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Topic: Bitcoin Forecast, Bitcoin Speculation & Bitcoin Technical Analysis. Up or DOWN? - page 125. (Read 540250 times)

legendary
Activity: 1386
Merit: 1097
It works well nice job slush, i've noticed that sometime the data feed is lagged but it could be my internet connection.

No, it is a bug in library which the script use. Will be solved in following bugfix release...
sr. member
Activity: 294
Merit: 252
Dark pools exist, manipulation is made much easier thanks to that.

How, exactly?
full member
Activity: 126
Merit: 100
Dark pools exist, manipulation is made much easier thanks to that. Also, he may be selling little by little. Remember he bought at 4$ ish, so 6$ is already 50% profit, it my theory is he is trying to push the market to 10$ if he can, while selling along just in case, and buying when prices seem to want to fall
sr. member
Activity: 254
Merit: 250
done with sierrachart

Good to know that somebody is using sierrachart Smiley. I should release new version fixing some issues soon...
It works well nice job slush, i've noticed that sometime the data feed is lagged but it could be my internet connection.
legendary
Activity: 1386
Merit: 1097
done with sierrachart

Good to know that somebody is using sierrachart Smiley. I should release new version fixing some issues soon...
sr. member
Activity: 254
Merit: 250
Here it's more clear, weekly chart since the beginning, done with sierrachart. Impressive 3 weeks expansion with more then 500k btc that changed hands.
donator
Activity: 826
Merit: 1060
Here's something interesting.

Take a look at the "Mt Gox All Time Chart" with the "Show Volume" option. Look at the bottom of the orange dots over the past few weeks:



The daily volume varies a lot, but even on quiet days it has been around a minimum of 3000 BTC. Then suddenly in April there's a step jump up to a minimum of around 13000 BTC. And this is when the price started to rise rapidly.

My hypothesis is that a single buyer wants a lot of bitcoins, and has started buying exactly 10,000 coins per day since then. When that buyer has enough coins, the upwards pressure will be removed.

At that time, one of two things will happen. If there has been enough growth of interest in Bitcoin in the meantime, the price will continue to increase but at a slower rate. Otherwise, there will be some price reduction.

As we don't know how many coins this buyer wants, it's impossible to predict when they will stop buying. But I will certainly be on the lookout for a reduction in the daily volume on the quiet days.
legendary
Activity: 1284
Merit: 1001
Not if he pushed the price up by buying publicly on somewhere like mt gox, then sold all his coins privately for $6 each.
You could just as well call that market manipulation by the buyer to keep the price from rising.
full member
Activity: 154
Merit: 100
There's a big buyer trying to push the market upwards, I doubt he'll give up so easily
Why do people think it's this easy to manipulate a market? It would be stupid for one person to buy thousands of BTC just to push the price up, because as soon as he tries to sell such a large amount of coins again the market will crash and he will lose a fortune.

Not if he pushed the price up by buying publicly on somewhere like mt gox, then sold all his coins privately for $6 each.
legendary
Activity: 1284
Merit: 1001
There's a big buyer trying to push the market upwards, I doubt he'll give up so easily
Why do people think it's this easy to manipulate a market? It would be stupid for one person to buy thousands of BTC just to push the price up, because as soon as he tries to sell such a large amount of coins again the market will crash and he will lose a fortune.
legendary
Activity: 2100
Merit: 1000
And again I have reset the market sentiment poll.


Up?
Same as now?
Down?
I don't know?

click on the poll above

Please VOTE
sr. member
Activity: 254
Merit: 250
Trades are all over the place in the wee hours of the morning.  Low of $4.60 and high of $6.06.  The low was set before the high.  At one point I saw the spread was over a dollar, highest bid at $4.90 and lowest ask at $5.90.

My guess is that this is the result of two would-be market manipulators.  One hoping to spark a rally by setting record highs with a big market buy, and the other hoping to spark a sell-off by clearing out the bids with a big market sell.  Both executing their trades within minutes of each other.


Six consecutive weeks of rising prices, i bet on the bull manipulator:)
Of course a sudden drop in price might incites further selling, after all this market it's thin and pretty hard to predict for now but i'm more bullish then bearish. Consider that sellers can monopolize the trading in a stock for a brief period of time, creating a sudden drop in price but then value buyers will step in once the price falls to a point deemed "too low", and bid the shares back up, i think we are seeing right now lots of long term investors attracted by the bitcoin opportunity and others ready to step in once a fast drop materialize.
I'm not much worried.
legendary
Activity: 1246
Merit: 1016
Strength in numbers
There's a big buyer trying to push the market upwards, I doubt he'll give up so easily


Really? You've ruled out the possibility that he wants to get a lot of coins?
legendary
Activity: 826
Merit: 1001
rippleFanatic
Trades are all over the place in the wee hours of the morning.  Low of $4.60 and high of $6.06.  The low was set before the high.  At one point I saw the spread was over a dollar, highest bid at $4.90 and lowest ask at $5.90.

My guess is that this is the result of two would-be market manipulators.  One hoping to spark a rally by setting record highs with a big market buy, and the other hoping to spark a sell-off by clearing out the bids with a big market sell.  Both executing their trades within minutes of each other.

legendary
Activity: 980
Merit: 1020
We reached 6$. I give up trying to predict this market. It’s pure insanity. Grin

IF bitcoin is destined to become the global currency of the world, than it will be pure insanity for a long time.
N12
donator
Activity: 1610
Merit: 1010
We reached 6$. I give up trying to predict this market. It’s pure insanity. Grin
LZ
legendary
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1072
P2P Cryptocurrency
Or he played enough and wants to lock in his profit. Undecided
full member
Activity: 210
Merit: 106
There's a big buyer trying to push the market upwards, I doubt he'll give up so easily

Then we'd better buy before he... oh, wait.
full member
Activity: 126
Merit: 100
There's a big buyer trying to push the market upwards, I doubt he'll give up so easily
LZ
legendary
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1072
P2P Cryptocurrency
Yeah. I think it is time to SELL. Undecided
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