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Topic: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It - page 1108. (Read 3917058 times)

member
Activity: 97
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A slightly larger chart than you see on the BTC-TC homepage, displaying the stock performance over the past month.  I hope you like it.

member
Activity: 196
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legendary
Activity: 4592
Merit: 1851
Linux since 1997 RedHat 4
A final update from yesterday on the USB Erupter performance.

17 hour run statistics on ozcoin using direct Stratum and
 --icarus-options 115200:1:1 --icarus-timing 3.0=80
(see further below for more optimal settings)

Code:
[SUMMARY] =>
(
   [0] => SUMMARY
   [Elapsed] => 61325
   [MHS av] => 334.00
   [Found Blocks] => 0
   [Getworks] => 2779
   [Accepted] => 4686
   [Rejected] => 5
   [Hardware Errors] => 44
   [Utility] => 4.58
   [Discarded] => 5433
   [Stale] => 4
   [Get Failures] => 2
   [Local Work] => 15895
   [Remote Failures] => 0
   [Network Blocks] => 115
   [Total MH] => 20482802.5584
   [Work Utility] => 4.64
   [Difficulty Accepted] => 4686.00000000
   [Difficulty Rejected] => 5.00000000
   [Difficulty Stale] => 4.00000000
   [Best Share] => 11913
)

So - less than 1% HW errors.
I'm not sure if the earlier higher figure yesterday was burn in or overnight being cooler - I'll see today - but certainly don't expect it to get over 1.5% (Ambient temperature for the last 24hours has been around 21C or less)

Accepted hash rate: Difficulty Accepted / Elapsed = 328MH/s

Work utility (4.64) = 332MH/s

So all in all performing ~10% above the expected 300MH/s

Based on those figures I'd suggest the cgminer options to get it to report a little closer to accurate MH/s:
 --icarus-options 115200:1:1 --icarus-timing 3.012=100

The actual timing for mine would be 3.012=128 but I'm not sure what sort of variance there will be with the final product.
The 3.012 number helps get the MH/s display correct but doesn't affect the device performance.
The =100 number determines how long it should hash (100 = 10.0seconds) before restarting work, so if it is too long, it will allow it to go idle and thus reduce performance.
However, being a bit low (in this case 100 is 22% below the expected figure of 128 for me) has a very minor ignorable effect but allows for a large 22% performance variance with devices.

Soon I'll be updating the cgminer Icarus driver to use USB direct (it's the last untouched cgminer serial-USB driver) so these will be HotPlug also soon.

Screen cap at the same time as the above numbers:


Edit: much later edit with a few updates:
Size: 24.5mm wide
Board alone is 45mm long
Board+USB plug is 59.5mm (of course the plug isn't removable)
Weight: 6g
Height; 6mm (the highest component)

Errors: between 1% and 1.5%
Hash rate: 336MH/s
legendary
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1004
The plan for the next 3 months of AM is to get 262 TH online.

when dividend is actually about 0.01x @ 20 TH
then it could be like 0.1x per share

No, it couldn't, so pour yourself a cold one and chill down :-)

If AM rolls our 262 TH/s without any other vendor rolling out the equivalent, Bitcoin as we know it is dead. This is a fixed sum game, so increasing hashrate isn't going to increase profit, just cost. Right now, the maximum AM can roll out is around 50-60 TH/s without destroying Bitcoin, and that is about 2.5 times what they're currently doing.

.b


Well, that's where the equipment sales come in. AM can focus more on selling mining hardware when their hashrate is getting to be too large a percentage of the total network, so they're not even reliant on other vendors rolling out hardware in volume.
legendary
Activity: 1176
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I see AM as a long-run play. Healthy dividends reward those who hold and reinvest. People who jump in and out might miss out on the dividend goodness.

I don't think the price will be that volatile anyway (it hasn't been in the few months since the IPO) but it won't matter to me as I plan to add now in dribs and drabs.
sr. member
Activity: 364
Merit: 250
"to be or not to be, that is the bitcoin"
Agreed. Lofty expectations can lead to disappointment and anger that one is owed something. Leading one to try to dictate how things are supposed to be. Reminds me of the Stones song - "You Can't Always Get What You Want", or the meme "First World Problems". Smiley

There's no reason not to be excited... after all, ASICMINER is setting these lofty expectations by completely surpassing all previous ones.

These dividends on a weekly (WEEKLY) basis are unheard of, and if you'd prefer to just sit at your desk and happily nod, that's fine with me.

I believe you're attributing my words to Michael? Please don't put words in someone else's mouth. Smiley Nor proclaim that someone is not excited because they are not demanding that ASICMINER not hold back dividends instead of re-investing some into future developments.

Some investors just show excitement in another way, could you not consider that?

My bad, sorry about that Michael.

I certainly agree that nobody should be demanding anything either way. I trust friedcat & friends to make good decisions. That's why I gave them my money in the first place!  Grin


all good, it's the childish excitement that gets me... and the calculations like this:

Quote
The plan for the next 3 months of AM is to get 262 TH online.

when dividend is actually about 0.01x @ 20 TH
then it could be like 0.1x per share

but yeah... that's just how it is I guess. I am excited too, but I don't need to spam it anywhere (or try to talk share price up, the shares talk themselves up).

a nice bit of rationality goes  a long way Smiley
legendary
Activity: 2674
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I see the new thread about selling 10GH Erupter Blades and im wondering if there is a way to see how many units are sold this way to predict dividends? It looks like it will be done all through email only.
legendary
Activity: 4256
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'The right to privacy matters'
The plan for the next 3 months of AM is to get 262 TH online.

when dividend is actually about 0.01x @ 20 TH
then it could be like 0.1x per share

No, it couldn't, so pour yourself a cold one and chill down :-)

If AM rolls our 262 TH/s without any other vendor rolling out the equivalent, Bitcoin as we know it is dead. This is a fixed sum game, so increasing hashrate isn't going to increase profit, just cost. Right now, the maximum AM can roll out is around 50-60 TH/s without destroying Bitcoin, and that is about 2.5 times what they're currently doing.

.b


This is why AM needs to bounce between 20-30% of total network share. Even if they need to sell 2 to 5Th in usb sticks and  blades to individuals so that the network rate grows at the same rate AM grows.  if the network grows to 200Th with 60Th at Am and 60Th of  am gear sold off to individuals along with the other 80th in avalon/fgpas/ bfl/ gpus it will work out fine.  As of today AM appears to be ahead of the curve not behind it.

I am a later investor I have some pt shares but thats okay I will add a share a week even at the high price of 1.5BTC .

yeah the guy that purchased 100 shares at .1 did well.. but I am still making some coin on this.  I am now selling off my gpu farm.  I sold a hd7990 for 800 usd today .. i paid 963 usd to buy it and it earned 1000-1100 usd before I sold it. so the 800 I got was nice. Next I will sell off some hd7970's
legendary
Activity: 1176
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ASICMiner Block Eruptor Blades Sales have started!!

Pricing: retail price 49.99BTC each, 48.99 each if quantity >= 10 in a single order, 47.99 each if quantity >= 20 in a single order

Click here for more details.

All the Avalon Batch 2 and 3 buyers must be thrilled! Tongue

It will be fascinating to see exactly how many of these puppies get sold, given the funds some people would have locked up in BFL and Avalon. I won't speculate in public but I plugged some numbers in and looked at nominally how much each sale would bring to my modest shareholding and was pretty impressed.
hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 500
Friedcat, can you clarify the plan for increasing ASICMINER's hashing for the next 4 weeks?

When will we see more put online again?

Thank you!
legendary
Activity: 2674
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btw what is also not discussed enough in this thread: the accomplishment of friedcat and his team. what they achieved is just jaw dropping. tell someone from the "real" world, you invested into a company a year ago and now they pay you your whole investment back EACH WEEK (in usd). Praise the friedcat!!!

Amen! Wink

The plan for the next 3 months of AM is to get 262 TH online.

when dividend is actually about 0.01x @ 20 TH
then it could be like 0.1x per share

You cant calculate this way... we are at around 30% of the bitcoin network hashrate. Which means the maximum possible earning from mining can be max 1,5 x the mined bitcoins now. That is because Asicminer cant go above 50% to not hurt bitcoin currency, trust and value. And the mined bitcoins will stay the same mining with 30% of network while network is at 100TH or mining with 30% while network is at 300TH. The amount of bitcoins mineable remain the same.
sr. member
Activity: 294
Merit: 250
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The plan for the next 3 months of AM is to get 262 TH online.

when dividend is actually about 0.01x @ 20 TH
then it could be like 0.1x per share

No, it couldn't, so pour yourself a cold one and chill down :-)

If AM rolls our 262 TH/s without any other vendor rolling out the equivalent, Bitcoin as we know it is dead. This is a fixed sum game, so increasing hashrate isn't going to increase profit, just cost. Right now, the maximum AM can roll out is around 50-60 TH/s without destroying Bitcoin, and that is about 2.5 times what they're currently doing.

.b
sr. member
Activity: 800
Merit: 250
Agreed. Lofty expectations can lead to disappointment and anger that one is owed something. Leading one to try to dictate how things are supposed to be. Reminds me of the Stones song - "You Can't Always Get What You Want", or the meme "First World Problems". Smiley

There's no reason not to be excited... after all, ASICMINER is setting these lofty expectations by completely surpassing all previous ones.

These dividends on a weekly (WEEKLY) basis are unheard of, and if you'd prefer to just sit at your desk and happily nod, that's fine with me.

I believe you're attributing my words to Michael? Please don't put words in someone else's mouth. Smiley Nor proclaim that someone is not excited because they are not demanding that ASICMINER not hold back dividends instead of re-investing some into future developments.

Some investors just show excitement in another way, could you not consider that?

My bad, sorry about that Michael.

I certainly agree that nobody should be demanding anything either way. I trust friedcat & friends to make good decisions. That's why I gave them my money in the first place!  Grin
g83
sr. member
Activity: 448
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The plan for the next 3 months of AM is to get 262 TH online.

when dividend is actually about 0.01x @ 20 TH
then it could be like 0.1x per share
legendary
Activity: 1270
Merit: 1000
oO The shareprice isnt connected to dividends. Why do you think its another way?

Because the  better the ROI time, the more people  want to get AM shares which will let the price rise. While for  some companies assets also influence the share price i think this is not the case for AM.

I read other persons, that are more informed, opinion about that. Im sure friedcat and his team already thought about the possibilities and it looks that its not worth at the moment to develop a better asic.
Regarding bitfury... first they have to develop... that takes time... and then they can build. Its open how the hashrate of the net will be then and how much return this will yield.

The wafers should be finished  on May 19. (this year). And i would not bet that bitfury will try to copycat the 'BFL success story' for the benefit of their competitors. Sure that there is a possibility that they fail partially or in whole but i would not bet on this. And as you write: those ASICs 'have to develop... that takes time'
member
Activity: 87
Merit: 10
Agreed. Lofty expectations can lead to disappointment and anger that one is owed something. Leading one to try to dictate how things are supposed to be. Reminds me of the Stones song - "You Can't Always Get What You Want", or the meme "First World Problems". Smiley

There's no reason not to be excited... after all, ASICMINER is setting these lofty expectations by completely surpassing all previous ones.

These dividends on a weekly (WEEKLY) basis are unheard of, and if you'd prefer to just sit at your desk and happily nod, that's fine with me.

I believe you're attributing my words to Michael? Please don't put words in someone else's mouth. Smiley Nor proclaim that someone is not excited because they are not demanding that ASICMINER not hold back dividends instead of re-investing some into future developments.

Some investors just show excitement in another way, could you not consider that?
sr. member
Activity: 644
Merit: 250
As a shareholder, I'm thrilled by the blade sales (by the way, is there a pre-determined max amount that is currently planned on being sold? 500? 1000? more?), though as an avalon batch 3 customer I'm watching my potential income evaporate. Perhaps it's time to attempt to unload the avalon and just buy more shares...
full member
Activity: 177
Merit: 100
Yes, you are obviously a share holder from what I read in this forum  Grin I actually value your comments and effort around AM a lot.

However, correct me if I'm wrong, I'm pretty sure you are not an early investor in AM. Observing this company from when it all started, I cannot help to be slightly annoyed with what is going on on this forum. All the new guys here looking for quick profit, trading PT shares and discussing it over and over again. Let me tell you this: All of it does not matter for friedcat and his team. The only thing which might be interesting for them is to get some idea about the market valuation of their magnificent work. Most early investors should feel the same way. They want to see sustainable, constant growth and no price peaks because of silly PT trading.

I dont have enough data to tell if it makes sense to invest in next-gen chips now. Neither have you. Of course AM should and will max out the current technology, but that doesnt mean they should not invest into next-gen when massive funds are available. Liquidity might not always be as good as today, you know. And that's the reason why holding back dividends could also make sense.

Im not an early adopter... i learned nearly too late about AM, but i was able to buy some shares at glbse... Smiley

Its true that this thread is cluttered with all talk regarding AM and more. And thats a lot. Thats why i really would like to see a subforum for AM. It would help to keep everything tidy a lot.

Regarding shareprice... i think friedcat doesnt have to know the value of the company. I mean for what? They know the dividend that comes in each week, they know relatively how much the hardware is worth, the design of the asic has some worth... it doesnt matter what traders think a share is worth. I mean you only would need some press messages about the big revenue of asicminer and a flood of new persons come into the game that want to take part in the 25-50% annual revenue. But the company isnt worth more then really. At the end the worth comes from what the company is. Thats many people had to learn from the .com bubble.

Im fully with you... when there is a chance to raise the revenue in the future, that means investments, it should be done. But invest only because there is money isnt the best. There should be a plan that this invested money will bring an even bigger return. Thats what investment means. But you mean the dividend could drop... i wonder how... bitcoin-crash, some powerful other vendor? I dont know. Of course it would be good to be able to act then. But i guess friedcat and team takes such things into account. Smiley At least i hope so...

Ok, let's put it like this: Reinvesting is great. Maybe even building cash reserves is a good idea. I dont know if some competitor might finally do something significant. From what I see it's mostly jibber jabber about [random number] * 100 TH/s to be set up with no clue about what it ACTUALLY means in terms of logistics, space, power supply etc etc. One thing is for sure: Friedcat and his team are the only ones who proved to be able to pull something like this off. And I absolutely trust their judgement on when to do what. If it comes with sustainable, consistent dividends.. even better

btw what is also not discussed enough in this thread: the accomplishment of friedcat and his team. what they achieved is just jaw dropping. tell someone from the "real" world, you invested into a company a year ago and now they pay you your whole investment back EACH WEEK (in usd). Praise the friedcat!!!


thanks for this post.

Having invested recently, reading some of the over excited (and I should add seemingly greed induced) comments about the dividends is quite a turn off. Irrational exuberance springs to mind.


Im just turned off by this PT trading chitchat trying to influence the price. But dont get me wrong. AM is a great investment, especially in the long-term. In the end, it all comes down to being realistic. However, being realistic about AM can be well exciting Grin hard to believe, but true. facts are facts
sr. member
Activity: 406
Merit: 250
ASICMiner Block Eruptor Blades Sales have started!!

Pricing: retail price 49.99BTC each, 48.99 each if quantity >= 10 in a single order, 47.99 each if quantity >= 20 in a single order

Click here for more details.

All the Avalon Batch 2 and 3 buyers must be thrilled! Tongue

Great Scott! I hope it gets invested towards fourth - 1000TH - batch
sr. member
Activity: 800
Merit: 250
Agreed. Lofty expectations can lead to disappointment and anger that one is owed something. Leading one to try to dictate how things are supposed to be. Reminds me of the Stones song - "You Can't Always Get What You Want", or the meme "First World Problems". Smiley

There's no reason not to be excited... after all, ASICMINER is setting these lofty expectations by completely surpassing all previous ones.

These dividends on a weekly (WEEKLY) basis are unheard of, and if you'd prefer to just sit at your desk and happily nod, that's fine with me.
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