Topic: 2024 U.S. Presidential Election Bets! - page 66. (Read 15310 times)

It might be the beginning of Trump's political failure, however, it is also mentioned that he can still run for the presidency. The US constitution allows a person to campaign and also to be elected if he is indicted or in prison. This does not stop Trump's candidacy.

On Trump's ratings, it might go down but the voters might be also thinking about the money the Democrats are overspending on Ukraine and Israel, the problems on the Southern border and Inflation. The Democrats might also be making Trump as something similar to a martyr if he is imprisoned.

Ideally Trump's odds should be close to 1.30. He is leading even in blue states such as Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. The Hill/Emerson released a poll yesterday, that shows Trump trailing Biden by just 7 points in deep-blue New York. Check this:

https://emersoncollegepolling.com/new-york-2024-poll-biden-48-trump-41/

Trump is in for a landslide for sure, if he has 40+ points in New York. But the only question is whether he will be allowed to stand election. Dems are trying really hard to get him disqualified.

I thought the odds are going to change faster than we could open the site but the odds are just fine. Trump's verdict of being guilty is crazy. Things like this only happen in third-world countries or Venezuela. When the sitting president imprisons the rival, it's usually the case of democracy.

Never in their wildest imagination that Trump suicide is possible. But it might just be.

@Hispo. I reckon both of these candidates will be hyped by their followers and there certainly be Republican followers and Democrat followers in the cryptospace that will pump the memecoins that represent their candidate hehe. On November I speculate these memecoins might be more than 3x than their present price. Holding Boden or Tremp will certainly give you more profit than betting for Biden or Trump in sportsbooks.

In any case, this whale bought $819k of Maga Trump memecoin after Trump was found guilty in the hush money trial heheheeheheheheeh.



Former United States President Donald Trump has been found guilty in a historic criminal hush-money trial, in a decision that could shake up the 2024 election campaign.

He has become the first US president, past or present, to be charged and convicted of a crime.

Source https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/5/30/new-york-jury-finds-donald-trump-guilty-in-new-york-hush-money-trial

Meh, Even though I believe messing with memecoins is just another way to gamble money away. I guess since the value of those memecoins will be subjected to how does good and how does not in the coming debates, we could categorize this discussion about memecoins of those two as gambling within the context of the political election, as I am sure OP intended.
By the way, I don't quite get why should anyone use memecoins to wager money in favor of a political candidate when they you can go and sign up to a reputable and highly liquid casino. To be it does not make sense, unless the person looking to bet in political events would not like to go YKC processes and could buy and sell those coins through decentralized applications like Uniswap, Pancake swap or any equivalent.

Anyways, I am sticking to casinos and bookies and staying away from  those coins /shittokens. I would imagine the value of them will decrease literally to zero once the election is over and the people of the United States and all around the globe move on from talking about politics day in and day out on TV and social media.

The presidential debates will be coming soon in the months of June to October hehehehe. I speculate that the winners of these debates or the candidate that appeared to have won the debate might pump the memecoin that has the name of Trump or Biden hehehehehe. This type of trading only occurs in the cryptospace hehe.

In any case, there is a token for each candidate, Tremp and Boden and they have cartoon logos making it appears that each candidate is stupid hehehe.

Well, the economy in the USA is considerable enough to accept that there are many bad things, it cannot be compared from what was experienced a few years ago when Trump was president to the current situation, even though Trump seemed like an impulsive idiot. He never was when he was president, in fact now he has many reasons that make many officials in the USA tremble and have made his life impossible, and the USA, due to the economic situation they are going through, it is likely that if he wins, that if a civil war or something like that, well, I hope something like that doesn't happen, because many innocent people would lose their lives and that is never good, but politicians must accept the decision of their people.

But you are seeing the context from an incorrect point of view, as a bettor. I don't believe it would be wise to bet in favor of Trump or Biden only based how would be better for the market of Bitcoin or the advance of Cryptocurrency in the American society. In some polls and I have checked, the issue of cryptocurrency adoption is not even in the top of the priorities of the average USA citizen.
The priority always is about either access to healthcare, so called "social problems" housing, environmental policies, abortion and body autonomy, among other things.

Betting on a candidate is not about supporting his ideas for cryptoruccenty or adoption, but rather about making money out your prediction and intuition. Would you bet for a candidate with has 80% of winning but you do not like his political plan? or would you bet on the other candidate you like but only has 20% chances?

Betting is about making money, if you want to directly or indirectly support a candidate, either vote for him or donate to their campaign. It makes more sense to me.

these surveys that are carried out during elections, in my opinion people should not look at this data provided by research companies as certain data about what will happen in the future, today the data may be giving trump as the candidate who will win the elections, but on election day people are surprised by the official result, that's why I don't dare to place a bet on who will be the winner of this election, because it's difficult to analyze the two candidates without the person focusing on the data of surveys that are provided by survey companies, which is funny because these surveys are interviews carried out with a small number of people. I hope that people who want to bet on the winner of these elections don't put too much money into the bet

I was even thinking about betting something on Trump, but it looks like it's going to be a very tight dispute due to the position regarding cryptocurrencies... The narrative now is this: who else is going to support this market... Trump started saying he will support freedom, Biden has the narrative about ETFs... Difficult decision on which one to bet on, I'll wait a little longer to see what will happen.

To be fair inflation started during Trump, and just kept going with Biden who did not fix anything. I do know that there are a lot of Americans who prefer one or the other, and I know they do become hooligan when it comes to politics (most people in Europe are not as politic like Americans) and some even make it their life, and that's weird to see because when you look at both candidates, it's clear that both sucks. I am not saying that other nations have better candidates, but because we have two terrible candidates, we just ignore politics and realize that it's a null sum game for the citizens.

Americans should realize that too, no matter whichever one wins, the citizens will lose, it's as simple as that. Best response would be if this election had very few votes, like 10-20% less than last time, maybe more. Whoever wins, that would provide politicians with something.

Actually, it is quite ironic you mention no many people cares about the stock market, since I recall no long ago Trump mentioned the stock market would crash under the direction of a biden administration, when it did not happen all he could do was to say the stock market was doing excellent as an anticipation to his possible win on November of this year, Keep in mind this is something he says to his followers, so we could argue his followers do indeed care about it, not even mentioning the stock market is a thermometer on how the American economy is doing.
Anyways, keeping that aside I agree with you the state of the American politics is quite a mess both from the democrat party and the republican party and still, the system is rigged by both parties to avoid the surge of a third party which could dethrone them and break the status quo of corruption and grifting from donors. Disillusioned Republicans end up voting Democrat and Disillusioned democrats end up voting republican. It is what people call the Uniparty.

By the way, talking about odds and the chances Trump still has, the democrat establishment and the traditional media is panicking on how Trump seems to be gaining traction on swings states like Arizona lately, even if there are political commentators who say polls mean nothing, those are polls which cannot be easy ignored.

Many people are already favoring Trump for the next election as they complain it was better when he was the one sitting as president than Biden. Gas and food were more affordable when we were around.

And the rallies he made in different cities are more crowded, Trump is definitely winning. There is only one scenario that might happen according to political analysts if he won the day of the election, there might be democrats who will not accept his presidency and there will be protests everywhere which will turn into civil war.

Well, the truth is I think the same as you, although you have to see that there are opinions that are very attached to the political sentiment of the Organizations and that can make a difference, there are people who are very political on a global level. and they have their good points , but Considering how Trump is, well that may be very true, perhaps in his hands there has not been a war like tha t, even so I am not American4, nor do I live there, but from an economic point of view. From the point of view they are very strong despite the fact that they have a large inflation and that they have not been able to correct many problems, I do not know if that is the president's fault, it may be that other politicians, Congress among others do not allow it to be Develop certain development plans and make Biden's management look bad, which is not so bad either.

With the way we are seeing everything happening in the United States, we might be surprised that Donald Trump cold win the elect looking at the way the economy is becoming worse with time. I think if Trump was to be the president, the current war between Ukraine and Russia would have not happened and thing would not as severe as what we are seeing. The economy of the United States has plummeted and this is as a result of the president not being feet enough to handle the seat. Biden is too old to lead the country and he needs a lots of rest so that he can treat himself and relax enjoying himself without too much stress.

Both Biden and Trump have their own positives and negatives. For different demographic and political groups, different factors will matter more. Inflation is still quite high, and one of the main reasons is the rising crude oil price. And I would blame Biden for this. Low unemployment is good news for the American public. But at the same time, it was Trump who discouraged manufacturers from shifting their factories to low cost destinations such as Mexico. Also, let's not forget the fact that Trump lost the elections in 2020 only due to the pandemic. He was leading in all the opinion polls before that.

Most people don't care about the stock market. Yes, many people have a horse in the race even indirectly especially given that at least indirectly some of their pension savings and earnings are going to depend on the stock market. But it's a very lopsided market. AFAIK the top 10% own over 90% of stocks in value. So in reality very few to almost none of the country's working population holds a significant stake in the stock market. It going up doesn't improve people's lives in a tangible way.

If you actually account for inflation, the purchasing power of the average American household has remained stagnant since 2019. Biden could have done many things to decrease spending needs of the average American household. Many popular measures were proposed by Bernie. Such as making health-care and education public, cutting pentagon funding and stopping foreign war shipments and aid to instead invest domestically. Instead Biden did everything in his power to sabotage Bernie.

I kinda agree that Biden did some good things that Trump would never do like invest in public transport infrastructure, but to say he's better is an overstatement. They both suck. And to a large extent, they both stand for the same shit. See for example the tariffs Democrats were fighting Trump over, now Biden introduced the most sweeping tariffs in recent years! Ironic to say the least.

If you ask me, if Americans want to see hope at the end of the tunnel they should quit nagging about there not being a viable third option and organize to create one. I wouldn't bet on a third party candidate becoming president in this election but it's a viable 8 year plan.

So? Are we supposed to ignore Joe Biden managed to push unemployment to the lowest numbers in the lastest decades in the United States and also how the stock market is reacting lately, showing record high numbers with in all industrial indexes?
It is true that at the beginning of the Biden administration there was quite a high inflation, but that had much to do with the fact Trump has to send around 2000$ dollars of stimulus money to the American people, so they could continue to live their lives during the pandemic, he was creating money out of nowhere so the country would not collapse. Once the pandemic was over and people could go back to their work and buy stuff as usual, they found a market with inflated prices because all those stimulus checked which were spent during the pandemic and shortly after it.
Since Biden got into the presidency, he has managed to reduce the inflation rather he inherited.
He is not perfect, that is true, but he is more reasonable as a politician than Trump is, Trump talks about the southern border and still he does not have presented a plan to solve the issue, he talks about Obama care, and yet he does not put some replacement for it on the table.

When Biden became the POTUS, the economy was in great health (despite the negative impact from the COVID pandemic). Rather than building upon it, he managed to make life difficult for everyone. Inflation is at record high, in part due to stupid policies from Biden related to oil production. And then there are other issues, such as the situation at Southern border. Trump maybe a businessman and he may be considered as rude and arrogant. But when he was the POTUS, the American economy was doing really good.

To be fair crypto people will not be big enough to mean anything for this elections at all, and it is 10% 0guaranteed that Biden will win the popular vote there is no doubt about that part. But, who will become the president? I am not entirely sure. The thing is, while what Trump stands for is disgusting, sometimes you need to do disgusting things to keep your country safe, and while what liberals "wish" is such a good and naively well mannered thing, you may end up getting hurt if you just try to be good and just become gullible instead. So, if this was a question of "who is the better human, nicer human?"

I would say Biden is 100x times nicer and kinder and better person than Trump no doubt, Trump is a POS, buuuuuut... does that mean he is not what USA needs? Not sure, maybe USA needs a POS for 4 years to fix some stuff, then go back to nicer presidents.