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Topic: 2024 U.S. Presidential Election Bets! - page 40. (Read 15353 times)

hero member
Activity: 1638
Merit: 576
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
August 25, 2024, 11:40:57 AM
Kennedy family is vast and there are more than just Kennedy, most of which loyal to democratic party which Kennedy family was a big part of. However, one thing I can say that this dude was in the democratic party, and he was a nominee and he was disliked like any other nominee ever, imagine being part of a party that literally prefers other parties candidate than you, that's a very very rare situation.

If you ask the democratic party voters, would you prefer ANY candidate from democratic party or Trump, they would all say that any member of their party would be fine over trump, except this dude lol. In the end, we are seeing things picking up speed, which is lovely and I hope that it gets quicker by the day, there was a two week period where not much happened.
Since Robert F Kennedy Jr suspended his independent campaign for the White House and endorsed the candidate of Republican Party last week, a lot have been said by different reporters concerning the news and the effect it could have on the US or polls. Majority of the reports I've accessed suggests that the action isn't gonna stop Kamala Harris of the Democratic party from winning the presidential elections. Personally, I think some of these reports are just mere media wars to undermine the strength of Donald Trump ahead of the polls and if you ask me, I'll say I consider Trump a candidate that's more likely to win the election.
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 2025
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
August 25, 2024, 11:33:54 AM
^ It seems like everyone is so divided these days that polls are usually done in echo chambers by whoever is in charge of running them. Elon’s recent poll with 80% of people saying they were going to vote for Trump is a good example. I just hope people make the right decision come November. This seems like the most important election of my lifetime.

Division among the people of the United States is something which is specially convenient for some of the country's foes, just saying... Regardless of who wins in November there is still a very long path ahead to make people come together and work for their country shoulder to shoulder. Also, it is normal to believe this election is going to be the most important one in one's lifetime, because of how unprecedented it has shown to be. In the same way people thought the election of Obama was unprecedented in the first place.
I can also tell the betting markets on this election are showing an even higher volume and liquidity than previous elections, more people from abroad are more engaged than usual in this race.
People who would otherwise show no interest in USA politics are keeping an eye on this election...
sr. member
Activity: 2660
Merit: 339
August 25, 2024, 11:23:14 AM
Kennedy family is vast and there are more than just Kennedy, most of which loyal to democratic party which Kennedy family was a big part of. However, one thing I can say that this dude was in the democratic party, and he was a nominee and he was disliked like any other nominee ever, imagine being part of a party that literally prefers other parties candidate than you, that's a very very rare situation.

If you ask the democratic party voters, would you prefer ANY candidate from democratic party or Trump, they would all say that any member of their party would be fine over trump, except this dude lol. In the end, we are seeing things picking up speed, which is lovely and I hope that it gets quicker by the day, there was a two week period where not much happened.
donator
Activity: 4760
Merit: 4323
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
August 25, 2024, 02:44:58 AM
^ It seems like everyone is so divided these days that polls are usually done in echo chambers by whoever is in charge of running them. Elon’s recent poll with 80% of people saying they were going to vote for Trump is a good example. I just hope people make the right decision come November. This seems like the most important election of my lifetime.
legendary
Activity: 3024
Merit: 1132
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
August 25, 2024, 02:18:21 AM
All the polls showing different results, I have seen Harris leading five points, I have seen Trump leading five points, around the same time.

This goes to show you that polls are not to be trusted, odds for betting thankfully shows in most cases a lot better and clearer results but that does not exactly mean that they will be right, it just means what seems to be people actually think.

Saying you will vote for someone on the phone, and actually betting on who you think will win are different things, which is why it is not clear that we can make up who will win just yet but we can say that most recently for the past month or so a lot more people bet on Kamala than Trump, which shows a momentum. Does that means she is going to win?

Of course not, maybe she will say something moronic and lose, or maybe trump as usual will something stupid like he always does and he will lose, we really do not know.

Only thing we have right now is that Kamala has a momentum going for her and that's undeniable, it is clear and we know that it is true. We can see that on the news too, and on twitter and every other place political, she has the momentum, if she wants to win, she needs to build on that momentum to keep going.
legendary
Activity: 2912
Merit: 6403
Blackjack.fun
August 24, 2024, 02:15:48 PM
The Electoral College is designed to average the voting power by considering the power of the voting population in high and low-populated states. This looks like the best plan to me and I wonder why people would condemn it because if not considered, it would have amounted to giving the more populated states more voting power over the less populated ones.

More populated states get more voting power anyhow.
The biggest disadvantage of this system is that you can basically lose with not a single vote in the major states, so no votes out of 100 million voters and then win by just 51% in the rest, so in theory, you could win the election by getting less than one-third of the votes.

For example California, Texas and Florida last time:
California   11,110,639   6,006,518   
Florida   5,297,045           5,668,731
Texas   5,259,126           5,890,347

Biden got 21,666,810 and 55 electoral votes, Trump 17,565,596 and 67 electoral votes.
Does it look normal?

I believe that Kennedy truly saw something happened shady and bad in Democratic Party that is a his family's favorite party for many decades.

Or maybe he is the exception, as not every single Kennedy out there is nuts enough to brag about getting a roadkill bear cub from the street and then dump it in Central Park because he thought it was funny.

Anyhow, Stake has 3 states for betting, wonder if they will add more, as long as you still can place bets on candidates with 1:100 you can easily toss there most states too, and some of them are quite interesting, like PA and MI
legendary
Activity: 1162
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August 24, 2024, 11:43:57 AM
. Still for RRK this is better than nothing.

Better than nothing and still, I will continue to view him as an opportunistic player within this race, he was never serious on having a path towards victory, he was just trying to profit and get whatever we could of his position, in which we could either hurt one or other candidate.
If Trump indeed wins on November and somehow RFK gets a job within his administration, it would be a confirmation for me that there was some.kindnof lead between his campaign and the campaign of Trump for both of them to unfavour the chances of Kamala Harris.

I don't know about you, but all this scenario has started to look like 2016 again, but with the difference of Trump now being a convicted felon and having less charisma than back then, almost a decade ago. If Kamala team is smart enough, they won't commit the same mistakes Hillary did during his presidencial campaign.
hero member
Activity: 896
Merit: 654
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
August 24, 2024, 11:31:17 AM
The Democrats have always one much of the popular votes since a I began following US elections on Bush vs. Al Gore. However, the creation of the electoral college causes American presidential elections to have different maneuverings and tactics. This might appear to be unfair for some political commentators, however, this also makes the presidential elections much more exciting for the followers and for the people who bet on these candidates heheheh.
That's a thumbs up for the Democratic party, an indication that it is the party wanted by the majority, but I will not join those who would condemn the Electoral College whether it works for the Democratic party or not, besides, it has been used to produce the US president from both top parties.

The Electoral College is designed to average the voting power by considering the power of the voting population in high and low-populated states. This looks like the best plan to me and I wonder why people would condemn it because if not considered, it would have amounted to giving the more populated states more voting power over the less populated ones.
STT
legendary
Activity: 4102
Merit: 1454
August 24, 2024, 07:50:45 AM
Im not convinced Trump likes anyone that much, the two candidates will have done a deal.  I dont believe it was money, RFK will get a job if Trump gets in maybe in environmental concerns which Trump wishes to cap anyway.  Some agreement on policy is why RFK went that way but he is a Maverick anyway not a party man like his more famous relatives.  

The Democrat party was never going to back RFK in any way shape or form, he is just too out there.  Kayne is more a wild card I cant predict, I wonder if he'll make any run or has given up on this idea.   Just fame alone he can get the votes and he also has the money, obviously I dont consider it a serious run.   If the election and electoral college are close then factors like that could still matter, the swing states will win this election just like 2016.

There is a common theme in that parts of the Republican party have mentioned the Kennedy family and previous presidents alot in various talk.   Kennedy family is definitely Democrat but Arnold Schwarzenegger was married into the family and thats the last big office (Republican California Governor '03-'11) I can remember but anyhow Trump says he will uncover documents think of that what you will but its a big story clearly:
https://news.sky.com/story/trump-promises-to-release-jfk-assassination-documents-after-robert-f-kennedy-jr-backs-him-for-president-13201993
legendary
Activity: 2422
Merit: 1451
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
August 24, 2024, 05:45:20 AM
...

I heard he indeed withdrew from the race, which is kind of interesting to me, of I had to guess what happened, he probably ended up having some money from Trump for his endorsement. It makes seem if you think of Trump growing increasingly desperate as the Democratic convention is going on in the USA, as Kamala starts to take over the polls and the discourse of Trump appears to weaken, Trump probably accepted to pay Kennedy a good amount for him dropping out and explicitly endorse him...
Who knows, both Kennedy and Trump were aware that the former going third party was more likely to spoil the chances of Trump than those of Kamala.
Odds betting straight again is a sign Joe Biden did the right thing when he decided to drop out of the race, had he stayed around and keep his campaign, he would have shown to have less chances to win than Kamala, no doubt about it ...
In his speech yesterday, Trump invited RFK to speak live towards his audience at the rally and announced they will be working together once Trump becomes president.
Kennedy is apparently very passionate about chronic disease and peace in Ukraine so he conceded going against trump to achieve these goals.

Some people say ti was obvious that this is what was going to happen from the start given that RFK's campaign was largely promoted by previously pro-trump super PACs. While the ads in the PAC's promotions weren't necessarily in RFK's control, this was telling of his leaning towards the overall Trump campaign. To be honest even though Trump let him speak, he gave him very little time and spoke against Kennedy's move to run as independent even while applauding him. So Trump doesn't seem to like RFK that much but maybe will give him a position out of necessity. Still for RRK this is better than nothing.
legendary
Activity: 3346
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Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
August 24, 2024, 12:07:13 AM
His press conference today in which he told that the Democratic Party turned to be corrupted, censored and more.

If a member of the Kennedy family feels this way, then I wonder how the ordinary Americans are feeling. The way mainstream media is manipulating news to favor Kamala, in an ideal situation she should win by a landslide. Somewhere I read that 90% of the media coverage for Kamala is positive, while the same amount of media coverage for Trump is negative. That is a massive advantage for the Democrats. And the irony is that, despite all that Trump is still favored to win by a good margin.
sr. member
Activity: 602
Merit: 387
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August 23, 2024, 09:58:10 PM
I heard he indeed withdrew from the race, which is kind of interesting to me, of I had to guess what happened, he probably ended up having some money from Trump for his endorsement. It makes seem if you think of Trump growing increasingly desperate as the Democratic convention is going on in the USA, as Kamala starts to take over the polls and the discourse of Trump appears to weaken, Trump probably accepted to pay Kennedy a good amount for him dropping out and explicitly endorse him...
It is a big twist in very last months before the President Election but it began with a moment Kennedy decided to leave the Democratic Party and did his rally as an independent presidential nominee. His support for Trump and Republic Party in very decisive months, as he said, is to make sure that Republic Party and Trump will win against Democratic Party and Harris.

Quote
Who knows, both Kennedy and Trump were aware that the former going third party was more likely to spoil the chances of Trump than those of Kamala.
Odds betting straight again is a sign Joe Biden did the right thing when he decided to drop out of the race, had he stayed around and keep his campaign, he would have shown to have less chances to win than Kamala, no doubt about it ...
I believe that Kennedy truly saw something happened shady and bad in Democratic Party that is a his family's favorite party for many decades. His decisions months ago to leave them is a big moment but today event and his announcement to support Trump is a bigger moment. It's time for them to work together for beating Democratic Party and Harris to bring better borders and other things for the Americans.

His press conference today in which he told that the Democratic Party turned to be corrupted, censored and more.
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 2025
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
August 23, 2024, 06:25:17 PM
...

I heard he indeed withdrew from the race, which is kind of interesting to me, of I had to guess what happened, he probably ended up having some money from Trump for his endorsement. It makes seem if you think of Trump growing increasingly desperate as the Democratic convention is going on in the USA, as Kamala starts to take over the polls and the discourse of Trump appears to weaken, Trump probably accepted to pay Kennedy a good amount for him dropping out and explicitly endorse him...
Who knows, both Kennedy and Trump were aware that the former going third party was more likely to spoil the chances of Trump than those of Kamala.
Odds betting straight again is a sign Joe Biden did the right thing when he decided to drop out of the race, had he stayed around and keep his campaign, he would have shown to have less chances to win than Kamala, no doubt about it ...
legendary
Activity: 3780
Merit: 1418
August 23, 2024, 05:02:37 PM


After RFK's endorsment it appears as though Kamala VS. Trump odds have come straight again.
There was a brief dip in Trump's chances that put Kamala first for a few days after Kamala's favorability in polls kept performing so well.
Still, in Trump vs. Kamala head to head polling Kamala seems to be performing better, but in many polls where RFK is included, Trump has much better chances interestingly.

Now RFK has announced that he'll be withdrawing from states that Trump needs to win, and endorsing Trump for president:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n15oCfLdmXI

This could be tremendous help to the Trump campaign in this tight race.

Another interesting development is that project 538 released their predictions today:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/


This is a website that makes simulations to see who's more likely to win. They made a good prediction for 2020, not so much for 2016. This year maybe RFK could be the factor that flips the election for Trump in spite of Kamala seemingly having more paths to victory at present.

I don't know if I've ever seen 50/40 odds on a presidential campaign this close to election.  Going to be a crazy last couple of months.  I'm waiting until the debate and then will probably throw some money down after that ends and I can see what the sentiment is like around the country.  All the other bets are just free money for the gambling house to rake in on.  Sucker bets.
legendary
Activity: 2422
Merit: 1451
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
August 23, 2024, 04:12:01 PM


After RFK's endorsment it appears as though Kamala VS. Trump odds have come straight again.
There was a brief dip in Trump's chances that put Kamala first for a few days after Kamala's favorability in polls kept performing so well.
Still, in Trump vs. Kamala head to head polling Kamala seems to be performing better, but in many polls where RFK is included, Trump has much better chances interestingly.

Now RFK has announced that he'll be withdrawing from states that Trump needs to win, and endorsing Trump for president:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n15oCfLdmXI

This could be tremendous help to the Trump campaign in this tight race.

Another interesting development is that project 538 released their predictions today:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/


This is a website that makes simulations to see who's more likely to win. They made a good prediction for 2020, not so much for 2016. This year maybe RFK could be the factor that flips the election for Trump in spite of Kamala seemingly having more paths to victory at present.
sr. member
Activity: 952
Merit: 303
August 23, 2024, 10:04:24 AM
Yes you are right, we can all see it now that Kamala Harris is far more dominant in the majority of bookmakers and this is one of the things that really confuses some people.
It is not the first time something like this has happened but we still have to really look in detail and find all the information available regarding the superiority of Kamala Harris and Donald Trump towards the support of the US public.
But what is quite surprising and makes me quite impressed with Kamala Harris is the support given by the former US president Barack Obama, this could be an advantage for Kamala Harris to get more supporters in the upcoming election.
It just that I still believe that Trump will win even though it is only small difference with Kamala Harris vote count.

Not sure whether the support from Obama will do any good for Kamala. Obama was supposed to support the Democrat nominee, and Kamala is regarded as someone who is close to him. At this point, the "No Tossup" map from RealClearPolling shows Trump with 287 electoral college votes, and Kamala with 251. Margin is close and Trump is boosted by his lead in Pennsylvania. In case Kamala manages to take the lead in that state, then the situation will flip. It will be 270 for Kamala vs 268 for Trump.

        -       It looks like Kamala will be Trump's tough competitor this time. Does this mean there is now a good fight in this election campaign?

because it's possible that those who support Biden have fallen in support of Kamala, right? So Trump's victory is really not guaranteed when the US presidential election comes.
legendary
Activity: 3346
Merit: 1352
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
August 23, 2024, 08:31:54 AM
If we look at the odds, Kamala is leading, but it is not over yet for Trump, I mean he has history already of making a comeback in the last couple of weeks prior to the election. But Trump or at least his advisers should really focus on what their platform are, so that the Americans will have a clear understanding instead of Trump going on the public and just attacks Kamala.

Otherwise, we will have the first women President of the United States.

Recent polls have shown Trump in the lead, however a few of them have put Kamala ahead. The latest one from Rasmussen Reports shows Trump ahead by 3 points. Another poll from HarrisX also shows him ahead by 2 points. And I have said this many times. If Trump is leading the popular vote, it is going to be a landslide win for him at the electoral college. Kamala is still enjoying some sort of bum from the Democrat nomination. But that bump is not going to last too long. 
hero member
Activity: 1526
Merit: 555
August 22, 2024, 09:24:13 PM
Same with u I also put my money on Trump because what I think he have a good chance to win. I ignore the poll result since its like there's something wrong with those result they show to the public.
One of the reasons why I always go with Trump is that he is always underestimated by the bookmakers. This happened twice - first in 2016, and then again in 2020. I have checked odds for Trump in various online gambling sites, and the best I could get was around 1.60. Given the fact that he is leading in states such as Pennsylvania, I believe that the odds should be close to 1.3-1.4. On the other hand, Kamala's campaign is resembling that of Hillary Clinton in 2016 with each passing day. She is going to lose really bad.
Yes you are right, we can all see it now that Kamala Harris is far more dominant in the majority of bookmakers and this is one of the things that really confuses some people.
It is not the first time something like this has happened but we still have to really look in detail and find all the information available regarding the superiority of Kamala Harris and Donald Trump towards the support of the US public.
But what is quite surprising and makes me quite impressed with Kamala Harris is the support given by the former US president Barack Obama, this could be an advantage for Kamala Harris to get more supporters in the upcoming election.
It just that I still believe that Trump will win even though it is only small difference with Kamala Harris vote count.

I also believe that Trump will win, but the whole movement of the Obama family and the world media may confuse some voters thinking that Kamala Harris may be the favorite to win the presidential elections, this worries me a lot... Anyway, we will follow how things unfold over time... at first I am considering this Obama movement a kind of desperation on the left side of the force.

If we look at the odds, Kamala is leading, but it is not over yet for Trump, I mean he has history already of making a comeback in the last couple of weeks prior to the election. But Trump or at least his advisers should really focus on what their platform are, so that the Americans will have a clear understanding instead of Trump going on the public and just attacks Kamala.

Otherwise, we will have the first women President of the United States.
legendary
Activity: 3122
Merit: 1492
August 22, 2024, 09:15:54 PM
@STT. I very much agree on your attitude on the government and on playing house with their money and their future money. However, this does not occur in America and in their government. This is an occurrence on all of these places where there is a government heheheheheh. But this is reality, wee need to pay taxes. My only issue with this is they take our money but they also use this money to step on our faces? Heheehh this is not right. Why can they not take only our money and play house and give the people their freedom?
STT
legendary
Activity: 4102
Merit: 1454
August 22, 2024, 04:14:09 PM
Americans dont have a choice of whether to care, they are paying for the election and the entire government to play house with their money today and your future money every year till you die via debt & deficit budget spending.   They'll also send you to war too, so add your life onto that bet.

   The money discussion of the odds is purely a sidebet as we're already upto our necks in this game compadre.   Arguably as the global reserve currency nation with dollars created then spent altering value elsewhere, you as a citizen anywhere are effected imo.


Shooting & USSS Stories:

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13769873/Arizona-shoot-trump-ronald-lee-syrvud.html

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13767237/Rep-Mike-Waltz-says-isnt-convinced-Donald-Trump-shooter-Thomas-Crooks-acted-assassination-attempt.html

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