Topic: 2022–23 PBA Commissioner's Cup - page 24. (Read 100320 times)

Part of the game bro so better luck next time and by the way thanks for those tips as i managed to tail on one of your bets. Betted on Phoenix under 103.5 @1.97.


Surely i will tail you on the SMB Beermen -4.5 as SMB is my favorite team in the PBA.

These were my picks yesterday, but I was unlucky with the ones I changed***they ended up losing. If I hadn't changed my picks, I would've hit 4 out of 6, still profitable. It's tough predicting these line movements, haha... For now, I'll stay away from live movements and stick to early lines, then make my predictions.

So last night, I already analyzed the games. These are my early leans (I won't change them anymore). Fade or follow, folks, but hopefully, we're all on the same page this time.

Final Picks:
TNT -16.5 and Over 204.5 for the first game.
San Miguel -4.5 and Over 221.5 for the second game.

Thanks! I just got lucky that time, but there are days when luck isn't on my side. Since I was lucky last night, let's keep it going today...



Exactly! All we can do is move on to the next game, don’t get emotional, and just keep the discipline with bankroll management.
Stay focused!


Wish granted, LOL!

I won’t include the betting odds or market since you can check that yourselves, but here are my early leans. I’ll update later if there are any suspicious line movements.

For the first game, I’m going with Meralco because Converge has been inconsistent, and I heard they have a new import, which could cause some chemistry issues. Plus, Meralco is slowly getting their players back, which should improve their defense. I think Meralco will control the pace of the game, so my picks are:

Meralco -6.5
Under 204.5 ( due to line movement, this will be changed to over 206.5)
Converge under 99.5

As for the second game, Ginebra is coming off a disappointing loss, probably the biggest in franchise history with that 49-point defeat (IIRC). I’m expecting a bounce-back here, so a double-digit win seems likely. The Fuel Masters won their last game, but in an import vs. import match-up, Brownlee has the edge.

The Phoenix import carries most of the scoring load, so if his production dips, the whole team will struggle. My picks are:
Ginebra -9.5
Under 216.5 ( changed to over 217.5)
Phoenix under 104.5

Congrats on your win bro, that's huge.

As for my bet, Ahamnissi did foiled my bet as he sunk that four point shot, that's fine for me, part of the game.

Hope you will post early your picks for tonight's game bro, will try to tail your picks as you are lucky this week  .

You’re not betting on the first game, mate, it’s Rain or Shine vs NLEX. Let me share my thoughts on the first game first. Last time NLEX played ROS, and ROS won by a big margin. I’ve noticed that NLEX is solid on offense, but their defense is really lacking. Because of that, I believe ROS will take this one, and here are my picks for the first game:

ROS -6.5 - W
ROS total over 112.5 - W
Total over 217.5 -W

As for the second game, I think it’s going to be a close one, so I’m passing on the point spread. Since both teams seem to focus more on defense, it might be a low-scoring game. So here are my bets:

Under 189.5 - W
TNT under 96.5 - W

Good luck, kabayan!

---

Just wanted to update my post with the result of my bet since the last game just finished. I had an awesome night, all my picks hit, big thanks to my guardian angel! 

To bisdak40, sorry buddy, thought you had it too, but Ahamnissi pulled off a 4-point shot in the last seconds, leaving TNT with just a 2-point victory.

To bisdak40, sorry buddy, thought you had it too, but Ahamnissi pulled off a 4-point shot in the last seconds, leaving TNT with just a 2-point victory.

Lassiter is lucky that he had Fajardo in the middle to grab those rebounds in case he miss those 3s while Fajardo is also lucky that he had Lassiter waiting in the wings in case there is a double team on him down low, they just complement each others game hehe.

Meanwhile, we had two games today and the second game between TNT and Magnolia caught my attention with TNT as a slight favorite and i think they will take this one.

My Bet: TNT -3.5 @1.88 vs Magnolia

Meanwhile, we had two games today and the second game between TNT and Magnolia caught my attention with TNT as a slight favorite and i think they will take this one.

My Bet: TNT -3.5 @1.88 vs Magnolia

Even though you have written half of your text in Italian,...............

snip

You also discussed a recent game that was not particularly competitive, with Ginebra missing key players which led to their defeat.

Finally, you mentioned an upcoming game between TNT and Magnolia, predicting TNT to win.

You asked whether I was an expert in football earlier, but could I assist you with any other information about basketball?

I forgot to highlights that record breaking achievements for Lassiter I think it take time to break that one as like Steph he still active and can add more to his own records, as long as he can still play the game we never know how many more that he can add for this new record, and the good thing breaking that win is against the heavy crowd favorite team, though not a good one as the outcome is totally a blowout game, Like what I've said a massacre where there's nothing Ginebra can do to stop the bleeding, ends up winning for those SMB fans both ML and Handicap.

I haven’t seen a consistent three-point shooter like Lassiter in a long time. It's gonna take a while for anyone to catch up, considering we're talking about three-pointers made, not just a lucky four-point play. Lassiter is fortunate to be on such a strong team, giving him more games and chances to rack up those threes. His shooting stroke is something else - he’s a streaky shooter with a fast release, and his game revolves around the three-point line. That’s why he’s hit these crazy stats and now holds the crown as the GOAT of three-point shooting, though not necessarily the GOAT of the game overall.

Last night’s game was rough though. I was expecting a closer one, especially since they’re sister teams, but with so many missing pieces, Ginebra didn’t stand a chance. Japeth was their only real shot in the paint, and he couldn’t do it all by himself. Go got injured last game, and Malonzo is still out.

Lassiter is lucky that he had Fajardo in the middle to grab those rebounds in case he miss those 3s while Fajardo is also lucky that he had Lassiter waiting in the wings in case there is a double team on him down low, they just complement each others game hehe.

Meanwhile, we had two games today and the second game between TNT and Magnolia caught my attention with TNT as a slight favorite and i think they will take this one.

My Bet: TNT -3.5 @1.88 vs Magnolia

I haven’t seen a consistent three-point shooter like Lassiter in a long time. It's gonna take a while for anyone to catch up, considering we're talking about three-pointers made, not just a lucky four-point play. Lassiter is fortunate to be on such a strong team, giving him more games and chances to rack up those threes. His shooting stroke is something else - he’s a streaky shooter with a fast release, and his game revolves around the three-point line. That’s why he’s hit these crazy stats and now holds the crown as the GOAT of three-point shooting, though not necessarily the GOAT of the game overall.

Last night’s game was rough though. I was expecting a closer one, especially since they’re sister teams, but with so many missing pieces, Ginebra didn’t stand a chance. Japeth was their only real shot in the paint, and he couldn’t do it all by himself. Go got injured last game, and Malonzo is still out.

I forgot to highlights that record breaking achievements for Lassiter I think it take time to break that one as like Steph he still active and can add more to his own records, as long as he can still play the game we never know how many more that he can add for this new record, and the good thing breaking that win is against the heavy crowd favorite team, though not a good one as the outcome is totally a blowout game, Like what I've said a massacre where there's nothing Ginebra can do to stop the bleeding, ends up winning for those SMB fans both ML and Handicap.

SMB Beermen massacred the Gin Kings with the score of 131-82, almost a 50 point blowout win for the Beermen.

Lassiter also dislodged Jimmiy Alapag from the number one spot in the all-time 3-point made records. I failed to put a bet on that game but i could have won since i'm a Beermen fan.

Almost a good comeback but run out of time, I see the eagerness but that first half run of Converge gives them that edge winning this game, it's so happen that there's a big numbers that Blackwater needs to catch up and as how the game works only one team will win, Converge secure that game and finally mark a win for this season.

The Last game is a massacre though sister team we are not sure if they are really competiting or it's just a bad shooting nght for Ginebra, unlike with SMB most of the players if not all who played really contributes decently.

The second half really turned into a high-scoring affair. You hit the total, but unfortunately missed out on the point spread. Converge finally got a win, and it came at Blackwater’s expense. I thought it was going to be a blowout, but Blackwater made a strong run in the 4th quarter- just fell short in the end. It was still an entertaining game though. Too bad for Blackwater’s import, King, who played great but couldn’t take over when it mattered most in the 4th.

Got any picks for today?

First game’s about to start in less than 10 minutes, so I’m posting my pick in case anyone wants to ride along.

Phoenix vs. Blackwater

Over 219.5 and Blackwater -7.5 ^{(raised the line a bit to get better odds).}
Wish me luck, hope this wins so we have something to bet on for the next game!