Pages:
Author

Topic: Already delays in BFL shipment plans? - page 16. (Read 49596 times)

hero member
Activity: 1162
Merit: 500
November 27, 2012, 03:43:15 AM
Quote from: Inaba
Contrary to some of the trolls over on Bitcoin Talk, we fully intended to start shipping at the end of October, but with a project as complex as this, ...

Come on dude, all your ASICS do is SHA-256. That's not rocket science.

According to your definition of "complex" we'd still be using Intel-8080 8-bit microprocessors - because everything else is just toooooo complex.


Quote from: Inaba
There was a flaw in the chip that needed to be addressed and it pushed the date out, plain and simple.

And maybe there's a flaw in the next revision of your chip. And in the next. And in the next.
As long as you don't have a working prototype you know shit.

Many people have asked this question ("do you have a working prototype?"). Either they got banned from BFL forums, or you mocked, trolled or lied to them. Very professional Mr. BFL Spokesperson, very professional. Not.

Only a few days ago you have been asked by bitcoindaddy: "Is there any chance that when the 20,000 ASIC's arrive, that they don't work as expected? Has the foundry sent you test chips or run a wafer's worth of chips for you already to test with?".

Your reply was: "There is always a chance of that. With this revision, we don't have a test sample chip right now. The likelyhood of it not working at this point is pretty slim though.".

https://forums.butterflylabs.com/pre-sales-questions/406-any-chance-chips-wont-work.html

At that time you knew for sure that the chips where borked.
hero member
Activity: 784
Merit: 506
November 27, 2012, 03:35:18 AM
100,000 chips is 7.5*100,000 = 750TH/s.  Unless there's a significant price increase (let's all hope), then that takes just about all incentive out of buying ASICs once those chips are eaten up.  Payback would be around a year at that point... fairly risky in the world of Bitcoin.
I'm feeling it now for those who ordered early.  With BFL's much bigger initial chip order the difference in delivery time between the first to order and the last is not going to be very long if they send them out soon-as-built meaning the big-returns widnow is likely to be short-lived as the ASIC hashing power goes through the roof.  Profitability is not essential for me because it's as much novelty/supporting the project than anything else but to the extent that I am counting profitability it is versus returns in pounds had I simply bought Bitcoin instead.  BTCGBP was about £6.80 when I made my BFL order (being now around £7.80) but those who put their money in when BTC was much cheaper have not only lost out on the raise in Bitcoin value but will also have little reward over latecomers in terms of getting an early advantage with mining.  I really hope it works out for everyone but it's looking less likely by the day.
hero member
Activity: 602
Merit: 500
November 27, 2012, 01:50:55 AM
I think we can safely say that no ASIC manufacturer will have devices out by then.
This one is the more interesting one, end of 2012.
betsofbitco.in/item?id=446
If you're really pessimistic, you could bet on them not shipping before April.
http://betsofbitco.in/item?id=701


I'm impressed at the No Shipping before end of 2012 bet, was created in June? And still even money both ways!

Strange that you can still bet on not shipping before Dec 1st though, as it is now basically a slamdunk bet.
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
November 27, 2012, 01:47:25 AM
All will not go well, it never does with BFL pre-orders. Apparently the re-spin rumors were accurate.

I knew he was crabby about something. This just sounds like more fuzzy deadlines and hopeful shipping dates.  

Quote
I have been waiting to have more solid information but it's still not available to me at this moment and I'm going to bed soon, so I wanted to put out an update before I hit the sack.

While I can't give a hard date and say "absolutely" this is the date, it looks like the week of the 11th, but that's the "fuzzy" date I have at the moment and I'm waiting on confirmation on a not-fuzzy date from the foundry right now. There was a flaw in the chip that needed to be addressed and it pushed the date out, plain and simple. We are as frustrated with this process as everyone else is and we apologize for the delays. Contrary to some of the trolls over on Bitcoin Talk, we fully intended to start shipping at the end of October, but with a project as complex as this, even our built in padding has proved to be a bit inadequate to deal with all the moving parts, and we will have slipped by ~6 weeks after all is said and done.

The good news is that our shipment of chips will be substantial and we are re-addressing the quantities and compacting the shipment dates. We will have just shy of 100,000 chips available and in our hands before the end of the year, coming in two waves. The first wave will hopefully be the week of the 11th (probably more towards the end I'm guessing) and the second wave will be just before the end of the year. This is enough chips to cover all pre-orders and a lot more besides. This extra time also allows us to make some refinements we wanted to make to a few components, but more importantly, we may have just enough time to get a custom metal or silicon QFN package ready for the rev1 shipments (should know this week), and if that's the case, it will make rev1 boards ridiculously efficient at heat elimination. Originally this was going to be for Rev2 if we didn't go with a flip-chip design (but this would require a lot more work than our custom packaging) - but the extra time we are forced to endure is going to be put to good use.

Once again, we apologize for the delays. We hate them as much as everyone else (probably more), but as the competitors are experiencing as well, sometimes you are at the mercy of other people's schedules and problems. As we said months ago, we are trying to eliminate as many of those points of failure as possible by bringing everything we can in house. Of course, we can't bring a fab in house, so we are at their mercy at the moment. Once we get the chips in our hands, we will have a sufficient enough quantity to see us through until the next order and it should allow us to get up and running in house or at least make good headway into that arena.
legendary
Activity: 1400
Merit: 1005
November 27, 2012, 01:46:22 AM
Josh just posted an update on the BFL forums.  It's gonna be another couple of weeks if all goes well.

https://forums.butterflylabs.com/bfl-forum-miscellaneous/437-asic-update-26-november-2012-a.html#post6239

I'm kind of horrified that Josh only just found out about the reason for the delay.  A flaw in the chip is something BFL should have been informed of as soon as the problem was detected.
Called it.

Thanks for finally giving us the reason behind the delay Josh.

100,000 chips is 7.5*100,000 = 750TH/s.  Unless there's a significant price increase (let's all hope), then that takes just about all incentive out of buying ASICs once those chips are eaten up.  Payback would be around a year at that point... fairly risky in the world of Bitcoin.
hero member
Activity: 868
Merit: 1000
November 27, 2012, 01:28:06 AM
Josh just posted an update on the BFL forums.  It's gonna be another couple of weeks if all goes well.

https://forums.butterflylabs.com/bfl-forum-miscellaneous/437-asic-update-26-november-2012-a.html#post6239

I'm kind of horrified that Josh only just found out about the reason for the delay.  A flaw in the chip is something BFL should have been informed of as soon as the problem was detected.
hero member
Activity: 868
Merit: 1000
November 27, 2012, 01:12:29 AM
Fun as it might be flinging shit around, either at BFL or their competitors, it's not solving the problem.  If BFL doesn't have a good enough business relationship with the fab house to get reliable information about what the fuck is going on and when the fuck the chips are going to be shipped, then they need to find someone who does and get that person to act as their intermediary.  There are other Bitcoin businesses operating from Asia who may have suggestions about reliable agents.
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1006
November 26, 2012, 11:59:25 PM
I think we can safely say that no ASIC manufacturer will have devices out by then.
This one is the more interesting one, end of 2012.
betsofbitco.in/item?id=446
If you're really pessimistic, you could bet on them not shipping before April.
http://betsofbitco.in/item?id=701

i'm being optimistic, so let's call march 2013.

'think i dodged the bullet, only pre-ordered cheap jally from BFL.
legendary
Activity: 1002
Merit: 1000
Bitcoin
November 26, 2012, 11:51:10 PM
Well heck, by that criteria BFL is fine, too... since we've always maintained that we would would target October but it would be as late as December (hence the January 1st refund policy, which has been there since day one.)

Thanks for the confirmation that BFL is on target timeframe wise as well, I appreciate it!  

Anyone can point me what this Jan 1st refund policy is about ?  Please, just fact, like a link.. dont wish to read 12 crappy post to get to the fact.. please.

Interesting bet up there Smiley   I'll put some BTC on them for sure Smiley 

Like BetsOfBitco.in
much better than useless speech-attack disrespect and other crap fulling this thread !!!
legendary
Activity: 1274
Merit: 1004
November 26, 2012, 11:27:01 PM
I think we can safely say that no ASIC manufacturer will have devices out by then.
This one is the more interesting one, end of 2012.
betsofbitco.in/item?id=446
If you're really pessimistic, you could bet on them not shipping before April.
http://betsofbitco.in/item?id=701
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
legendary
Activity: 1890
Merit: 1003
November 26, 2012, 11:16:16 PM
@ Those last two posts above me.

The sad thing is that the rep laughs at his former customer choice for going to "Plan B". Then begins to create the impression that "Plan B" Vendor is a total scum of the earth. Portraying his competition as a continual liar of sorts. (sorta)

Not realizing that his customers was "forced" to use "Plan B" because in "Plan A" [the Vendor] was horribly unable to keep their deadline and has indeed given inaccurate dates again and again, never quite fulfilling their orders on a scheduled time.

Question: What does the "Plan A" rep have to gloat about in this circumstance??

The irony is in there somewhere. Can you see it?
legendary
Activity: 1470
Merit: 1002
Hello!
November 26, 2012, 11:12:01 PM
So is there any places I can bet on when the shipping will be  Roll Eyes
legendary
Activity: 1890
Merit: 1003
November 26, 2012, 11:09:25 PM
He used to annoy me, back when I thought he was a for realz company rep, but now he cracks me up. Tongue The fail volume is off the charts with nearly everything he posts. I should be thanking him, if it weren't for his antics I'd probably be near the back of BFL's waiting list instead of Tom's. Whew, bullet dodged. TY JOSH!

BFL_Josh quote:
Quote
If there is work to be done on T-Day, we will be doing it. No turkey shall stand in the way of ASIC progress, this I promise you.

Guess it didn't happen. Wink

There was nothing to do on T-Day, so they took their holiday vacation and played some minecraft.
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
November 26, 2012, 10:46:21 PM
Yeah, I'm very flustered and distraught, so much so I ordered more from them right after they indicated there was a problem. Not even a clue what you're prattling on about now, did you even read the post, or do you have some canned nonsensical gibberish on hotkeys? Do you take prescription medications?

YW. I knew you couldn't be relied upon to post it, despite saying you knew what I was talking about. How you got "lied" out of that I do not know, but whatever.
legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1000
November 26, 2012, 10:31:37 PM
Quote
This whole message surprised me a bit, because I thought we'd settled on 1st week of Dec as the accepted shipping date anyway. Regardless the man said he'd give a definitive shipping date tomorrow, he reiterated his no questions asked refund policy, and dished out a 33% hashing power increase. He's bought till at least tomorrow from me, especially since I didn't even realize he still saw this week as his shipping date.

Comedy gold right here.  Yes folks, watch CreativeX as he back pedals all flustered and distraught because he can't even maintain is own line of BS for more than 2 posts at a time.  This shit writes itself!

Glad you found the quote by the way, thanks for proving that you lied... again (and again, and again, and again, and again, etc...)

legendary
Activity: 952
Merit: 1000
November 26, 2012, 10:04:54 PM
Hey BFL, how's that visit by Kanoi and yochdog going?
You're trolling the wrong thread.
newbie
Activity: 57
Merit: 0
November 26, 2012, 09:49:57 PM
Hey BFL, how's that visit by Kanoi and yochdog going?
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
November 26, 2012, 09:40:10 PM
Quote
Hello Customers and Friends,

As it is already obvious to everyone, shipping will not begin today as originally planned. Tomorrow I have a meeting with the engineering and layout team and I will give a definitive date of when shipping will begin. I am ready to cancel as many orders and offer refunds to whoever needs them - just send an email with the request to [email protected] and he will forward them on to me. All refunds requested today will be processed today. Although I caution you, we WILL be shipping these units, its just a matter of time and likely will be very soon. Our competition has already given several delays so I just please ask that you give me one day to meet with my team and figure out a realistic new shipping date and if you are not happy with that or if you are ready for a refund now please request it and it will be processed immediately.

thank you

Tom

This whole message surprised me a bit, because I thought we'd settled on 1st week of Dec as the accepted shipping date anyway. Regardless the man said he'd give a definitive shipping date tomorrow, he reiterated his no questions asked refund policy, and dished out a 33% hashing power increase. He's bought till at least tomorrow from me, especially since I didn't even realize he still saw this week as his shipping date.
legendary
Activity: 952
Merit: 1000
November 26, 2012, 09:25:33 PM
Even if their fab's backed up, it should still be able to tell them with a reasonable degree of accuracy when their bullet run will happen and when the chips will be shipped to BFL.  How the hell does BFL know that the fab house has even started work on their run yet if they can't get accurate dates from them?  I seriously would be threatening to come over to Asia and watch the production run at this point because I'd no longer have any confidence that they were actually expediting my order.

Of course BFL has a date from the Fab. The fact that they won't admit it just means that it's so far in the future that a bunch of people would cancel their orders. It's all about stringing people along so that they don't cancel their orders.

You mean kinda like this comment about Tom's decision to not release any of the same information you're demanding from BFL? And bumping the shipment date beyond what was expected, with no confirmed date for anything (receipt of chips, assembly, or shipment to customers), just like BFL?

[Referin to the bASICs recent announcement of postponing the shipment dates]
The obviously knew the shipping date was bad before the announcement and they waited until the
very last moment to say so. How they will or will not be flamed depends on further info that needs
to come out in 48 hours. Otherwise...  pfft. No different then BFL.
Pages:
Jump to: