Author

Topic: Analysis - page 171. (Read 941563 times)

legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1013
August 01, 2015, 02:38:54 PM
No changes in my bullish bias. I remind you I analyze in mid-long term (months, years).

Price left log downtrend channel.
Price made impulsive move up.
Price corrects on decreasing volume.

Despite bubble failed, No mid/long term bullish threat I see so far.

I connect current short term bearish activity with gold making multi year lows. But I think gold is bottoming before multi year rally.
legendary
Activity: 2156
Merit: 1070
July 30, 2015, 03:42:48 AM
It looks more & more that this is not cup & handle,  but that bitcoin is actually rising using trendline (curve)  started in June.

Meh. We need more volume.
ask
legendary
Activity: 1386
Merit: 1004
July 29, 2015, 10:52:42 PM
It looks more & more that this is not cup & handle,  but that bitcoin is actually rising using trendline (curve)  started in June.
legendary
Activity: 2156
Merit: 1070
July 29, 2015, 09:08:08 PM
Cup and handle triggered well in Bitcoin during consolidation from 266 top in 2013.

For targets use google - everything explained well there.

I'd consider big harm for this pattern - correction below 50% of cup. And more than 20 days. The cup top was out of daily BB and since then price should hit daily 20 sma so it did. Price needs now up to 20 days of consolidation (since top) to bring back daily bb, adx, rsi, ss to low start - as they were too overbought.

Although we still have very few sellers (knock on wood), this "uptrend" is looking pretty weak right now in terms of buy volume. The handle formation is looking even weaker. Your current thoughts?
sr. member
Activity: 442
Merit: 250
July 29, 2015, 08:47:01 AM
That didn't last long.

Yeah... Still it doesn't take much to flip back green. Also no real volume lately.
legendary
Activity: 2156
Merit: 1070
July 29, 2015, 05:30:04 AM
Is that cup and hadle here 4 months long?




I'm thinking about this.

Could we still say it's possible to play out?

We just about reached the left rim of the cup, but the right rim (usually it should be equal price, but it's not in this case) is still $15 or so away. So we haven't really broken out of the handle, have we?

I'm trying to figure out if we could still be in the handle for a while and go back down to something in between 260 and 280 and then start the breakout?

masterluc suggested the handle could be up to 20 days from rim of cup (which was on 7/12), so only a couple of days left.

So... could the handle be longer than that? Is the cup & handle still valid?

'Simplest' solution to keep the pattern alive and also the 20 days intact would be a break above and beyond $315 this week, but I'm not sure that's in the cards from a shorter-term perspective.

Opinions?



Daily MACD turned green so we can expect some grow in next days  Wink

That didn't last long.
sr. member
Activity: 442
Merit: 250
July 28, 2015, 04:22:15 PM
Is that cup and hadle here 4 months long?




I'm thinking about this.

Could we still say it's possible to play out?

We just about reached the left rim of the cup, but the right rim (usually it should be equal price, but it's not in this case) is still $15 or so away. So we haven't really broken out of the handle, have we?

I'm trying to figure out if we could still be in the handle for a while and go back down to something in between 260 and 280 and then start the breakout?

masterluc suggested the handle could be up to 20 days from rim of cup (which was on 7/12), so only a couple of days left.

So... could the handle be longer than that? Is the cup & handle still valid?

'Simplest' solution to keep the pattern alive and also the 20 days intact would be a break above and beyond $315 this week, but I'm not sure that's in the cards from a shorter-term perspective.

Opinions?



Daily MACD turned green so we can expect some grow in next days  Wink
8up
hero member
Activity: 618
Merit: 500
July 28, 2015, 03:54:22 PM
My opinion: Patience is a virtue. Unexpected is king. Bitcoin is on the rise. Slow but steady wins the race.


This is no time to be a dollar bull...

donator
Activity: 2772
Merit: 1019
July 28, 2015, 03:00:28 PM
Is that cup and hadle here 4 months long?




I'm thinking about this.

Could we still say it's possible to play out?

We just about reached the left rim of the cup, but the right rim (usually it should be equal price, but it's not in this case) is still $15 or so away. So we haven't really broken out of the handle, have we?

I'm trying to figure out if we could still be in the handle for a while and go back down to something in between 260 and 280 and then start the breakout?

masterluc suggested the handle could be up to 20 days from rim of cup (which was on 7/12), so only a couple of days left.

So... could the handle be longer than that? Is the cup & handle still valid?

'Simplest' solution to keep the pattern alive and also the 20 days intact would be a break above and beyond $315 this week, but I'm not sure that's in the cards from a shorter-term perspective.

Opinions?

hero member
Activity: 644
Merit: 500
July 27, 2015, 07:48:58 AM


Clean trendline.

Nice chart. Cup and handle pattern is  even more clear on this one.
legendary
Activity: 2478
Merit: 1362
July 27, 2015, 07:07:41 AM


Clean trendline.
full member
Activity: 280
Merit: 100
July 25, 2015, 05:01:25 AM
bull market confirmed,no update?

not yet
legendary
Activity: 1526
Merit: 1013
Make Bitcoin glow with ENIAC
July 25, 2015, 04:12:25 AM
bull market confirmed,no update?

...buy
hero member
Activity: 843
Merit: 1001
July 24, 2015, 07:13:24 PM
bull market confirmed,no update?
legendary
Activity: 1540
Merit: 1003
alan watts is all you need
July 21, 2015, 04:31:05 PM
Hello everyone. Comments and thoughts about this scenario:


Very possible IMO

Possibly. Also see targets of between $245 and $265 based on other indicators, EMAs, MAs, fibs on 3 day
legendary
Activity: 1498
Merit: 1000
July 21, 2015, 03:54:27 PM
Hello everyone. Comments and thoughts about this scenario:


Very possible IMO
newbie
Activity: 6
Merit: 0
July 21, 2015, 03:51:14 PM
Hello everyone. Comments and thoughts about this scenario:

https://i.imgur.com/ZJI6CID.png
donator
Activity: 2772
Merit: 1019
July 21, 2015, 11:16:29 AM
Yep, for those who want to take profit from this particular figure, buy point is just above the cup.

couple  quick Qs -

A) do these larger timeframe patterns typically play out with btc?

B) what would the handle target be?

Partly for fun, partly serious:
I present the Matroska Cup & Handle pattern:



$1000 bitcoin party around October... see you there Wink

EDIT: which, by the way, has worked before very well:

can there be a cup & handle inside a cup & handle ?



EDIT: so, do cup and handles typically play out in these timeframes? It looks good when we look at the 2nd pic. The first one of course doesn't really show a cup & handle.
legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1013
July 21, 2015, 09:44:37 AM
Cup and handle triggered well in Bitcoin during consolidation from 266 top in 2013.

For targets use google - everything explained well there.

I'd consider big harm for this pattern - correction below 50% of cup. And more than 20 days. The cup top was out of daily BB and since then price should hit daily 20 sma so it did. Price needs now up to 20 days of consolidation (since top) to bring back daily bb, adx, rsi, ss to low start - as they were too overbought.
legendary
Activity: 1498
Merit: 1000
July 21, 2015, 09:28:18 AM
Yep, for those who want to take profit from this particular figure, buy point is just above the cup.

couple  quick Qs -

A) do these larger timeframe patterns typically play out with btc?

B) what would the handle target be?

Also, when does this pattern turn invalid? (at what price)
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