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Topic: 2022–23 PBA Commissioner's Cup - page 47. (Read 98571 times)

hero member
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No dream is too big and no dreamer is too small
May 17, 2024, 08:45:24 AM
I had also place my bet already, I booked the under 177.5.
This looked good in the 1st to 3rd quarter but the 4th quarter was about scoring, the game ended at a total of 180 points. So you loss your bet. I remember the point spread was -4.5 for Meralco, that could have easily win as the Gin Kings already wasted time but with 5 seconds left I guess, I don't understand why Meralco still choose to score despite the fact that they are already down 6 points, as a sign of respect, they should have already wasted the time since there's no point quotient already. I smell fishy on that last play.. hmmmm.. Turned out, Meralco covered the +4.5 because Ginebra won only by 4 points because of that no necessary shot.
hero member
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May 17, 2024, 07:44:16 AM
The spread of the game is already out..

SMB -5.5 vs ROS,. We have the first game of the best of 7 series, I think in the first game they'll come up so confident after the win, especially the ROS who had a great shooting night when they beat the TNT, so I guess it's going to be over. Not taking the spread but I have the ROS to score over 104.5.

ROS only managed to score 98 points mate, though they have a decent percentage on the outside shooting but they struggle on the paint as they can't score easily with Junemar Fajardo manning the middle. I have not put a bet on this game as i was thinking that ROS might upset them on game 1 as ROS' confidence is high with that win over TNT the other night. As usual, Fajardo was somewhat unstoppable in this game, tallying 23 points and grabbing 16 rebounds, good numbers for his 8th MVP award hehe.

Guess the correct bet was ROS because even if they loss they still manage to cover the handicap. The line movement from -5.5 to -8.5 indicates that public bets are pushing the line so hard, and they didn't regret it as they all lose.  Grin

2nd game happening now, I didn't watch the game but maybe in the 2nd half I'll do. I had also place my bet already, I booked the under 177.5.

Good to all!

I lose my bet on the over, turn out the offense of ROS is not enough to score 100+ points.  It was only a 3 point win by SMB, I had a chance to win if that game went to OT but the tying shot didn't went in, so that's it. Anyway, there's still more games to come, I'll check back tomorrow and bet again, double my losses to come up on top if I win.

@Maslate ... low scoring game so far, your bet is looking good, I'm hoping they'll continue with the slow phase game.
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May 17, 2024, 06:55:01 AM
The spread of the game is already out..

SMB -5.5 vs ROS,. We have the first game of the best of 7 series, I think in the first game they'll come up so confident after the win, especially the ROS who had a great shooting night when they beat the TNT, so I guess it's going to be over. Not taking the spread but I have the ROS to score over 104.5.

ROS only managed to score 98 points mate, though they have a decent percentage on the outside shooting but they struggle on the paint as they can't score easily with Junemar Fajardo manning the middle. I have not put a bet on this game as i was thinking that ROS might upset them on game 1 as ROS' confidence is high with that win over TNT the other night. As usual, Fajardo was somewhat unstoppable in this game, tallying 23 points and grabbing 16 rebounds, good numbers for his 8th MVP award hehe.

Guess the correct bet was ROS because even if they loss they still manage to cover the handicap. The line movement from -5.5 to -8.5 indicates that public bets are pushing the line so hard, and they didn't regret it as they all lose.  Grin

2nd game happening now, I didn't watch the game but maybe in the 2nd half I'll do. I had also place my bet already, I booked the under 177.5.

Good to all!
hero member
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May 17, 2024, 06:35:02 AM
The spread of the game is already out..

SMB -5.5 vs ROS,. We have the first game of the best of 7 series, I think in the first game they'll come up so confident after the win, especially the ROS who had a great shooting night when they beat the TNT, so I guess it's going to be over. Not taking the spread but I have the ROS to score over 104.5.

ROS only managed to score 98 points mate, though they have a decent percentage on the outside shooting but they struggle on the paint as they can't score easily with Junemar Fajardo manning the middle. I have not put a bet on this game as i was thinking that ROS might upset them on game 1 as ROS' confidence is high with that win over TNT the other night. As usual, Fajardo was somewhat unstoppable in this game, tallying 23 points and grabbing 16 rebounds, good numbers for his 8th MVP award hehe.
legendary
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May 17, 2024, 05:19:29 AM
Predictable indeed, they are just so lucky that they exploded for 39 points in the first quarter and have a comfortable 17 points lead, if not for that they might have lost the game. Moving forward, ROS will face SMB Beermen in the semis which i think the Beermen will win as the Elastopainters don't have anyone that could stop the Kraken down low.

That's for sure, and aside from the SMB which is already a good 3 point shooters, they also have players that could attack the paint. The 2nd unit of the SM is more than enough to beat the starters of the ROS, so I doubt it will be a long series, unless.....if you know what I mean.

The spread of the game is already out..

SMB -5.5 vs ROS,. We have the first game of the best of 7 series, I think in the first game they'll come up so confident after the win, especially the ROS who had a great shooting night when they beat the TNT, so I guess it's going to be over. Not taking the spread but I have the ROS to score over 104.5.

The handicap seems so decent as knowing how dominating SMB was, though with the lost against Terrafima maybe that exposed something and maybe coach Yeng will find that fit system to counter SMB's outstanding offensive attakcs, I'm pretty sure there are early gamblers who already take that odds believing that SMB will give them decent profits.

With your pick, not sure if the game will be that high scoring game as SMB is not just good with their offense but they can match the speed and can play that tough defense to counter whatever coach Yeng will use during the game.
sr. member
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win lambo...
May 17, 2024, 02:46:29 AM
Predictable indeed, they are just so lucky that they exploded for 39 points in the first quarter and have a comfortable 17 points lead, if not for that they might have lost the game. Moving forward, ROS will face SMB Beermen in the semis which i think the Beermen will win as the Elastopainters don't have anyone that could stop the Kraken down low.

That's for sure, and aside from the SMB which is already a good 3 point shooters, they also have players that could attack the paint. The 2nd unit of the SM is more than enough to beat the starters of the ROS, so I doubt it will be a long series, unless.....if you know what I mean.

The spread of the game is already out..

SMB -5.5 vs ROS,. We have the first game of the best of 7 series, I think in the first game they'll come up so confident after the win, especially the ROS who had a great shooting night when they beat the TNT, so I guess it's going to be over. Not taking the spread but I have the ROS to score over 104.5.

There has been a sudden movement of handicap, as mentioned, it was -5.5 when it opened, now it's already -8.5. If this line movement is a good indication, most likely people are betting on SMB so bookies decided to move the line. Now, with -8.5, I think SMB is still capable of cover the spread if they'll win the game.

This two teams face in the regular season, SMB managed to beat them by 12 points, so if we will witness the same scenario, it's safe to say that SMB will cover the spread.

here's the boxscore on that game. https://pba.ph/recap?match=2417613
hero member
Activity: 3052
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May 16, 2024, 11:22:23 PM
Predictable indeed, they are just so lucky that they exploded for 39 points in the first quarter and have a comfortable 17 points lead, if not for that they might have lost the game. Moving forward, ROS will face SMB Beermen in the semis which i think the Beermen will win as the Elastopainters don't have anyone that could stop the Kraken down low.

That's for sure, and aside from the SMB which is already a good 3 point shooters, they also have players that could attack the paint. The 2nd unit of the SM is more than enough to beat the starters of the ROS, so I doubt it will be a long series, unless.....if you know what I mean.

The spread of the game is already out..

SMB -5.5 vs ROS,. We have the first game of the best of 7 series, I think in the first game they'll come up so confident after the win, especially the ROS who had a great shooting night when they beat the TNT, so I guess it's going to be over. Not taking the spread but I have the ROS to score over 104.5.
sr. member
Activity: 2436
Merit: 343
May 16, 2024, 08:30:44 AM
Predictable indeed, they are just so lucky that they exploded for 39 points in the first quarter and have a comfortable 17 points lead, if not for that they might have lost the game. Moving forward, ROS will face SMB Beermen in the semis which i think the Beermen will win as the Elastopainters don't have anyone that could stop the Kraken down low.

That's for sure, and aside from the SMB which is already a good 3 point shooters, they also have players that could attack the paint. The 2nd unit of the SM is more than enough to beat the starters of the ROS, so I doubt it will be a long series, unless.....if you know what I mean.

legendary
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May 16, 2024, 06:12:56 AM
I guess if they can't bring Mikey back maybe Chris Newsome might fit with how coach Chot execute his running game attacks.

The guy would really be a help to the team because he has the talent, unfortunately he demands a lot of money that's why they can't close a contract with him. I guess Newsome would really fit, he is not really a good scorer but he'll be able to improve the defense of the team, so let's see if that will happen since it's possible as he is playing with the sister team. TNT team needs some rebump as this current lineup is not a championship team anymore.

Though I'm heaing some rumor that Newsome might be traded to Gin kings but chances to be traded to his main team might be possible, not sure if MVP group will push for it and let his main squad to be competitive against his rival company, Oftana needs someone who can help him developing more of his talent and since both Newsome and him are playing for the National squad I guess the connection is no longer hard to established.

Second game, that's a nerve breaking escape after having a comfortable lead TNT manage to rally back and almost snatch the game to coach Yeng, luckily they escaped and will now move forward for the semis.

ROS are so predictable as they relied so much on outside shooting, I think the same with TNT, and since ROS shoot better in that game, they won the game. What I'm really impress is on how Kelly Williams played that game, he is already 42 years old and still competing very well, can even drive in the paint and score, and that game, he score 3 straight 3 point shots with less than a minute remaining, that's unbelievable.

Predictable indeed, they are just so lucky that they exploded for 39 points in the first quarter and have a comfortable 17 points lead, if not for that they might have lost the game. Moving forward, ROS will face SMB Beermen in the semis which i think the Beermen will win as the Elastopainters don't have anyone that could stop the Kraken down low.


Like what coach Yeng said from his interview there's no 2nd five as all the players can be consider as 1st five but they will fight and hope for some luck to help them win a game against the super team. Let see if how they will execute the system and what strategy they will use in trying to be competitve as it can be.
hero member
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May 16, 2024, 05:11:13 AM
Second game, that's a nerve breaking escape after having a comfortable lead TNT manage to rally back and almost snatch the game to coach Yeng, luckily they escaped and will now move forward for the semis.

ROS are so predictable as they relied so much on outside shooting, I think the same with TNT, and since ROS shoot better in that game, they won the game. What I'm really impress is on how Kelly Williams played that game, he is already 42 years old and still competing very well, can even drive in the paint and score, and that game, he score 3 straight 3 point shots with less than a minute remaining, that's unbelievable.

Predictable indeed, they are just so lucky that they exploded for 39 points in the first quarter and have a comfortable 17 points lead, if not for that they might have lost the game. Moving forward, ROS will face SMB Beermen in the semis which i think the Beermen will win as the Elastopainters don't have anyone that could stop the Kraken down low.

hero member
Activity: 3052
Merit: 606
May 16, 2024, 01:13:19 AM
I guess if they can't bring Mikey back maybe Chris Newsome might fit with how coach Chot execute his running game attacks.

The guy would really be a help to the team because he has the talent, unfortunately he demands a lot of money that's why they can't close a contract with him. I guess Newsome would really fit, he is not really a good scorer but he'll be able to improve the defense of the team, so let's see if that will happen since it's possible as he is playing with the sister team. TNT team needs some rebump as this current lineup is not a championship team anymore.
legendary
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May 16, 2024, 01:02:14 AM
Second game, that's a nerve breaking escape after having a comfortable lead TNT manage to rally back and almost snatch the game to coach Yeng, luckily they escaped and will now move forward for the semis.

ROS are so predictable as they relied so much on outside shooting, I think the same with TNT, and since ROS shoot better in that game, they won the game. What I'm really impress is on how Kelly Williams played that game, he is already 42 years old and still competing very well, can even drive in the paint and score, and that game, he score 3 straight 3 point shots with less than a minute remaining, that's unbelievable.

Aside from being a fil-am he's also a former MVP as conditioning both mental and physical may gave him that extra edge from those players who at in his age now, but yeah that's really impressive machine gun Kelly shows his best for sure if they snatch that game he's all in the sports headline bringing that age at the top of his game.

They need additional scorer that's what they are missing right now, I guess if they can't bring Mikey back maybe Chris Newsome might fit with how coach Chot execute his running game attacks.
hero member
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May 15, 2024, 11:58:32 PM
Second game, that's a nerve breaking escape after having a comfortable lead TNT manage to rally back and almost snatch the game to coach Yeng, luckily they escaped and will now move forward for the semis.

ROS are so predictable as they relied so much on outside shooting, I think the same with TNT, and since ROS shoot better in that game, they won the game. What I'm really impress is on how Kelly Williams played that game, he is already 42 years old and still competing very well, can even drive in the paint and score, and that game, he score 3 straight 3 point shots with less than a minute remaining, that's unbelievable.
legendary
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May 15, 2024, 04:38:00 PM
So far SMB is dominating though still one more quarter to complete but seems that SMB is answeing whatever attempts Terrafima tried to rally back, it's tough as the main gunner of SMB are all doing the damage, CJ, Abay and TR7 are all in double digits while whoever is entering the court are also adding numbers, if Terrafima will not do the last push during the final quarter for sure that handicap can be cover as SMB might win more than 15 points, just an opinion as we don't really know if what the final quarter will, either SMB will finished it with a dictated outcome, or Terrafima will try to catch and make sure that the distance is not that huge.

And that's it kabayan, the fairy tale run of Terrafirma has come to an end as the Beermen blew them out in the second half and the SMB Beermen cover the spread of 10.5. Junemar Fajardo exploded in the second half of the game and gave the comfortable lead.

Lost my bet here as I thought that Terrafirma would make this game a close but they don't have an answer to every basket that SMB made in the final two quarters.

The next game is still an interesting game to watch, hope that ROS will take the last semis berth.

edit: ROS off to a good start, scoring 39 points in the first quarter while TNT scored only 22.

That's the real SMB playing  out there,  they limits the run of Terra and dominated the offense nothing that Terrafima can do as for Abay we know the man when the team needs him he simply do his usual attacks and let the defense collapse,  I do believe that the first game was rigged hahahah just extending the life for Terra and provide more games for bettors to gamble.

Second game, that's a nerve breaking escape after having a comfortable lead TNT manage to rally back and almost snatch the game to coach Yeng, luckily they escaped and will now move forward for the semis.
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May 15, 2024, 08:52:03 AM
45-59 ROS> This is a win for the ROS I guess.  Just like in game 2, Oftana is still limited, so I guess ROS will likely win here.

Don't count them out yet, we still have the 2nd half. I think TNT will not go down without a fight, if there's a chance take the TNT handicap as they might come back and cover the handicap even if they loss the game. 3 point shooting was very bad for TNT, they are only 2-14, and since that is their main weapon, if the struggle continues, they'll loss.

Yeah you are right, they really didn't give up and made a big run in the 4th quarter, even bring down the lead to 1 point only but when Pogoy, the TNT have struggled on their offense. It was game full of thrill because the comeback is possible to be completed, but ROS were able to prevent that from happening and beat the TNT by 1 point only.

Final score 110-109/

Kelly Williams 32 points for TNT

Mamuyac 25 points for ROS
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May 15, 2024, 07:49:09 AM
45-59 ROS> This is a win for the ROS I guess.  Just like in game 2, Oftana is still limited, so I guess ROS will likely win here.

Don't count them out yet, we still have the 2nd half. I think TNT will not go down without a fight, if there's a chance take the TNT handicap as they might come back and cover the handicap even if they loss the game. 3 point shooting was very bad for TNT, they are only 2-14, and since that is their main weapon, if the struggle continues, they'll loss.
hero member
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May 15, 2024, 07:42:18 AM
So far SMB is dominating though still one more quarter to complete but seems that SMB is answeing whatever attempts Terrafima tried to rally back, it's tough as the main gunner of SMB are all doing the damage, CJ, Abay and TR7 are all in double digits while whoever is entering the court are also adding numbers, if Terrafima will not do the last push during the final quarter for sure that handicap can be cover as SMB might win more than 15 points, just an opinion as we don't really know if what the final quarter will, either SMB will finished it with a dictated outcome, or Terrafima will try to catch and make sure that the distance is not that huge.

And that's it kabayan, the fairy tale run of Terrafirma has come to an end as the Beermen blew them out in the second half and the SMB Beermen cover the spread of 10.5. Junemar Fajardo exploded in the second half of the game and gave the comfortable lead.

Lost my bet here as I thought that Terrafirma would make this game a close but they don't have an answer to every basket that SMB made in the final two quarters.
SMB would not allow to lose and they showed why they are the number 1 team and still the best team in the league now. Terrafirma was just lucky in the first game, although they loss they showed that they really an improved team now. The team has a future actually if they are serious in building it, they have the youn talents, hopefully Terrafirma is not anymore a training ground now for big teams.

The next game is still an interesting game to watch, hope that ROS will take the last semis berth.

edit: ROS off to a good start, scoring 39 points in the first quarter while TNT scored only 22.

45-59 ROS> This is a win for the ROS I guess.  Just like in game 2, Oftana is still limited, so I guess ROS will likely win here.
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May 15, 2024, 06:22:47 AM
So far SMB is dominating though still one more quarter to complete but seems that SMB is answeing whatever attempts Terrafima tried to rally back, it's tough as the main gunner of SMB are all doing the damage, CJ, Abay and TR7 are all in double digits while whoever is entering the court are also adding numbers, if Terrafima will not do the last push during the final quarter for sure that handicap can be cover as SMB might win more than 15 points, just an opinion as we don't really know if what the final quarter will, either SMB will finished it with a dictated outcome, or Terrafima will try to catch and make sure that the distance is not that huge.

And that's it kabayan, the fairy tale run of Terrafirma has come to an end as the Beermen blew them out in the second half and the SMB Beermen cover the spread of 10.5. Junemar Fajardo exploded in the second half of the game and gave the comfortable lead.

Lost my bet here as I thought that Terrafirma would make this game a close but they don't have an answer to every basket that SMB made in the final two quarters.

The next game is still an interesting game to watch, hope that ROS will take the last semis berth.

edit: ROS off to a good start, scoring 39 points in the first quarter while TNT scored only 22.
legendary
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May 15, 2024, 05:14:32 AM
Based on the interview on CJ, he said that this team has gotten stronger already, because before when they'll face the DYIP, they'll just say "matic", which means they know they can easily beat the team, but now it's quite different, so this last game should not be miss.

I really doubt this honestly, all of the sudden this farm team will get better? I think there's something wrong with the officiating, you know there has been a rumor that PBA is fixed, so since they know that everyone bet on the SMB in the first game, they manipulate the game so there will be a game 2, but don't fall for that because SMB are going to smash the DYIP in a do or die game.

This opinion of mind is only based on my analysis as a gambler, if you are a fan and not gambling in PBA, pardon me with my opinion.

Well, I guess I'll follow your idea and will bet on the SMB. However, I'm quite not so confident with the spread now which is -10.5, do you think if they'll win they'll be able to cover that high spread. The game will start in less than an hour, it's a do or die for both teams but it would be disappointing if SMB's gonna loss again.

So far SMB is dominating though still one more quarter to complete but seems that SMB is answeing whatever attempts Terrafima tried to rally back, it's tough as the main gunner of SMB are all doing the damage, CJ, Abay and TR7 are all in double digits while whoever is entering the court are also adding numbers, if Terrafima will not do the last push during the final quarter for sure that handicap can be cover as SMB might win more than 15 points, just an opinion as we don't really know if what the final quarter will, either SMB will finished it with a dictated outcome, or Terrafima will try to catch and make sure that the distance is not that huge.
sr. member
Activity: 2436
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May 15, 2024, 02:55:41 AM
Based on the interview on CJ, he said that this team has gotten stronger already, because before when they'll face the DYIP, they'll just say "matic", which means they know they can easily beat the team, but now it's quite different, so this last game should not be miss.

I really doubt this honestly, all of the sudden this farm team will get better? I think there's something wrong with the officiating, you know there has been a rumor that PBA is fixed, so since they know that everyone bet on the SMB in the first game, they manipulate the game so there will be a game 2, but don't fall for that because SMB are going to smash the DYIP in a do or die game.

This opinion of mind is only based on my analysis as a gambler, if you are a fan and not gambling in PBA, pardon me with my opinion.

Well, I guess I'll follow your idea and will bet on the SMB. However, I'm quite not so confident with the spread now which is -10.5, do you think if they'll win they'll be able to cover that high spread. The game will start in less than an hour, it's a do or die for both teams but it would be disappointing if SMB's gonna loss again.
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