Topic: 2022–23 PBA Commissioner&#039;s Cup - page 52. (Read 100416 times)

Quote from: Finestream on May 23, 2024, 09:56:24 AM

On the total, I have the first game under 177.5

I like the under as this sure a very defensive game. Ginebra can't afford to go down 1-3, so I'm sure it will be a very defensive start from the beginning until the end of the game. Normally, the 2nd half is more defensive especially if the first half ended in a close scoring, so consider that asa well.

Same here, but I guess I'll be betting on the kings to win this game with -3.5 point spread. I am just observing the point spread and it seems it's not moving. I don't care if it's a trap or not but Ginebra cannot go down 3-1, so if they'll win, I believe they'll finish strong, and with that, they'll likely cover the spread.

I also checked the stats of Thompson and C. Stand, they seemed had a bad game in game 3, so I'm hoping for a big bounce back game and deliver a win.

and over 215.5 for the 2nd game.

This is just a battle of 3 point shooting, so I woudn't be surprise if the result will be over again. last game, the total was 224.
I think it's safer if we will also bet on the SMB's team total, and over would be easy since they are not struggling to shoot.

It could be a high scoring or low scoring, it doesn't matter, what matter which I also believe is that SMB are going to finish ROS tonight, so count me in on the spread which is -6.5.

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On the total, I have the first game under 177.5

I like the under as this sure a very defensive game. Ginebra can't afford to go down 1-3, so I'm sure it will be a very defensive start from the beginning until the end of the game. Normally, the 2nd half is more defensive especially if the first half ended in a close scoring, so consider that asa well.

Quote from: Japinat on May 23, 2024, 06:59:45 AM

and over 215.5 for the 2nd game.

This is just a battle of 3 point shooting, so I woudn't be surprise if the result will be over again. last game, the total was 224.
I think it's safer if we will also bet on the SMB's team total, and over would be easy since they are not struggling to shoot.

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Quote from: Fredomago on May 22, 2024, 04:40:13 PM

The last statement is important siding for Gin kings might be a good one here, for sure CTC will find that good adjustments to improve both their offense and defense they've been outplayed by that familiar uniforms who mostly their opponents during the finals, they need to keep on moving and rotates the ball wisely, as per Meralco what they've doing with their defense really paying the price as they manage to limits Gin kings predictions. It's an interesting game 4 for sure as we will see how both teams will prepare in winning the game.

I think Ginebra are not really that good as an all Filipino players, they were only popular with Justin Brownlee with them, and now they are already exposed. The same roster, well, added few players but it seems like Meralco has been dominating them already. I would not say it will finish early but the way Meralco are playing, they'll most likely win the series.

Don't conclude it yet, it's still far from over as the series is now 2-1, maybe if Bolts will win the next game, then we can talk about how good the Bolts are. Ginebra will try to even the series tomorrow, anyone here dare to bet on them? Here's the point spread for the game.

Ginebra -3.5 vs Meralco +3.5

For the next game, we have SMB -6.5 vs ROS +6.5
I think the first is interesting, on the 2nd game, it's not worth betting, but if I will, I'll take SMB -6.5 on this close out game.

On the total, I have the first game under 177.5 and over 215.5 for the 2nd game.

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Quote from: Fredomago on May 22, 2024, 04:40:13 PM

The last statement is important siding for Gin kings might be a good one here, for sure CTC will find that good adjustments to improve both their offense and defense they've been outplayed by that familiar uniforms who mostly their opponents during the finals, they need to keep on moving and rotates the ball wisely, as per Meralco what they've doing with their defense really paying the price as they manage to limits Gin kings predictions. It's an interesting game 4 for sure as we will see how both teams will prepare in winning the game.

I think Ginebra are not really that good as an all Filipino players, they were only popular with Justin Brownlee with them, and now they are already exposed. The same roster, well, added few players but it seems like Meralco has been dominating them already. I would not say it will finish early but the way Meralco are playing, they'll most likely win the series.

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Quote from: Natalim on May 22, 2024, 09:50:39 AM

Quote from: Japinat on May 22, 2024, 09:26:21 AM

Quote from: Fredomago on May 22, 2024, 07:32:37 AM

Quote from: Finestream on May 22, 2024, 03:50:00 AM

I bet on over 213.5 as it looked so obvious this game is gonna go over. If you look at the last 2 games, the total were below 200, and now the total offered is over 213.5, this is fishy, so I like to follow my instinct here.

That's very clever, nice pick. It looked like it was going to go under after the first half, but the third quarter saw a lot of points scored, which easily brought the game over. The right pick was SMB -5.5 as they beat ROS by 10 points. Now the series is already 3-0, and there's no way ROS will be able to come back. I think it's going to be a sweep. Congratulations.

Yup, slow start but after 1st half both teams start to rally and the over was easily covered, same with the handicap as SMB manage to take the win with a double digit leads, as you mentioned it's a 3-0 series now and the chance of getting sweep is almost at hand for SMB, though maybe to extend the series a magical hands will comes out and provide that luck for RoS bettors, it's not over until the series is not over hahaha. Let's wait and see if SMB will sweep this or ROS will manage to win game/s against the powerhouse SMB.

The same scenario happened with the Ginebra vs. Meralco game. It was a high-scoring 1st quarter, but the succeeding quarters were low-scoring. I even saw the live total reach 193.5 when it was only 178.5 before the game. Here's the breakdown of the quarters' scoring:

1st: 49...2nd: 33....3rd: 49....4th: 36
The total score was only 167, so the under wins. Additionally, Meralco now holds the lead in the series as they dominated Ginebra in this game.

That's the real defense, these two are both defensive teams, so the outcome should be under. And also, we have to consider that they are not playing in a familiar court. The 3 point shooting was missing as both teams shoots below 30%. I'm sure game 4 will also be a low scoring game as Ginebra is going to activate better defense to even the series, going down 1-3 is already very hard for them, so I guess I'm gonna side on the Ginebra in game 4 and will just forget betting on total.

The last statement is important siding for Gin kings might be a good one here, for sure CTC will find that good adjustments to improve both their offense and defense they've been outplayed by that familiar uniforms who mostly their opponents during the finals, they need to keep on moving and rotates the ball wisely, as per Meralco what they've doing with their defense really paying the price as they manage to limits Gin kings predictions. It's an interesting game 4 for sure as we will see how both teams will prepare in winning the game.

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Quote from: Japinat on May 22, 2024, 09:26:21 AM

Quote from: Fredomago on May 22, 2024, 07:32:37 AM

Quote from: Finestream on May 22, 2024, 03:50:00 AM

I bet on over 213.5 as it looked so obvious this game is gonna go over. If you look at the last 2 games, the total were below 200, and now the total offered is over 213.5, this is fishy, so I like to follow my instinct here.

That's very clever, nice pick. It looked like it was going to go under after the first half, but the third quarter saw a lot of points scored, which easily brought the game over. The right pick was SMB -5.5 as they beat ROS by 10 points. Now the series is already 3-0, and there's no way ROS will be able to come back. I think it's going to be a sweep. Congratulations.

Yup, slow start but after 1st half both teams start to rally and the over was easily covered, same with the handicap as SMB manage to take the win with a double digit leads, as you mentioned it's a 3-0 series now and the chance of getting sweep is almost at hand for SMB, though maybe to extend the series a magical hands will comes out and provide that luck for RoS bettors, it's not over until the series is not over hahaha. Let's wait and see if SMB will sweep this or ROS will manage to win game/s against the powerhouse SMB.

The same scenario happened with the Ginebra vs. Meralco game. It was a high-scoring 1st quarter, but the succeeding quarters were low-scoring. I even saw the live total reach 193.5 when it was only 178.5 before the game. Here's the breakdown of the quarters' scoring:

1st: 49...2nd: 33....3rd: 49....4th: 36
The total score was only 167, so the under wins. Additionally, Meralco now holds the lead in the series as they dominated Ginebra in this game.

That's the real defense, these two are both defensive teams, so the outcome should be under. And also, we have to consider that they are not playing in a familiar court. The 3 point shooting was missing as both teams shoots below 30%. I'm sure game 4 will also be a low scoring game as Ginebra is going to activate better defense to even the series, going down 1-3 is already very hard for them, so I guess I'm gonna side on the Ginebra in game 4 and will just forget betting on total.

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Quote from: Fredomago on May 22, 2024, 07:32:37 AM

Quote from: Finestream on May 22, 2024, 03:50:00 AM

I bet on over 213.5 as it looked so obvious this game is gonna go over. If you look at the last 2 games, the total were below 200, and now the total offered is over 213.5, this is fishy, so I like to follow my instinct here.

That's very clever, nice pick. It looked like it was going to go under after the first half, but the third quarter saw a lot of points scored, which easily brought the game over. The right pick was SMB -5.5 as they beat ROS by 10 points. Now the series is already 3-0, and there's no way ROS will be able to come back. I think it's going to be a sweep. Congratulations.

Yup, slow start but after 1st half both teams start to rally and the over was easily covered, same with the handicap as SMB manage to take the win with a double digit leads, as you mentioned it's a 3-0 series now and the chance of getting sweep is almost at hand for SMB, though maybe to extend the series a magical hands will comes out and provide that luck for RoS bettors, it's not over until the series is not over hahaha. Let's wait and see if SMB will sweep this or ROS will manage to win game/s against the powerhouse SMB.

The same scenario happened with the Ginebra vs. Meralco game. It was a high-scoring 1st quarter, but the succeeding quarters were low-scoring. I even saw the live total reach 193.5 when it was only 178.5 before the game. Here's the breakdown of the quarters' scoring:

1st: 49...2nd: 33....3rd: 49....4th: 36
The total score was only 167, so the under wins. Additionally, Meralco now holds the lead in the series as they dominated Ginebra in this game.

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Quote from: Finestream on May 22, 2024, 03:50:00 AM

I bet on over 213.5 as it looked so obvious this game is gonna go over. If you look at the last 2 games, the total were below 200, and now the total offered is over 213.5, this is fishy, so I like to follow my instinct here.

That's very clever, nice pick. It looked like it was going to go under after the first half, but the third quarter saw a lot of points scored, which easily brought the game over. The right pick was SMB -5.5 as they beat ROS by 10 points. Now the series is already 3-0, and there's no way ROS will be able to come back. I think it's going to be a sweep. Congratulations.

Yup, slow start but after 1st half both teams start to rally and the over was easily covered, same with the handicap as SMB manage to take the win with a double digit leads, as you mentioned it's a 3-0 series now and the chance of getting sweep is almost at hand for SMB, though maybe to extend the series a magical hands will comes out and provide that luck for RoS bettors, it's not over until the series is not over hahaha. Let's wait and see if SMB will sweep this or ROS will manage to win game/s against the powerhouse SMB.

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Quote from: Finestream on May 22, 2024, 03:50:00 AM

I bet on over 213.5 as it looked so obvious this game is gonna go over. If you look at the last 2 games, the total were below 200, and now the total offered is over 213.5, this is fishy, so I like to follow my instinct here.

That's very clever, nice pick. It looked like it was going to go under after the first half, but the third quarter saw a lot of points scored, which easily brought the game over. The right pick was SMB -5.5 as they beat ROS by 10 points. Now the series is already 3-0, and there's no way ROS will be able to come back. I think it's going to be a sweep. Congratulations.

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Quote from: bisdak40 on May 22, 2024, 03:24:46 AM

Quote from: bisdak40 on May 22, 2024, 03:24:46 AM

The Semi Finals will resume tomorrow with the follow schedule and betting spreads.

4:30 PM
Rain or Shine vs San Miguel Beernmen (-5.5)

I don't get why the spread is still the same, it was obvious that ROS stand no chance against the SMB. I know it's a very important game for them tomorrow as they will prevent to go down 0-3, but the way they showed in game 2, I think they just can't win even one game.

However, as a precuationary measure, I don't want to fall into the trap, I'll observe the line and will only place my bet minutes before it will start.
Here's what I'm gonna do, if the line will move to -8.5 again, I'll be betting on the SMB, but if the line will move -3.5, thn I will bet on ROS to win outright.

So far the odds for this game has not move and i managed to bet for the Beermen with a -6.5 spread @1.99. This is a risky bet as it might be a trap because there might be a tendency that the Beermen will relax on this game since they are up by two and who knows ROS' barrage from the outside might win the game for them.

That's why I didn't bet on the point spread. instead, I bet on over 213.5 as it looked so obvious this game is gonna go over. If you look at the last 2 games, the total were below 200, and now the total offered is over 213.5, this is fishy, so I like to follow my instinct here.

Bolts vs Barangay Ginebra (-3.5)

This is a close game for sure, and so far Meralco is having great offense in the last 2 games, although they loss in game 1 but they were manage to score over of their team total as predicted by the bookies, so I guess betting on over 179.5 is still the best choice for me.

I'm betting for the Ginebra Kings on this one as i'm thinking that coach Tim Cone will make some adjustments on their game.

Same here, the better team should win and they need to be ahead in the series. It's only -2.5, so if Ginebra will win, there's no doubt they'll be able to cover the spread. On the total, sorry but I have to go against your pick, I'm on the under.

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The Semi Finals will resume tomorrow with the follow schedule and betting spreads.

4:30 PM
Rain or Shine vs San Miguel Beernmen (-5.5)

I don't get why the spread is still the same, it was obvious that ROS stand no chance against the SMB. I know it's a very important game for them tomorrow as they will prevent to go down 0-3, but the way they showed in game 2, I think they just can't win even one game.

However, as a precuationary measure, I don't want to fall into the trap, I'll observe the line and will only place my bet minutes before it will start.
Here's what I'm gonna do, if the line will move to -8.5 again, I'll be betting on the SMB, but if the line will move -3.5, thn I will bet on ROS to win outright.

So far the odds for this game has not move and i managed to bet for the Beermen with a -6.5 spread @1.99. This is a risky bet as it might be a trap because there might be a tendency that the Beermen will relax on this game since they are up by two and who knows ROS' barrage from the outside might win the game for them.