Topic: ASICMINER Speculation Thread - page 135. (Read 808905 times)
I posted this on the other discussion, but it is more appropriate here. This is a screenshot from Aug 20, 2013. Notice the 6 hour estimate. Now, go look at our historical hash rates. We never got above 60 TH/s, even though the 6 hour showed a huge jump.
This is based on the last 36 hours average.
Zubilica is making an estimate based on 12 or 6 hours estimates, which are highly inaccurate. I've seen the 6 hour over 100 TH/s many times, and AM's hash rate has never actually been over 60 TH/s
I think it is unwise to say the hash rate is 15%, if you are using the 12 or 6 hours estimate as your basis. You'll be disappointed.
This is based on the last 36 hours average.
well atm it looks like 15-17%.
I'd like to see it at least 200TH, coz bitfury, yet another new comer is putting up 90TH as of right now.
That would give AM above 30% of the hash rate, a bit too much right now. I'm a shareholder but I'm also concerned with bitcoin sufficient decentralization.
25-27% is fine by me , but more is concerning.
Imagine 2 companies mines mining each at 31% of Network. And one will fail to mine, due to unforeseen facts, DDoS, power , internal failures , tsunami, etc
This is a classic unintended 50+ attack of the network, bad for business , Bitcoin may fail.
This is unrealistic and if you expect this you'll be disappointed. AM stated it will hold 10% on average.
I'd like to see it at least 200TH, coz bitfury, yet another new comer is putting up 90TH as of right now.
That would give AM above 30% of the hash rate, a bit too much right now. I'm a shareholder but I'm also concerned with bitcoin sufficient decentralization.
25-27% is fine by me , but more is concerning.
Imagine 2 companies mines mining each at 31% of Network. And one will fail to mine, due to unforeseen facts, DDoS, power , internal failures , tsunami, etc
This is a classic unintended 50+ attack of the network, bad for business , Bitcoin may fail.
I'd like to see it at least 200TH, coz bitfury, yet another new comer is putting up 90TH as of right now.
That would give AM above 30% of the hash rate, a bit too much right now. I'm a shareholder but I'm also concerned with bitcoin sufficient decentralization.
I'd like to see it at least 200TH, coz bitfury, yet another new comer is putting up 90TH as of right now.
I'll make a speculation: the drop of hashrate these last days was due to moving hardware, maybe to a new location, maybe some internal re-organization.
This was required in order to scale the farm up. Now we start to see the result: additional hardware is on!
It shall be confirmed in the next 24~48h, but I think we may be significantly above 60TH/s this time, maybe 80 or even higher.
This was required in order to scale the farm up. Now we start to see the result: additional hardware is on!
It shall be confirmed in the next 24~48h, but I think we may be significantly above 60TH/s this time, maybe 80 or even higher.
O.o . Hashrate back to normal. even a little higher. We will see adjustments in a few hours 
ppl should feel stupid now for selling under 3.5/share.
http://www.asicminercharts.com/live/
ppl should feel stupid now for selling under 3.5/share. http://www.asicminercharts.com/live/
My guess is that some older hash power was leased and now we are waiting for new hardware to come online
what is more likely is that there is some problem with the hosting - power/connectivity + string of bad luck = variance. It happened before and it will happen again. What is necessary is that AM deploys new hardware to keep up with the difficulty rise. Of course the 2nd gen can't come soon enough, but that will take at least a month or two...
FC said September/October, it could be as early as next week for all we know (though admittedly, next week is unlikely). As to the leased hardware, I guess we'll have to wait for divs to find out.
No, he said 2gen will come after November/December. You confuse with a large batch of new blades to come, still based on gen1 chips though.
My guess is that some older hash power was leased and now we are waiting for new hardware to come online
what is more likely is that there is some problem with the hosting - power/connectivity + string of bad luck = variance. It happened before and it will happen again. What is necessary is that AM deploys new hardware to keep up with the difficulty rise. Of course the 2nd gen can't come soon enough, but that will take at least a month or two...
FC said September/October, it could be as early as next week for all we know (though admittedly, next week is unlikely). As to the leased hardware, I guess we'll have to wait for divs to find out.
My guess is that some older hash power was leased and now we are waiting for new hardware to come online
what is more likely is that there is some problem with the hosting - power/connectivity + string of bad luck = variance. It happened before and it will happen again. What is necessary is that AM deploys new hardware to keep up with the difficulty rise. Of course the 2nd gen can't come soon enough, but that will take at least a month or two...
My guess is that some older hash power was leased and now we are waiting for new hardware to come online
Why is ASICMiner down to only 5% of the network? It has been 4-5% the entire weekend.
http://blockchain.info/pools
http://blockchain.info/pools
The predicted mining part of the dividends next Wednesday is just below 0.007. Difficult to say how much are the hardware sales, but if AM retains some of it again for future reinvestment (which is a good news for anyone seriously investing with at least a 2 months time frame in mind...), there won't be much added. We should see roughly the same dividends as last week... What do you think will be the reaction then?
Keeps a position at a low entry price just in case
The predicted mining part of the dividends next Wednesday is just below 0.007. Difficult to say how much are the hardware sales, but if AM retains some of it again for future reinvestment (which is a good news for anyone seriously investing with at least a 2 months time frame in mind...), there won't be much added. We should see roughly the same dividends as last week... What do you think will be the reaction then?
...till the 2nd gen's are ready, then...
The predicted mining part of the dividends next Wednesday is just below 0.007. Difficult to say how much are the hardware sales, but if AM retains some of it again for future reinvestment (which is a good news for anyone seriously investing with at least a 2 months time frame in mind...), there won't be much added. We should see roughly the same dividends as last week... What do you think will be the reaction then?
omg BIG bubble!
edit: it works!
edit: it works!
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