jl777
Well, I will definitely buy some. No brainer. What I am a little confused with is how will this impact assets like cryptocard, instaDEX, MGW, NXTprivacy, and were you also connected in some way to NXTTYcoin?
My initial thoughts are to hold all those and try and get more NXT, as it looks like NXT may win the decentralized exchange race, which is about as big as it gets. Then obviously buy in on this one once Poloniex offers it. Does that sound like a good plan? I just don't know if this new project makes any of the older ones obsolete, or if it just raises them all as one along with NXT in general? Thanks in advance for any advice.
I am not involved in NXTTY, I actually havent had a chance to look at it, so this is no reflection on it in any way. I have been a bit busy this year.
I cannot predict what prices any of the assets will achieve.
there are some baseline formulas that are possible to know, but these are relative between the assets, so there is no anchor price to allow an accurate calculation of lifetime future cashflow discounted to the present (and adjusted for risk factors) (and adjusted again for general growth or lack thereof for crypto)
There will be assets inside the SuperNET core and these will benefit from their services being made available. I just make these services, I am not able to accurately predict if more fees are generated from Teleport, InstantDEX trading, anon card (renamed to SuperNET card) fees, Privatebet gambling, etc.
This satoshidice thing, I dont understand how it is so popular, but it is making many revenues, so do not trust my judgement for details on which asset is going to do better.
This is like asking a farmer, which is better, your prize winning tomatoes or your prize winning oranges?
they are not directly comparable. All I can do is continue to make all of my assets as good as they can be and then the market will tell me I should have made some "Hello Kitty" stuff.
So, I have made matroshka assets and you can pick any specific one that you are feeling is strongest, or if you cant decide, just get JLH, it has pretty much all of them. sharkfund0 maps to Teleport, NXTprivacy has both the SuperNET card and Privatebet. The Privatebet is now having the instaDICE based on new tech just received, and will hopefully have a full set of casino games, each game with its own asset and of course the sportsbetting.
Now the SuperNET future dividends are simply the combining of all of these into a single asset that just happens to be ~100% backed by crypto from its IPO and has a bunch of supertraders using 10% of funds to make bragging rights.
I am not so good at predicting end user behaviors, but I am a bit better at predicting investor behaviors. I view the SuperNET IPO, even with no bonus and therefore some ~12% premium like a compressed spring. You are paying by its height when it is all compressed (book value), but we are not sure how high the spring will jump. Theoretically it should go to some multiple of book value. Will it be 1.1x book value or 10x bookvalue when it starts trading? Well, I am pretty sure it will be somewhere in between
A lot of traders are perfectly happy with an immediate double so there will be some sellings at 2x book value. The question I dont know is if there will be demand at 2x. Certainly the sum of all the revenue streams from all the assets must have some value, quite possible a very large value when you start doing some spreadsheets with Number of users, Average fees per user, etc. like I know some of you have done. It is quite complex and the big X factor is what happens if BTC does indeed exceed TacoBell? All this increase in BTC will naturally bring more users into crypto and what will they find? SuperNET will be hard to miss, so as BTC keeps growing and bringing in more fiat money and peoples, the SuperNET revenue base is expanding. This is all conjecture and any large range of numbers can be justified, impressive flowcharts and financial projections to be made. I am sure I could have sold a bunch of SuperNET at 2x book value, but as I have written below, this is not about squeezing all the last dollars from investors pockets. I am no investment banker that specializes in such things.
I am wanting to make many happy rich crypto peoples. And so we go back to the question of how much buying demand there will be right after the IPO. Since the IPO is not making any advertising and happening fast, I think a significant amount will still be on the sidelines, so let us assume that the lack of liquidity wont be a factor. Then we now come to the big question. is the spring going to jump a little or a lot?
I am not sure, but I do feel there is some chance to be jumping to where we are filling the 2x offers, but remember I am just a simple C programmer. Please do the homeworks and your own evaluation.
James