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Topic: 2024 U.S. Presidential Election Bets! - page 37. (Read 10619 times)

sr. member
Activity: 364
Merit: 629
In ₿ we trust
July 15, 2024, 06:43:11 AM
He didn't need an assassination attempt to win, the election was already in his pocket and Biden/Democrats did everything to lose but this last incident carried everything to whole another level. He will use this to fight and clean the corruption which entrenched in every corner of the country. So this is a blessing in disguise for him. Had he died yesterday, it would have triggered a civil war easily and the results of that would be catastrophic. He probably was going to get 60% of the popular votes and now it is more like 80%. It doesn't even make much sense to make a bet on it unless... there is be a second successful murder attempt.

This was going to be a close race, but with this lastest incident Trump has indeed increased his chances to win, the picture of him alone screaming with his fist up to the sky is worth millions in political capital already, it is a truly a blessing in disguise for him, also the fact he quickly mentioned and asked for prayers for the family of those who died, makes him to look even more humane.
I am not sure whether his assassination would have sparked a civil war or not, USA polítics are more complex than that and the average Republican and the establishment would not find convenient for a war to happen in the USA, if anything, Putin would greatly benefit from it happening.

When I have some time, I'll try to find a graph which shows how the odds of Trump changed because of this unpredictable assassination attempt.

I thought the same thing, the situation, as difficult as it may have been, elected Donald Trump, if anyone had doubts about who to vote for, after this incident it is practically certain that the vote will go to Trump, he showed that even in adversity he did not let himself go slaughter and showed himself to be a very strong person with an American spirit that everyone wants to see. It's even easy to bet now, I would put all in on Trump if I were to bet.
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 2025
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
July 15, 2024, 06:19:41 AM
He didn't need an assassination attempt to win, the election was already in his pocket and Biden/Democrats did everything to lose but this last incident carried everything to whole another level. He will use this to fight and clean the corruption which entrenched in every corner of the country. So this is a blessing in disguise for him. Had he died yesterday, it would have triggered a civil war easily and the results of that would be catastrophic. He probably was going to get 60% of the popular votes and now it is more like 80%. It doesn't even make much sense to make a bet on it unless... there is be a second successful murder attempt.

This was going to be a close race, but with this lastest incident Trump has indeed increased his chances to win, the picture of him alone screaming with his fist up to the sky is worth millions in political capital already, it is a truly a blessing in disguise for him, also the fact he quickly mentioned and asked for prayers for the family of those who died, makes him to look even more humane.
I am not sure whether his assassination would have sparked a civil war or not, USA polítics are more complex than that and the average Republican and the establishment would not find convenient for a war to happen in the USA, if anything, Putin would greatly benefit from it happening.

When I have some time, I'll try to find a graph which shows how the odds of Trump changed because of this unpredictable assassination attempt.
sr. member
Activity: 1106
Merit: 391
July 15, 2024, 05:44:07 AM
What do you think is the impact of this news?

Trump injured but ‘fine’ after attempted assassination at rally, shooter and one attendee are dead

Quote
BUTLER, Pa. (AP) — Former President Donald Trump was the target of an apparent assassination attempt Saturday at a Pennsylvania rally, days before he was to accept the Republican nomination for a third time. A barrage of gunfire set off panic, and a bloodied Trump, who said he was shot in the ear, was surrounded by Secret Service and hurried to his SUV as he pumped his fist in a show of defiance.

And for the betting odds, Trump still is the heavy favorite to win. Does it make him more favorite?

Betting line now.
Trump -208 vs Biden +620

https://www.oddschecker.com/us/politics/us-politics



After the shooting case, I'm sure that Trump's popularity will increase, especially after seeing pictures circulating on the internet showing Trump shouting "fight" with a flag behind him, it seems like he's the hero that America needs right now. And also it might influence people that there are parties who don't like Trump's presence and that makes them switch/become more confident in voting for Trump.
legendary
Activity: 3276
Merit: 2442
July 15, 2024, 03:52:17 AM
He didn't need an assassination attempt to win, the election was already in his pocket and Biden/Democrats did everything to lose but this last incident carried everything to whole another level. He will use this to fight and clean the corruption which entrenched in every corner of the country. So this is a blessing in disguise for him. Had he died yesterday, it would have triggered a civil war easily and the results of that would be catastrophic. He probably was going to get 60% of the popular votes and now it is more like 80%. It doesn't even make much sense to make a bet on it unless... there is be a second successful murder attempt.
legendary
Activity: 2576
Merit: 1860
July 15, 2024, 12:04:27 AM
~snip~

I reckon the dead of the secret service should resign. He is incompetent, however, the skeptical me is thinking of something very bad like who gets direct benefits on the death of the Donald Trump?

In any case, the assassinator and if there are more people behind this assassination, they have given the victory to Trump on November with a very big landslide!

Can't resign, already dead. Grin Kidding aside, yeah, it's negligence that almost killed the presidential candidate.

Anyway, I'd rather focus on the shooter than the other things that would happen if Trump's dead. Thomas Crooks appears to be a sad young man who wants to shoot. At this point, it seems Thomas doesn't have a strong motive in killing a presidentiable.

Trump's winning not because he was assassinated. Trump's winning because Biden is senile.
donator
Activity: 4760
Merit: 4323
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
July 14, 2024, 11:54:30 PM
I was wrong about peak Trump odds then, way wrong as this increases the chances easily. Hard to predict this event, it does amount to some negligence on USSS part as even a drone could have covered surveillance better of the overall area and somehow thats not happened.  i do suspect its just a negligence story though.  I'm going to let the dust settle on this one a bit to see where the new picture for this bet lies but its got to have changed considerably now.

Add in the persistent doubts based off Biden's speech hesitancy which he has always had to some extent and I guess it could upset the race bias some from the standing president carrying an advantage over any other contender.

I haven’t checked the odds yet, but I imagine it isn’t much worth the bet now. I’m glad I was able to get some parlays in before it became clear Trump would be our next President. My first solo bet was placed at 2:1 odds. It seems like that wasn’t all that long ago. I’m guessing they’re probably closer to 1.2:1 now…
legendary
Activity: 3010
Merit: 1460
July 14, 2024, 11:31:33 PM
I was wrong about peak Trump odds then, way wrong as this increases the chances easily. Hard to predict this event, it does amount to some negligence on USSS part as even a drone could have covered surveillance better of the overall area and somehow thats not happened.  i do suspect its just a negligence story though.  I'm going to let the dust settle on this one a bit to see where the new picture for this bet lies but its got to have changed considerably now.

Add in the persistent doubts based off Biden's speech hesitancy which he has always had to some extent and I guess it could upset the race bias some from the standing president carrying an advantage over any other contender.

I reckon the head of the secret service should resign. He is incompetent, however, the skeptical me is thinking of something very bad like who gets direct benefits on the death of the Donald Trump?

In any case, the assassinator and if there are more people behind this assassination, they have given the victory to Trump on November with a very big landslide!
STT
legendary
Activity: 4046
Merit: 1447
Catalog Websites
July 14, 2024, 07:29:07 PM
I was wrong about peak Trump odds then, way wrong as this increases the chances easily. Hard to predict this event, it does amount to some negligence on USSS part as even a drone could have covered surveillance better of the overall area and somehow thats not happened.  i do suspect its just a negligence story though.  I'm going to let the dust settle on this one a bit to see where the new picture for this bet lies but its got to have changed considerably now.

Add in the persistent doubts based off Biden's speech hesitancy which he has always had to some extent and I guess it could upset the race bias some from the standing president carrying an advantage over any other contender.
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 2025
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
July 14, 2024, 07:25:13 PM
I'm curious about what will happen to bets that were placed before a tragic event.
For example, something bad happened to Donald Trump that led him to death. Will the bets be back to bettors who placed bets on Donald Trump on the Presidential election?

I wondered the same thing yesterday actually, as news unfolded on this alledged assassination attempt against former president Trump. I think it would be pretty much depending on the terms and conditions of each casino/betting book who happens to be holding a market or liquidity on this presidential race, to be honest. In the event something very bad had happened to Trump, some casinos would have closed their markets and give all their bettors their money initially deposited as wager, while there would be others who may take the approach of taking the death of the candidate as a default defat in the election (a dead man cannot run for president, let alone win the election), so those who would have had a stake on Trump could lose their money.
Again, I feel it is very situational and depeing on the staff of the bookies.

I am glad Trump is okey, though. Political violence is never okey, specially when we talk of democratic countries like the USA.
legendary
Activity: 2338
Merit: 1354
July 14, 2024, 07:11:59 PM
I'm curious about what will happen to bets that were placed before a tragic event.
For example, something bad happened to Donald Trump that led him to death. Will the bets be back to bettors who placed bets on Donald Trump on the Presidential election?
legendary
Activity: 3752
Merit: 1415
July 14, 2024, 07:06:22 PM
The news about trump surviving a bullet attack seems to have been met with positive reactions from the crowd. Stocks that deem friendly to trump rose in price on after market sales and are likely to have a very good opening on Monday. All eyes on TSLA and DJT. Both companies are down bad in terms of product and finances lately but really the potential of Trump looking like a hero on the media has made it so there's very positive evaluation of the long term outcomes.


Certainly I think Trump has the upper hand now. The polls will take a week or so to shot it because current ones were running in the days before the shooting also. But surely now Trump has better chances.

I agree he was an inch away from losing his life and now he looks like an American hero.  I don't bet on the presidential debate but if I did I'd be all in on Trump now.  With how biden looks like he is going downhill anyone on the fence I'd say will be on trumps side.  Hard to not root for the guy whether ypu like him or not.  I'm in the camp that these 2 both aren't fit for the job.  Both will be in theor 80s by the time their 4 years are up.
legendary
Activity: 3304
Merit: 1202
July 14, 2024, 07:01:16 PM
There is no way Biden still has any chances to still be president by the end of the year after all what happened with Trump. I also think the rabbit hole of this story is so deep that I don't even want to discover but I'm glad the attempt failed and Trump is okay. USA really deserves a strong president that can still speak , think and act by himself so that is why Trump is now by far the favorite to win the election.

However , with how nuts USA is lately , anything can happen with this country so let's hope election will still be held in 2024.
legendary
Activity: 2422
Merit: 1451
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
July 14, 2024, 06:28:52 PM
The news about trump surviving a bullet attack seems to have been met with positive reactions from the crowd. Stocks that deem friendly to trump rose in price on after market sales and are likely to have a very good opening on Monday. All eyes on TSLA and DJT. Both companies are down bad in terms of product and finances lately but really the potential of Trump looking like a hero on the media has made it so there's very positive evaluation of the long term outcomes.


Certainly I think Trump has the upper hand now. The polls will take a week or so to shot it because current ones were running in the days before the shooting also. But surely now Trump has better chances.
sr. member
Activity: 378
Merit: 285
July 14, 2024, 12:01:19 PM
What do you think is the impact of this news?

Trump injured but ‘fine’ after attempted assassination at rally, shooter and one attendee are dead

Quote
BUTLER, Pa. (AP) — Former President Donald Trump was the target of an apparent assassination attempt Saturday at a Pennsylvania rally, days before he was to accept the Republican nomination for a third time. A barrage of gunfire set off panic, and a bloodied Trump, who said he was shot in the ear, was surrounded by Secret Service and hurried to his SUV as he pumped his fist in a show of defiance.

And for the betting odds, Trump still is the heavy favorite to win. Does it make him more favorite?

Betting line now.
Trump -208 vs Biden +620

https://www.oddschecker.com/us/politics/us-politics


Whoever planned this attack on Trump has just handed him the victory. If the poll was tomorrow Trump should be celebrating already. He is going to gain more votes now even people who wanted to stay neutral will now have a change of mind and support him because of this attack on his life. Trump will attract a lot of sympathy votes and he will be very popular more than the way he was already.
His odds of winning will be reduced.
legendary
Activity: 2450
Merit: 1934
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
July 14, 2024, 11:52:24 AM
I think what happened will have a big impact on the betting odds.
Americans love their heroes, and what better way for Trump to prove his strenght staying strong after such an event. It looks like in a movie or tv show ( because it actually was in a show, limitless ) where an assassination attempt just pushes votes for the victim.

Of course it's a tough incident and the secret service and stuff made a lot of mistakes, still it looks very off.

Anyway, betting wise now even more people will bet on Trump which will move the odds on him even more down.

Yes, now Trump’s victory looks inevitable (if they still can’t kill him and he takes part in the presidential race). What surprises me is that although Biden is rated very poorly, apparently someone is betting on him? Considering that many Democratic Party donors are demanding that Biden be replaced by his position, the chances are slim. If this option were excluded and we were guaranteed to have Trump vs. Biden in the election, then betting on Trump would simply be free money.
hero member
Activity: 2800
Merit: 595
https://www.betcoin.ag
July 14, 2024, 11:48:31 AM
What do you think is the impact of this news?

Trump injured but ‘fine’ after attempted assassination at rally, shooter and one attendee are dead

Quote
BUTLER, Pa. (AP) — Former President Donald Trump was the target of an apparent assassination attempt Saturday at a Pennsylvania rally, days before he was to accept the Republican nomination for a third time. A barrage of gunfire set off panic, and a bloodied Trump, who said he was shot in the ear, was surrounded by Secret Service and hurried to his SUV as he pumped his fist in a show of defiance.

And for the betting odds, Trump still is the heavy favorite to win. Does it make him more favorite?

Betting line now.
Trump -208 vs Biden +620

https://www.oddschecker.com/us/politics/us-politics



I think what happened will have a big impact on the betting odds.
Americans love their heroes, and what better way for Trump to prove his strenght staying strong after such an event. It looks like in a movie or tv show ( because it actually was in a show, limitless ) where an assassination attempt just pushes votes for the victim.

Of course it's a tough incident and the secret service and stuff made a lot of mistakes, still it looks very off.

Anyway, betting wise now even more people will bet on Trump which will move the odds on him even more down.



Almost like a movie where he could have just moved at the right time that only his ear was hit. And then the gunman was immediately shot. This is going to make more theories actually especially seeing that cops and SS seem too lax even when they saw people screaming there's a man with a gun on the roof.

The last time I checked was that Trump, Donald 1.70  but now it's just 1.36 on Stake. This could be due to that assassination attempt and Elon Musk endorsing Trump and some other celebrities already while the swing states flipped, lucky for those who already believed Trump would win since last year.  Looks like it sealed the win for Trump. https://stake.com/sports/outright/politics-entertainment/politics/us-presidential-election-2020/41683725-us-presidential-election-2020
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 801
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
July 14, 2024, 11:08:17 AM
What do you think is the impact of this news?

Trump injured but ‘fine’ after attempted assassination at rally, shooter and one attendee are dead

Quote
BUTLER, Pa. (AP) — Former President Donald Trump was the target of an apparent assassination attempt Saturday at a Pennsylvania rally, days before he was to accept the Republican nomination for a third time. A barrage of gunfire set off panic, and a bloodied Trump, who said he was shot in the ear, was surrounded by Secret Service and hurried to his SUV as he pumped his fist in a show of defiance.

And for the betting odds, Trump still is the heavy favorite to win. Does it make him more favorite?

Betting line now.
Trump -208 vs Biden +620

https://www.oddschecker.com/us/politics/us-politics



I think what happened will have a big impact on the betting odds.
Americans love their heroes, and what better way for Trump to prove his strenght staying strong after such an event. It looks like in a movie or tv show ( because it actually was in a show, limitless ) where an assassination attempt just pushes votes for the victim.

Of course it's a tough incident and the secret service and stuff made a lot of mistakes, still it looks very off.

Anyway, betting wise now even more people will bet on Trump which will move the odds on him even more down.

hero member
Activity: 3164
Merit: 660
Live with peace and enjoy life!
July 14, 2024, 09:54:21 AM
What do you think is the impact of this news?

Trump injured but ‘fine’ after attempted assassination at rally, shooter and one attendee are dead

Quote
BUTLER, Pa. (AP) — Former President Donald Trump was the target of an apparent assassination attempt Saturday at a Pennsylvania rally, days before he was to accept the Republican nomination for a third time. A barrage of gunfire set off panic, and a bloodied Trump, who said he was shot in the ear, was surrounded by Secret Service and hurried to his SUV as he pumped his fist in a show of defiance.

And for the betting odds, Trump still is the heavy favorite to win. Does it make him more favorite?

Betting line now.
Trump -208 vs Biden +620

https://www.oddschecker.com/us/politics/us-politics

legendary
Activity: 2912
Merit: 6403
Blackjack.fun
July 14, 2024, 09:09:09 AM
So, anyone that has placed a bet on this, before putting your money on it have you checked the terms and see what happens if one of the candidates gets killed or dies of natural causes (just as possible) before the election?
Cause I am pretty certain they use terms of withdrawing from it but now being withdrawn by a 7.62!

Either way:


People are starting treating it as a sure bet since yesterday!
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 2025
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
July 12, 2024, 12:34:32 PM
One can only expect the odds for Trump to get lower and the Biden's increasing with such a shameless and pitiful mistake the president committed during the NATO summit, to be honest.
As if the narrative of Biden not being aware of his surroundings was not big and strong enough already, he goes on the stage and calls the president of Ukraine "Putin" and says his vice president is Donald Trump (he mixed up Kamala Harris with his main opponent in the political season this year).

I try to stay neutral and not to allow the bias to take over what I think about someone or anything, but truly Joe Biden is making very hard to continue to support him when their adversaries seem to be right when comes to his cognitive state.
If this continues, I easily see the vetting markets leaning even further in favor of Trump. I am even thinking on placing a small bet on him instead a serious one on Biden.
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