Why do you still believe bfl will release a fully custom asic. They think they are going to ship within a couple weeks of receiving their first chip.
Because that is what they have stated publicly.
I am not a hardcore conspiracy theorist who believes there is "no BFL".
I believe they have a product. I believe they eventually will ship. Like other members though I have doubts on the "When" and which cutting of corners (if any) they took to get the products out in time.
Every indicator they have given is that they are behind schedule. (In my weird twisted [assisted clown like] mind).
They more than likely are lying about either (a) having a full custom chip which also explains why they are being super secretive, or (b) are lying about shipping dates that are very far off to keep people from ordering from their competitors.
At this time all we have are speculations. I may share some of that theory but not all of it.
I do believe they have made a Full Custom ASIC chip. I think they aren't going to make their "5th week target". I do believe they are not ready to ship. I believe they are telling the truth but they aren't possibly giving the whole picture of what is happening with their product.
As of the 25th one of their representatives stated they didn't yet have a working prototype. I find it kinda hard to believe that a month later they will be shipping for this reason.
I see that Kano and Yochdog are still waiting for the trip to inspect the facilities. So I suspect this means that (as their representative stated) there is nothing significant to see...ie it's not ready yet. (ETA 3 weeks from expected shipping).
I don't think they will (IMO) ship in volume, though I might be wrong. I expect they will have extra delays, try as hard as they might.
I believe them when they said they had some refraction issues at the Fab. When asked pointed questions about it....I believe they were roundabout as to what that may mean for their schedule.
There are many valid reasons why I think they will miss their target date. It is not any one single reference that convinces me of anything. It is a collection of points.
At best, I figure if they do ship in December, it will be low volumes. This is all speculation though.
I'm leaning towards them releasing an actual product eventually, which I wasn't even sure of before, and not an outright scam. But the idea of them releasing a fully custom chip that gets 1g/hash a watt with no prototype testing needed, no way!
It can be done, if you apply the right processes and technology, sure why not? Tom has come close and he is only at 90nm. I don't know about Avalon.
Also if an asic chip is released by someone it will be mostly obsolete in a couple years
That is invariably true of any released product.
Post note: I am not a "Kook" (nor a psycho or "a clown"). I have my (valid) reasons for speculating the way I do.