Betting on Trump to win is easy enough, but is there a place we can bet that Biden won’t be the next President. While I’m confident in a Trump win, I’d mortgage my house to bet that Biden would lose with anywhere near decent odds.
This would be in Polymarket.
https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2024?tid=1718679625805You can choose yes or no for each candidate listed in the prediction market. On Biden not to win as president, at present the odds for this is if you bet $100, you will win $49.25.
Also, do not mortgage your house or get a loan for this. If you lose, you will not forget the face of Joe Biden heheheheh.
It is quite similar in many places, but Michelle Obama getting more votes than Kamala Harris is still a big "what the hell?" to me. She wasn't even a candidate, and I understand her not putting her nomination at the current stage, and I understand DNC is looking a way to get rid of Biden too because he is really not looking like someone who could be president for four more years.
But Kamala Harris is the current VP, which means that she has the biggest pull right now, in fact if Biden passes away today, Kamala becomes the president. Not saying Obama has zero chance, just saying that Kamala must have a bigger chance, in all theory she is the next up, and how could Biden excusing himself out of the race would make Michelle a bigger nominee than the current VP? Just because she was the first lady once upon a time?
Agreed that it is similar, however, it is also giving a choice on the
candidate and betting on no. This was what @OgNasty was asking to mortgage his house hehehee. Also, Polymarket appears to be offering everyone higher odds on
Trump and yes. But I reckon @OgNasty might be having some good speculations on
Biden and no. This old man might be excused from running because he has clearly not been himself since he became president. The dementia has gotten very worse.
@cabron. I reckon Putin wants Trump to win because the Americans' effort on the war on Ukraine will be stopped. It is predicted that Trump will call Putin on the diplomacy table to talk about Ukraine. What might occur is Trump will promise Putin that America will stop
encouraging Ukraine from joining NATO in exchange for Russia to stop attacking Ukraine.