If they are back and enable withdrawals, I'll use my 55% to buy their tokens and wait for redemption.
ps: only if the token is 1/3 of its face value. I would be very happy to buy if it is below 0.33/usd
Based on similar schemes on other exchanges, what is a reasonable expectation for these tokens? 1 token= 1 dollar, or higher, or lower?
Depends on the exchange. BFX tokens traded at .20-.70 for months before they were redeemed by the exchange. In that case, the tokens were all denominated in USD and redeemed for 1 USD each by Bitfinex. BTER had a similar scheme with CNY.
It seems that the plan here is to issue tokens for each currency. That doesn't seem like an ideal plan because crypto debts could be harder to pay over time if the value continues to rise, and also because it will divide up all the liquidity into different markets.
I find it very surprising as well that they are issuing tokens for each individual crypto on the exchange. It just adds so much exchange rate risk for them. I'm really confused on why they don't just convert all crypto debt to USD debt at time-of-disruption exchange rates. They'd be saving money and reducing risk. It's what Bitfinex did, albeit the exchange rates didn't fluctuate as much as in the case of BTC-e.
I think the crypto debt tokens may be traded at a larger discount than the fiat tokens at launch, and for the short-term at least. Just because the fiat debt seems so much easier to repay. Furthermore, people who were in LTC / Eth / BTC / DASH at the time of the hack will basically be breaking even or better in terms of USD value at the time-of-disruption. Add in a token that is nominated in crypto that has risen 2x~ since the disruption even at 20% Face Value, and people in crypto walk away with ~100% of their fiat value @ time of disruption.
Example:
1 Eth balance @ disruption: ~$225 USD
0.55 Eth today: $192.50 (@ $350 Market)
0.45 Eth x 20% Face Value: 0.09 Eth, or $31.50 USD @ $350 Market
Total value: $192.50 + $31.50 = $224 USD