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Topic: You heard it hear 1st - page 8. (Read 14592 times)

full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
September 03, 2014, 12:18:39 AM
#11
I'm going to make the call right now, and this isn't coming from some troll.  But I believe bitcoin will hit sub $100, possibly sub $50 before anything further interesting develops.  By all means, as a trader, I wish it hits $5000 or $10,000 in the next 3 days.  But I just don't see exponential development in the near future... the long run, who knows though.  

I mean, wall street thinks bitcoin is overbought, overpriced, unsustainable.  The average citizen isn't crazy about bitcoin at all.  You ask the average Joe if they plan on buying bitcoin in the future and you get a melancholy "no".  You ask a smart ass in the streets about bitcoin and his answer is "the [expletivie] is that?"  You explain it and his response is well that is "[expletive] stupid". 

Institutions are already in on it.  Speculators are looking to make a quick buck only.  Then there are cultists, which is a super minority, and they believe in a whole bunch of unrealistic possibility.  The problem with mass adoption is that why would someone go through all this trouble to buy bitcoins, only to spend it on a blu-ray player they could have just bought with their visa.

It seems like only select intelligent people truly believe in bitcoin, and intelligent people are few and far between in this world.  

Then have you gone all in on a bitcoin short? Because if you really believe this you can make 90% return on your dollar.  Since your a "trader" and all.

I actually did exactly that this afternoon.
legendary
Activity: 2156
Merit: 1070
September 03, 2014, 12:12:06 AM
#10
I'm going to make the call right now, and this isn't coming from some troll.  But I believe bitcoin will hit sub $100, possibly sub $50 before anything further interesting develops.  By all means, as a trader, I wish it hits $5000 or $10,000 in the next 3 days.  But I just don't see exponential development in the near future... the long run, who knows though.  

I mean, wall street thinks bitcoin is overbought, overpriced, unsustainable.  The average citizen isn't crazy about bitcoin at all.  You ask the average Joe if they plan on buying bitcoin in the future and you get a melancholy "no".  You ask a smart ass in the streets about bitcoin and his answer is "the [expletivie] is that?"  You explain it and his response is well that is "[expletive] stupid". 

Institutions are already in on it.  Speculators are looking to make a quick buck only.  Then there are cultists, which is a super minority, and they believe in a whole bunch of unrealistic possibility.  The problem with mass adoption is that why would someone go through all this trouble to buy bitcoins, only to spend it on a blu-ray player they could have just bought with their visa.

It seems like only select intelligent people truly believe in bitcoin, and intelligent people are few and far between in this world.  

Then have you gone all in on a bitcoin short? Because if you really believe this you can make 90% return on your dollar.  Since your a "trader" and all.
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
September 02, 2014, 11:13:30 PM
#9
U dont get btc.  It has nev3r been about retail.  That is just icing.  Its abt international payment primarily b2b and remittance.  In the currency race to devalue countries will ztop trusting eachothers currency.  And the free nations will pick any alt to the yuan.

i don't think it's just B2B and remittance that makes bitcoin what it is. i know most here won't like hearing it, but illegal activity and semi-anonymity is a big feature of bitcoin. just take a look at the whole jennifer lawrence/celebrity leak incident. the guy on 4chan was asking for bitcoin because he would get away with supplying the pictures and receiving BTC without having to reveal his identity.
full member
Activity: 328
Merit: 100
September 02, 2014, 11:08:17 PM
#8
like Barry Silbert said, bitcoin will have a binary outcome....there will be either a total loss of principal or a very, very high return. bitcoin may seem "overpriced & overbought" now, but the market cap is very tiny compared to its potential if bitcoin is widely adopted. people love to debate $300 vs $400 vs $500 for short term, but in a few years these price ranges won't be relevant or discussed (0-$10 or over 1k). unfortunately i think if your right about the price dropping as low as sub $50, it would be a fatal blow for bitcoin and confidence for recovery/mass adoption.


full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
September 02, 2014, 11:01:46 PM
#7
More or less correct. It has a lot of utility for black market applications and international remittance (especially if the price stabilizes... but at the same time if the price stabilizes then it cuts into the exchange aspect of it all).

There is also the expectation problem. If the price jumped dramatically, but not quite so exponentially due to Gox driving up the price then reaching a new ATH would not seem so far out of reach and a sustainable cycling up would seem more plausible. At this juncture, however, bag holders would be thrilled to see $600, again... we have a lot of people who no longer believe and are, more or less, looking for a respectable, face-saving exit point.

So, yea, going long would be insane and staying in is ok if you have a crypto fetish with the hope of maybe showing your kids that once upon a time you had a stake in this bold and crazy idea. It's not worthless and it is cool... but that doesn't mean, at least in terms of price, that the s--- isn't going to hit the fan.
sr. member
Activity: 541
Merit: 362
Rules not Rulers
September 02, 2014, 10:33:40 PM
#6
BTC is for the poor, not the rich. I travel to india quite a bit, and people there are just starting to get it. 6 -12 month fluctuations are irrelevant. It's time is coming, in the short term in may not make a bunch of lazy assholes super rich like they were planning, but it will full fill its promise.
legendary
Activity: 1652
Merit: 1483
September 02, 2014, 10:28:30 PM
#5
U dont get btc.  It has nev3r been about retail.  That is just icing.  Its abt international payment primarily b2b and remittance.  In the currency race to devalue countries will ztop trusting eachothers currency.  And the free nations will pick any alt to the yuan.

fair enough. what makes BTC the obvious alternative? in theory, i could see BTC being used for international settlement of accounts. but in practice, i see no reason why it is the obvious answer.
legendary
Activity: 1246
Merit: 1010
September 02, 2014, 10:19:37 PM
#4
U dont get btc.  It has nev3r been about retail.  That is just icing.  Its abt international payment primarily b2b and remittance.  In the currency race to devalue countries will ztop trusting eachothers currency.  And the free nations will pick any alt to the yuan.
member
Activity: 152
Merit: 10
https://eloncity.io/
September 02, 2014, 09:57:54 PM
#3
Some exceptionally mediocre members here believe in bitcoin too. You don't have to be a supreme intelligent being to believe. I would also disagree about the cultist part. There is a huge cultist following present here.
member
Activity: 87
Merit: 10
September 02, 2014, 09:48:53 PM
#2
You are one intelligent man
legendary
Activity: 1274
Merit: 1000
The Golden Rule Rules
September 02, 2014, 09:44:47 PM
#1
I'm going to make the call right now, and this isn't coming from some troll.  But I believe bitcoin will hit sub $100, possibly sub $50 before anything further interesting develops.  By all means, as a trader, I wish it hits $5000 or $10,000 in the next 3 days.  But I just don't see exponential development in the near future... the long run, who knows though.  

I mean, wall street thinks bitcoin is overbought, overpriced, unsustainable.  The average citizen isn't crazy about bitcoin at all.  You ask the average Joe if they plan on buying bitcoin in the future and you get a melancholy "no".  You ask a smart ass in the streets about bitcoin and his answer is "the [expletivie] is that?"  You explain it and his response is well that is "[expletive] stupid".  

Institutions are already in on it.  Speculators are looking to make a quick buck only.  Then there are cultists, which is a super minority, and they believe in a whole bunch of unrealistic possibility.  The problem with mass adoption is that why would someone go through all this trouble to buy bitcoins, only to spend it on a blu-ray player they could have just bought with their visa.

It seems like only select intelligent people truly believe in bitcoin, and intelligent people are few and far between in this world.  
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