Just adding some positive vibes...
Just crunching some numbers here...
$6,300,000 in sales
Over $1,000,000 from the Avalon refunds
Let's assume everything else has been spent.
Those sales would total around 780,000 GH (based on an average of $8/gh cost price? Big (conservative) guess here.)
Let's assume hardware cost is about $1/gh to produce - that seems to be a pretty reasonable number - bugger it, let's go conservative at $2/GH, meh, an additional 100% margin for error on conservative numbers.
$1.56mil is needed to fulfill pre-orders, which leaves ActM with $5.74mil capital.
$5.74mil spent on miners at $2/gh = 2.870 petahash
If we could get that online within a month we'd have 10% network share. Within two months we'd have 5% network share. Within 3 months 2.5% network share.
or... 360 btc/day, 180btc/day or 90btc/day respectively.
Lets say 90BTC/day - If this is paid 100% on dividends it's 0.000063btc/share/week until the first 0.0025 is paid out. Which it would within 9 months if ActM can hold 2.5% network share.
Can ActM hold network share? Well, there is only one other company we know of that is selling shovels and also mining with them, that's ASICMiner. These two companies can race to the bottom faster than any other miner, including manufacturer-miners who aren't selling hardware. In theory ActM can therefore gain network share very quickly. In theory with even just 90btc/day revenue ActM can add 36TH/day, or 1PH/month. Not including hashrate increases from sales.
I've separately calculated the chip production cost for ActM to be around $0.5/GH which makes the $/GH estimates above fairly conservative.
I almost wasn't going to bother with a best case estimate but what the hell, this place is low on positivity and christmas cheer. It's even low on pessimistic realism.
10% network share would be 0.0002769/share/week - it would take 9 weeks at that rate to pay out 0.0025 btc - OR - 144TH/day (4.3PH/month) - plus $5mil/month in hardware sales - total = 6.8PH/month
With those numbers we could rapidly grow to 20% network share which would bring us about 520 BTC/day - allowing us to add 200+TH/day or around 6.2PH/month (not including hardware sales)
TLDR;
We will have chips
We will have more pre-orders (and they will exceed order cancellations)
We will have $5.7mil+ to blow on hashrate
We will have x% market share
We will get our 0.0025 back within a year
It's just a matter of when, although even 3 months from now would make every bitching little kid in this thread very happy.