First, sorry if i sound like i'm criticizing.
I'm only trying to help and provide some economic perspective. We are all looking for the same thing and I have a lot of respect for you OmarG and tempestb as you guys are making things happen for Hiro.
Yet I agree with marach,
the real issue is the demand.
I've read your paper OmarG and the charts make perfect sense when the demand is steep; decreasing supply should result in an increase in price. However, we observe that despite the huge drop in price the demand has not increased, which suggests a flat demand curve. Try to re-do the graph with a horizontal line for the demand and there is no impact on price of changing supply.
To note these charts are usually used in economics to understand pricing at the total market level, with total demand and total supply and NOT for a particular brand (Hiro) in a competitive market (cryptocurrencies)...
In competitive markets what you need is innovation and differentiation.
- Innovation can be counted upon thanks to HiroS.
- I was hoping that Hiro's differentiation would be its stability as this is differentiating vs. most other coins where teams and communities over-react and make poorly-thought-through decisions because of short-time panic (mostly related to price)...
- Anyways, maybe it's not the right angle. Surely this would help in the long term. In 2 years when the shopping cart scanners will be available which coin will investors trust; the one that has changed strategy 10 times with the wind or the one that stood up through the difficult times?
- And at that point Hiro would go from 1 sat to the top of the market caps! Is 2 years too long to wait in the crypto-world? Why not stand for something longer than a fad? It would it still not be so much better as an investment as any other investment outside of cryptos for such a time frame (as opposed to hours or days in the rest of the crypto-world). Hiro could stand for longevity with a much broader view than other cryptos focused on Mintpal and whatever kind of pump plays.
The focus/absolute priority should be on building an actual community.
- Your text Omar on the Hirocoin forum was not commented once, sad but true. And THIS is the issue.
- Hiro has 200 fans on FB when Dark have 2,600 on their main page and they have a few other non-official pages. Ideas and innovation diffuse in the market through people... Adoption goes through people.
- A first step could be a few words from HiroS on the forum/FB/Twitter; even if it's not a Hironews I'm pretty sure even 3 words about the weather will help at this stage... Dark devs may also provide a few nice quotes about HiroS to their community, couldn't they? Just a thought...
By the way, with the dynamic reward system if the number of coins earned with mining drops when the hashrate goes down, wouldn't it make the coin vulnerable to a 51% attack? The snowball effect on the upside makes sense, but it may turn to be a snowball effect on the downside (price down, less miners, high risk --- consider the flat demand curve above)... It may be worth thinking of a mechanism to prevent a 51% attack if you roll-out this system anyways.
Hope my inputs will help our community.
Thanks for the input. It was well thought out and covered some good points.
Yes, our demand is not constant and is not steep. It probably is next to flat right now. Changing the supply won't fix this but when until the demand starts to increase the new supply curve will nullify and further drops in demand from having an effect on the price.
Innovation is key and Hiro is aware of it. The dynamic supply is to provide us with an inherit price stabilization method which doesn't require changing the demand using a "stabilization fund". Modifying the supply is just as effective and doesn't require deep pockets to maintain a price artificially.
Our community has disappeared for the most part but we do still have a few of you guys around. I'm hoping that will change when people see the price rise. I know price shouldn't be the focus and it isn't for us, but it happens to be for a lot of the bitcointalk community. They won't pay attention to us until they see some growth and a chance for profit.
The 51% attack issue has been taken into account and the exact formula won't be as clear cut as less demand equals less rewards. There will be some modifications like looking at the last xx blocks to get the average hashrate so that we don't get stuck at difficulties that are considered "low" or "high". If that network hashrate becomes the norm the rewards will adjust accordingly.[/list]