btw, I've changed my donation address to a segwit one: 374iXxS4BuqFHsEwwxUuH3nvJ69Y7Hqur3
Topic: BETI: Bitcoin Exponential Trend Index and technical analysis - page 24. (Read 110414 times)
BETI is approaching 0
btw, I've changed my donation address to a segwit one: 374iXxS4BuqFHsEwwxUuH3nvJ69Y7Hqur3
btw, I've changed my donation address to a segwit one: 374iXxS4BuqFHsEwwxUuH3nvJ69Y7Hqur3
Date: 29-Aug-2017
BETI: -0.072
VWAP: 4502.76
x: 2600
a: 0.00330
b: -0.10843
Rsq: 0.81860
The day's expected price: 4838.30
Actual price / expected price: 93.06%
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low 520.90
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high 31322.47
Predicted date for today's price: 7-Aug-2017
Days ahead: -21.75
Daily price rank: 1
(See OP for explanation)
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330490394140363++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.108432190325694+%29
BETI: -0.072
VWAP: 4502.76
x: 2600
a: 0.00330
b: -0.10843
Rsq: 0.81860
The day's expected price: 4838.30
Actual price / expected price: 93.06%
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low 520.90
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high 31322.47
Predicted date for today's price: 7-Aug-2017
Days ahead: -21.75
Daily price rank: 1
(See OP for explanation)
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330490394140363++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.108432190325694+%29
Date: 28-Aug-2017
BETI: -0.117
VWAP: 4290.85
x: 2599
a: 0.00330
b: -0.10849
Rsq: 0.81843
The day's expected price: 4822.87
Actual price / expected price: 88.97%
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low 519.24
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high 31222.58
Predicted date for today's price: 23-Jul-2017
Days ahead: -35.37
Daily price rank: 5
(See OP for explanation)
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330496783749949++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.108487662001454+%29
BETI: -0.117
VWAP: 4290.85
x: 2599
a: 0.00330
b: -0.10849
Rsq: 0.81843
The day's expected price: 4822.87
Actual price / expected price: 88.97%
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low 519.24
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high 31222.58
Predicted date for today's price: 23-Jul-2017
Days ahead: -35.37
Daily price rank: 5
(See OP for explanation)
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330496783749949++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.108487662001454+%29
Date: 23-Aug-2017
BETI: -0.135
VWAP: 4146.85
x: 2594
a: 0.00331
b: -0.10891
Rsq: 0.81762
The day's expected price: 4747.82
Actual price / expected price: 87.34%
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low 511.16
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high 30736.75
Predicted date for today's price: 13-Jul-2017
Days ahead: -40.94
Daily price rank: 5
(See OP for explanation)
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330545559798778++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.108910620217511+%29
BETI: -0.135
VWAP: 4146.85
x: 2594
a: 0.00331
b: -0.10891
Rsq: 0.81762
The day's expected price: 4747.82
Actual price / expected price: 87.34%
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low 511.16
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high 30736.75
Predicted date for today's price: 13-Jul-2017
Days ahead: -40.94
Daily price rank: 5
(See OP for explanation)
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330545559798778++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.108910620217511+%29
Thanks for the update.
Date: 18-Aug-2017
BETI: -0.112
VWAP: 4180.17
x: 2589
a: 0.00331
b: -0.10953
Rsq: 0.81683
The day's expected price: 4675.72
Actual price / expected price: 89.40%
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low 503.40
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high 30269.97
Predicted date for today's price: 15-Jul-2017
Days ahead: -33.89
Daily price rank: 4
(See OP for explanation)
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330616596438299++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.109525431084708+%29
BETI: -0.112
VWAP: 4180.17
x: 2589
a: 0.00331
b: -0.10953
Rsq: 0.81683
The day's expected price: 4675.72
Actual price / expected price: 89.40%
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low 503.40
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high 30269.97
Predicted date for today's price: 15-Jul-2017
Days ahead: -33.89
Daily price rank: 4
(See OP for explanation)
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330616596438299++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.109525431084708+%29
Do you have a historical chart of BETI? I'd love to see trend line resistances.
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.20800637
Ah thanks missed that. Resistances at 0, .25, 1 and 1.5 it seems.
when I look at it, the real resistance is in the 1.5-1.8 band, that's all.
0 to -0.25 was just a support after 1.5. Something that was happening in 2009 is not really relevant.
Support typically becomes resistance and vice versa.
Do you have a historical chart of BETI? I'd love to see trend line resistances.
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.20800637
Ah thanks missed that. Resistances at 0, .25, 1 and 1.5 it seems.
when I look at it, the real resistance is in the 1.5-1.8 band, that's all.
0 to -0.25 was just a support after 1.5. Something that was happening in 2009 is not really relevant.
Do you have a historical chart of BETI? I'd love to see trend line resistances.
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.20800637
Ah thanks missed that. Resistances at 0, .25, 1 and 1.5 it seems.
Do you have a historical chart of BETI? I'd love to see trend line resistances.
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.20800637
Date: 13-Aug-2017
BETI: -0.139
VWAP: 4007.10
x: 2584
a: 0.00331
b: -0.10991
Rsq: 0.81600
The day's expected price: 4602.62
Actual price / expected price: 87.06%
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low 495.53
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high 29796.70
Predicted date for today's price: 2-Jul-2017
Days ahead: -41.90
Daily price rank: 1
(See OP for explanation)
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330661504558963++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.109913346992637+%29
BETI: -0.139
VWAP: 4007.10
x: 2584
a: 0.00331
b: -0.10991
Rsq: 0.81600
The day's expected price: 4602.62
Actual price / expected price: 87.06%
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low 495.53
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high 29796.70
Predicted date for today's price: 2-Jul-2017
Days ahead: -41.90
Daily price rank: 1
(See OP for explanation)
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330661504558963++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.109913346992637+%29
Do you have a historical chart of BETI? I'd love to see trend line resistances.
Date: 13-Aug-2017
BETI: -0.139
VWAP: 4007.10
x: 2584
a: 0.00331
b: -0.10991
Rsq: 0.81600
The day's expected price: 4602.62
Actual price / expected price: 87.06%
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low 495.53
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high 29796.70
Predicted date for today's price: 2-Jul-2017
Days ahead: -41.90
Daily price rank: 1
(See OP for explanation)
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330661504558963++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.109913346992637+%29
BETI: -0.139
VWAP: 4007.10
x: 2584
a: 0.00331
b: -0.10991
Rsq: 0.81600
The day's expected price: 4602.62
Actual price / expected price: 87.06%
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low 495.53
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high 29796.70
Predicted date for today's price: 2-Jul-2017
Days ahead: -41.90
Daily price rank: 1
(See OP for explanation)
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330661504558963++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.109913346992637+%29
this is interesting... so just using an exponential trend, basically?
yes, but the regression is done everyday only using the data available at that day
We had a big jump in BETI yesterday. It's now over -0.2. As of writing the price is $4080. I think it's very possible to see 0 BETI
BETI for some psychological resistance:
5000 0.085905352
7500 0.49137046
10000 0.779052532
15000 1.18451764
20000 1.472199713
25000 1.695343264
hm... starting to sell smaller percentages of stash @ $10k seems appropriate. wow.
nah, if it goes supra-exponential, 1.5 (at least) is likely, hence around 20K to start, but it could all happen within a day or two (at the final stage, of course).
this is interesting... so just using an exponential trend, basically?
yes, but the regression is done everyday only using the data available at that day
We had a big jump in BETI yesterday. It's now over -0.2. As of writing the price is $4080. I think it's very possible to see 0 BETI
BETI for some psychological resistance:
5000 0.085905352
7500 0.49137046
10000 0.779052532
15000 1.18451764
20000 1.472199713
25000 1.695343264
hm... starting to sell smaller percentages of stash @ $10k seems appropriate. wow.
this is interesting... so just using an exponential trend, basically?
yes, but the regression is done everyday only using the data available at that day
We had a big jump in BETI yesterday. It's now over -0.2. As of writing the price is $4080. I think it's very possible to see 0 BETI
BETI for some psychological resistance:
5000 0.085905352
7500 0.49137046
10000 0.779052532
15000 1.18451764
20000 1.472199713
25000 1.695343264
Date: 12-Aug-2017
BETI: -0.191
VWAP: 3789.13
x: 2583
a: 0.00331
b: -0.11002
Rsq: 0.81584
The day's expected price: 4588.41
Actual price / expected price: 82.58%
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low 494.00
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high 29704.71
Predicted date for today's price: 15-Jun-2017
Days ahead: -57.88
Daily price rank: 1
(See OP for explanation)
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330673975452274++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.11002094625024+%29
BETI: -0.191
VWAP: 3789.13
x: 2583
a: 0.00331
b: -0.11002
Rsq: 0.81584
The day's expected price: 4588.41
Actual price / expected price: 82.58%
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low 494.00
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high 29704.71
Predicted date for today's price: 15-Jun-2017
Days ahead: -57.88
Daily price rank: 1
(See OP for explanation)
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330673975452274++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.11002094625024+%29
this is interesting... so just using an exponential trend, basically?
Date: 11-Aug-2017
BETI: -0.264
VWAP: 3511.92
x: 2582
a: 0.00331
b: -0.11017
Rsq: 0.81568
The day's expected price: 4574.61
Actual price / expected price: 76.77%
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low 492.51
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high 29615.43
Predicted date for today's price: 23-May-2017
Days ahead: -79.94
Daily price rank: 1
(See OP for explanation)
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330691215452517++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.110169635850561+%29
BETI: -0.264
VWAP: 3511.92
x: 2582
a: 0.00331
b: -0.11017
Rsq: 0.81568
The day's expected price: 4574.61
Actual price / expected price: 76.77%
Price to break the -2.23 all-time-low 492.51
Price to break the +1.87 all-time-high 29615.43
Predicted date for today's price: 23-May-2017
Days ahead: -79.94
Daily price rank: 1
(See OP for explanation)
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=e+%5E+%28+0.00330691215452517++%28+number+of+days+since+jul+17%2C+2010+%2Fdays+%29+-0.110169635850561+%29
most people do not have any idea about "fair value". I would bet on seeing tons of weak hands selling too early and (maybe even buying back afterwards) If Sir Isac Newton did during south sea bubble why would not average Joe? Usually people get too late to the party. I guess another way to confirm the current value of network would be see historical data of nr. of transactions vs btc price. To answer your question to calculate ATH would be e powered by 1.87 times X todays expected price
right, of course, since it is an exponential function and e^0=1 (for expected today).
Brain fart.
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