Author

Topic: Analysis - page 268. (Read 941596 times)

legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1002
February 10, 2014, 04:17:28 PM
@masterluc: i am starting to think you were right calling a "see you in 2016-17". not a bright future near term. many challenges to be taken care of before a sustainable 1000k price
full member
Activity: 239
Merit: 100
February 10, 2014, 10:23:11 AM
Oh wow, fib support 0.236 completely devastated, approaching floor.

I hate to say I told you so, but- ah who am I kidding, I told you so! Grin

Seriously though, I did not expect this. Any dumb sheep (harr) can smell the (successful it seems) Gox market manipulation attempt from miles away. Will this be the final deathblow that makes people realize what a shit exchange they truly are? [optimistic]

/tin foil hat ON
mtgox coins sold on btc-e ?
/tin foil hat OFF
Possibly. Or, as reddit would have it, a textbook case of a beached whale Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1000
chaos is fun...…damental :)
February 10, 2014, 07:04:24 AM


/tin foil hat ON
mtgox coins sold on btc-e ?
/tin foil hat OFF
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1018
February 10, 2014, 06:14:51 AM
Bought like a mofo earlier today in the $530 to $600 range, if we go under $450 I will load the truck!!

Gotta love panickers and noobs.
legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1000
chaos is fun...…damental :)
February 10, 2014, 06:11:54 AM
Quote
10:26 what are your targets if it pops? (any direction)
10:26 my is 400
10:26 super beat 100-120
10:26 bear*
10:26 wow

have a nice day :=)
N12
donator
Activity: 1610
Merit: 1010
February 10, 2014, 05:42:02 AM
Time to buy  (short term) Grin
Indeed time to begin, but probably not only short term for me. Cheesy
Bought some more. Too bad about all the HODLERs who are missing out completely. Cheesy

Premium of MtGox over Bitstamp is currently -15.9090909091 %. Beautiful.
hero member
Activity: 924
Merit: 1000
February 08, 2014, 02:58:32 AM
Bitcoin plunges as major exchange halts withdrawals

http://money.cnn.com/2014/02/07/investing/bitcoin-withdrawal-halt/

Reading the comments, highest voted comments still think it's a scam/pyramid scheme etc. Good, I still have time to stack more coins  Grin Cheesy

When I try explaining Bitcoin to my friends, the first impression is always its a scam/pyramid scheme. I keep telling them not to come back crying in 10 years.


I usually explain it like it's a protocol to transfer value. Or a decentralized consensus system. That usually gets their attention.
legendary
Activity: 1008
Merit: 1000
February 08, 2014, 02:35:14 AM
Bitcoin plunges as major exchange halts withdrawals

http://money.cnn.com/2014/02/07/investing/bitcoin-withdrawal-halt/

Reading the comments, highest voted comments still think it's a scam/pyramid scheme etc. Good, I still have time to stack more coins  Grin Cheesy

When I try explaining Bitcoin to my friends, the first impression is always its a scam/pyramid scheme. I keep telling them not to come back crying in 10 years.

Regarding this thread, whats the common thinking? Going up or down?
hero member
Activity: 538
Merit: 500
February 07, 2014, 03:58:54 PM

True, if you call "smart" money people who trust their holdings to others and pay hefty fees for this.
donator
Activity: 853
Merit: 1000
February 07, 2014, 10:10:18 AM
Bitcoin plunges as major exchange halts withdrawals

http://money.cnn.com/2014/02/07/investing/bitcoin-withdrawal-halt/

Reading the comments, highest voted comments still think it's a scam/pyramid scheme etc. Good, I still have time to stack more coins  Grin Cheesy

Yeah very few of the general population grok bitcoin
sr. member
Activity: 378
Merit: 250
Super Smash Bros. Ultimate Available Now!
February 07, 2014, 10:01:23 AM
Bitcoin plunges as major exchange halts withdrawals

http://money.cnn.com/2014/02/07/investing/bitcoin-withdrawal-halt/

Reading the comments, highest voted comments still think it's a scam/pyramid scheme etc. Good, I still have time to stack more coins  Grin Cheesy
donator
Activity: 853
Merit: 1000
February 07, 2014, 09:57:30 AM
Bitcoin plunges as major exchange halts withdrawals

http://money.cnn.com/2014/02/07/investing/bitcoin-withdrawal-halt/
legendary
Activity: 1470
Merit: 1007
February 07, 2014, 09:38:25 AM
I tend to agree.. if volume remains low while going up, and high while going down - logic would dictate that there are more people wanting to sell than buy. And down we go.

Looking at google trends, there can't be that much new money coming in.. and that's a problem. If I'm not mistaken, the big rallies have often, if not always, corresponded with a rise in the google searches. We've been declining for some time now.

Google trends is, as has been repeated ad nauseam, a lagging indicator. And nobody (I hope Cheesy) is assuming we're in a rally right now. Google trends will pick up once the consolidation/bear market is over. And that question can't be settled by looking at Google trends IMO.


sr. member
Activity: 476
Merit: 250
February 07, 2014, 09:29:31 AM
I tend to agree.. if volume remains low while going up, and high while going down - logic would dictate that there are more people wanting to sell than buy. And down we go.

Looking at google trends, there can't be that much new money coming in.. and that's a problem. If I'm not mistaken, the big rallies have often, if not always, corresponded with a rise in the google searches. We've been declining for some time now.
legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1013
February 07, 2014, 09:21:06 AM
As for Bitcoin technical analysis: Does anyone have an argument (charting, please) as for why 650 (gox)/619 (stamp) could not have probably been the next higher low after 455 forming a triangle (or a C triangle wave for EWers)?

This?



Maybe. But I don't like these deviations starting to expand along with price going down on rising volume.



And also bounced macd + crossed down zero line

sr. member
Activity: 378
Merit: 250
Super Smash Bros. Ultimate Available Now!
February 07, 2014, 07:33:15 AM
Time to buy  (short term) Grin
Indeed time to begin, but probably not only short term for me. Cheesy

So, "good news" guys, how do you explain all of this despite the "good news"? Learn to realize it, markets are made up of people and people make up their decisions according to their emotions which in turn is the lense for EVERYTHING external!

I'm starting to believe you.

Do you know any good books etc on this topic?
Reminiscences of a Stock Operator definitely helped me. You could also read the shorter "How to trade in Stocks" where Livermore puts forward his actual method explained at the end. Right now I'm reading Fooled by Randomness.

Goomboo has a nice reading list.

If it doesn't have to be a book, I like http://www.babypips.com/school for learning technical analysis.

thanks

edit: there was a post on here not long ago (i think it was on this thread) with a link to bitcoin elliot wave analysis done by a respected german gold trader (or something like that?) Does anyone have a link or know what his name is so I can look it up?
N12
donator
Activity: 1610
Merit: 1010
February 07, 2014, 07:22:35 AM
As for Bitcoin technical analysis: Does anyone have an argument (charting, please) as for why 650 (gox)/619 (stamp) could not have probably been the next higher low after 455 forming a triangle (or a C triangle wave for EWers)?
legendary
Activity: 1470
Merit: 1007
February 07, 2014, 07:14:04 AM

Currently reading Kirkpatrick/Dahlquist's 'Technical Analysis'. Don't have much to compare it against, but I like the solid, methodological style, similar to the textbooks I'm used to.
legendary
Activity: 2772
Merit: 1028
Duelbits.com
February 07, 2014, 07:11:12 AM
Quote
Reminiscences of a Stock Operator

Great book. The best thing I've learned from it is to not give a fuck if I think I'm right.
Jump to: