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Topic: 2022–23 PBA Commissioner's Cup - page 291. (Read 101364 times)

legendary
Activity: 2688
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August 24, 2022, 12:38:45 PM
SMB is really a powerhouse team that hard to beat in All-Filipino.

I tried placing a bet for TNT when they are behind by just 4 points in the 3rd Quarter as the odds during live bet is @5.5. That's a tempting odds. After SMB now push for a 10-point lead, TNT odds raised to @7 and but I didn't let my temptation to override me hehe.

Everything is close until the start of 4th despite it's only Pogoy who is doing good at the TNT. Hoping that he will have a good backup next game.
sr. member
Activity: 1148
Merit: 346
August 24, 2022, 08:56:53 AM
It's a big win for SMB they guarded mikey Williams very well, as I said above SMB will revenge tonight because of losing their  first game and then this game Perez, Fajardo and the rest of the team defended the deadliest weapon in TNT which is mikey willams and SMB did it and win the game even though only nine points ahead but still they are the winner. Congratulations for those who beting SMB.
legendary
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August 24, 2022, 08:20:50 AM

Still taking SMB on the next game. Coach Chot will still miss the next game because of Gilas, and Coach Leo will surely take advantage of this opportunity.

I will do the same, the momentum now is on the SMB, they have a big win tonight and that will probably continue. Mikey Williams was defended well tonight, he only managed to score 7 points from 3-10 shooting, we can tell that he was really struggling.

For the SMB, great game, they shared the ball very well, and Chris Ross though only scored 4 points but 10 assists is a great contribution.

Defending Williams makes SMB again in the dominating side, it was close and TNT manage to keep it till the last quarter but SMB move the ball well and like what you said they shared the ball and they keep finding the right person to take the shot; I like how Ross managing their offense and wow it was Perez and Manuel who leads their offense today 23 ad 20 respectively, and with Lassiter and Fajardo they really outperform TNT in this game.

Game 3 is still for SMB. I guess, though it's another bias analysis but aside from Chot Reyes is not around, SMB might already read how TNT rotates the ball they will keep abusing the weak side and will take advantage of each mismatch.
hero member
Activity: 3080
Merit: 612
August 24, 2022, 08:02:27 AM
Congratulations backers, I knew it, SMB would win and cover the point spread.

Now, going to the game 3, I think we can trust them to win or double if they'll lose. Such great chemistry they showed in this game, they really want to even the series and they did it well. As long as they can limit Mikey Williams, I guess their chance to win will increase.
sr. member
Activity: 2478
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August 24, 2022, 07:39:13 AM

Still taking SMB on the next game. Coach Chot will still miss the next game because of Gilas, and Coach Leo will surely take advantage of this opportunity.

I will do the same, the momentum now is on the SMB, they have a big win tonight and that will probably continue. Mikey Williams was defended well tonight, he only managed to score 7 points from 3-10 shooting, we can tell that he was really struggling.

For the SMB, great game, they shared the ball very well, and Chris Ross though only scored 4 points but 10 assists is a great contribution.
legendary
Activity: 2240
Merit: 1069
August 24, 2022, 07:21:13 AM
SMB didn't fail us, they will win this game and will cover the spread.

The first three quarters, it was hard to tell who's gonna win. It was a close fight up to early of the fourth quarter. I really thought that they would not be able to cover the spread. Then suddenly SMB went on a run and the lead blew to double digits. By then, even with a mini run by TNT thru Castro,  TNT was not able to catch up.

Congrats to SMB backers!

looks like by just looking at the odds, we will already know who will win, SMB got this series even, so game 3 is very crucial.
Maybe the odds will be back to -1.5 SMB, if that will happen? Which side you will take?

Still taking SMB on the next game. Coach Chot will still miss the next game because of Gilas, and Coach Leo will surely take advantage of this opportunity.
sr. member
Activity: 2828
Merit: 344
win lambo...
August 24, 2022, 07:02:18 AM
Betting odds are out, we have a very intriguing betting spread in game 2.

SMB -4.5
TNT +4.5

It looks like it's screaming that we should take the TNT, with that, it convince me more that SMB will win in game 2, not only they'll win but I'm seeing an easy cover on the spread.

There is no question that SMB might cover the handicap. Besides, they were able to get a big lead over TNT as much as 15 points in Game 1. That can probably be repeated and this time, they will be able to secure that lead in the end.

However, TNT is known for not giving up the game right away even though they were behind by a big lead. There will always be a chance that even if they will be behind again by a big lead, they can bounce back anytime and even turn the table upside down in favor of them.

SMB didn't fail us, they will win this game and will cover the spread.

looks like by just looking at the odds, we will already know who will win, SMB got this series even, so game 3 is very crucial.
Maybe the odds will be back to -1.5 SMB, if that will happen? Which side you will take?
legendary
Activity: 2576
Merit: 1655
August 24, 2022, 05:52:55 AM
Anyway, maybe it would be better if bettors will just bet during the game because there might be a chance that TNT will have a lead at the start and for sure, this will be an easy cover for SMB but anything is still possible. We might see a 2-0 after Game 2 but I don't think that SMB will allow that to happen. I think not having Coach Chot in Game 2 will be a huge factor on SMB's win. Yes we can say that the TNT still has other coaches but they are still different on how Coach Chot is coaching his players. I will not be surprised if this will end up in a double digit lead win for the SMB.

Yeah, live betting would be a good idea if you don't like the spread because TNT at one time took a 7 or 8 point lead and the odds for SMB to win were above 2 at that time but then again it's a gamble that might not pay off.

End of the first half and the score is tied at 51 apiece and it seems to me that this will be a close game until the final buzzer so whoever got the positive handicap on either team might win their bets.

For me, I'll just pray that the lead of SMB would be 5 and above to cover the spread of my bet ticket.

Plenty of things can happen in the second half, of course we are looking for SMB to cover that spread so that we can win, hehehe. Fajardo is trying to carry SMB, and it's going to be a big factor for TNT as Coach Chot is not around. So SMB really need to take advantage of it and not let go 0-2 in this series otherwise it will be a big hole that they have to overcome and it will be very difficult as TNT will have all the momentum then.
hero member
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August 24, 2022, 05:48:20 AM
Anyway, maybe it would be better if bettors will just bet during the game because there might be a chance that TNT will have a lead at the start and for sure, this will be an easy cover for SMB but anything is still possible. We might see a 2-0 after Game 2 but I don't think that SMB will allow that to happen. I think not having Coach Chot in Game 2 will be a huge factor on SMB's win. Yes we can say that the TNT still has other coaches but they are still different on how Coach Chot is coaching his players. I will not be surprised if this will end up in a double digit lead win for the SMB.

Yeah, live betting would be a good idea if you don't like the spread because TNT at one time took a 7 or 8 point lead and the odds for SMB to win were above 2 at that time but then again it's a gamble that might not pay off.

End of the first half and the score is tied at 51 apiece and it seems to me that this will be a close game until the final buzzer so whoever got the positive handicap on either team might win their bets.

For me, I'll just pray that the lead of SMB would be 5 and above to cover the spread of my bet ticket.
legendary
Activity: 2576
Merit: 1043
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August 24, 2022, 01:10:57 AM
Betting odds are out, we have a very intriguing betting spread in game 2.

SMB -4.5
TNT +4.5

It looks like it's screaming that we should take the TNT, with that, it convince me more that SMB will win in game 2, not only they'll win but I'm seeing an easy cover on the spread.
Many are expecting SMB to come back after that devastating Game 1 loss against TNT that's why maybe that is the betting spread? Or not Cheesy.

Anyway, maybe it would be better if bettors will just bet during the game because there might be a chance that TNT will have a lead at the start and for sure, this will be an easy cover for SMB but anything is still possible. We might see a 2-0 after Game 2 but I don't think that SMB will allow that to happen. I think not having Coach Chot in Game 2 will be a huge factor on SMB's win. Yes we can say that the TNT still has other coaches but they are still different on how Coach Chot is coaching his players. I will not be surprised if this will end up in a double digit lead win for the SMB.
legendary
Activity: 2996
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Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
August 23, 2022, 11:21:43 PM
Chot will be out for 2 games, starting tomorrow for the game 2 and game 3. We'll see if his team will be able to win even without him. I do believe in the other staff that they can do it but without having their headcoach, that shall be a big difference.
Well, he should have just given up coaching the Gilas and gave the opportunity to the others and just focused on his team on the grand finals. No hate or whatsoever.

TNT win their first game against SMB this might the big advantage for them because we all know that SMB will not let TNT win the second game of this finals, for sure from coaches, fajardo and the rest of the team will adjust and have a good  strategy for this upcoming game 2,  and for TNT I am not sure they can win the game 2 because there's no head coach to teach a good play but anyway they have staff so maybe they can make it.

Game 1 is a lesson learned for SMB for sure if in case they will repeat that early big leads they will not let TNT catch and rally back, it's almost a win for them it's a lucky last shot from Castro that make them win, game 2 will be a test for both teams, though a reason that head coach is not there to balance the rotation is not a good one to hear if they will lose this upcoming game 2.

Whatever happens, just a good ball game without any injuries and any physical fight would be nice to see during these final.

Good luck to all SMB bettors. Let's hope they will play much harder today!
sr. member
Activity: 1148
Merit: 346
August 23, 2022, 06:55:33 PM
Chot will be out for 2 games, starting tomorrow for the game 2 and game 3. We'll see if his team will be able to win even without him. I do believe in the other staff that they can do it but without having their headcoach, that shall be a big difference.
Well, he should have just given up coaching the Gilas and gave the opportunity to the others and just focused on his team on the grand finals. No hate or whatsoever.

TNT win their first game against SMB this might the big advantage for them because we all know that SMB will not let TNT win the second game of this finals, for sure from coaches, fajardo and the rest of the team will adjust and have a good  strategy for this upcoming game 2,  and for TNT I am not sure they can win the game 2 because there's no head coach to teach a good play but anyway they have staff so maybe they can make it.
legendary
Activity: 2940
Merit: 1083
August 23, 2022, 06:42:32 PM
Betting odds are out, we have a very intriguing betting spread in game 2.

SMB -4.5
TNT +4.5

It looks like it's screaming that we should take the TNT, with that, it convince me more that SMB will win in game 2, not only they'll win but I'm seeing an easy cover on the spread.

There is no question that SMB might cover the handicap. Besides, they were able to get a big lead over TNT as much as 15 points in Game 1. That can probably be repeated and this time, they will be able to secure that lead in the end.

However, TNT is known for not giving up the game right away even though they were behind by a big lead. There will always be a chance that even if they will be behind again by a big lead, they can bounce back anytime and even turn the table upside down in favor of them.
hero member
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August 23, 2022, 12:15:36 PM
Chot will be out for 2 games, starting tomorrow for the game 2 and game 3. We'll see if his team will be able to win even without him. I do believe in the other staff that they can do it but without having their headcoach, that shall be a big difference.
Well, he should have just given up coaching the Gilas and gave the opportunity to the others and just focused on his team on the grand finals. No hate or whatsoever.
legendary
Activity: 2576
Merit: 1655
August 23, 2022, 06:24:09 AM
Betting odds are out, we have a very intriguing betting spread in game 2.

SMB -4.5
TNT +4.5

It looks like it's screaming that we should take the TNT, with that, it convince me more that SMB will win in game 2, not only they'll win but I'm seeing an easy cover on the spread.

And even if they lost game 1, it seems that SMB is still the favorite as per bookies on ML.

But as per handicap, SMB -4.5 at 1.92 and TNT 4.5 at 1.78.

I might go with the handicap on SMB though, I'm thinking that they are going to make a comeback in game 2 and yeah, possible to cover that spread easy.
sr. member
Activity: 2478
Merit: 343
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August 23, 2022, 06:21:41 AM
Betting odds are out, we have a very intriguing betting spread in game 2.

SMB -4.5
TNT +4.5

It looks like it's screaming that we should take the TNT, with that, it convince me more that SMB will win in game 2, not only they'll win but I'm seeing an easy cover on the spread.

It's always like that, maybe they already anticipated that people will place their bets on SMB in game 2 because SMB will play harder to even the series. Bookmakers think differently compared to the regular bettors, so if that -4.5 is too much for you, then you are free to take the other side.  Grin
hero member
Activity: 3080
Merit: 612
August 23, 2022, 05:50:25 AM
Betting odds are out, we have a very intriguing betting spread in game 2.

SMB -4.5
TNT +4.5

It looks like it's screaming that we should take the TNT, with that, it convince me more that SMB will win in game 2, not only they'll win but I'm seeing an easy cover on the spread.
legendary
Activity: 2996
Merit: 1054
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
August 22, 2022, 11:49:52 PM

Game 2, SMB should now try to maintain their lead if ever they will repeat again putting TNT behind a big lead so that no more close call encounters at the end.

They led as much as 15 points but they allow TNT to advance that result for the latter to win that game.

Everyone should now move on. As JMF said, "if that was counted, then it's counted, move on." I also noticed that JMF perimeter shooting skills are impressive in that Game. Hard to defend more if he is both dangerous in the shaded area and perimeter zone.

A classic JMF, he just shot smoothly and converts.I love to see more from him he really played well but the defense collapse in the 2nd half allowing Poguy to make those conversions, and yes, regarding to that last shot it was counted so nothing can be done but to move forward and try to win the game and tie these series.

I would love to see both teams to adjust and make a blowout. I'm really a biased fan, so I would like to see SMB to make that huge lead

again and make sure to maintain it, then win with huge margins.
hero member
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August 22, 2022, 10:18:05 PM
Of course, if PBA is rigged, then they will find a way to make it a long series, and we are going to take advantage of that. hehe..

I don't have a cash now, but I'm thinking of borrowing at least 30k which I will pay in less than a week.

My plan is, I will put 10k in game 2, if it wins, I will pay the loan and take the profit, if not, I will bet the remaining 20k in game 3, and just hope SMB will win. Do you think it's a good idea?

In the first place, this is not a good idea if you ask me because shit happen anytime. We always says, gamble only what you can afford to lose and those money which are not compromised hehe, not a wise gambling if you ask me but it's your money so it's you call.

Back to your plan, we can only refer to Meralco vs SMB wherein SMB has not lose twice or thrice in a row so this plan/gamble of yours may be a good idea if sh_t don't intervene and if i'll be the one doing this i won't watch the game live as i might threw something on the television if the refs call is not favoring the Beermen hehe.

Good luck on your plan, it has a more than 50 percent chance of hitting the objective.

legendary
Activity: 2240
Merit: 1069
August 22, 2022, 10:07:42 PM
SMB knows that they can defeat TNT. They just fell short in the final 1.6 seconds. I'm curious on how the SMB will adjust to it or they will just focus on what they are doing which is spreading the offense and not focusing only on JMF like what they used to do years ago.

SMB should also not stay confident. That kills them. Despite the fact that TNT's Mikey Williams is not in his usual beast mode and Poy Erram is struggling against June Mar Fajardo and Mo Tautaa, TNT still managed to overcome their large deficit.

SMB focusing their offense on JMF is really effective as he is really unstoppable. However, that makes JMF's stamina more used as he also focuses on the defense side where lots of TNT players can attack the paint that easily. Without him, TNT can just attack the paint without much a problem.

We will see what adjustment they are going to make. In my opinion,  they have no problem inside the paint, defensive or offensive wise. They have problems controlling the guards of TNT though. M. Williams, Pugoy and Castro are out playing the guards of san miguel. I am interested to see how Coach Leo will adjust their defense to limit those 3.

Last game, SMB took advantage when Castro was out and build up huge lead. But when he returned in the 2nd half, the lead began to crumble and they eventually lost.
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