I've been analysing the investment potential of this project and detail my methodology below. Essentially these tokens derive their value from the micro fees they receive. As the OP explains these aren't coins - "is not a coin but a token of value the blocknet adds to every service it enables."
Let's assume you have 1 BTC worth of these tokens out of the 2500 BTC worth of tokens out there. Typically for an ordinary investment, 10% return would be amazing for a year. In crypto where things are very high risk and volatile, people would expect more like a 100% return in a year.
So 1 BTC should give 1 BTC in terms of "paid feeds" over the course of a year. Which means 2500 BTC worth of paid fees across the network. I don't believe the fee structure has been made public or is even known? The term micro fee suggests it will be small. I'm speculating a complete guess at 0.5%. But fees don't just go to the token holders they also go to the node which renders the service, so if that is split 50-50, the amount going to the token holders would be half that. But let's assume it's 0.5%.
For 2500 BTC worth of fees to have been paid, that means 2500 BTC represents 0.5% of all the transactions that have occurred - giving a total figure of 500,000 BTC.
That is right. According to my rough calculations, the network needs to be handling 500,000 BTC worth of volume per year for 1 BTC worth of these tokens to generate 100% return in terms of fees paid. That to me seems unlikely to be happening early on in the life of the Blocknet.
Any thoughts/discussion on my post?
Think of how many coins will be added to the Blocknet. Basically I see it as the more coins added to blocknet(which is what blocknet is about?), the easier it will be to get that 500k btc worth of volume in a year.
Thanks Mr_Random.
I don't have much to add, but here's a point or two:
Blocknet tokens will still be tradable and speculators and investors can gain or lose based on their market value.
Short-term gains (i.e. before the Blocknet launches or grows large) will be purely on the basis of tokens' value.
As the Blocknet grows, fees will become an increasingly lucrative revenue source.
Fees: service providers are free to set any fee they want for a service, and nodes that provide the service keep the fee.
In addition, service providers pay Blocknet fees, and it is this that is paid to shareholders.
This will be a microfee, but its value has not yet been set, due to the fact that we're not yet sure how many instances of Blocknet-fee-charging are likely to occur across a broad range of services. The idea is that a fee will be charged for a given function that the XBridge performs; certain services might require very small or very large numbers of functions, and we will first need to be able to model this before we can create fee structures that track both the cost to the Blocknet of delivering the service and the value of the service to clients.