Pages:
Author

Topic: Bitcoin Shrinking - The Long View - page 18. (Read 19400 times)

member
Activity: 84
Merit: 10
July 15, 2011, 11:57:06 AM
#11
sr. member
Activity: 288
Merit: 251
July 15, 2011, 11:56:59 AM
#10
Quote
Bitcoin Shrinking - The Long View
This is not a thread about the speculation of bitcoin's future, these are the facts.

Contradiction alert.
member
Activity: 82
Merit: 10
July 15, 2011, 11:55:37 AM
#9
I disagree.

The price has stabilized at roughly 50% of the spike high.  It is now backing and filling and distributing from weak hands to strong hands.  All of this is perfectly normal in a healthy market.  There are so many amazing things about Bitcoin, even one of them is enough to make it a success.  For example, in my video "Bitcoins and Borders"  I outline how the Bitcoin has single-handedly destroyed the power of capital controls, currency controls, and exchange controls.  Just that function ALONE is enough to give Bitcoin a value of 1000.  But there are so many others.  You are too close now, as you are not seeing the forest for the trees.  Take a step back and you'll see a forest that will grow for the next 100 years.

Bitcoins and Borders:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bxQ4OrzULoU&feature=channel_video_title
legendary
Activity: 1106
Merit: 1001
July 15, 2011, 11:55:22 AM
#8
member
Activity: 84
Merit: 10
July 15, 2011, 11:54:25 AM
#7
These are two statement from the same post...  

The long term trend for bitcoin value is contraction, not expansion.



This is not a thread about the speculation of bitcoin's future, these are the facts.





my question:  Aren't these two statements mutually exclusive?

edit:  after rereading my post..  I should have said:  Aren't these two statements contradictory?

I don't believe so.  Was there an error in my assessment you'd like to point out that would throw my conclusion into doubt?
legendary
Activity: 1099
Merit: 1000
July 15, 2011, 11:53:30 AM
#6
legendary
Activity: 1876
Merit: 1000
July 15, 2011, 11:49:49 AM
#5
These are two statement from the same post...  

The long term trend for bitcoin value is contraction, not expansion.



This is not a thread about the speculation of bitcoin's future, these are the facts.





my question:  Aren't these two statements mutually exclusive?

edit:  after rereading my post..  I should have said:  Aren't these two statements contradictory?
sr. member
Activity: 308
Merit: 250
July 15, 2011, 11:48:37 AM
#4
All of which begs the question: what are you still doing here, then?

Never underestimate the desire to be right on the internet.
member
Activity: 84
Merit: 10
July 15, 2011, 11:45:09 AM
#3
legendary
Activity: 1106
Merit: 1001
July 15, 2011, 11:40:14 AM
#2
member
Activity: 84
Merit: 10
July 15, 2011, 11:37:33 AM
#1
The long term trend for bitcoin value is contraction, not expansion.

Here's the fact of the matter:

+ Bitcoin just enjoyed more media exposure over the past 3 months than can reasonably be expected to occur anywhere in the near future. There's just nothing newsworthy forthcoming unless there is something scandalous that happens again, and we're just about out of interesting scandals. We've made the rounds from illegal purchasing to hacking to market failures.
  There's just nothing left to get the attention of corporate media. The fact is that no-one cares about bitcoin as a medium of exchange, except a small core constituency of idealists here on these forums. It HAD newsworthy spectacle value as prices skyrocketed and people "got rich quick," but those times are over.  There is nothing left of newsworthy value.

+ The price run-up happened SOLELY on hype alone. There's not much analysis that needs to be done here. It was clearly a bubble that started with the Silk Road coverage, inflated with the mining craze, and ended with the Gox scandal. That's it folks. Bitcoin jumped the shark 3 weeks ago.

+ The current "stability" is no such thing. There is no stability when there's no backing economy.  The only "stability" we're seeing is roughly the same sub 10-15,000 (could be exceedingly lower, and possibly a bit higher though doubtfully) "investors" propping up the price and using trading bots to maintain the appearance of a functioning market and "stability."
  The fact is that the market has been on a slow and steady DECLINE ever since Gox came back online. This is because there is no new blood entering the market, just the same old speculators throwing more of their paychecks into it; BUT, not enough to grow the market. That's why were seeing a steady loss of a few cents of USD value everyday. And this will continue for the long haul.

+ Echoing the same dilemma of 3 months ago when bitcoin began catching on with speculators, "Where is the bitcoin economy."  Well folks, this is it. The list of bitcoin merchants hasn't grown at all, and in fact if you browse the Trade section of bitcoin.org itself, and explore some of the merchants there you'll find that some of them have removed their bitcoin advertisements and no longer APPEAR to accept it. I encourage you to peruse them and see for yourself, because during that excercise you'll also see that basically all businesses listed are extremely small time, mom and pop shop operations, and most of them quite amateur at that.  That is your bitcoin economy. That is what you have to work with now, and for any reasonable foreseeable future.

This is not a thread about the speculation of bitcoin's future, these are the facts.

Pages:
Jump to: