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Topic: 2022–23 PBA Commissioner's Cup - page 23. (Read 100320 times)

Fredomago

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Quote from: GreatArkansas on September 22, 2024, 07:46:07 PM

I am already afraid to bet with handicapped guys, hahaha.
Now, I will try this Multiple bet, Rain Or Shine vs BlackWaeter and Magnolia vs Converge.
I will go to Magnolia and Rain Or Shine for today's game.

I just hope they will win both and make this easy win this 1.769 odds bet.

If both played well then that odds is sweet enough as multiplier of your bet, though there's no one who can assure or can conclude the possible outcome especially when it comes to PBA which always have a rumor "hulog game" and most of the time messing up with parlay is a big risk to take place.

Gambling is always a risk just need to have that acceptance and move forward if needed, just in case things did not went well, Good luck Kabayan!

GreatArkansas

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bisdak40

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Quote from: blockman on September 22, 2024, 06:38:04 PM

It's been a while since I was on this thread. I have just noticed the thoughts of PBA motoclub about Junemar Fajardo and other legends talked about it as well that he won't get that much MVP if he's back on time where the legends like Ali Peek, Seagles, Taulava, Fernandez and other known players played on their primes. I know that this is just for a discussion and they're like comparing Jordan to Lebron but, what do you think about it folks?

We are all entitled to our own opinions, and I respect theirs on this matter. Personally, I’m a big fan of Fajardo. Despite all his achievements, he remains humble, which I greatly admire. I might be biased, but I believe Fajardo would still secure those 8 MVPs even if he played in the era of Ali Peek, Siegle, Menk, and Taulava. His footwork in the middle is exceptional, making him a tough opponent for even the likes of Peek and Taulava.

Fredomago

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Quote from: blockman on September 22, 2024, 06:38:04 PM

With that argument, it's just an opinion base and there's no correct or wrong they just voice it up and the value is none as JMF really dominates the game andife ever that there's value regarding to what JJ said it more on opinion and it wont affect anything at all, JMF is the goat and the award he recieves are all deserves awards.

It's on different perspectives and how you see the game before and the game now if that statement is valid.

blockman

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Maslate

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Anyone else bet today?

The first game wasn’t great---TNT won in a one-sided beatdown, a 20-point win. I didn’t bet on that one, still feeling the loss from last night. But for the second game, I placed a bet on the over. Unfortunately, it didn’t hit, even with overtime,, it was over 209.5. Luckily, I won a little on the 3rd quarter, betting NLEX over 26.7, but overall, still unprofitable.

Usually, they take a break every monday, but there’s still a game since the quarterfinals are near, or this could already be the start (By the way, NLEX's win today secured their spot in the QF).

Tomorrow, we have some good matchups:

Magnolia vs Converge
Rain or Shine vs Bossing

No write-ups on bets or predictions for now, I’ll study it more and share tomorrow.

Fredomago

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Quote from: Russlenat on September 21, 2024, 06:13:37 AM

Quote from: GreatArkansas on September 21, 2024, 04:55:30 AM

I'm late already in the game of SMB vs Blackwater Bossing and thanks I'm glad because there are more than 10 points Blackwater leads against SMB,

SMB is likely gonna loss, they were even down by 20 points in the 4th at some point, so I don't expect them to rally anymore.

Yup, seems that SMB after getting that secure spot seems that they don't know how to win hahaha.. kidding aside, PBA will always be PBA we really can't conclude games as even how heavy favorite the team was, chances that they'll still going to lose is possible, Grats to all kabayan who read this possible outcome that's decent for sure if you bet either handicap or ML for Bossing.

Quote from: GreatArkansas on September 21, 2024, 04:55:30 AM

but I am able to bet in over 224.5 with 2.10 odds, seems fair to me, I just bet small here. I'm not betting on Meralco Bolts versus Dyip as I can't watch the game tonight.

It’s still a bit scary since BW has a big lead now, but they should probably slow down the game to prevent getting caught up. It looks like the lines were a bit of a trap, especially for teams that have already qualified for the quarterfinals or playoffs...(not so familiar with the rules )

Yup, they just limit their shots to make sure that they are using time and in the part of SMB seems that they are not interested to win hahaha..

Russlenat

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Quote from: GreatArkansas on September 21, 2024, 04:55:30 AM

I'm late already in the game of SMB vs Blackwater Bossing and thanks I'm glad because there are more than 10 points Blackwater leads against SMB,

SMB is likely gonna loss, they were even down by 20 points in the 4th at some point, so I don't expect them to rally anymore.

Quote from: GreatArkansas on September 21, 2024, 04:55:30 AM

but I am able to bet in over 224.5 with 2.10 odds, seems fair to me, I just bet small here. I'm not betting on Meralco Bolts versus Dyip as I can't watch the game tonight.

GreatArkansas

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Quote from: Maslate on September 20, 2024, 11:12:02 PM

(.....)
SMB -7.5 and Over 226.5 for the first game.
Meralco -7.5 and Under 200.5 for the second.

I'm late already in the game of SMB vs Blackwater Bossing and thanks I'm glad because there are more than 10 points Blackwater leads against SMB,
but I am able to bet in over 224.5 with 2.10 odds, seems fair to me, I just bet small here. I'm not betting on Meralco Bolts versus Dyip as I can't watch the game tonight.

Maslate

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Quote from: Maslate on September 19, 2024, 07:14:19 PM

As usual, here are my early leans.

Phoenix +4.5
under 219.5
Magnolia -12.5
under 202.5

I went 2-2 last night, could've been 3-1 if Northport didn’t mess up in the 4th quarter, lol… they were already getting blown out, but they kept fighting. Too bad, that could’ve been an easy under… Oh well, breaks of the game, it happens. Moving on to the upcoming games, we’ve got two later:

SMB -7.5 and Over 226.5 for the first game.
Meralco -7.5 and Under 200.5 for the second.

Blackwater’s defense isn’t that good, so I’m feeling strong about the over… plus, the line moved up significantly, from 223.5 to 226.5 now, which usually signals an easy over.

As for the second game… Meralco lost last time, so I’m expecting a bounce back, maybe a blowout by 11+ points. If that’s the case, they’ll control the pace, so I’m thinking under.

Quote from: GreatArkansas on September 20, 2024, 07:21:14 PM

Whoever was able to tail my bets yesterday, good job. 2/2.

Congrats bro.

GreatArkansas

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Whoever was able to tail my bets yesterday, good job. 2/2.
During the last quarter of Magnolia Hotshots versus Batang Pier Northport, I thought my handicap (-8.5) for hotshots would be hunted, lol. They were almost able to come near to the score of Hotshots but thanks to Paul Lee, he was able to maintain the scores and assist during the last minutes of the 4th quarter.

Feel free to share guys your bet slips, I will try to bet with you also.

Fredomago

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Quote from: Maslate on September 19, 2024, 07:14:19 PM

Quote from: Maslate on September 18, 2024, 07:12:37 PM

Final Picks:
TNT -16.5 and Over 204.5 for the first game.
San Miguel -4.5 and Over 221.5 for the second game.

I was in the impression that after TNT got that disappointing loss against DYIP the 2nd game will be for the favorite, but to my surprise ROS really played well and with that running attacks they managed to beat the powerhouse SMB, though it's really a great game for as I see TR7 playing his usual routine just bad for the coaching staff allowing CJ to be a one man team, I did not watch the game today that's why I don't have any insight hahaha..

Finestream

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Quote from: Maslate on September 19, 2024, 07:14:19 PM

Phoenix +4.5
under 219.5

This is shaping up to be a low-scoring game since they only managed 91 points in total by halftime. The total live is now at 202.5, and NLEX is already leading by 17 points. Most likely, NLEX will just slow down to maintain their lead. As for the +4.5, that seems unlikely now, especially with the line at -16.5 in favor of NLEX.

Maslate

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Quote from: bisdak40 on September 19, 2024, 08:14:34 PM

Quote from: Maslate on September 19, 2024, 07:14:19 PM

As usual, here are my early leans.

Phoenix +4.5
under 219.5
Magnolia -12.5
under 202.5

I’ll back Magnolia at -12.5 since NorthPort will be without an import tonight. Vinky Jois is undergoing surgery today for the injury he sustained in the game against Meralco.

Time to bounce back indeed, good luck to us.

Thanks for the analysis, bro! This looks like a bounce-back game since they were embarrassed by TNT last time, even though TNT was undermanned but still managed to beat them. We all know Magnolia is dominant and great on defense, so that -12.5 looks like a solid pick, and maybe the under as well. Good luck to us, bro, hope this one hits!

bisdak40

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Quote from: Maslate on September 19, 2024, 07:14:19 PM

As usual, here are my early leans.

Phoenix +4.5
under 219.5
Magnolia -12.5
under 202.5

Maslate

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Quote from: Maslate on September 18, 2024, 07:12:37 PM

Final Picks:
TNT -16.5 and Over 204.5 for the first game.
San Miguel -4.5 and Over 221.5 for the second game.

The result was pretty disappointing, both TNT and SMB lost, and it felt like their games had no bearing at all. Honestly, I didn’t expect that. It would’ve been okay if they just didn’t cover the spread, but this really happened, especially with TNT being at -16.5.

Anyway, only 1 out of 4 picks hit yesterday, so it wasn’t profitable. Time to bounce back today.

As usual, here are my early leans.

Phoenix +4.5
under 219.5
Magnolia -12.5
under 202.5

GreatArkansas

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Quote from: Finestream on September 18, 2024, 09:47:04 PM

Quote from: GreatArkansas on September 18, 2024, 08:41:00 PM

Dang, Meralco Bolts lost to Converge Fiberxers yesterday, lol. I was expecting a mismatch and I even bet a handicap -5.5 for Meralco Bolts.

We lost a lot on that one. I thought with their new import, their chemistry wouldn’t be great yet, but it turns out he’s really good, especially since he’s defensive-minded, and their scoring is well-distributed.

The one who really carried Converge (though I’m not sure if he was the best player of the game) was Stockton. He’s a young local who’s great at creating his own shots. This kid is definitely going to be a superstar. Another reason Converge won was because Newsome fouled out in the 4th quarter, so Meralco couldn’t really recover. Anyway, Meralco’s already secured a spot, so maybe that’s why their effort wasn’t as strong, especially with Durham not performing well in the 1st half.

Quote from: Maslate on September 18, 2024, 10:19:08 PM

Quote from: bisdak40 on September 18, 2024, 08:02:02 PM

Quote from: Maslate on September 18, 2024, 07:12:37 PM

Final Picks:
TNT -16.5 and Over 204.5 for the first game.
San Miguel -4.5 and Over 221.5 for the second game.

Surely i will tail you on the SMB Beermen -4.5 as SMB is my favorite team in the PBA.

Glad you liked my pick! Let me check the line again. It's now at -5.5, and the total is 222.5... Looks like we got good value by betting early. Like I said, no matter how the line moves, I’ll stick with my original pick. Hope to bounce back bro as I lost a bit last night. Cry

@GreatArkansas... more force is stronger, let's get this one.

1/2, not bad, thank you for that Maslate, I will continue betting in upcoming games, I'm enjoying the games right now. The win from Rain Or Shine is unexpected, we even bet for SMB with handicap, really rollercoaster games.
Lol, even TNT with the handicap of -16.5, also lost.
Feel free to share your betslips here guys.

Here's mine for today's matches.
NLEX (-2.5) and Hotshots (-8.5)

Fredomago

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Quote from: Finestream on September 18, 2024, 09:47:04 PM

Quote from: GreatArkansas on September 18, 2024, 08:41:00 PM

Dang, Meralco Bolts lost to Converge Fiberxers yesterday, lol. I was expecting a mismatch and I even bet a handicap -5.5 for Meralco Bolts.

Maybe yes and they just rigged those who bets for them, same thing with how TNT is playing right now if DYIP win this game it's another sorry lost for those who loves doing a parlay, surely messed up with that small odds as TNT is a heavy favorite here, down by 7 points under 3 minutes, though still got lots of time but by looking how they are playing the game.. let see if upset will be completed, lucky for those risky bettors who take the ML for DYIP if they win this game.

Maslate

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