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Topic: [Aug 2022] Mempool empty! Use this opportunity to Consolidate your small inputs! - page 15. (Read 88497 times)

legendary
Activity: 2912
Merit: 6403
Blackjack.fun
That's it. I declare Bitcoin broken at the moment Sad
Now this a statement that surprised me!
How would you call it if normal people can't use Bitcoin as peer to peer electronic cash?

People can use it, blocks are mined, and transactions are confirmed, it's just that it's not cheap and the ones paying more are favored.
Ordinals or no ordinals the same would have happened if you would have had 100 million trying to use it daily.
Demand and offer!


So, this was the record for the day?
Nope. The record of the day is easily this: https://mempool.space/tx/2bb85f4b004be6da54f766c17c1e855187327112c231ef2ff35ebad0ea67c69e. 3.6 million satoshis per vbyte. This person paid more than 6.732 bitcoin in transaction fee. It's the top transaction of the halving block. I guess you can call it the rarest Ordinal, or whatever they're called.  Tongue

Loll, I didn't realize there is an extra, I thought it was 3,600 not 3,600,000.
This poor guy, despite spending $510,768 he didn't had the most expensive tx in sat/vb.
Imagine his disappointment.



legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 7340
Farewell, Leo
So, this was the record for the day?
Nope. The record of the day is easily this: https://mempool.space/tx/2bb85f4b004be6da54f766c17c1e855187327112c231ef2ff35ebad0ea67c69e. 3.6 million satoshis per vbyte. This person paid more than 6.732 bitcoin in transaction fee. It's the top transaction of the halving block. I guess you can call it the rarest Ordinal, or whatever they're called.  Tongue

I'm curious as to who will give more than $400,000 (!!!) for an Ordinal.
legendary
Activity: 3290
Merit: 16489
Thick-Skinned Gang Leader and Golden Feather 2021
That's it. I declare Bitcoin broken at the moment Sad
Now this a statement that surprised me!
How would you call it if normal people can't use Bitcoin as peer to peer electronic cash?
legendary
Activity: 2366
Merit: 1272
Heisenberg
My logic is that
1. We will see a drop in the hash rate once the halving occurs due to mining being unprofitable for inefficient miners, this will lead to longer block times until the difficulty is adjusted 4 days later. Longer block times means people paying higher fees to get into the next block.
Not when the Bitcoin fees are insanely high at the moment. The happiest people are the miners and from what I have seen, the mining rewards have been way higher so far as compared to a few days before the halving. So far, despite the halving of the subsidy, the generated transaction fees have filled in the gap and absorbed the expected shock for the miners.
legendary
Activity: 2912
Merit: 6403
Blackjack.fun
That's it. I declare Bitcoin broken at the moment Sad

Now this a statement that surprised me!

So, this was the record for the day?
https://mempool.space/tx/347fd0295bdd87b49c30b40b2f7877779321e9464858c05e55352e0d7f145cbc
Bigger blocks aren't going to resolve this. Spammers (or maybe just 1 spammer) can pay 1000+ sats/vbyte for 1.5 MB blocks. Let's assume blocks would be unlimited: for the same price, he could pay 1 sat/vbyte and create 1.5 GB blocks! That would be good for the rest of us, as we could make transactions again, but it would add 80 TB per year to the blockchain.

They can't do this all day long.
With 10 MB blocks it will keep them at 100sat/vb, 10MB blocks are 525GB a year, 20 means 50sat/vb 1TB a year.
You don't need to keep them away completely you need to make them unable to raise the fees over 50sat/vb.
jr. member
Activity: 44
Merit: 19
The days after the halving tomorrow and before the difficulty adjustment in about 5 days will be brutal for fees with the Runes added in.

Still, I'll bet that the average fees for the 2 weeks post halving will be 50% higher than the average fees for the 2 weeks pre-halving.

I think I should have stood my ground with "brutal".
legendary
Activity: 3290
Merit: 16489
Thick-Skinned Gang Leader and Golden Feather 2021
That's it. I declare Bitcoin broken at the moment Sad
I have never been more pro censorship or some type of restriction than right now, and at this point, I am not even ashamed to admit it. A solution has to be found or else the big-blocker monkey men have won. It's going to become impossible to recommend to new people to use Bitcoin and explain the benefits of it. When the obvious question appears, how much does it cost to send a bitcoin transaction, you can throw all your decentralization and control of your money arguments out of the window.
Bigger blocks aren't going to resolve this. Spammers (or maybe just 1 spammer) can pay 1000+ sats/vbyte for 1.5 MB blocks. Let's assume blocks would be unlimited: for the same price, he could pay 1 sat/vbyte and create 1.5 GB blocks! That would be good for the rest of us, as we could make transactions again, but it would add 80 TB per year to the blockchain. It would also mean downloading and verifying 1.5 GB every 10 minutes, and it would mean chainstate will quickly grow to hundreds of GB (which requires that much RAM to run Bitcoin Core). It would destroy decentralization as we know it, I'd be forced to give up running a full node, and even many of the Electrum servers wouldn't be able to keep up.
As much as I hate it, we can't get rid of spam by giving them more block space.

Yesterday when I was watching the halving I though that it was expected to be high fees near the block #840.000 since some people would pay a premium to have their transactions on that block, but I never imagined that the fees alone would reach ~ 37.6 bitcoin[1].

[1]https://mempool.space/block/0000000000000000000320283a032748cef8227873ff4872689bf23f1cda83a5
CRAZY! I have no other word for it.
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 3117
That's it. I declare Bitcoin broken at the moment Sad
I have never been more pro censorship or some type of restriction than right now, and at this point, I am not even ashamed to admit it. A solution has to be found or else the big-blocker monkey men have won. It's going to become impossible to recommend to new people to use Bitcoin and explain the benefits of it. When the obvious question appears, how much does it cost to send a bitcoin transaction, you can throw all your decentralization and control of your money arguments out of the window.
If bitcoin will ever be intended to use on a global scale I have a hard time seeing how can Ordinals (and Runes now) contribute for the adoption. We are seeing unreal amount of transaction fees ever since the halving and this will likely continue for a while considering the novelty of Runes (and the persistent presence of Ordinals I guess). How can we convince people to use the network when they'll have to pay 12,042 sats/vB for their transactions? I wonder how satoshi would feel now seeing what is currently going on with the blockchain.

Perhaps I'm short sighted - I reckon I haven't read fully what Ordinals propose to do (and Rune) other than my suspicions that they want to bandwagon on Bitcoin ecosystem and try to create value in fungible tokens that they hope will get valuable over time - but I can't see how this implementation actually helps the network nor improves it.

Yesterday when I was watching the halving I though that it was expected to be high fees near the block #840.000 since some people would pay a premium to have their transactions on that block, but I never imagined that the fees alone would reach ~ 37.6 bitcoin[1].

[1]https://mempool.space/block/0000000000000000000320283a032748cef8227873ff4872689bf23f1cda83a5
sr. member
Activity: 1666
Merit: 310
Spammers literally pay 4 million dollars per hour now to create meaningless Bitcoin dust.
Hopefully, "a fool and his money are soon parted".
At $100 million per day, I don't think it's a fool. The fools are the people who fall for the Ordinal scam, but since this has been going on for a year, it must be big business. I even heard it on the radio recently, they were explaining that every first satoshi in every block is "special", and the first satoshi after the halving is even more "special". Whoever made this up to get rich is a genius. Evil, but a genius!
Reminds me of modern video game loot crap in RPGs (this loot is rare/purple, this one is common etc.)

Gamification has invaded BTC...
legendary
Activity: 2730
Merit: 7065
That's it. I declare Bitcoin broken at the moment Sad
I have never been more pro censorship or some type of restriction than right now, and at this point, I am not even ashamed to admit it. A solution has to be found or else the big-blocker monkey men have won. It's going to become impossible to recommend to new people to use Bitcoin and explain the benefits of it. When the obvious question appears, how much does it cost to send a bitcoin transaction, you can throw all your decentralization and control of your money arguments out of the window.
legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 7340
Farewell, Leo
At $100 million per day, I don't think it's a fool.
"You can fool all the people some of the time and some of the people all the time, but you cannot fool all the people all the time".

I am out of explanation, I don't understand why it worth for every ordinals users to pay such a ridiculously high transaction fees, is there demand really that high on ordinals?
You mean you can't tell?  Cheesy  Big yes.

Does anyone know why were ordinals trying to get their inscription in halving block? Does anyone cares about that too? Holy moly
Because, "halving sats" are more precious than "ordinary sats". Just as the very first Ordinal sat is deemed as rare, I think. It doesn't make any sense, but often times, people don't use their reasoning when buying and selling stuff. Probably why billions of dollars are gambled every month, or coins are thrown on fountains as wishes.

There can't be so many fools and fools don't have millions of dollars in their pockets. I have never met a fool that is willing to give me a dollar in nothing.
The altcoins market cap is about a trillion dollars. That's what you're looking for.
hero member
Activity: 882
Merit: 792
Watch Bitcoin Documentary - https://t.ly/v0Nim
These transaction fees give me an existential crisis, what a crazy world we live in.

This is the halving block: https://mempool.space/block/0000000000000000000320283a032748cef8227873ff4872689bf23f1cda83a5
Short info: 1 input, 1 output, paid fee - 6.7 BTC ($429,818), overpaid 18024x. Guess who paid this crazy fee? Ordinals guy. Every fee that ViaBTC lost because of their free transaction accelerator service, now is back in one block Cheesy They collected ‎37.626 BTC fees.

No one is going to remove ordinals, they are making money from it. Bitcoin failed as a P2P transaction method but it successfully send JPEG images. I am out of explanation, I don't understand why it worth for every ordinals users to pay such a ridiculously high transaction fees, is there demand really that high on ordinals? Once fees go down (if they'll ever), I'll try and start inscribing ordinals.

Does anyone know why were ordinals trying to get their inscription in halving block? Does anyone cares about that too? Holy moly


At $100 million per day, I don't think it's a fool. The fools are the people who fall for the Ordinal scam, but since this has been going on for a year, it must be big business. I even heard it on the radio recently, they were explaining that every first satoshi in every block is "special", and the first satoshi after the halving is even more "special". Whoever made this up to get rich is a genius. Evil, but a genius!
People don't know how to download Electrum wallet, how to create a wallet, how to save seeds, how to send coins, how to set correct fee and so on. Now I am confused, how is there such a high demand on ordinals? If they don't know such a basic things, how are these people able to inscribe ordinals and then buy it on auction. I think this process should be very confusing for many but it's the opposite.
@BlackHatCoiner There can't be so many fools and fools don't have millions of dollars in their pockets. I have never met a fool that is willing to give me a dollar in nothing. Actually, rich guys are too thrifty. I think that someone has to be too fool to pay a single cent in ordinals but at the same time, such a fool shouldn't really be able to buy ordinals because it might be too complicated process for them. I am really confused.
legendary
Activity: 3290
Merit: 16489
Thick-Skinned Gang Leader and Golden Feather 2021
Spammers literally pay 4 million dollars per hour now to create meaningless Bitcoin dust.
Hopefully, "a fool and his money are soon parted".
At $100 million per day, I don't think it's a fool. The fools are the people who fall for the Ordinal scam, but since this has been going on for a year, it must be big business. I even heard it on the radio recently, they were explaining that every first satoshi in every block is "special", and the first satoshi after the halving is even more "special". Whoever made this up to get rich is a genius. Evil, but a genius!
legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 7340
Farewell, Leo
Spammers literally pay 4 million dollars per hour now to create meaningless Bitcoin dust.
Hopefully, "a fool and his money are soon parted".
legendary
Activity: 3290
Merit: 16489
Thick-Skinned Gang Leader and Golden Feather 2021
That's it. I declare Bitcoin broken at the moment Sad
Bitcoin Core recommends 12.04268 mBTC/kvB (12,042 sats per vbyte) to be confirmed within 2 blocks.

You can see the block reward halving reflecting in the transaction fees:
Image loading...

Mempool Goggles shows what caused this:
Image loading...

Blocks now have a 3.125 BTC block reward and 10 BTC transaction fees. And as the above image shows: only a few percent is used by normal Bitcoin users with normal transactions. Spammers literally pay 4 million dollars per hour now to create meaningless Bitcoin dust.
legendary
Activity: 2730
Merit: 7065
Besides, it's less than 50% they're "losing". Earlier drops in Bitcoin price (around 80%) had a much larger effect on their earnings. Blocks will be fine.
And don't forget that they have been earning much more from transaction fees ever since the Ordinals spam began. And that is going to continue after the halving, plus with the added spam from RUNES. I do agree with NapHappy's logic that some older and unprofitable miners will be shut down. Let's just hope it won't have too big of an impact.

Still, I'll bet that the average fees for the 2 weeks post halving will be 50% higher than the average fees for the 2 weeks pre-halving.
The pre-halving fees have been pretty volatile lately as well. We have had periods where you needed 100 to 150 sat/vByte for a quick confirmation, but right now that's down to 60 sat/vByte.
jr. member
Activity: 44
Merit: 19
My logic is that
1. We will see a drop in the hash rate once the halving occurs due to mining being unprofitable for inefficient miners, this will lead to longer block times until the difficulty is adjusted 4 days later. Longer block times means people paying higher fees to get into the next block.
Miners must have already calculated in the drop in block reward. Some of them may turn off their older hardware at that point, but I don't expect a significant impact. Besides, it's less than 50% they're "losing". Earlier drops in Bitcoin price (around 80%) had a much larger effect on their earnings. Blocks will be fine.

I guess also the higher fees will mean less miners will turn off after the halving.

Still, I'll bet that the average fees for the 2 weeks post halving will be 50% higher than the average fees for the 2 weeks pre-halving.
legendary
Activity: 3290
Merit: 16489
Thick-Skinned Gang Leader and Golden Feather 2021
My logic is that
1. We will see a drop in the hash rate once the halving occurs due to mining being unprofitable for inefficient miners, this will lead to longer block times until the difficulty is adjusted 4 days later. Longer block times means people paying higher fees to get into the next block.
Miners must have already calculated in the drop in block reward. Some of them may turn off their older hardware at that point, but I don't expect a significant impact. Besides, it's less than 50% they're "losing". Earlier drops in Bitcoin price (around 80%) had a much larger effect on their earnings. Blocks will be fine.
jr. member
Activity: 44
Merit: 19
The days after the halving tomorrow and before the difficulty adjustment in about 5 days will be brutal for fees with the Runes added in. It will likely take some weeks after the difficulty adjustment for fees to settle out to a new normal.

Why?
First, the difficulty has nothing to do with the amount of spam those guys throw at the chain.
If you think that there will be a massive block slowdown that won't happen in 5 days either, because 2/3 of the period has passed, so even if we are going to see something like 20% down instantly it will only last 6 days out of which 4 are doing the weekend.
Costly, a big clog, maybe, but in no way brutal.

Plus I'm not even convinced about that 20%, we just had 4% up previously, and even right now we're 2% in the green with faster blocks,  as I said in the speculation topic, my bet is on at max 10% during the first adjustment.



My logic is that
1. We will see a drop in the hash rate once the halving occurs due to mining being unprofitable for inefficient miners, this will lead to longer block times until the difficulty is adjusted 4 days later. Longer block times means people paying higher fees to get into the next block.

2. At the same time, Runes come into play, also driving up the fees.

3. We are already in a high fee environment, this is just adding to it.

"Brutal" is a subjective term, I just see things getting even worse for a while due to the above.

I haven't been around long enough to understand the nuances of what will drive the difficulty up or down, but if BTC stays above $60k I agree that the difficulty drop won't be drastic.
legendary
Activity: 2912
Merit: 6403
Blackjack.fun
The days after the halving tomorrow and before the difficulty adjustment in about 5 days will be brutal for fees with the Runes added in. It will likely take some weeks after the difficulty adjustment for fees to settle out to a new normal.

Why?
First, the difficulty has nothing to do with the amount of spam those guys throw at the chain.
If you think that there will be a massive block slowdown that won't happen in 5 days either, because 2/3 of the period has passed, so even if we are going to see something like 20% down instantly it will only last 6 days out of which 4 are doing the weekend.
Costly, a big clog, maybe, but in no way brutal.

Plus I'm not even convinced about that 20%, we just had 4% up previously, and even right now we're 2% in the green with faster blocks,  as I said in the speculation topic, my bet is on at max 10% during the first adjustment.

However, in this case, I checked some of the inputs, and all of them were funded earlier this month. It makes me curious why someone would waste so much money this way.

Did the same, 14 out of 15 were funded 2 days prior and the only activity on those addresses was one funding tx.
So maybe a casino/cex/something collecting user deposits?
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