BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis - page 15.

btcone111

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Quote from: Biodom on December 11, 2017, 01:34:59 PM

Quote from: wobbzz on December 11, 2017, 12:55:00 PM

jl2012 could you do a quote like this for what 0.5 - 2.5 would be around August 9th 2018? I'm curious how it lines up if this fractal plays out from mid 2012 - 2014:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/YRZvdurN-The-target-of-current-bubble-lays-between-40k-and-110k/

not jl, but looking at the graphs it is clear that anything between 0 and 2 is a very short living spike as it is supra-exponential.
In all likelihood by the summer of 2018 the graph would be below zero (or fluctuating around it).

Looks like historically spikes could be lasting for around 2 quarters....
Think we have used up one quarter already.... Scary times.

Biodom

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Quote from: wobbzz on December 11, 2017, 12:55:00 PM

jl2012 could you do a quote like this for what 0.5 - 2.5 would be around August 9th 2018? I'm curious how it lines up if this fractal plays out from mid 2012 - 2014:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/YRZvdurN-The-target-of-current-bubble-lays-between-40k-and-110k/

not jl, but looking at the graphs it is clear that anything between 0 and 2 is a very short living spike as it is supra-exponential.
In all likelihood by the summer of 2018 the graph would be below zero (or fluctuating around it).

wobbzz

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Activity: 135

Merit: 100

Quote from: jl2012 on December 11, 2017, 05:44:00 AM

Date:   10-Dec-2017
BETI:   0.734
VWAP:   14233.61


0.5   11263.50
1.0   18570.36
1.5   30617.35
2.0   50479.48
2.5   83226.60

jl2012 could you do a quote like this for what 0.5 - 2.5 would be around August 9th 2018? I'm curious how it lines up if this fractal plays out from mid 2012 - 2014:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/YRZvdurN-The-target-of-current-bubble-lays-between-40k-and-110k/

neilol-real

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Quote from: criptix on December 07, 2017, 11:18:35 PM

im holding my breath until 35k - after that i gonna short like a mofo. Grin

Profit take? Yes. Short? Are you insane?!

jl2012

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Date:   10-Dec-2017
BETI:   0.734
VWAP:   14233.61
x:   2,703
a:   0.003308
b:   -0.110985
Rsq:   0.835154
Expected price:   6831.66
Actual price / expected price:   208.35%
BETI ATL price:   735.51
BETI ATH price:   44227.20
Expected date:   19-Jul-2018
# of days ahead:   221.93
Daily VWAP rank:   4
Next expected price:   6854.29




Real-time expected (BETI 0) price   https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+(+0.00330754969717765++(+number+of+seconds+since+jul+17,+2010+12pm+UTC%2F86400%2Fseconds+)+-0.110984575379508+)
Real-time BETI   https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=ln(BTC%2FUSD)-(+0.00330754969717765++(+number+of+seconds+since+jul+17,+2010+12pm+UTC%2F86400%2Fseconds+)+-0.110984575379508+)



0.5   11263.50
1.0   18570.36
1.5   30617.35
2.0   50479.48
2.5   83226.60

redmeat

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Update? looks like next btc leg up

jl2012

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Quote from: redmeat on December 08, 2017, 09:34:27 PM

Can i see the data somewhere, how many days we were ahead of trend in previous bubbles? this could be an could indicator aswell.

jl2012

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Merit: 1111

Date:   8-Dec-2017
BETI:   0.814
VWAP:   15285.20
x:   2,701
a:   0.003306
b:   -0.109882
Rsq:   0.834790
Expected price:   6771.72
Actual price / expected price:   225.72%
BETI ATL price:   729.06
BETI ATH price:   43839.18
Expected date:   11-Aug-2018
# of days ahead:   246.23
Daily VWAP rank:   1
Next expected price:   6794.15




Real-time expected (BETI 0) price   https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+(+0.00330632819933669++(+number+of+seconds+since+jul+17,+2010+12pm+UTC%2F86400%2Fseconds+)+-0.109882260466145+)
Real-time BETI   https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=ln(BTC%2FUSD)-(+0.00330632819933669++(+number+of+seconds+since+jul+17,+2010+12pm+UTC%2F86400%2Fseconds+)+-0.109882260466145+)



0.5   11164.68
1.0   18407.44
1.5   30348.74
2.0   50036.61
2.5   82496.42

redmeat

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Can i see the data somewhere, how many days we were ahead of trend in previous bubbles? this could be an could indicator aswell.

Biodom

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Fascinating...I am trying to come up with a trading plan for some amount, but too many possibilities plus externalities (futures, etc.).

explorer

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Quote from: criptix on December 07, 2017, 11:18:35 PM

im holding my breath until 35k - after that i gonna short like a mofo. Grin

All the way to 70k?

MNDan

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Merit: 101

I'm surprised how far out that expected date is.

criptix

legendary

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im holding my breath until 35k - after that i gonna short like a mofo. Grin

jl2012

legendary

Activity: 1792

Merit: 1111

BETI is going up vertically, and 1-1.5 seems possible

Since the thread was started in Feb 2014, this is the first time that the model is tested in a bubble. In 2015 it has been tested in a deer bear market and worked very well

jl2012

legendary

Activity: 1792

Merit: 1111

Date:   7-Dec-2017
BETI:   0.789
VWAP:   14840.19
x:   2,700
a:   0.003306
b:   -0.109277
Rsq:   0.834606
Expected price:   6741.23
Actual price / expected price:   220.14%
BETI ATL price:   725.78
BETI ATH price:   43641.81
Expected date:   2-Aug-2018
# of days ahead:   238.71
Daily VWAP rank:   1
Next expected price:   6763.55




Real-time expected (BETI 0) price   https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+(+0.00330565747461043++(+number+of+seconds+since+jul+17,+2010+12pm+UTC%2F86400%2Fseconds+)+-0.109277314242136+)

Real-time BETI   https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=ln(BTC%2FUSD)-(+0.00330565747461043++(+number+of+seconds+since+jul+17,+2010+12pm+UTC%2F86400%2Fseconds+)+-0.109277314242136+)



0.5   11114.41
1.0   18324.57
1.5   30212.10
2.0   49811.34
2.5   82125.01

birr

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Activity: 870

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Ironically, Bitcoin isn't going to wipe anybody out. It will simple cleanse their consciences so that the cupidity and hypocrisy they have historically exhibited will fall away, and they will be reborn.
Some people don't want to leave the old, dark ways behind and emerge into light.
The brightness of a thousand suns, indeed.

btcbeliever

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Activity: 232

Merit: 29

Quote from: DieJohnny on December 07, 2017, 11:07:42 AM

There will have to be some news that will shock the market negatively or Bitcoin will be at 100k in a month or so. Whatever the FED does it will be simply to stall the market long enough for them to buy their own position, similar to the JP Morgan Chase fraud.

Soon the world markets will be settled in bitcoin.

For those on this forum Bitcoin has been charging forward mightily in the brightness of a thousand suns

However, for the world markets and the old school bankers, Bitcoin is a black swan that is about to destroy the delusions of an entire planet.

How poetically written! And how amazing the times we are living in! GO BITCOIN, WIPE OUT THE CRIMINAL BANKERS!

Biodom

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First serious dip occured almost exactly at BETI=1.0 ($18462 on Coinbase)
Someone is reading this thread...
Easy...the ferocity of the overall parabolic move suggests higher BETI numbers.
1.5-2.5 is not out of the question.

DieJohnny

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Quote from: marcus_of_augustus on December 06, 2017, 06:00:33 PM

Quote from: Biodom on December 06, 2017, 12:31:00 PM

Second piece: Novogratz suggested in an interview that Fed might become nervous if we rapidly approach 25K. Not sure how they would transmit this into possible action.

... FED getting nervous means they MUST seriously consider buying bitcoin for their reserves ... or go full retard financial facist attack.

Put simply, the FED FOMO event begins at $25k.

There will have to be some news that will shock the market negatively or Bitcoin will be at 100k in a month or so. Whatever the FED does it will be simply to stall the market long enough for them to buy their own position, similar to the JP Morgan Chase fraud.

Soon the world markets will be settled in bitcoin.

For those on this forum.... Bitcoin has been charging forward mightily.. in the brightness of a thousand suns

However, for the world markets and the old school bankers, Bitcoin is a black swan that is about to destroy the delusions of an entire planet.

jl2012

legendary

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Quote from: Wekkel on December 07, 2017, 01:26:49 AM

Perhaps also put up an IOTA address for micro donations.

Thanks but I think Litecoin is enough to serve the purpose of micro donations, and I'm not very interested in more altcoins

Topic: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis - page 15. (Read 110414 times)