Many people are saying Bitcoin can go down up to 8,000$ while others say it can go down as much as 5,000$ -6000$ which is really an exciting opportunity to see. Right now Bitcoin is hovering aroung 11,000$ and I am looking at it can go back to 13,000$ level before testing the 10,000$ level again or even below it. Looking at the charts it is still clear that the volume is lacking which is not confirming any signs of reversal.
Actually volume hasn't been that bad. The 3day volume is the second biggest daily bottom candle since $200.
All it takes is for some people who have no interest in Bitcoin and are able to sell Bitcoin to bring the price down some. [This is why I fear 'popularity' the empty hype of a crowd in a market] Volume isnt greatly favouring the downside however just on the basis of previous volatility its very feasible to write in a far more negative Bitcoin price then present.
Just because we spike down to a price it doesnt have to be taken as an absolute negative but all the same I think below 8000 is possible. How long that price exists Im not sure. I would be far more adventurous in outlining downside targets just on the general meta of a Richter graph, we swing up and down quite alot and we have seen great highs so its biased not to expect similar negative action.
Im going back to November pricing, 6523 as a previous Fib level relating to the big Fork in summer. Fibonacci 423% rise I think that was from a point people had previously thought might be the top but was more a stop over months. Above and part of the first leg above, is 7468 or 7500 generally, its a top and also confirmed bottom before we reached the much higher ATH
Thats reasonable targets, Im not bearish or bullish especially. Finding that level and reestablishing it as a bottom would of course be bullish for more positive levels. I think it has to hit a rock bottom level to get more interest.
The alternative scenario is time based not a price sell off. If we settle over Chinese new year that also could be a good levelling and stability to work from.
People are referring to 3k directly as a negative scenario but we probably react to echos of that action since then, since there has been alot more news. I also think we can have surprise to the upside with positive news also, if the mood is especially negative that becomes more probable.