BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis - page 23.

dieselapa

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Quote from: vit05 on September 05, 2017, 11:20:56 PM

Actual price / expected price: 98.41%
Actual price / expected price: 92.60%
Actual price / expected price: 85.60%

I know China have had a great part on that, but it couldn't be only coincidence.

What do you mean, what would be the reason then?

vit05

hero member

Activity: 672

Merit: 526

Actual price / expected price: 98.41%
Actual price / expected price: 92.60%
Actual price / expected price: 85.60%

I know China have had a great part on that, but it couldn't be only coincidence.

jl2012

legendary

Activity: 1792

Merit: 1111

jl2012

legendary

Activity: 1792

Merit: 1111

Date:    5-Sep-2017
BETI:   -0.155
VWAP:    4234.99
x:    2607
a:    0.00330
b:    -0.10802
Rsq:    0.81975
The day's expected price:    4947.48
Actual price / expected price:   85.60%
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low   532.66
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high   32029.32
Predicted date for today's price:    19-Jul-2017
Days ahead:    -47.06
Daily price rank:    13


(See OP for explanation)



https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330443273942119++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.108022324800932+%29

jl2012

legendary

Activity: 1792

Merit: 1111

0 BETI and ~$5000 seem to be an important resistance

jl2012

legendary

Activity: 1792

Merit: 1111

Date:    3-Sep-2017
BETI:   -0.077
VWAP:    4553.45
x:    2605
a:    0.00330
b:    -0.10825
Rsq:    0.81943
The day's expected price:    4917.10
Actual price / expected price:   92.60%
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low   529.39
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high   31832.63
Predicted date for today's price:    10-Aug-2017
Days ahead:    -23.25
Daily price rank:    5


(See OP for explanation)



https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330469168980936++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.108247699327808+%29

cheech300

sr. member

Activity: 330

Merit: 252

NEIN, ICH BIN DER BITCOIN!

Quote from: jl2012 on September 01, 2017, 08:45:11 PM

If the price remains stable at this point, we will have the first positive BETI in more than 3 years

Date:    1-Sep-2017
BETI:   -0.016
VWAP:    4808.17
x:    2603
a:    0.00330
b:    -0.10834
Rsq:    0.81910
The day's expected price:    4885.63
Actual price / expected price:   98.41%
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low   526.00
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high   31628.89
Predicted date for today's price:    27-Aug-2017
Days ahead:    -4.84
Daily price rank:    1


(See OP for explanation)



https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330480030412776++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.108342161383926+%29

Oh boy, i´m glad my brother showed me your thread.... the first 0 BTI since years.... fasten your seatbelts, getting some Popcorn... lets go!

jl2012

legendary

Activity: 1792

Merit: 1111

If the price remains stable at this point, we will have the first positive BETI in more than 3 years

Date:    1-Sep-2017
BETI:   -0.016
VWAP:    4808.17
x:    2603
a:    0.00330
b:    -0.10834
Rsq:    0.81910
The day's expected price:    4885.63
Actual price / expected price:   98.41%
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low   526.00
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high   31628.89
Predicted date for today's price:    27-Aug-2017
Days ahead:    -4.84
Daily price rank:    1


(See OP for explanation)



https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330480030412776++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.108342161383926+%29

600watt

legendary

Activity: 2338

Merit: 2106

Quote from: jl2012 on September 01, 2017, 04:22:44 PM

The spot price has been above 0 BETI. Need 24hr average to confirm

I got goose bumps, when I read this. i find the BETI concept convincing.

fantastic work jl2012, ty!

jl2012

legendary

Activity: 1792

Merit: 1111

The spot price has been above 0 BETI. Need 24hr average to confirm

jl2012

legendary

Activity: 1792

Merit: 1111

Quote from: Wekkel on September 01, 2017, 08:33:07 AM

Apologies if already asked before but can Wolfram Alpha also render the historical chart of this indicator?

No, it's far too complicated

Wekkel

legendary

Activity: 3122

Merit: 1538

yes

Apologies if already asked before but can Wolfram Alpha also render the historical chart of this indicator?

jl2012

legendary

Activity: 1792

Merit: 1111

If the trend remains, we will see 0 BETI in 2-3 days

Date:    31-Aug-2017
BETI:   -0.039
VWAP:    4682.34
x:    2602
a:    0.00330
b:    -0.10835
Rsq:    0.81893
The day's expected price:    4869.63
Actual price / expected price:   96.15%
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low   524.27
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high   31525.31
Predicted date for today's price:    19-Aug-2017
Days ahead:    -11.87
Daily price rank:    1


(See OP for explanation)



https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330481447945013++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.108354481974801+%29

600watt

legendary

Activity: 2338

Merit: 2106

Quote from: DieJohnny on September 01, 2017, 05:31:16 AM

Quote from: jl2012 on August 12, 2017, 10:54:53 PM

Quote from: statdude on August 12, 2017, 12:23:19 PM

this is interesting... so just using an exponential trend, basically?

yes, but the regression is done everyday only using the data available at that day

We had a big jump in BETI yesterday. It's now over -0.2. As of writing the price is $4080. I think it's very possible to see 0 BETI

BETI for some psychological resistance:

5000 0.085905352
7500 0.49137046
10000 0.779052532
15000 1.18451764
20000 1.472199713
25000 1.695343264

If we break above zero BETI, I say we get to 10k pretty quick, then a correction before jumping to 25k. I don't see what stops this trend right now until we break BETI ATH.... which would be what 45k by now?

this will be epic. all the best for all of you. keep calm and hodl. stay humble. enjoy.

DieJohnny

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Activity: 1639

Merit: 1006

Quote from: jl2012 on August 12, 2017, 10:54:53 PM

Quote from: statdude on August 12, 2017, 12:23:19 PM

this is interesting... so just using an exponential trend, basically?

yes, but the regression is done everyday only using the data available at that day

We had a big jump in BETI yesterday. It's now over -0.2. As of writing the price is $4080. I think it's very possible to see 0 BETI

BETI for some psychological resistance:

5000 0.085905352
7500 0.49137046
10000 0.779052532
15000 1.18451764
20000 1.472199713
25000 1.695343264

If we break above zero BETI, I say we get to 10k pretty quick, then a correction before jumping to 25k. I don't see what stops this trend right now until we break BETI ATH.... which would be what 45k by now?

Wekkel

legendary

Activity: 3122

Merit: 1538

yes

Quote from: jl2012 on August 30, 2017, 01:41:55 AM

EDIT: I'd say it's the START of the bubble

Exactly. The high price of $30,000+ aligns to the 'moon shot' theory of MasterLuc and fits the theory of J-curves in cryptocurrencies: https://medium.com/@cburniske/the-crypto-j-curve-be5fdddafa26

Good change that current utility value of cryptocurrencies and speculation value are converging again right now for a big J-Curve upwards towards the 1.87 BETI high.

windjc

legendary

Activity: 2156

Merit: 1070

Quote from: jl2012 on August 30, 2017, 01:41:55 AM

Quote from: vit05 on August 30, 2017, 01:33:54 AM

Actual price / expected price: 93.06%

If the price passes the prediction in this week, would you call it a bubble until the price come back to zero?

I believe so. Historically, no post-0 bubble survived longer than ~5 weeks

EDIT: I'd say it's the START of the bubble

The market is no longer as volatile as it was before. Time frames have widened, the monthly chart is more like the weekly chart of the past. For this reason I would expect a smoother curve once we pass 0 than we have experienced before.

jl2012

legendary

Activity: 1792

Merit: 1111

Quote from: vit05 on August 30, 2017, 01:33:54 AM

Actual price / expected price: 93.06%

If the price passes the prediction in this week, would you call it a bubble until the price come back to zero?

I believe so. Historically, no post-0 bubble survived longer than ~5 weeks

EDIT: I'd say it's the START of the bubble

jl2012

legendary

Activity: 1792

Merit: 1111

It seems 0 BETI has never been a resistance during an uptrend. Once it breaks through 0, the real ATH would be reached within 1 month. This might be an important indicator if you want to sell the top.

This is the price for different BETI level based on latest data:

0.00   4838.30
0.25   6212.50
0.50   7977.00
0.75   10242.67
1.00   13151.85
1.25   16887.32
1.50   21683.74
1.75   27842.48
2.00   35750.45

vit05

hero member

Activity: 672

Merit: 526

Actual price / expected price: 93.06%

If the price passes the prediction in this week, would you call it a bubble until the price come back to zero?

Topic: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis - page 23. (Read 110414 times)