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Topic: Bitcoin 2013: The Future of Payments - San Jose, CA - May 17-19, 2013 - page 2. (Read 17384 times)

legendary
Activity: 1680
Merit: 1035
No I didn't. This was discussed after the whitepaper, too. I just don't have time to look for it.

Hmmm.  I see...

Here http://www.mail-archive.com/[email protected]/msg09964.html

Thank you!   Cheesy

There was a recent article in Bitcoin Magazine that analysed the blockchain size, but most of their articles are not available online. The main point is that the blockchain size will increase linearly, while the capacity of hard drives and internet speed increases exponentially (although right now the blockchain appears to increase faster because the block size limit hasn't been hit yet). The article looked at some worst case scenarios, and even using really conservative estimates, 20 years from now people will easily be able to store the whole blockchain on their phone and download the whole thing in a few hours.
That does not hold true once the blocksize limit is removed, which will happen eventually.

I doubt it. Rather, even if/when the software-coded blocksize limit is removed, it is still in the miner's best interest to keep a block size limit in place. It would help keep the transaction fees up, as opposed to everyone just sending everything for free all the time, and it would allow them to continue earning enough to cover storage costs. So, I guess as with mining, there will eventually be a free market competition for who can store and transmit the blockchain most efficiently while getting the maximum amount of fees out of it. So, just as mining costs tend to approach mining profits, storage expenses, I.e. blockchain growth, will tend to approach storage revenues. Thought I think Seth is right in that it will likely lag behind tech quite a bit. I mean, the full blockchain is 8 gigs, while you can buy 1,000 gigs for under $100 now.
legendary
Activity: 1106
Merit: 1001
I just skipped almost all the talks and talked to as many people as I could.  I figured I will always be able to watch recordings later.

Hey Seth! Thanks for stopping by the expert's table. I definitely remember your name, cause it has "otter" in it, and those things are frikin cute!  Cheesy
Also, thanks for teaching me a bit about geography, in that there are two Rica's in the Caribbean. Still a bit embarrassed about that *o.o*

If you're thinking what I think you're thinking, there's a Rica and and Rico  Grin
legendary
Activity: 1680
Merit: 1035
I just skipped almost all the talks and talked to as many people as I could.  I figured I will always be able to watch recordings later.

Hey Seth! Thanks for stopping by the expert's table. I definitely remember your name, cause it has "otter" in it, and those things are frikin cute!  Cheesy
Also, thanks for teaching me a bit about geography, in that there are two Rica's in the Caribbean. Still a bit embarrassed about that *o.o*
sr. member
Activity: 328
Merit: 250
There was a recent article in Bitcoin Magazine that analysed the blockchain size, but most of their articles are not available online. The main point is that the blockchain size will increase linearly, while the capacity of hard drives and internet speed increases exponentially (although right now the blockchain appears to increase faster because the block size limit hasn't been hit yet). The article looked at some worst case scenarios, and even using really conservative estimates, 20 years from now people will easily be able to store the whole blockchain on their phone and download the whole thing in a few hours.
That does not hold true once the blocksize limit is removed, which will happen eventually.

Unless I am mistaken, removing the blocksize limit will still result in a linear blockchain growth once bitcoin adoption levels off.  The exponential growth of storage capacity and internet speed will always pass it.  Great to meet you at the conference!
legendary
Activity: 905
Merit: 1011
There was a recent article in Bitcoin Magazine that analysed the blockchain size, but most of their articles are not available online. The main point is that the blockchain size will increase linearly, while the capacity of hard drives and internet speed increases exponentially (although right now the blockchain appears to increase faster because the block size limit hasn't been hit yet). The article looked at some worst case scenarios, and even using really conservative estimates, 20 years from now people will easily be able to store the whole blockchain on their phone and download the whole thing in a few hours.
That does not hold true once the blocksize limit is removed, which will happen eventually.
sr. member
Activity: 328
Merit: 250
There was a recent article in Bitcoin Magazine that analysed the blockchain size, but most of their articles are not available online. The main point is that the blockchain size will increase linearly, while the capacity of hard drives and internet speed increases exponentially (although right now the blockchain appears to increase faster because the block size limit hasn't been hit yet). The article looked at some worst case scenarios, and even using really conservative estimates, 20 years from now people will easily be able to store the whole blockchain on their phone and download the whole thing in a few hours.
legendary
Activity: 1106
Merit: 1004
No I didn't. This was discussed after the whitepaper, too. I just don't have time to look for it.

Hmmm.  I see...

Here http://www.mail-archive.com/[email protected]/msg09964.html

Quote from: satoshi
Long before the network gets anywhere near as large as that, it would be safe
for users to use Simplified Payment Verification
(section Cool to check for
double spending, which only requires having the chain of block headers, or
about 12KB per day.  Only people trying to create new coins would need to run
network nodes.  At first, most users would run network nodes, but as the
network grows beyond a certain point, it would be left more and more to
specialists with server farms of specialized hardware.
  A server farm would
only need to have one node on the network and the rest of the LAN connects with
that one node.
BCB
vip
Activity: 1078
Merit: 1002
BCJ
I just skipped almost all the talks and talked to as many people as I could.  I figured I will always be able to watch recordings later.

ya that was a good plan as well.  So many smart, interesting people with some really terrific projects and idea.
sr. member
Activity: 328
Merit: 250
I just skipped almost all the talks and talked to as many people as I could.  I figured I will always be able to watch recordings later.
BCB
vip
Activity: 1078
Merit: 1002
BCJ
And then there where Lightening sessions going on as well. 

When one of the session got boring I cut out an hit up a lighting session on statistical analysis if btc price sings and that was on of the better sessions I attended and it was not even on my radar.
legendary
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1004
...
My only regret was that I couldn't be in all four rooms at the same time!
...


No kidding! I would've gone to just about everything if I could've. On one of the panels I was at, Peter noted that they're thinking the next one will be a couple days longer, so hopefully the schedule won't be so tight.
sr. member
Activity: 285
Merit: 250
Bitcoin.org maintainer

... Satoshi himself mentioned that eventually we'll likely end up with just a few copies of the blockchain in gigantic data centers, with almost everyone running SPV clients that, ...


I'm not necessarily doubting that he said that, but I've never run across it.  Can you provide a pointer?

The closest thing I've seen to such a statement is Mike Hearn staying that the system could operate with 6 or so copies of the full block chain owned by large entities.  Maybe he didn't state who owned them though, and I am not going to put words into his mouth by claiming that he thought it was a good idea.  He can speak to that himself if he's so inclined.


Of course if bandwidth and storage cannot scale, that is likely to be the case I guess. But that being said, only 6 datacenters storing the entire blockchain might not be a real problem as long as all full nodes continue to run based on snapshots of the blockchain at a given date to reduce its size. Though I don't know all details surrounding this question, and I couldn't go at the conference this year (sadly!).
legendary
Activity: 1078
Merit: 1006
100 satoshis -> ISO code
I thought it was absolutely ridiculous that it was cheaper to buy admission with a credit card at the door.  I'm sure the organizers of the NY and Vienna bitcoin conferences will not have such a retarded system in place.

Bitcoin price:  3btc
Credit Card price:  $350

Peter Vessenes is clearly incompetent.  Mtgox gets booted out of the conference because of his stupid lawsuit, and then it's more expensive to pay admission with bitcoin.  How is this acceptable?  What has coinlab done for bitcoin anyway?

You might have noticed that the BTC rate has fluctuated a lot lately, and keeping things simple means whole numbers on admission prices. $350/3 or $116.67 is a pretty reasonable approximation of the average value of one BTC in the week up to and including the conference.  


It is inexcusable to create an incentive to pay with a credit card at a bitcoin conference.  They could easily have changed the rate to 2.9 or 2.8 bitcoins depending on the current exchange rate.

I am looking at the rate during the conference and $116.67 per BTC seems fair considering it needs to be set once really.
http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/mtgoxUSD#rg10zig6-hourzczsg2013-05-16zeg2013-05-17ztgSzm1g10zm2g25
As it was a Bitcoin conference perhaps it can be argued the $350 should have been $345 or $340 depending on the rate. The difference is really only the price of a coffee and a sandwich!  Smiley
sr. member
Activity: 328
Merit: 250
I thought it was absolutely ridiculous that it was cheaper to buy admission with a credit card at the door.  I'm sure the organizers of the NY and Vienna bitcoin conferences will not have such a retarded system in place.

Bitcoin price:  3btc
Credit Card price:  $350

Peter Vessenes is clearly incompetent.  Mtgox gets booted out of the conference because of his stupid lawsuit, and then it's more expensive to pay admission with bitcoin.  How is this acceptable?  What has coinlab done for bitcoin anyway?

You might have noticed that the BTC rate has fluctuated a lot lately, and keeping things simple means whole numbers on admission prices. $350/3 or $116.67 is a pretty reasonable approximation of the average value of one BTC in the week up to and including the conference.  


It is inexcusable to create an incentive to pay with a credit card at a bitcoin conference.  They could easily have changed the rate to 2.9 or 2.8 bitcoins depending on the current exchange rate.
legendary
Activity: 1078
Merit: 1006
100 satoshis -> ISO code
I thought it was absolutely ridiculous that it was cheaper to buy admission with a credit card at the door.  I'm sure the organizers of the NY and Vienna bitcoin conferences will not have such a retarded system in place.

Bitcoin price:  3btc
Credit Card price:  $350

Peter Vessenes is clearly incompetent.  Mtgox gets booted out of the conference because of his stupid lawsuit, and then it's more expensive to pay admission with bitcoin.  How is this acceptable?  What has coinlab done for bitcoin anyway?

You might have noticed that the BTC rate has fluctuated a lot lately, and keeping things simple means whole numbers on admission prices. $350/3 or $116.67 is a pretty reasonable approximation of the average value of one BTC in the week up to and including the conference.  
sr. member
Activity: 328
Merit: 250
I thought it was absolutely ridiculous that it was cheaper to buy admission with a credit card at the door.  I'm sure the organizers of the NY and Vienna bitcoin conferences will not have such a retarded system in place.

Bitcoin price:  3btc
Credit Card price:  $350

Peter Vessenes is clearly incompetent.  Mtgox gets booted out of the conference because of his stupid lawsuit, and then it's more expensive to pay admission with bitcoin.  How is this acceptable?  What has coinlab done for bitcoin anyway?
BCB
vip
Activity: 1078
Merit: 1002
BCJ
Hopefully the foundation will release them soon.  I'm eagerly awaiting all the talks I couldn't make it to as well!

Great weekend.
newbie
Activity: 9
Merit: 0
Hey all!

I thoroughly enjoyed the Bitcoin 2013 conference last weekend. Wish I could have stayed in Cali. . . Anyway, does anyone know where I can find recordings/transcripts from the conference? My only regret was that I couldn't be in all four rooms at the same time! There was so much information to be absorbed in that building. I definitely met some of the brightest minds I've ever encountered at that conference.

MegaD
sr. member
Activity: 295
Merit: 250
"to survive, we must live and fly"
Bitcoin's major hurdle to overcome:   Stan Lee tells more credible stories than 90% of the "bitcoin elite". 
HAHAHA So true.
legendary
Activity: 4690
Merit: 1276
SD has always had transaction fees.

When Mike Hearn and others are cavalier about block chain bloat, it's because there are existing solutions being worked on. The process started with the 'ultraprune' branch that became 0.8, and will continue to improve. If all of the proposed optimizations are implemented, bitcoin can and will scale to VISA-level transaction processing, while being runnable on a commodity PC. It doesn't make sense then to devote valuable conference time to rehashing issues where we already know the work we need to do.

I would like to be snarky and negative about your project, but as I scan through it, I cannot say that I feel it is completely without hope.  As best I understand it at least.  So, I hope for the best and will be watching it with interest.  Possibly even contributing if I feel that it is going in a way which will benefit me.

That said, one of my biggest complaints has always been that 'VISA-level' is actually pretty lame.  Some biz guy at the conference mentioned the number of cell phones vs. the number of bank accounts.  Something like 5x10^9 vs. 1x10^9.  (I only heard this from a friend as I was attending the tech related presentations.)  We are talking about some big big numbers if the worlds population is to gradually adopt distributed crypto-currencies as a means of transacting in economies.

Stratum was supposed to be 'the future of Bitcoin' as I recall ~moonshadow describing it.  I sense that he was not looking at the big picture.  I sense also that targetting 'VISA-level' will also fall into the same sort of trap.

If any one 'distributed crypto-currency' does NOT get into a scenario where it works in conjunction with off-{chain/backing/whatever} systems, it will likely mean that it has failed, and this is definitely the case with Bitcoin IMO.  The question then becomes what the solution looks like at that point.  Is it simple and reliable?  Or is it complex and filled with new and unproven conceptual underpinnings and methods?

It could be the case that in order to provide even a workable 'reserve' capability, Bitcoin would need to be 'VISA-level'.  That is the basis for my interest in your solution, and again, I wish you well.

BTW, I hope you are not going to make the same mistake as Bitcoin in taking a 'C client defines the system' approach (or PHP or GO or whatever your implementation choice happens to be...)  If so (vs. a more formalized specification) than it will count as a big strike against my hope for a solution which has long-term hope of success.

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