Topic: 2024 U.S. Presidential Election Bets! - page 36. (Read 15310 times)

I have seen many negative comments about Kamala, some say that she wants to implement communism, when did she lose her mind? With the thing about X why does she want to prohibit it, these are things that do not fit for a country like the USA, especially because at a global level the USA was seen as a country of broad freedoms and practically as the world capital, both economically and in any other area, and when politicians get involved in the economy, these things do not fit , I think what you say is the most correct, starting with the wealthiest and going down to the lowest strata.

Taxing unrealized gains as a policy is not a moral dilemma, most already recognize politics will do whatever it can get away with & they have no morals.   The most important point is not the policy proposed but the unforeseen effects; the actual changes it could put to investment in the USA is a picture too large to see immediately.

People are ready to throw around this idea like its another talking point to win points when its TNT and could damage far more then recognized.

  If they upset the balance that is in investment structure and manage to discourage capital available to US business it could bring forward a 1930's scenario where harm caused by government is disruptive to the extreme and knocks onto the rest of the economy also.   Once a landslide is started especially with trillions in debt is pre-existing, the damage can be hard to stop.

  The withdrawal of capital counts as deflationary policy, this would raise the cost of debt & bring government closer to insolvency then it already is.  Add in falling tax revenues from a destructive policy and 4 years could be all it takes to tank the USA economy for a generation.

As far as the election prospects and bets go it depends on the beliefs of people as to that policy and the confidence in the general ability of Harris administration to govern with competence.
  Just arguing to choose us is 'less worse' then your opponent is not the strongest manifesto to try and win on, obviously some just wont believe that; it may not be enough to bring out voters reluctant to vote for either candidate.
   I see a possible repeat of Clinton's mistake, hubris in having the popular vote and losing anyway.

There's also new schedule, that has been set on the Jan 6th case, which means that there will be new never-before-seen evidence being released by the prosecutors. And depending how bad that is, it can affect the gambling odds.

So trump voters may want to wait for more profitable odds if they think he will win. I sometimes wish i could trade the changing odds with a 100x leverage, like trading futures etc...

It's always better to trust your instincts rather than the predictions of others. I agree that the race will be close to the end, but I can't tell you who will win for sure. Let's just hope that no more tragedies like the attack on the Capitol happen. Let's root for a more peaceful future.

Harris has already suffered a crushing defeat when she scored a disgraceful 1% in the primaries. The problem is that this story is not about the elections but about possible cheating. If I were sure that the Democrats would not cheat (with mail-in voting as was the case when Biden won), I would have already bet all my free money on Trump. You don't find such easy money every year.

I don't know from where I get this confidence that Harris won't defeat Trump. Maybe it's from the fact of what you enumerated above or from my observation that Americans aren't ready yet for a woman to preside over them. If they were, seeing how they loved Hillary Clinton, they would've elected her president in her contest against Trump. She was popular among them, yet they denied her that experience of the White House. I believe Harris will get a severe defeat of her life at the polls come November 5th.

The intrigue may persist until the last moment, but if we weigh different factors, then I would bet on Kamala's victory, although this is by no means obvious at this stage. Moreover, not for reasons of sympathy or antipathy of one of the parties, but solely for the purpose of winning the bet.

What Harris and Trump say these days probably doesn't matter much anymore since very few people would be willing to shift camps at this stage. November is going to be a crazy month for the USA and the rest of the world.

And Trump isn't? Harris lies about a lot of things, but Trump is a world class liar and is in another league when it comes to lying which he has proven time and time again.

News about Kamala Harris's acceptance on Bitcoin for donation on her campaign was released days ago but I saw this article on Coindesk that was published 2 days ago.

It has confirmation and clarification that Kamala did not accept it directly and previous news we read are faked or misled ones.

Kamala Harris Is Not Directly Accepting Crypto Donations, a PAC Is, Coinbase Says

This President Nominee is full of lies from policies, ideas to news releases.

It would be very unfortunate of your prediction comes true and in the case of Donald Trump losing the race, he against calls his supporters to protest and end up in a riot in Washington or in any other major city of the United States. Actually, it would be a very foolish thing to do, considering how the previous rioters ended up : arrested and some of them being charged with crimes as serious as conspiracy or sedition.

I also have the gut feeling (for now), Harris will end up winning by a very tight margin, though that could change at any time, specially if Harris continues to signal she would implement measures as taxes on unrealized gains, as she signaled lately. If she continues to point towards such outrageous economical measures she won't be able to defeat Trump.

Predictors are everywhere which is why it's best to trust your own gut over some random person's intuition. Personally, I feel that this race will be tight till the end, but Harris will somehow end up winning.

This will lead to Trump and his supporters losing it and probably initiating Capitol attack 2.0 screwing themselves royally in the process. Random prediction!

Betting on the Democrats now could be a big mistake, a week or two before Biden quit I was able to make a bet on the Democrats winning which paid ~3.2x the bet. Now it pays <2x. The bet wasn't real big, I should have made it much bigger.

I am also interested in testing The Simpson's predictions whether it will happen to Kamala Harris, we know that some predictions in this cartoon series do come true in the future, a conspiracy cartoon, but it is very unique, very exciting to watch.

I don't remember where, but I once read that some casinos are allowed to hold bets on this US election, but I seem to have forgotten enough, previously I saw that Trump had a greater chance of becoming president again, but strangely Kamala Harris has increased since Biden resigned, and now the competition is quite tight.

This is exactly how the income tax was introduced - at first it was declared as temporary and only for the rich, but now we pay crazy taxes that barely allow us to breathe.
I actively read Twitter and I am very upset that many people write "well, it's a tax on the rich, it won't affect me". Such people have zero morals and intelligence. Sometimes I think that to participate in elections you need property and intellectual qualifications. Stupid poor animals should not vote.

Historian Allan Lichtman predicted that Kamala would win. He has pretty good track record on predicting new presidents by using a system called "keys to the white house", however that only predicts who wins the popular vote, and since US is weird and insist of using electoral college, i suppose that there's some casino allows betting on who wins the popular vote. If odds are good enough, i might bet for kamala on this.

I think that in politics, religion and other areas we should all respect the points of view and preferences of each person, because they have their convictions and that should be repeated, therefore if you have your money on Kamala it is your decision and no one should make fun of or refute your decision, therefore that is called maturity and it is something that many do not handle, I have often given my point of view, and for me the one I have put in bets is Trump , but it is because of my way of seeing things, if I win super well once again then I show myself that my reasons were valid and if I lose then it is time to accept defeat, that is something that represents maturity and nothing happens from there.

I read a bit about that on social media and I thought it was some kind of political joke or rumor being pushed by Trump's team, but it seems to be actually an idea within the mind of Kamala to tax the rich on money they have not even gotten their hands on.
That is going surely to help Trump to further push the idea Kamala Harris is some kind of unhinged communist who is seeking to undermine the American way of life.
Granted, even if we talk about the rich people (who already have enough money to live the rest of their life with comfort) it is still quite uncomfortable to even allow to pass the idea on that kind of taxation into law...

The worst of it is how the administration of Kamala Harris could be planning to enforce this those kinds of laws/economical measures on the American population from now on. Would not be necessary to keep surveillance up 24/7 on the rich and track each one of their investments in real time for the state to know whether they are avoiding taxes or not?
Besides being a measure which punishes investors, it also sounds like a good excuse to implement perpetual surveillance on the people's finances.

They could first start with the rich, as they are a minority in the country, then move onto the middle class and then to anyone who holds a bank account...
Bad timing for Kamala to actually go radical on economics.

This is really awful imagine if this is been implemented then the life of their citizens will became more harder. Trump camp could take advantage in this situation and I don't know what Democrats thinking regarding in this matter instead they create more valuable law that can help to make the life of their citizen easier. They create things that only benefits them. One of greedy action made by politician and a red flag already so Trump could really take advantage on this and use this issue against Harris. For sure people hate paying huge taxes will get angry with this and provably that they avoid those politicians who agree to increase the tax and make their life became more harder.

For me taxation is not evil if they used it on right cause. But if they add up more and take lot of money to hard working people then indeed this is evil act. These kind of issues makes me think that its really good to bet on Trump presidency since I think he is more better even if Harris is leading on the poll as statistic sites says.

Good luck, that seems like the pulse of the people there.

Actually, reading the thoughts of the people from there really gives a lot of interesting point of view. They're different as per the candidate that they're supporting, the points, the goods that each of them will bring to the table.

You'd see the other one hates the other candidate.

Maybe I'm naive but I still think that the majority of people have at least some sense of justice/injustice and will be put off by the idea of taxing someone on the profit they haven't even made.
And although she was proposing to only introduce such tax on millionaires (or billionaires), the message that is propagated on the internet is just that "Harris supports unrealised gains tax" and that's enough to spoof even small-time investors, which, in the US are tens of millions.
And I imagine the Democrats do have some very wealthy donors, who probably will also not be happy with that news.