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Topic: Analysis - page 173. (Read 941563 times)

hero member
Activity: 644
Merit: 500
July 19, 2015, 01:46:37 PM
How long can we stay in this range for the cup and handle to be invalid?
donator
Activity: 2772
Merit: 1019
July 19, 2015, 08:38:38 AM
The top of the cup is $310 and the bottom $210, so wouldn't 50% of the cup be $260 and not $240? If we reach $240 things will look very bearish again imo, anything below $255 will turn me back into a bear for the next couple of months at least.

yeah, sorry, $260. I miscalculated.
legendary
Activity: 1246
Merit: 1000
July 19, 2015, 07:45:44 AM
here's another pic (apparently masterluc found the pattern before me):



The handle can retrace up to 50% of the cup. So it can go down to $240.

I've been watching many cup & handles in bitcoin and usually it doesn't retract that far, so it's possible we'll turn up already at this point.

However, this one is exceptionally big, so it's hard to draw conclusions from past cup & handles which were usually smaller.

The top of the cup is $310 and the bottom $210, so wouldn't 50% of the cup be $260 and not $240? If we reach $240 things will look very bearish again imo, anything below $255 will turn me back into a bear for the next couple of months at least.
donator
Activity: 2772
Merit: 1019
July 19, 2015, 07:27:47 AM
Is that cup and hadle here 4 months long?



Yep Cool
Question is if we already sow the bottom of the handle. I think we did and that we just need to get some serious buying volume in next few days.

here's another pic (apparently masterluc found the pattern before me):



The handle can retrace up to 50% of the cup. So it can go down to $240.

I've been watching many cup & handles in bitcoin and usually it doesn't retract that far, so it's possible we'll turn up already at this point.

However, this one is exceptionally big, so it's hard to draw conclusions from past cup & handles which were usually smaller.

sr. member
Activity: 442
Merit: 250
July 18, 2015, 04:36:33 PM
Is that cup and hadle here 4 months long?



Yep Cool
Question is if we already sow the bottom of the handle. I think we did and that we just need to get some serious buying volume in next few days.
legendary
Activity: 1568
Merit: 1001
July 18, 2015, 12:21:23 AM
Is that cup and hadle here 4 months long?




hell yeah!
Bullish as Fuck! We be going to the upper east side as it looks. Prep your litecoin parabolic launch buys and ride the wave up to .07-8ish then flood it back into daddycoin. Mission creep.
full member
Activity: 187
Merit: 100
July 18, 2015, 12:14:39 AM
Is that cup and hadle here 4 months long?




hell yeah!
sr. member
Activity: 392
Merit: 250
July 17, 2015, 11:46:37 PM
two weeks ™
full member
Activity: 151
Merit: 100
July 17, 2015, 11:38:27 PM
Is that cup and hadle here 4 months long?




Wow, that's the most textbook cup and handle I've ever seen in a bitcoin chart. How long to resolve the handle?
legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1013
July 17, 2015, 09:04:35 PM
Is that cup and hadle here 4 months long?


hero member
Activity: 700
Merit: 500
July 17, 2015, 08:13:43 AM
Always like your analysis luc! Think it's the first time I post here tho

Hourly divs:

zby
legendary
Activity: 1592
Merit: 1001
July 17, 2015, 07:59:56 AM
legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1013
July 17, 2015, 06:56:55 AM
Hourly pennant


legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1013
July 16, 2015, 10:01:41 PM
Here are most important resistances by geometry after breaking log downtrend (most-most important is red)

legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1013
July 16, 2015, 09:48:21 PM
May be its a false bubble start, but trend still healthy. Price shows resistance at 320-340, where daily ma360 and yearly vwap located. It may take some time to show its strength.

Price is on positive daily and weekly BB territory, above daily 200 ma, above log downtrend line, Weekly ADX shows start of trending, while Daily ADX shows correction. No bearish divergences.

Hourly 200 ma matters on strong bubble trend. But current trend only starts and very infant. Uptrend was recently born.

I'll notify if I'll see warning/reversal signs.
Han
newbie
Activity: 40
Merit: 0
July 16, 2015, 09:01:50 PM
But Master, the hourly sma200, the "holy grail" of all bubbles has been decisively broken on all exchanges and the price remains below it still. This does not concern you?

Edit: Thanks for the explanation. It makes sense that the hourly sma200 would only matter at the end of a bubble.
legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1013
July 16, 2015, 07:52:37 PM
The uptrend is healthy so far. Goes up on increasing volume and down on decreasing.



Oscillators are healthy with no bearish and little bullish divergence on macd.



As said before there is a resistance of yearly vwap



I don't start EW count until I'll see triangle (wave 4). Until this I watch for volume, divergences and trend lines. This gives me more realistic picture and don't let me go by invalid EW subcounts.
legendary
Activity: 2408
Merit: 1009
Legen -wait for it- dary
July 16, 2015, 03:25:12 AM
Where did you get these time frames from Ryn? EW is never good with timeframes...

http://www.tradingfives.com/articles/elliott-wave-guide.htm
legendary
Activity: 1288
Merit: 1000
Enabling the maximal migration
July 16, 2015, 02:47:51 AM
Where did you get these time frames from Ryn? EW is never good with timeframes...
hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 1000
Who's there?
July 16, 2015, 01:42:48 AM
That all falls in EW analysis. ... Even the infrastructure built on top of the blockchain can go through EW-esque waves
If you have a hammer, everything looks like a nail Smiley
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