I mean that's just a 50-60 dollar bet nothing big, but at the same time people are already betting millions (I am sure with every place included it must be billions by now) on the bet anyway, why do it here? That part doesn't make sense, I already have 50 bucks on Kamala for example, and had it for a while, did that next day after she became the candidate and Biden withdrew, which is why it's a good odds as well. I do not understand why I would do that here, the point is lost on me, doesn't feel any extra fun to do it here.
If it's about who is right, I already did put my money on Kamala, if I am right then I am right and make money, if I am wrong then I will lose money and you can mock me if you want.
But I won't do it here, plus we really do not know who will win, do not listen to anyone who says one side will win all the way now, they don't know, nobody knows, the entire world doesn't know, it's totally a random situation for now and we need to wait and see.
Topic: 2024 U.S. Presidential Election Bets! - page 37. (Read 15353 times)
This entry by Polymarket's prediction markets as a source of information for mainstream news media might add more inflows of money in these predictions and cause them to be more reliable for percentages if the prediction might become real or not real.
This is certainly only the beginning of this new type for gathering information on elections and political occurrences. Polymarket became very much popular because of the American presidential election, I reckon. Where is the token for this heheheheheheeheee.
Polymarket’s prediction data is poised to enter mainstream political discourse.
On Sept. 3, Shayne Coplan, the CEO and founder of Polymarket, the leading web3 prediction market, announced that Bloomberg Terminal had integrated Polymarket, making the platform’s data available to a broad audience of mainstream news consumers.
“Entering mainstream news and finance before our eyes,” Coplan tweeted. “What once was a fringe, sci-fi idea for transforming the flow of information is now becoming the new normal, as 10s of millions of people build habit around relying on Polymarket forecasts as a source of truth, to make sense of what’s going on in the world.”
Read in full https://thedefiant.io/news/defi/bloomberg-terminal-integrates-polymarket-election-data
I also like the polymarket and I started using it this year, but I don’t bet, I just watch for now and it interests me not only in political events, but also in the world of cryptocurrencies, because there are very interesting forecasts there. I think the polymarket will eventually become something big today. People have already bet $800 million on this site alone, the closer the elections are, the more money they will bet.This is certainly only the beginning of this new type for gathering information on elections and political occurrences. Polymarket became very much popular because of the American presidential election, I reckon. Where is the token for this heheheheheheeheee.
Polymarket’s prediction data is poised to enter mainstream political discourse.
On Sept. 3, Shayne Coplan, the CEO and founder of Polymarket, the leading web3 prediction market, announced that Bloomberg Terminal had integrated Polymarket, making the platform’s data available to a broad audience of mainstream news consumers.
“Entering mainstream news and finance before our eyes,” Coplan tweeted. “What once was a fringe, sci-fi idea for transforming the flow of information is now becoming the new normal, as 10s of millions of people build habit around relying on Polymarket forecasts as a source of truth, to make sense of what’s going on in the world.”
Read in full https://thedefiant.io/news/defi/bloomberg-terminal-integrates-polymarket-election-data
As for your joke about the token, I won’t be surprised if it happens) Just look at how big the capitalization of meme tokens is, it surprises me a lot. Therefore, the token will make much more sense against the background of memes. But in general, I wish the polymarket huge development, I will continue to use it.
I know there might be a lot of people here who think the "normal" taxation is already a theft, but taxing people on unrealised gains is a next-level evil. Anyone who supports this should be banned from politics for life.
But yeah, that's surely a good news for Trump.
But yeah, that's surely a good news for Trump.
I'm guessing that there must be some kind of minimum amount of unrealized gains that you need to have before this tax kicks in...
It's based on the idea that the few (thousands?) of people that have an enormous amount of wealth are just sitting on it without having to do anything other than invest their money to control the entire country.
It's probably not for regular people having investments with unrealized gains.
I think it's a good way to actually shift the wealth from the very few on top towards everyone else.
What would be a better alternative?, we are getting poorer and poorer, even if you are the top 1% of the working class.
This entry by Polymarket's prediction markets as a source of information for mainstream news media might add more inflows of money in these predictions and cause them to be more reliable for percentages if the prediction might become real or not real.
This is certainly only the beginning of this new type for gathering information on elections and political occurrences. Polymarket became very much popular because of the American presidential election, I reckon. Where is the token for this heheheheheheeheee.
Polymarket’s prediction data is poised to enter mainstream political discourse.
On Sept. 3, Shayne Coplan, the CEO and founder of Polymarket, the leading web3 prediction market, announced that Bloomberg Terminal had integrated Polymarket, making the platform’s data available to a broad audience of mainstream news consumers.
“Entering mainstream news and finance before our eyes,” Coplan tweeted. “What once was a fringe, sci-fi idea for transforming the flow of information is now becoming the new normal, as 10s of millions of people build habit around relying on Polymarket forecasts as a source of truth, to make sense of what’s going on in the world.”
Read in full https://thedefiant.io/news/defi/bloomberg-terminal-integrates-polymarket-election-data
This is certainly only the beginning of this new type for gathering information on elections and political occurrences. Polymarket became very much popular because of the American presidential election, I reckon. Where is the token for this heheheheheheeheee.
Polymarket’s prediction data is poised to enter mainstream political discourse.
On Sept. 3, Shayne Coplan, the CEO and founder of Polymarket, the leading web3 prediction market, announced that Bloomberg Terminal had integrated Polymarket, making the platform’s data available to a broad audience of mainstream news consumers.
“Entering mainstream news and finance before our eyes,” Coplan tweeted. “What once was a fringe, sci-fi idea for transforming the flow of information is now becoming the new normal, as 10s of millions of people build habit around relying on Polymarket forecasts as a source of truth, to make sense of what’s going on in the world.”
Read in full https://thedefiant.io/news/defi/bloomberg-terminal-integrates-polymarket-election-data
I know there might be a lot of people here who think the "normal" taxation is already a theft, but taxing people on unrealised gains is a next-level evil. Anyone who supports this should be banned from politics for life.
But yeah, that's surely a good news for Trump.
But yeah, that's surely a good news for Trump.
It depends, there are many people who don't have a penny, who depend on the state and who are going to love this news as a blow to the rich. Not everyone has investments or understands them, or even if they don't, they understand the harm that a measure like this can do to the economy as a whole. They are simply signing up to the populist message against the rich.
Alright, so I hear that Kamala Harris mentioned her intention to increase capital gains tax as well as express her support for unrealised gains tax for the richest, which sparked a lot of controversies resulting in a drop in poll ratings:
https://thehill.com/opinion/finance/4859946-vice-president-kamala-harris-tax/
I know there might be a lot of people here who think the "normal" taxation is already a theft, but taxing people on unrealised gains is a next-level evil. Anyone who supports this should be banned from politics for life.
But yeah, that's surely a good news for Trump.
https://thehill.com/opinion/finance/4859946-vice-president-kamala-harris-tax/
I know there might be a lot of people here who think the "normal" taxation is already a theft, but taxing people on unrealised gains is a next-level evil. Anyone who supports this should be banned from politics for life.
But yeah, that's surely a good news for Trump.
The Democratic party how Donald Trump flawed the current president Joe Biden during their debate just before Biden stepped down in the race for reelection and you don't expect them to take the risk if allowing Kamala stand against the very smart Trump in a debate again. If that happens, Trump is definitely going to use that medium to expose the inabilities of the Kamala so the Democrats are doing everything possible not to make the debate hold and the strategy they're using at the moment is influence the debate terms in their own favor. Donald Trump I know will never want to engage in a debate that's biased and if that happens. Let's keep our fingers crossed and see what happens in the coming days.
Well, there has been a lot of controversy surrounding these Elections , especially there is something that I didn't like about Kamala, supposedly she said that she wanted X not to have access to Americans, that is , to prohibit her as Venezuela and Brazil did, of course the presidents of Venezuela and Brazil seem to be very ignorant since with a VPN you can enter without any problem, but according to them what, well, it still seems to me that Kamala should not Follow those communist patterns ,they should not take away any type of freedoms, there she does take away many points from this candidate, and more so since Trump is pro-X (Twitter) and pro-Bitcoin.
... In fact, if she wanted to get investors on her side, she would have done it much better, but apparently she's not even interested and thinks she can win without the support of supporters from different areas. I'm afraid her campaign is weak compared to her opponent's
If she wanted investors on her side all she needed to do was to promise some tax cuts on cryptocurrency capital gains, for example; but that kind of promise would go completely against the policies of the current administration and the messaging the nowadays democrat party is trying to give off to their voters, they are in for further taxation on the rich, including those who are getting their money from Bitcoin and cryptocurrency.
Though, I agree with you, I believe Kamala must be overestimating the size of her voting base and also the power of their support, so much so she believes she does not need to appeal to a particular group of people in the country. Trump is literally running politically to stay out of prison, so it makes sense he tries to appeal to as much people as possible, by talking about Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies without exactly knowing what this whole community is about.
The total money raised so far is about 220 million for Kamala, and 150 million for Trump. Doesn't seem like close, but in reality that's pretty close because when you reach a certain level, after that it is not a big deal at all.
Plus, Trump has gone to some places and failed to pay last time around, which is why I think he is not allowed to rally in some places as well, I know that sounds silly but the reality is simple that we are not going to see Trump pay every time he owes someone, that's literally his entire life, he makes debts and then doesn't pay them, that's what he did since he started working.
So, this time it could eb an issue because he has some rally places blocked, some towns and even cities do not accept him since he owes them money, so he needs less money. The gap between them may look big, but it could be useless big, as in they will both spend 100, so rest will be useless kind of way, we will see with time, can't say for sure.
I do not see the money each candidate got as an important factor that could decide the election, however the debate that is coming will be key, but if I am honest I think both candidates are terrible and I cannot believe this is the best both parties can offer, but it is what it is, I still think that if the Republicans had picked a different candidate they could be way ahead on the polls, as even if there are voters out there that agree with their policies, they do not want to vote for Trump as they really dislike him.Plus, Trump has gone to some places and failed to pay last time around, which is why I think he is not allowed to rally in some places as well, I know that sounds silly but the reality is simple that we are not going to see Trump pay every time he owes someone, that's literally his entire life, he makes debts and then doesn't pay them, that's what he did since he started working.
So, this time it could eb an issue because he has some rally places blocked, some towns and even cities do not accept him since he owes them money, so he needs less money. The gap between them may look big, but it could be useless big, as in they will both spend 100, so rest will be useless kind of way, we will see with time, can't say for sure.
I have to disagree with "I do not see the money each candidate got as an important factor that could decide the election".. the money each candidate is getting form their donors is a pretty big deal as that shows what companies/groups of people are voting for which candidate/who's backing them. I would agree the debates are a better indicator and I also couldn't agree more that both candidates are horrid and it's a joke. The US has an illusion of having "freedom of choice".. a flawed two party system is NOT choice.
Anyhow, I'm still going to wait up until the last minute to pull the trigger on a bet.
The total money raised so far is about 220 million for Kamala, and 150 million for Trump. Doesn't seem like close, but in reality that's pretty close because when you reach a certain level, after that it is not a big deal at all.
Plus, Trump has gone to some places and failed to pay last time around, which is why I think he is not allowed to rally in some places as well, I know that sounds silly but the reality is simple that we are not going to see Trump pay every time he owes someone, that's literally his entire life, he makes debts and then doesn't pay them, that's what he did since he started working.
So, this time it could eb an issue because he has some rally places blocked, some towns and even cities do not accept him since he owes them money, so he needs less money. The gap between them may look big, but it could be useless big, as in they will both spend 100, so rest will be useless kind of way, we will see with time, can't say for sure.
I do not see the money each candidate got as an important factor that could decide the election, however the debate that is coming will be key, but if I am honest I think both candidates are terrible and I cannot believe this is the best both parties can offer, but it is what it is, I still think that if the Republicans had picked a different candidate they could be way ahead on the polls, as even if there are voters out there that agree with their policies, they do not want to vote for Trump as they really dislike him.Plus, Trump has gone to some places and failed to pay last time around, which is why I think he is not allowed to rally in some places as well, I know that sounds silly but the reality is simple that we are not going to see Trump pay every time he owes someone, that's literally his entire life, he makes debts and then doesn't pay them, that's what he did since he started working.
So, this time it could eb an issue because he has some rally places blocked, some towns and even cities do not accept him since he owes them money, so he needs less money. The gap between them may look big, but it could be useless big, as in they will both spend 100, so rest will be useless kind of way, we will see with time, can't say for sure.
I have to disagree with "I do not see the money each candidate got as an important factor that could decide the election".. the money each candidate is getting form their donors is a pretty big deal as that shows what companies/groups of people are voting for which candidate/who's backing them. I would agree the debates are a better indicator and I also couldn't agree more that both candidates are horrid and it's a joke. The US has an illusion of having "freedom of choice".. a flawed two party system is NOT choice.
Anyhow, I'm still going to wait up until the last minute to pull the trigger on a bet.
...
Trump is already openly sponsored by Elon Musk and other prominent people who are donating to his campaign, so I would say there are no worries when comes to funding his path towards the white house.
Ideologically, I cannot relate to Trump up to one hundred percent, as he is more authoritarian than I would like him to be, to the point of cheering on literal dictators around the world.
I continue to believe deep down in mind, Trump does not actually support cryptocurrency and only uses it as a buzzword to catch our attention. It seems to be working though.
On the other hand, there is no doubt Kamala Harris would continue with Bidens plans to regulate and limit Bitcoin in the long term, even applying high taxes onto miners, so discourage the hashrate within the country.
She didn't openly talk about supporting the cryptocurrency market the way Trump shouted about it at the conference and even afterwards, she only said that she supports the development of the industry. In fact, if she wanted to get investors on her side, she would have done it much better, but apparently she's not even interested and thinks she can win without the support of supporters from different areas. I'm afraid her campaign is weak compared to her opponent's
The total money raised so far is about 220 million for Kamala, and 150 million for Trump. Doesn't seem like close, but in reality that's pretty close because when you reach a certain level, after that it is not a big deal at all.
Plus, Trump has gone to some places and failed to pay last time around, which is why I think he is not allowed to rally in some places as well, I know that sounds silly but the reality is simple that we are not going to see Trump pay every time he owes someone, that's literally his entire life, he makes debts and then doesn't pay them, that's what he did since he started working.
So, this time it could eb an issue because he has some rally places blocked, some towns and even cities do not accept him since he owes them money, so he needs less money. The gap between them may look big, but it could be useless big, as in they will both spend 100, so rest will be useless kind of way, we will see with time, can't say for sure.
I do not see the money each candidate got as an important factor that could decide the election, however the debate that is coming will be key, but if I am honest I think both candidates are terrible and I cannot believe this is the best both parties can offer, but it is what it is, I still think that if the Republicans had picked a different candidate they could be way ahead on the polls, as even if there are voters out there that agree with their policies, they do not want to vote for Trump as they really dislike him. Plus, Trump has gone to some places and failed to pay last time around, which is why I think he is not allowed to rally in some places as well, I know that sounds silly but the reality is simple that we are not going to see Trump pay every time he owes someone, that's literally his entire life, he makes debts and then doesn't pay them, that's what he did since he started working.
So, this time it could eb an issue because he has some rally places blocked, some towns and even cities do not accept him since he owes them money, so he needs less money. The gap between them may look big, but it could be useless big, as in they will both spend 100, so rest will be useless kind of way, we will see with time, can't say for sure.
Another day, another Trump parlay with some easy kickers. I think I’m close to having a grand bet on this election now. Can’t say I’ve ever done something like that before. I like having my money where my mouth is though. I’m betting that America hasn’t become completely brain dead yet. A bold strategy, I know.
Firstly, there will never be something like a free and fair election. Secondly, we get that you are a Trump supporter, but <1%? Hilarious nonsense.
Given the fact that there is hardly any difference in the popular vote, I would expect a tsunami for Trump at the electoral college. This is due to the fact that in order for the Democrat candidate to get a majority of the electoral college votes, he/she needs to win the popular vote by at least a margin of 3% to 4%. That is not happening now, as per the opinion polls. If both are equal in popular vote, then Trump is going to get somewhere between 300 and 350 electoral votes, carrying almost all of the swing states.
Will someone take me up on a bet? I would like to bet 0.001BTC that Trump wins. I'm not sure he will win, far from it, just for fun.
Anyone feel like betting on Kamala? It would be nice if in this thread, apart from talking about house betting and odds, we could make some bets.
It's way too risky to bet on either of them these days especially when the odds between them are split pretty much evenly(2.0 and 2.0 excluding the vig). Try betting against others on an exchange like Betfair where you will find plenty of risk-takers.Anyone feel like betting on Kamala? It would be nice if in this thread, apart from talking about house betting and odds, we could make some bets.
In a free and fair election, there is less than 1% chance that Kamala would win.
Firstly, there will never be something like a free and fair election. Secondly, we get that you are a Trump supporter, but <1%? Hilarious nonsense. It appears that there are people from the cryptospace which have begun to declare their support for Kamala Harris hhehe. However, Who is this Cleve Mesidor and what is this Blockchain Foundation? Also, why have they done to show their support on the companies in the cryptospace?
I will not be shocked if this organization was created as an operation to appear to be our friends, however, it is there to manipulate everyone and help the government control and strictly regulate the cryptospace.
Crypto investors and execs urging Vice President Kamala Harris to take a positive approach toward the industry are planning a September 13 fundraiser for the Democratic presidential nominee, Reuters reported.
Cleve Mesidor, executive director of the Blockchain Foundation and one of the group’s organisers, told Reuters that tickets range from $500 to $5,000, with a goal of raising $100,000.
While the amount is small, it signals that some in the industry are supporting Harris rather than Republican nominee Donald Trump, who has courted big donors with promises to introduce crypto-friendly policies should he be elected.
Source https://www.dlnews.com/articles/snapshot/crypto-industry-investors-plan-kamala-harris-fundraiser/
I will not be shocked if this organization was created as an operation to appear to be our friends, however, it is there to manipulate everyone and help the government control and strictly regulate the cryptospace.
Crypto investors and execs urging Vice President Kamala Harris to take a positive approach toward the industry are planning a September 13 fundraiser for the Democratic presidential nominee, Reuters reported.
Cleve Mesidor, executive director of the Blockchain Foundation and one of the group’s organisers, told Reuters that tickets range from $500 to $5,000, with a goal of raising $100,000.
While the amount is small, it signals that some in the industry are supporting Harris rather than Republican nominee Donald Trump, who has courted big donors with promises to introduce crypto-friendly policies should he be elected.
Source https://www.dlnews.com/articles/snapshot/crypto-industry-investors-plan-kamala-harris-fundraiser/
An obvious sell-out and a moron.
Harris has reiterated several times that she continues to support the idea of taxes on unrealized gains. This is anti-human in itself, but for crypto it is expressed even more strongly and any crypto enthusiast clearly understands this. Anyone in the cryptosphere who publicly supports Harris is a sellout.
If you support the cryptospace and also freedom on traditional speculative markets, we should wish that Kamala continues to vigorously support these types of policies hehehe. I am quite certain the people in Wall Street will begin to remove their support for her because her policies might be used to manipulate the markets, tradition and the cryptospace. Government should leave money inflows and outflows alone, I reckon. I am not implying that she is a communist, however, her policies appear to be very communistic.
In any case, Trump again is leading in Polymarket with a small 3% advantage. I have said already that being victorious on the next debate for Trump might be what will pump his ratings. This is his last opportunity because this will be the last presidential debate, the others were cancelled.
Will someone take me up on a bet? I would like to bet 0.001BTC that Trump wins. I'm not sure he will win, far from it, just for fun.
Anyone feel like betting on Kamala? It would be nice if in this thread, apart from talking about house betting and odds, we could make some bets.
Anyone feel like betting on Kamala? It would be nice if in this thread, apart from talking about house betting and odds, we could make some bets.
In a free and fair election, there is less than 1% chance that Kamala would win. But then, as we saw in 2020 there is widespread fraud and forgery through mail-in and absentee ballots. And Democrats even blocked a measure to make any form of ID cards mandatory for voting. Illegal aliens can attempt to vote, without anyone opposing them. And 99.99% of these votes are going to favor the Democrat party. But Trump supporters are not going to sit back and watch this time if the election is stolen from them.
The total money raised so far is about 220 million for Kamala, and 150 million for Trump. Doesn't seem like close, but in reality that's pretty close because when you reach a certain level, after that it is not a big deal at all.
Plus, Trump has gone to some places and failed to pay last time around, which is why I think he is not allowed to rally in some places as well, I know that sounds silly but the reality is simple that we are not going to see Trump pay every time he owes someone, that's literally his entire life, he makes debts and then doesn't pay them, that's what he did since he started working.
So, this time it could eb an issue because he has some rally places blocked, some towns and even cities do not accept him since he owes them money, so he needs less money. The gap between them may look big, but it could be useless big, as in they will both spend 100, so rest will be useless kind of way, we will see with time, can't say for sure.
Plus, Trump has gone to some places and failed to pay last time around, which is why I think he is not allowed to rally in some places as well, I know that sounds silly but the reality is simple that we are not going to see Trump pay every time he owes someone, that's literally his entire life, he makes debts and then doesn't pay them, that's what he did since he started working.
So, this time it could eb an issue because he has some rally places blocked, some towns and even cities do not accept him since he owes them money, so he needs less money. The gap between them may look big, but it could be useless big, as in they will both spend 100, so rest will be useless kind of way, we will see with time, can't say for sure.
Will someone take me up on a bet? I would like to bet 0.001BTC that Trump wins. I'm not sure he will win, far from it, just for fun.
Anyone feel like betting on Kamala? It would be nice if in this thread, apart from talking about house betting and odds, we could make some bets.
Anyone feel like betting on Kamala? It would be nice if in this thread, apart from talking about house betting and odds, we could make some bets.
...
Trump is already openly sponsored by Elon Musk and other prominent people who are donating to his campaign, so I would say there are no worries when comes to funding his path towards the white house.
Ideologically, I cannot relate to Trump up to one hundred percent, as he is more authoritarian than I would like him to be, to the point of cheering on literal dictators around the world.
I continue to believe deep down in mind, Trump does not actually support cryptocurrency and only uses it as a buzzword to catch our attention. It seems to be working though.
On the other hand, there is no doubt Kamala Harris would continue with Bidens plans to regulate and limit Bitcoin in the long term, even applying high taxes onto miners, so discourage the hashrate within the country.
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