullish Stock Market Forecast On Wall Street.

I guess JP Morgan needs to close positions. As Goldman Sachs lied to clients with bullish forecasts before gold correction.

I just watched an incredibly flat, but earily realistic movie about a guy killing bankers after realizing he got screwed over bad by his broker, employer, government, health insurance, and tptb in general and his wife commited suicide because she couldn't take the guilt of having cancer and causing him to have to pay outrageously high medical bills. That movie was called "Aussault on Wall Street". I didn't know wether to laugh or cry.

Anyway: in the movie this banker-asshole says something along the lines of: "fuck our customers,... SELL IT ALL. this is about the survival of this firm, I couldn't care less about these customers". next secene is executives yelling order to trading room: "tell customers to buy and sell it all".

So based on what both this movie and lucif say JPMorgan is trying to get rid of their stock.

SELL SELL SELL Wink

sr. member
Activity: 462
Merit: 250
Clown prophet
July 26, 2013, 12:40:05 PM
http://www.businessinsider.com/jpmorgans-tom-lee-raises-sp-500-target-2013-7

JPMorgan's Tom Lee Now Has The Most Bullish Stock Market Forecast On Wall Street.

I guess JP Morgan needs to close positions. As Goldman Sachs lied to clients with bullish forecasts before gold correction.
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