Date: 30-Nov-2017
BETI: 0.395
VWAP: 9715.31
x: 2,693
a: 0.003302
b: -0.106307
Rsq: 0.833345
Expected price: 6548.22
Actual price / expected price: 148.37%
BETI ATL price: 704.99
BETI ATH price: 42392.27
Expected date: 29-Mar-2018
# of days ahead: 119.46
Daily VWAP rank: 3
Next expected price: 6569.88
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330235996048805++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.106307240950967+%29
Topic: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis - page 17. (Read 110400 times)
December 01, 2017, 12:42:17 PM
November 30, 2017, 12:56:01 PM
Date: 29-Nov-2017
BETI: 0.464
VWAP: 10377.66
x: 2,692
a: 0.003302
b: -0.106013
Rsq: 0.833169
Expected price: 6522.80
Actual price / expected price: 159.10%
BETI ATL price: 702.26
BETI ATH price: 42227.74
Expected date: 18-Apr-2018
# of days ahead: 140.63
Daily VWAP rank: 1
Next expected price: 6544.38
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330203301013341++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.106013229445584+%29
BETI: 0.464
VWAP: 10377.66
x: 2,692
a: 0.003302
b: -0.106013
Rsq: 0.833169
Expected price: 6522.80
Actual price / expected price: 159.10%
BETI ATL price: 702.26
BETI ATH price: 42227.74
Expected date: 18-Apr-2018
# of days ahead: 140.63
Daily VWAP rank: 1
Next expected price: 6544.38
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330203301013341++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.106013229445584+%29
November 29, 2017, 05:34:03 AM
Where are we at? BETI = ln(10400/6500) = 0.47 based on the last trend analysis, I think.
yes, more or less
November 29, 2017, 05:33:31 AM
Date: 28-Nov-2017
BETI: 0.416
VWAP: 9852.65
x: 2,691
a: 0.003302
b: -0.105667
Rsq: 0.832990
Expected price: 6496.82
Actual price / expected price: 151.65%
BETI ATL price: 699.46
BETI ATH price: 42059.50
Expected date: 3-Apr-2018
# of days ahead: 126.13
Daily VWAP rank: 1
Next expected price: 6518.30
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330164789282104++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.105667039826323+%29
BETI: 0.416
VWAP: 9852.65
x: 2,691
a: 0.003302
b: -0.105667
Rsq: 0.832990
Expected price: 6496.82
Actual price / expected price: 151.65%
BETI ATL price: 699.46
BETI ATH price: 42059.50
Expected date: 3-Apr-2018
# of days ahead: 126.13
Daily VWAP rank: 1
Next expected price: 6518.30
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330164789282104++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.105667039826323+%29
November 29, 2017, 01:19:01 AM
Where are we at? BETI = ln(10400/6500) = 0.47 based on the last trend analysis, I think.
November 28, 2017, 06:14:44 AM
Date: 27-Nov-2017
BETI: 0.387
VWAP: 9527.87
x: 2,690
a: 0.003301
b: -0.105356
Rsq: 0.832812
Expected price: 6471.39
Actual price / expected price: 147.23%
BETI ATL price: 696.72
BETI ATH price: 41894.92
Expected date: 24-Mar-2018
# of days ahead: 117.17
Daily VWAP rank: 1
Next expected price: 6492.79
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330130226501782++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.105356463680917+%29
Some BETI value and price:
0.5 10669.52
1.0 17591.07
1.5 29002.77
BETI: 0.387
VWAP: 9527.87
x: 2,690
a: 0.003301
b: -0.105356
Rsq: 0.832812
Expected price: 6471.39
Actual price / expected price: 147.23%
BETI ATL price: 696.72
BETI ATH price: 41894.92
Expected date: 24-Mar-2018
# of days ahead: 117.17
Daily VWAP rank: 1
Next expected price: 6492.79
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330130226501782++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.105356463680917+%29
Some BETI value and price:
0.5 10669.52
1.0 17591.07
1.5 29002.77
Thanks again dude!
November 27, 2017, 10:37:15 PM
Date: 27-Nov-2017
BETI: 0.387
VWAP: 9527.87
x: 2,690
a: 0.003301
b: -0.105356
Rsq: 0.832812
Expected price: 6471.39
Actual price / expected price: 147.23%
BETI ATL price: 696.72
BETI ATH price: 41894.92
Expected date: 24-Mar-2018
# of days ahead: 117.17
Daily VWAP rank: 1
Next expected price: 6492.79
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330130226501782++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.105356463680917+%29
Some BETI value and price:
0.5 10669.52
1.0 17591.07
1.5 29002.77
BETI: 0.387
VWAP: 9527.87
x: 2,690
a: 0.003301
b: -0.105356
Rsq: 0.832812
Expected price: 6471.39
Actual price / expected price: 147.23%
BETI ATL price: 696.72
BETI ATH price: 41894.92
Expected date: 24-Mar-2018
# of days ahead: 117.17
Daily VWAP rank: 1
Next expected price: 6492.79
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330130226501782++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.105356463680917+%29
Some BETI value and price:
0.5 10669.52
1.0 17591.07
1.5 29002.77
November 27, 2017, 12:19:26 PM
Date: 26-Nov-2017
BETI: 0.337
VWAP: 9027.85
x: 2,689
a: 0.003301
b: -0.105068
Rsq: 0.832636
Expected price: 6446.35
Actual price / expected price: 140.05%
BETI ATL price: 694.03
BETI ATH price: 41732.82
Expected date: 8-Mar-2018
# of days ahead: 102.03
Daily VWAP rank: 1
Next expected price: 6467.67
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330098096513097++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.105067855682939+%29
BETI: 0.337
VWAP: 9027.85
x: 2,689
a: 0.003301
b: -0.105068
Rsq: 0.832636
Expected price: 6446.35
Actual price / expected price: 140.05%
BETI ATL price: 694.03
BETI ATH price: 41732.82
Expected date: 8-Mar-2018
# of days ahead: 102.03
Daily VWAP rank: 1
Next expected price: 6467.67
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330098096513097++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.105067855682939+%29
November 27, 2017, 03:40:47 AM
This is not my chart, but its a brilliant one imho.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/YRZvdurN-The-target-of-current-bubble-lays-between-40k-and-110k/
Yep.
Pretty much bitcoin's Manifest Destiny...sometimes I feel like I am in a dream with all these predictions coming to life.
November 27, 2017, 02:46:17 AM
I think you will have plenty of time to sell. The local top is hard to predict at the moment, but I will be looking at $15-25k, than a 50% retracement, then $90-100k+ target. The retracement might bring us back to 0 BETI or below.
I would like to know, how do you establish the sales targets in that price range? By technical indicators? or, sell small fractions in different objectives?
I am very grateful for the information that is shared here.
This is not my chart, but its a brilliant one imho.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/YRZvdurN-The-target-of-current-bubble-lays-between-40k-and-110k/
November 27, 2017, 02:36:27 AM
This is an excellent thread - thank you very much for your kindnes to share your insight with everyone!
November 26, 2017, 10:39:07 AM
I think you will have plenty of time to sell. The local top is hard to predict at the moment, but I will be looking at $15-25k, than a 50% retracement, then $90-100k+ target. The retracement might bring us back to 0 BETI or below.
I would like to know, how do you establish the sales targets in that price range? By technical indicators? or, sell small fractions in different objectives?
I am very grateful for the information that is shared here.
November 26, 2017, 03:05:15 AM
If you like this thread, please donate to 374iXxS4BuqFHsEwwxUuH3nvJ69Y7Hqur3 (bitcoin ONLY) or LRDGENPLYrcTRssGoZrsCT1hngaH3BVkM4 (LTC)
November 26, 2017, 02:54:39 AM
Date: 25-Nov-2017
BETI: 0.269
VWAP: 8407.83
x: 2,688
a: 0.003301
b: -0.104816
Rsq: 0.832461
Expected price: 6421.89
Actual price / expected price: 130.92%
BETI ATL price: 691.39
BETI ATH price: 41574.44
Expected date: 14-Feb-2018
# of days ahead: 81.63
Daily VWAP rank: 1
Next expected price: 6443.12
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330070101170544++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.104816480800785+%29
BETI: 0.269
VWAP: 8407.83
x: 2,688
a: 0.003301
b: -0.104816
Rsq: 0.832461
Expected price: 6421.89
Actual price / expected price: 130.92%
BETI ATL price: 691.39
BETI ATH price: 41574.44
Expected date: 14-Feb-2018
# of days ahead: 81.63
Daily VWAP rank: 1
Next expected price: 6443.12
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330070101170544++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.104816480800785+%29
November 26, 2017, 01:33:54 AM
I think you will have plenty of time to sell. The local top is hard to predict at the moment, but I will be looking at $15-25k, than a 50% retracement, then $90-100k+ target. The retracement might bring us back to 0 BETI or below.
These numbers are almost exactly the same as masterluc's (fits both the first top, the bottom and the second peak).
There must be something in the air
[...]
I'm ready for this scenario.
November 25, 2017, 08:30:48 PM
I think you will have plenty of time to sell. The local top is hard to predict at the moment, but I will be looking at $15-25k, than a 50% retracement, then $90-100k+ target. The retracement might bring us back to 0 BETI or below.
These numbers are almost exactly the same as masterluc's (fits both the first top, the bottom and the second peak).
There must be something in the air
I am almost ready for BETI 1.5+/- 0.3 peak for a bit of trading, which I rarely do these days.
What price point is BETI 1 currently?
easy to calculate, if I have the right assumption.
BETI=0 is $6419 (on Nov 26)
therefore, BETI 1.0=e^1X6419=$17,449
November 25, 2017, 07:32:45 PM
What price point is BETI 1 currently?
November 25, 2017, 07:04:14 PM
The order book is pretty thin above $10k. Everyone expects it to bounce off $10k, which suggests the honey badger will do the opposite. This would also match a spike to a BETI between 0.5 and 1 within a few weeks. We might be in for quite a show.
November 25, 2017, 05:43:32 PM
The last few weeks I've been watching this and wondering if the price was going above a BETI of 0 'with conviction.' What I mean is, it's gone above it before without actually going vertical. It looks like maybe 3 or 4 times historically just by looking at the rough chart and not zooming in too closely. So I've been waiting for it to go above .25, as it looks like very time it has gone above that point, it went vertical in the pattern we are familiar with.
Well, it just went above .25 today assuming it holds, of course.
Will it 'be different this time'? If it isn't different, then the question is, how far above 0 does it go? 1.5 or more starts to become a wild number. And, of course, when it comes down again (and it always does), what is our new floor? Anyone good with the math here care to come up with some average numbers for potential bottoms and floors?
Well, it just went above .25 today assuming it holds, of course.
Will it 'be different this time'? If it isn't different, then the question is, how far above 0 does it go? 1.5 or more starts to become a wild number. And, of course, when it comes down again (and it always does), what is our new floor? Anyone good with the math here care to come up with some average numbers for potential bottoms and floors?
Its going to go up slower this time.
I've seen your earlier predictions and I don't disagree. I'm trying to come up with a plan for how to play it. I'm a HODLer at heart, so trying to sell my whole stash at the top and buy back lower isn't on my list of things to do. But trying that with some portion of it maybe. So I'd like to find some sell and buyback points.
I think you will have plenty of time to sell. The local top is hard to predict at the moment, but I will be looking at $15-25k, than a 50% retracement, then $90-100k+ target. The retracement might bring us back to 0 BETI or below.
November 25, 2017, 05:32:21 PM
The last few weeks I've been watching this and wondering if the price was going above a BETI of 0 'with conviction.' What I mean is, it's gone above it before without actually going vertical. It looks like maybe 3 or 4 times historically just by looking at the rough chart and not zooming in too closely. So I've been waiting for it to go above .25, as it looks like very time it has gone above that point, it went vertical in the pattern we are familiar with.
Well, it just went above .25 today assuming it holds, of course.
Will it 'be different this time'? If it isn't different, then the question is, how far above 0 does it go? 1.5 or more starts to become a wild number. And, of course, when it comes down again (and it always does), what is our new floor? Anyone good with the math here care to come up with some average numbers for potential bottoms and floors?
Well, it just went above .25 today assuming it holds, of course.
Will it 'be different this time'? If it isn't different, then the question is, how far above 0 does it go? 1.5 or more starts to become a wild number. And, of course, when it comes down again (and it always does), what is our new floor? Anyone good with the math here care to come up with some average numbers for potential bottoms and floors?
Its going to go up slower this time.
I've seen your earlier predictions and I don't disagree. I'm trying to come up with a plan for how to play it. I'm a HODLer at heart, so trying to sell my whole stash at the top and buy back lower isn't on my list of things to do. But trying that with some portion of it maybe. So I'd like to find some sell and buyback points.
Scroll back through this thread and you can see a reasonable plan is to scale out and be in cash before BETI reaches 1.5. Use 1.0 if you prefer. Up to you if you want to go to cash or good alts which might hold value during a bear market. There will be a bitcoin bear market sooner or later. Only you can determine how much pain you can handle if you want to continue to hold through a one to two year bear market. Bitcoin price could well drop to $2000. Me? I am going to be in cash and go bargain hunting.
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