my point on 2) to your point above is the worth of siacoin will be determined by its use in the network storage solution as ASIC machines are used on that network...from what I understand...thus with that in place and before bitmain came out....sia-tech said they would have 25% inflation above 100% coin in existence PER MONTH..my point is the puppy
better work as a storage token...it won't work IMHO, as a speculative coin ...as it is now...with that kind of inflation.which is even MORE now with bitmain units..
anyway, correct me if I'm wrong...how I am viewing this product/protocol/storage vision
There is something incorrect in your reasoning. The amount of hashing power generated by the mining network is totally unrelated to the Supply of coins. This is a common misunderstanding of PoW coins. If the amount of hashrate increases 100x because of a massive deployment of ASICs from Bitmain or whichever other manufacturer, the difficulty of mining will increase instantly 100x to compensate and keep the block time, the block reward and the Inflation stable.
When ASICs are released in a GPU-mined coin, or a new generation of ASICs is released in a coin that already uses ASICs, it doesn't mean more coins will be generated every minute. It just means that the same amount of coins that are usually mined will be redistributed to the new generation of ASICs, and old generations will become unprofitable (they get outcompeted).
So it doesn't matter how much hashrate is added to the network or which manufacturer comes in:
the Supply and the Inflation are immutable and predictable. You can check which will be the evolution of both in the next years in these charts:
https://www.siastats.info/supply_inflationOK...I'm with you so far, the question I have is WITH the amount of ASIC's coming into play for a currently existing GPU coin...and/or the price involved NOW...make any real difference in
price in the future...or as I assumed..it all comes down to the fact Siacoin has to deliver (and ASIC's with their role) as a method of decentralized network that is the mainstay in Sia-techs attempt to make a decentralized internet of things storage network....that is priced at 10c to Amazon's Cloud $1.00 price now/soon say this summer....thus non-centralized....and much cheaper to store data....fufilling a big need for cloud type storage at a much better value.
IF from what I can tell from what you say...is all that happens when the network goes from GPU to ASIC is that it would have little effect and the current price of the coin goes sideways say, or no or little effect but the 'spoils' of
say, and as such such now just shift to Asic's playing field..and GPU's are toast....but would putter along with ASIC'S in the same manner as GPU price/use wise..until the storage network
vision happens?
Anyway, how I see this, the coin has to have 'legs' from what I understand this is Sia-techs niche...they don't pull it off this summer the project will flame out..and ASIC's will be shut off ..if by that point they have upsurped the GPU's as the main network ...and it will all just dribble out to naught..price will be relected as such an this coin will be dust...
thus the bet, again IMHO
brad