BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis - page 16.

RyNinDaCleM

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Legen -wait for it- dary

Quote from: jl2012 on December 07, 2017, 01:25:12 AM

Quote from: RyNinDaCleM on December 07, 2017, 12:19:45 AM

Quote from: jl2012 on December 06, 2017, 11:44:52 PM

Starting today I will provide a link to the real-time BETI, calculated with the latest BETI regression parameters and real-time bitcoin price

https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=ln(BTC%2FUSD)-(+0.0033050068929633++(+number+of+seconds+since+jul+17,+2010+12pm+UTC%2F86400%2Fseconds+)+-0.108690753180674+)

Please consider to donate if you like this service:

374iXxS4BuqFHsEwwxUuH3nvJ69Y7Hqur3 (Bitcoin ONLY. This is a segwit address)
LRDGENPLYrcTRssGoZrsCT1hngaH3BVkM4 (LTC)

(booking this link is not very useful because the regression parameters change every day)

Is there no way to automate this and serve it up on a site with the real-time chart and all infos you provide?

It'd take hours to do that and I had time I'd rather spending on dev of Bitcoin Core

Fair enough! But the time you've spent over the last three years to keep this thread up to date, too... Wink

It's cool, I was just wondering if it was something you even desired to do or if this part is more fun for you to just post it manually. Carry on! I won't get in the way anymore.

TERA2

full member

Activity: 266

Merit: 222

Deb Rah Von Doom

[ 11,000 was passed so therefore it must hit 49,000 and in 2 years it will be 1 million ] ... can you pass whatever youre smoking

Wekkel

legendary

Activity: 3122

Merit: 1538

yes

Perhaps also put up an IOTA address for micro donations.

jl2012

legendary

Activity: 1792

Merit: 1111

Quote from: RyNinDaCleM on December 07, 2017, 12:19:45 AM

Quote from: jl2012 on December 06, 2017, 11:44:52 PM

Starting today I will provide a link to the real-time BETI, calculated with the latest BETI regression parameters and real-time bitcoin price

https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=ln(BTC%2FUSD)-(+0.0033050068929633++(+number+of+seconds+since+jul+17,+2010+12pm+UTC%2F86400%2Fseconds+)+-0.108690753180674+)

Please consider to donate if you like this service:

374iXxS4BuqFHsEwwxUuH3nvJ69Y7Hqur3 (Bitcoin ONLY. This is a segwit address)
LRDGENPLYrcTRssGoZrsCT1hngaH3BVkM4 (LTC)

(booking this link is not very useful because the regression parameters change every day)

Is there no way to automate this and serve it up on a site with the real-time chart and all infos you provide?

It'd take hours to do that and I had time I'd rather spending on dev of Bitcoin Core

RyNinDaCleM

legendary

Activity: 2408

Merit: 1009

Legen -wait for it- dary

Quote from: jl2012 on December 06, 2017, 11:44:52 PM

Starting today I will provide a link to the real-time BETI, calculated with the latest BETI regression parameters and real-time bitcoin price

https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=ln(BTC%2FUSD)-(+0.0033050068929633++(+number+of+seconds+since+jul+17,+2010+12pm+UTC%2F86400%2Fseconds+)+-0.108690753180674+)

Please consider to donate if you like this service:

374iXxS4BuqFHsEwwxUuH3nvJ69Y7Hqur3 (Bitcoin ONLY. This is a segwit address)
LRDGENPLYrcTRssGoZrsCT1hngaH3BVkM4 (LTC)

(booking this link is not very useful because the regression parameters change every day)

Is there no way to automate this and serve it up on a site with the real-time chart and all infos you provide?

jl2012

legendary

Activity: 1792

Merit: 1111

Starting today I will provide a link to the real-time BETI, calculated with the latest BETI regression parameters and real-time bitcoin price

https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=ln(BTC%2FUSD)-(+0.0033050068929633++(+number+of+seconds+since+jul+17,+2010+12pm+UTC%2F86400%2Fseconds+)+-0.108690753180674+)

Please consider to donate if you like this service:

374iXxS4BuqFHsEwwxUuH3nvJ69Y7Hqur3 (Bitcoin ONLY. This is a segwit address)
LRDGENPLYrcTRssGoZrsCT1hngaH3BVkM4 (LTC)

(bookmarking this link is not very useful because the regression parameters change every day)

jl2012

legendary

Activity: 1792

Merit: 1111

Date:   6-Dec-2017
BETI:   0.635
VWAP:   12664.26
x:   2,699
a:   0.003305
b:   -0.108691
Rsq:   0.834423
Expected price:   6711.13
Actual price / expected price:   188.71%
BETI ATL price:   722.53
BETI ATH price:   43446.95
Expected date:   16-Jun-2018
# of days ahead:   192.14
Daily VWAP rank:   1
Next expected price:   6733.35




https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.0033050068929633++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.108690753180674+%29




0.5   11064.79
1.0   18242.75
1.5   30077.20
2.0   49588.93
2.5   81758.32

marcus_of_augustus

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Eadem mutata resurgo

Quote from: Biodom on December 06, 2017, 12:31:00 PM

Second piece: Novogratz suggested in an interview that Fed might become nervous if we rapidly approach 25K. Not sure how they would transmit this into possible action.

... FED getting nervous means they MUST seriously consider buying bitcoin for their reserves ... or go full retard financial facist attack.

Put simply, the FED FOMO event begins at $25k.

neilol-real

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Quote from: btc4lifer on December 06, 2017, 08:50:15 AM

Quote from: DieJohnny on December 06, 2017, 05:31:19 AM

What is BETI 2.5?

Conclusion, possibly 50k+ in 4 weeks, that leaves two full years to have an adjustment and then get to $1 million.

You mean something like this? Wink

I’m expecting something similar, but man when you actually draw it out...insanity

Biodom

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Quote from: btc4lifer on December 06, 2017, 08:50:15 AM

Quote from: DieJohnny on December 06, 2017, 05:31:19 AM

What is BETI 2.5?

Conclusion, possibly 50k+ in 4 weeks, that leaves two full years to have an adjustment and then get to $1 million.

You mean something like this? Wink

https://www.tradingview.com/x/EKyArDRE/

yeah!
replying just to show a link because the post is too low res, but linky can be zoomed in Wink

Biodom

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Quote from: DieJohnny on December 06, 2017, 05:31:19 AM

Quote from: jl2012 on December 06, 2017, 12:14:47 AM

0.5   11017.90
1.0   18165.45
1.5   29949.76
2.0   49378.80

1. have never passed .5 and not then reached 1.5 in 3 previous bubbles.

not entirely true, see that wiggle in 2011 (went to 0.55-0.57), then back down (temporarily) to zero, but only the last two 'bubbles' might be really relevant, I agree.

A corroborating piece: masterluc redid his graphs, which now predict this runup as a "3" with potential high of 50-70k (later correcting to 10-11K).
I can live with $50-70K high Grin

Second piece: Novogratz suggested in an interview that Fed might become nervous if we rapidly approach 25K. Not sure how they would transmit this into possible action.

btc4lifer

newbie

Activity: 57

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Quote from: DieJohnny on December 06, 2017, 05:31:19 AM

What is BETI 2.5?

Conclusion, possibly 50k+ in 4 weeks, that leaves two full years to have an adjustment and then get to $1 million.

You mean something like this? Wink

https://www.tradingview.com/x/EKyArDRE/

600watt

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Quote from: Wekkel on December 06, 2017, 07:09:25 AM

Quote from: 600watt on December 06, 2017, 05:57:47 AM

so, only $18000 this time?

That has been said before. But looking at where we are, the lack of hype in the Wall Observer thread (only this day it is heating up again a little), the massive increases in Bitcoin-infrastructure since 2013 (e.g., no more Gox) and Bitcoin/crypto awareness (IOTA front page !!), it would be strange for Bitcoin to suddenly lose steam at $18,000 without some kind of 'peak-event'. To the contrary, I deem the scenario that BETI may set a record this time, exceeding 2.5, a lot more feasible.

confirmed!

i am going to print "I believe in BETI 2.5" t-shirts

"BETI 2.5 = MOON"

Wink

Wekkel

legendary

Activity: 3122

Merit: 1538

yes

Quote from: 600watt on December 06, 2017, 05:57:47 AM

so, only $18000 this time?

That has been said before. But looking at where we are, the lack of hype in the Wall Observer thread (only this day it is heating up again a little), the massive increases in Bitcoin-infrastructure since 2013 (e.g., no more Gox) and Bitcoin/crypto awareness (IOTA front page !!), it would be strange for Bitcoin to suddenly lose steam at $18,000 without some kind of 'peak-event'. To the contrary, I deem the scenario that BETI may set a record this time, exceeding 2.5, a lot more feasible.

600watt

legendary

Activity: 2338

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Quote from: Denker on December 06, 2017, 05:50:45 AM

Quote from: DieJohnny on December 06, 2017, 05:31:19 AM

Quote from: jl2012 on December 06, 2017, 12:14:47 AM

0.5   11017.90
1.0   18165.45
1.5   29949.76
2.0   49378.80

1. have never passed .5 and not then reached 1.5 in 3 previous bubbles.
2. Move from .5 to 1.5 takes about 3-4 weeks.
3. This time no mt gox event, 100 times more on ramps into bitcoin, so expectations of exceeding highest BETI are high.

What is BETI 2.5?

Conclusion, possibly 50k+ in 4 weeks, that leaves two full years to have an adjustment and then get to $1 million.

Good points.
We may see a BETI we've never witnessed before I agree with that.
However it may be smart to start selling a bit (if you want to take profits) on those lower BETI levels like 1.0 and 1.5 as trying to get out at the top will almost be impossible. Expect DDOS and exchange overload. Bitfinex is already having issues with that. Kraken we know is always a mess. And Bitstamp and GDAX also aren't the most stable exchanges in times of extremely high trading traffic.

isn´t beti overall in a slight general downtrend? I mean if you connect the tops... it indicates the coming beti top to spike around 1.0-1.1

so, only $18000 this time? what a fraud. Cry

Denker

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Quote from: DieJohnny on December 06, 2017, 05:31:19 AM

Quote from: jl2012 on December 06, 2017, 12:14:47 AM

0.5   11017.90
1.0   18165.45
1.5   29949.76
2.0   49378.80

1. have never passed .5 and not then reached 1.5 in 3 previous bubbles.
2. Move from .5 to 1.5 takes about 3-4 weeks.
3. This time no mt gox event, 100 times more on ramps into bitcoin, so expectations of exceeding highest BETI are high.

What is BETI 2.5?

Conclusion, possibly 50k+ in 4 weeks, that leaves two full years to have an adjustment and then get to $1 million.

Good points.
We may see a BETI we've never witnessed before I agree with that.
However it may be smart to start selling a bit (if you want to take profits) on those lower BETI levels like 1.0 and 1.5 as trying to get out at the top will almost be impossible. Expect DDOS and exchange overload. Bitfinex is already having issues with that. Kraken we know is always a mess. And Bitstamp and GDAX also aren't the most stable exchanges in times of extremely high trading traffic.

DieJohnny

legendary

Activity: 1639

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Quote from: jl2012 on December 06, 2017, 12:14:47 AM

0.5   11017.90
1.0   18165.45
1.5   29949.76
2.0   49378.80

1. have never passed .5 and not then reached 1.5 in 3 previous bubbles.
2. Move from .5 to 1.5 takes about 3-4 weeks.
3. This time no mt gox event, 100 times more on ramps into bitcoin, so expectations of exceeding highest BETI are high.

What is BETI 2.5?

Conclusion, possibly 50k+ in 4 weeks, that leaves two full years to have an adjustment and then get to $1 million.

jl2012

legendary

Activity: 1792

Merit: 1111

Date:   5-Dec-2017
BETI:   0.556
VWAP:   11652.19
x:   2,698
a:   0.003304
b:   -0.108219
Rsq:   0.834241
Expected price:   6682.69
Actual price / expected price:   174.36%
BETI ATL price:   719.47
BETI ATH price:   43262.85
Expected date:   22-May-2018
# of days ahead:   168.25
Daily VWAP rank:   1
Next expected price:   6704.81




https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330448295705589++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.108218550451387+%29




0.5   11017.90
1.0   18165.45
1.5   29949.76
2.0   49378.80

600watt

legendary

Activity: 2338

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Quote from: ssmc2 on December 01, 2017, 01:13:18 PM

Thanks for all of this jl2012. Is there any possibility of an updated graph like the one from your very first post of this thread?

he already did it on this page. scroll up.

ssmc2

legendary

Activity: 2002

Merit: 1040

Thanks for all of this jl2012. Is there any possibility of an updated graph like the one from your very first post of this thread?

Topic: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis - page 16. (Read 110414 times)