I'm going to make the call right now, and this isn't coming from some troll. But I believe bitcoin will hit sub $100, possibly sub $50 before anything further interesting develops. By all means, as a trader, I wish it hits $5000 or $10,000 in the next 3 days. But I just don't see exponential development in the near future... the long run, who knows though.
I mean, wall street thinks bitcoin is overbought, overpriced, unsustainable. The average citizen isn't crazy about bitcoin at all. You ask the average Joe if they plan on buying bitcoin in the future and you get a melancholy "no". You ask a smart ass in the streets about bitcoin and his answer is "the [expletivie] is that?" You explain it and his response is well that is "[expletive] stupid".
Institutions are already in on it. Speculators are looking to make a quick buck only. Then there are cultists, which is a super minority, and they believe in a whole bunch of unrealistic possibility. The problem with mass adoption is that why would someone go through all this trouble to buy bitcoins, only to spend it on a blu-ray player they could have just bought with their visa.
It seems like only select intelligent people truly believe in bitcoin, and intelligent people are few and far between in this world.
From June 2011..another person who didn't/doesn't get it and need to do their homework in order to understand.
http://www.forbes.com/sites/timworstall/2011/06/20/so-thats-the-end-of-bitcoin-then/It’s difficult to see what the currency has going for it.
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.8593755I'll add one get some good deals with Bitcoin like the Labor Day Sale at Newegg
75 dollars off 300 bucks 150 off 500 bucks is a deal ^^
http://www.newegg.ca/bitcoin
A good example of discounts..and ill add the 2.5 Billion un-banked/ under banked that can now get a Xapo card and buy on line. It is a BIG deal as our #1 domestic airline has promos/discounts (up to 66%+) every month but you can only avail if a) you buy with a card online which more than 76% of the population do not have or b) Pay at one of very few outlets with a 6 or 7 pm cut off. ( or Banks with a 4-5pm cut off and many banks have a 30min+ queue)Top 5 potential uses which are available and gaining momentum.
1 remittance abroad 540 Billion/yr market .. faster and cheaper in most cases particularly in Africa.
2 Business travelers save money when using Xapo compared to a credit/ debit card in 90% of cases
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.85541963 Allowing the unbanked to buy on line and avail of large discounts and wider choice and giving merchants a better deal
http://www.entrepreneur.com/article/2370264 allowing all and particularly the unbanked the convenience of paying bills online/via sms
https://www.google.com.ph/search?q=paying+bills+with+bitcoin&ie=utf-8&oe=utf-8&aq=t&rls=org.mozilla:en-US:official&client=firefox-a&channel=sb&gfe_rd=cr&ei=0KEKVK_TLc-CmAL_4YE45 Storing value in countries with high inflation rates/banking crises and political instability eg Ukraine/ Argentina/Cyprus.
and remember bitcoin is still very much in its infancy.