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Topic: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis - page 27. (Read 110414 times)

legendary
Activity: 1792
Merit: 1111
^^^Well, based on comparison with 2011-2013 we are coming up shallower, but had a couple of sharp bumpletts already.
Most likely scenarios:
1. we are about to undergo a "phase transition" and go for a sharp local super-exponential peak OR
2. wiggle down to -1.2-1.25 before doing #1

Both scenarios would favor long positions, but wiggle down to $800-900 might be possible on ETF rejection, for example, which would be hopefully dismissed by the market.
jl2012 provides numbers for the all-time high, but I am curious, what would 1 or 1.5 peak look like in current numbers (1.87 might be too extreme).

the formula for BETI = x is: 3166.72 * e ^ x. For x = 1, it's $8608

legendary
Activity: 3892
Merit: 4331
^^^Well, based on comparison with 2011-2013 we are coming up shallower, but had a couple of sharp bumpletts already.
Most likely scenarios:
1. we are about to undergo a "phase transition" and go for a sharp local super-exponential peak OR
2. wiggle down to -1.2-1.25 before doing #1

Both scenarios would favor long positions, but wiggle down to $800-900 might be possible on ETF rejection, for example, which would be hopefully dismissed by the market.
jl2012 provides numbers for the all-time high, but I am curious, what would 1 or 1.5 peak look like in current numbers (1.87 might be too extreme).
legendary
Activity: 1792
Merit: 1111
legendary
Activity: 1792
Merit: 1111
Date:    22-Feb-2017
BETI:   -1.034
VWAP:    1126.24
x:    2412
a:    0.00343
b:    -0.21173
Rsq:    0.80009
The day's expected price:    3166.72
Actual price / expected price:   35.56%
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low   340.94
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high   20500.93
BETI for ATH ($1126)   -1.034
Predicted date for today's price:    26-Apr-2016
Days ahead:    -301.44
Daily price rank:    2
   
   
(See OP for explanation)   
   
   
   
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00342959283908775++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.211725558164464+%29   
legendary
Activity: 2338
Merit: 2106
where are we on the grand scale? would you mind posting the bigger chart? thank you. this thread will help me to get the timing right next run-up.
legendary
Activity: 1792
Merit: 1111
Date:    21-Feb-2017
BETI:   -1.051
VWAP:    1104.60
x:    2411
a:    0.00343
b:    -0.21259
Rsq:    0.80005
The day's expected price:    3161.30
Actual price / expected price:   34.94%
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low   340.35
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high   20465.80
BETI for ATH ($1126)   -1.032
Predicted date for today's price:    20-Apr-2016
Days ahead:    -306.50
Daily price rank:    3
   
   
(See OP for explanation)   
   
   
   
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00343066053259443++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.212585331010719+%29   
legendary
Activity: 1792
Merit: 1111
legendary
Activity: 1792
Merit: 1111
Date:    21-Jan-2017
BETI:   -1.191
VWAP:    916.08
x:    2380
a:    0.00347
b:    -0.24219
Rsq:    0.79918
The day's expected price:    3013.59
Actual price / expected price:   30.40%
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low   324.45
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high   19509.56
BETI for ATH ($1126)   -0.984
Predicted date for today's price:    12-Feb-2016
Days ahead:    -343.39
Daily price rank:    22
   
   
(See OP for explanation)   
   
   
   
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00346768088970605++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.242193709561248+%29   
legendary
Activity: 1806
Merit: 1164
Thanks for this!
legendary
Activity: 1792
Merit: 1111
Update: above -1

Date:    4-Jan-2017
BETI:   -0.994
VWAP:    1088.45
x:    2363
a:    0.00349
b:    -0.25987
Rsq:    0.79902
The day's expected price:    2942.48
Actual price / expected price:   36.99%
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low   316.79
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high   19049.22
BETI for ATH ($1126)   -0.961
Predicted date for today's price:    25-Mar-2016
Days ahead:    -284.96
Daily price rank:    3
   
   
(See OP for explanation)   
   
   
   
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00349000407190921++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.259871364442829+%29   
legendary
Activity: 1792
Merit: 1111
Thanks for the donor sending me 50mBTC. That's a lot! (This is even more than someone sent me 1BTC in 2012, in USD terms)

We are in the mid-way from $1000 to ATH. In terms of BETI, there is no obvious resistance for the road ahead

Date:    3-Jan-2017
BETI:   -1.057
VWAP:    1020.56
x:    2362
a:    0.00349
b:    -0.26072
Rsq:    0.79896
The day's expected price:    2937.17
Actual price / expected price:   34.75%
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low   316.22
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high   19014.83
BETI for ATH ($1126)   -0.959
Predicted date for today's price:    6-Mar-2016
Days ahead:    -302.80
Daily price rank:    5
   
   
(See OP for explanation)   
   
   
   
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00349107412254917++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.26071548848195+%29   
legendary
Activity: 1792
Merit: 1111
awesome thread. thank you jl2012 for providing this. it helped me in the darkest moments. Wink

This is a victory for all 3-year hodlers.

Update: BETI is above -1.1 for 2 consecutive days. It's at 27-month high

Date:    2-Jan-2017
BETI:   -1.063
VWAP:    1013.00
x:    2361
a:    0.00349
b:    -0.26161
Rsq:    0.79891
The day's expected price:    2932.18
Actual price / expected price:   34.55%
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low   315.68
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high   18982.52
BETI for ATH ($1126):   -0.957
Predicted date for today's price:    3-Mar-2016
Days ahead:    -304.34
Daily price rank:    5
   
   
(See OP for explanation)   
   
   
   
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00349221249089816++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.261613124881628+%29   
legendary
Activity: 2338
Merit: 2106
awesome thread. thank you jl2012 for providing this. it helped me in the darkest moments. Wink
legendary
Activity: 1792
Merit: 1111
BETI closes at -1.118 for 2016. We (again) see some resistance around -1.1

BETI for some major levels:

$1000: -1.072
$1126 (ATH): -0.954

Tips are highly appreciated if you like this analysis: 1CiZPrEJdN4FJcqdLdgVLzT8tgCXxT5ion
legendary
Activity: 1792
Merit: 1111
legendary
Activity: 1792
Merit: 1111
Update:

Date:    31-Dec-2016
BETI:   -1.118
VWAP:    955.73
x:    2359
a:    0.00349
b:    -0.26344
Rsq:    0.79883
The day's expected price:    2922.39
Actual price / expected price:   32.70%
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low   314.63
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high   18919.16
Predicted date for today's price:    15-Feb-2016
Days ahead:    -319.84
Daily price rank:    10
   
   
(See OP for explanation)   
   
   
   
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00349453018094073++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.263439522560972+%29   
full member
Activity: 266
Merit: 111
Great thread, thanks !

Is there any easy way how i can look up the BETI, or is this thread the only place
(Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index = daily volume weighted average price / exponential tread expected price)

I guess it's
a. looking at this thread hoping for new entries
or b. doing it myself

But b is not a real option cause i am a newb and not competent in doing it
hero member
Activity: 707
Merit: 500
Thanks jl2012!!

 
legendary
Activity: 1792
Merit: 1111
-1.2 is $867
-1.1 (the June 2016 peak) is $958

$1126 ATH is -0.94

-0.8 is $1293
legendary
Activity: 1792
Merit: 1111
Date:    21-Dec-2016
BETI   -1.260
VWAP:    816.48
x:    2349
a:    0.00351
b:    -0.27325
Rsq:    0.79857
The day's expected price:    2877.64
Actual price / expected price:   28.37%
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low   309.81
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high   18629.46
Predicted date for today's price:    27-Dec-2015
Days ahead:    -359.20
Daily price rank:    34
   
   
(See OP for explanation)   
   
   
   
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00350701528178267++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.273252689110663+%29   
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